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Raising Aces 

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05-22

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13

Raising Aces: This Justin
by
Doug Thorburn

05-17

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12

Raising Aces: Stuffing the Ballot, First Quarter
by
Doug Thorburn

05-10

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3

Raising Aces: Extending the Process
by
Doug Thorburn

05-03

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29

Raising Aces: Time to Unwind
by
Doug Thorburn

04-30

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20

Raising Aces: There's Something About Farrell
by
Doug Thorburn

04-26

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4

Raising Aces: Throwdown: Mat Latos vs. Jeff Samardzija
by
Doug Thorburn

04-24

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3

Raising Aces: Now Pitching, Bryce Harper
by
Doug Thorburn

04-19

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5

Raising Aces: Trending: National Grade
by
Doug Thorburn

04-12

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9

Raising Aces: Jose Fernandez, the Debut Ante
by
Doug Thorburn

04-05

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2

Raising Aces: Four of a Kind: Setting the Tone
by
Doug Thorburn

03-29

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13

Raising Aces: Against the Grain
by
Doug Thorburn

03-22

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16

Raising Aces: Pulling the Pin
by
Doug Thorburn

03-15

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15

Raising Aces: Trending: Over the Top
by
Doug Thorburn

03-08

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22

Raising Aces: Under the Gun
by
Doug Thorburn

03-01

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24

Raising Aces: Over the Radar
by
Doug Thorburn

02-01

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11

Raising Aces: Bush League: Jameson Taillon and Taijuan Walker
by
Doug Thorburn

01-25

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6

Raising Aces: Revisiting the Good Old Days
by
Doug Thorburn

01-18

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13

Raising Aces: Then and Now: Giology
by
Doug Thorburn

01-11

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15

Raising Aces: The Good Old Days: Roger Clemens
by
Doug Thorburn

01-04

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4

Raising Aces: Then and Now: It's Good to Be the King
by
Doug Thorburn

12-28

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2

Raising Aces: The Ghost of Articles Past
by
Doug Thorburn

12-21

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4

Raising Aces: Making the Grade, Part Two
by
Doug Thorburn

12-14

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22

Raising Aces: The Good Old Days: Greg Maddux
by
Doug Thorburn

12-07

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27

Raising Aces: Making the Grade, Part One
by
Doug Thorburn

11-30

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13

Raising Aces: On the Other Hand
by
Doug Thorburn

11-16

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15

Raising Aces: Bush League: Shelby Miller and Trevor Rosenthal
by
Doug Thorburn

11-09

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8

Raising Aces: The Good Old Days: Pedro Martinez
by
Doug Thorburn

11-02

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15

Raising Aces: The Good Old Days: Randy Johnson
by
Doug Thorburn

10-26

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23

Raising Aces: Pitchology, Final Exam
by
Doug Thorburn

10-19

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4

Raising Aces: Bush League: The Power of Bauer
by
Doug Thorburn

10-12

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8

Raising Aces: Bush League: Gerrit Cole and Danny Hultzen
by
Doug Thorburn

10-05

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5

Raising Aces: For Those About to Watch (We Salute You)
by
Doug Thorburn

09-28

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7

Raising Aces: Four of a Kind: Diagnosing Disappointment
by
Doug Thorburn

09-21

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7

Raising Aces: Four of a Kind: High-K Closers
by
Doug Thorburn

09-14

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8

Raising Aces: The Man in the Ironic Mask
by
Doug Thorburn

09-07

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16

Raising Aces: The Ace-Time Continuum
by
Doug Thorburn

08-31

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16

Raising Aces: Four of a Kind: Oakland's Aces
by
Doug Thorburn

08-24

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15

Raising Aces: Throwdown: Clayton Kershaw vs. Madison Bumgarner
by
Doug Thorburn

08-17

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6

Raising Aces: Draft Day Deliveries, Part Three
by
Doug Thorburn

08-10

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6

Raising Aces: Hocking LOOGYs
by
Doug Thorburn

08-03

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4

Raising Aces: Throwdown: Zack Greinke vs. Jeremy Hellickson
by
Doug Thorburn

07-27

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18

Raising Aces: Violent Trends
by
Doug Thorburn

07-20

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4

Raising Aces: Back to the Futures Game, World Team
by
Doug Thorburn

07-13

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9

Raising Aces: Back to The Futures Game, US Team
by
Doug Thorburn

06-29

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2

Raising Aces: Dickey's Fine Malt Knuckler
by
Doug Thorburn

06-22

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15

Raising Aces: A Slide Step in the Wrong Direction
by
Doug Thorburn

06-15

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3

Raising Aces: Draft Day Deliveries, Part Two
by
Doug Thorburn

06-08

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10

Raising Aces: Draft Day Deliveries, Part 1
by
Doug Thorburn

06-01

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15

Raising Aces: Four of a Kind: Slot Machines
by
Doug Thorburn

05-25

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9

Raising Aces: Stras Wars
by
Doug Thorburn

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November 30, 2012 5:00 am

Raising Aces: On the Other Hand

13

Doug Thorburn

Don't become so fixated on the throwing arm during that time you forget about what's going on with the glove side.

