Reintroducing PECOTA
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March 8, 2012 3:00 am
Colin Wyers
The PECOTA cards are here, including 10-year projections and percentiles.
Without further ado, we present to you the PECOTA
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February 8, 2012 3:00 am
Colin Wyers
The 2012 PECOTA projections are here, and Colin Wyers explains why looking further into the past makes PECOTA more accurate in predicting the future.
To access the 2012 PECOTA here .
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February 7, 2011 2:59 am
Colin Wyers
The big day is finally here: the "Deadly Accurate" projections have arrived, now laced with some new-flavor WARP.
And here we are–the release of the 2011 PECOTAs.
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October 1, 2010 8:00 am
Colin Wyers
How good are the PECOTA percentiles?
Let's talk percentiles.
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September 30, 2010 8:00 am
Colin Wyers
Teaching PECOTA about injuries.
Any forecasting system is only as good as the inputs that go into it—once you get rolling from there you can certainly end up far worse than your data, but the quality and amount of data you have is a fundamental constraint.
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September 29, 2010 8:00 am
Ben Lindbergh and Colin Wyers
PECOTA's strange history with Ichiro Suzuki suggests some areas for improvement.
Were Ichiro Suzuki singular, once-in-a-generation talent . Actually, Ichiro-types don’t come along even as often as that, especially in PECOTA
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September 28, 2010 8:00 am
Colin Wyers
Examining the accuracy of PECOTA's past, and talking about its future.
September 27, 2010 8:00 am
Dave Pease
To set up PECOTA week, here's a look back at how the sausage was made.
Welcome to PECOTA PECOTA
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