A pitcher's throwing arm is the hardest-working limb on the playing field, so it figures to get all the attention, but the oft-ignored glove-side arm has the potential to either aid the delivery or throw a wrench into the system. The non-throwing arm plays a non-trivial role in mechanical assessment—I have occasionally dropped a reference to a pitcher with a “sloppy glove” or one who “keeps the glove out in front of the body,” but I have yet to go into detail on the topic.

We have covered the basic tenets of Pitchology this season, from balance to momentum and hip-shoulder separation, but today will be an advanced lesson in the theory behind one of the finer elements of pitching mechanics. So if the class will indulge me for a lecture, I'll don the tweed jacket while the rest grab a mitt and meet me on the diamond for a virtual field trip.

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November 16, 2012 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Bush League: Shelby Miller and Trevor Rosenthal

15

Doug Thorburn

If the Cardinals' high-risk rotation needs help in 2013, can they rely on a pair of pitching prospects to plug the holes?

The St. Louis Cardinals have enjoyed a sustained run of success, making the playoffs for the third time in four years in 2012 despite a clubhouse that was missing a couple of Busch Stadium staples. The most glaring omission from the roster was the greatest Cardinal legend since Stan Musial, as Albert Pujols chose to pursue the bigger payday offered by the Angels, leaving the team whose offense he had carried on his shoulders for a decade. Manager Tony La Russa opted to end his career on a high note, retiring from the game following the Cardinals' World Series victory in 2011, and TLR took wingman Dave Duncan along with him to further deplete the coaching staff.

Replacing La Russa was former Cardinals catcher Mike Matheny, who shepherded the team past plenty of obstacles throughout the season. Chris Carpenter missed nearly the entire season due to injury, fellow ace Adam Wainwright was inconsistent in his first year pitching after his Tommy John surgery, and southpaw Jaime Garcia dealt with shoulder woes that earned him a summer vacation on the disabled list. Lance Lynn emerged from relative obscurity to spearhead the staff in the first half, but when the dust settled, the best pitcher on the club was Kyle Lohse, the 12-year veteran who entered the season with 4.64 career ERA and is now a free agent.

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November 9, 2012 5:55 am

Raising Aces: The Good Old Days: Pedro Martinez

8

Doug Thorburn

Pedro's flawless repetition made his unparalleled career possible.

The greatest pitchers of the previous generation were dominant on a historical level, and the peak performance of Pedro Martinez might have been the greatest spectacle that the game has ever witnessed. He may have lacked the longevity of Roger Clemens, the consistency of Greg Maddux, or the biological advantages of Randy Johnson, but Pedro introduced the world to an unrivaled combination of intensity, precision, and power that baffled major-league hitters for over a decade.

Martinez lacked the size of his legendary counterparts, but efficient mechanics and incredible athleticism allowed him to get more out of his sub-six-foot frame than pitchers half a foot taller. His effectiveness was enabled by exceptional command of an explosive array of pitches, and he required ideal efficiency to maximize the impact of his pitching career. One need look no further than Pedro's brother, Ramon Martinez, to conceptualize the difference between raw genetic gifts and athletically-trained ability.

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November 2, 2012 6:03 am

Raising Aces: The Good Old Days: Randy Johnson

15

Doug Thorburn

Randy Johnson was one of the most dominant pitchers of his or any era, but his peak wouldn't have been possible without continual mechanical tinkering.

I remember reading an article as a college student that described how Randy Johnson had made a mechanical adjustment that allowed the large lefty to extend his release point by more than a foot. The sheer thought of the Big Unit getting 12 inches closer to the plate was equal parts terrifying and fascinating, as physics class had taught me about the advantages inherent in decreasing the distance that the ball travels, ranging from increased perceived velocity to a reduced drag effect on the baseball (I would later learn to appreciate the ripple effect on the timing of pitch-break). The story also marked the first time that I heard the name Tom House, as Johnson had mastered his new techniques through Nolan Ryan and his pitching coach with the Texas Rangers, learning from the man who would be my future mentor in my first exposure to real baseball science.

Johnson’s distinguishing characteristic was his exceptional height: at 6’10”, he was one of the tallest pitchers ever to play in the majors. His height gave him an intrinsic advantage on the mound that is often misunderstood in the mainstream. The plot thickens when one watches his delivery, as Johnson's strategy of slinging the ball from an ultra-low arm slot flies in the face of conventional wisdom, which emphasizes downhill plane. His sidewinder approach was decidedly old-school, harkening back to 12-time strikeout king Walter Johnson, who was known as the hardest thrower of his day and a tireless workhorse who personified the true “ace” label. At 6’1”, Walter was a large human for the early 20th century, and his nickname, “The Big Train,” is essentially a century-old analogue of Randy's “Big Unit” epithet.

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October 26, 2012 5:00 am

Raising Aces: Pitchology, Final Exam

23

Doug Thorburn

You've been reading Raising Aces all season. Now it's time to put your knowledge to the test.

We’re reached the culmination of the baseball season, having nearly consumed the 2012 textbook, and it’s time to test our knowledge. So let us begin the Final Exam for our Pitchology class.

We have covered a multitude of topics this semester, including mechanics, stuff, and injuries. We have studied a combination of case studies, player comparisons, and some of the theoretical concepts that underlie the mystery of pitching. Please refer to your notes and/or the textbook as you take the exam.

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October 19, 2012 8:12 am

Raising Aces: Bush League: The Power of Bauer

4

Doug Thorburn

Diamondbacks prospect Trevor Bauer boasts a tantalizing combination of talent and inconsistency.

The “Bush League” series kicked off last week with a review of the top two picks of the 2011 draft, Gerrit Cole and Danny Hultzen. This week's edition continues down that historic '11 draft board with a close look at Trevor Bauer, the second UCLA Bruin chosen among those first three picks and the first player from the arm-laden first round to crack the majors.

From the standpoint of a pitching addict, Bauer is one of the more intriguing prospects to come around in quite a while. His appreciation for biomechanics, his commitment to conditioning and physical preparation, and his cerebral approach to his craft are rare qualities to find in a 21-year-old hurler. One need only glance at Bauer's Twitter feed to understand that this is a unique mind on the mound, one whose scientific approach to the game raises the roof of his potential. However, such attention to detail can also be the undoing of a pitcher who can't get out of his own head, placing him at risk of becoming his own worst enemy on the mound.

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October 12, 2012 6:30 am

Raising Aces: Bush League: Gerrit Cole and Danny Hultzen

8

Doug Thorburn

Breaking down the mechanics of the top two picks from the 2011 amateur draft.

The advances of the 21st century are truly remarkable. We can hold 10,000 songs in the palm of our hand, we can pause live television, and with the click of a mouse, we can access every major-league game played in the past few years. We can track the events on the field pitch-by-pitch and play-by-play, and PITCHf/x technology allows us to record the velocity, location, and even the movement of every pitch thrown on a big-league diamond. Advanced systems such as HITf/x and high-speed motion capture have opened the floodgates of practical measurement, yielding new revelations about the physical intricacies of the sport.

Absolutely nothing can replicate the experience of watching a player with trained eyes from the dugout or the bullpen, a vantage point that affords the opportunity to weave context into the evaluation of a player's skill set. It is exactly this nuanced perspective that compels scouts to drive thousands of miles across the back-roads of America while searching the diamonds for talent, and what brings a flood of men with notebooks and radar guns to the Arizona Fall League this time each year. However, while we can’t capture the full spectrum of the scouting experience through the prism of an LCD screen, the latest gadgets have brought us closer to bridging that gap.

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October 5, 2012 8:00 am

Raising Aces: For Those About to Watch (We Salute You)

5

Doug Thorburn

One pitcher per playoff team who makes a convincing case in favor of watching every pitch of post-season baseball.

This season may have lacked the dramatic flare of 2011’s frantic finish, but the stretch drive of 2012 has been thrilling in its own right, with division races coming down to the final day and one unlikely club making its only ascension to the top of its division at the most opportune time.  After a day of reflection, we are now staring at an unprecedented slate of play-in games to the postseason tournament, where a season's worth of hard work comes down to nine innings of play.

October can be bittersweet for many loyal fans whose teams fell short of the playoffs. Football will lure those whose residual frustration is too great to bear, while others will adopt a more successful team to support through the postseason. But some of our baseball-loving brethren will follow the action regardless of rooting interest, and to those fellow baseball junkies who cherish every last pitch of October baseball: I salute you. To enhance your enjoyment of the next few weeks, here's a list of 10 pitchers who'll be in action this October—one per playoff team—and what makes them worth watching.

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Can mechanical changes help explain what went wrong with Dan Haren, Tommy Hanson, Jon Lester, and Ricky Romero this season?

In the medical field, diagnosis is a skill that requires as much art as science. Consider the case of Clayton Kershaw, who was scratched from his anticipated start on BP day at Dodger Stadium due to a hip impingement, with an initial diagnosis that suggested that the ace could be out until May of 2013. Kershaw sought a second opinion from a hip specialist, and eight days later he was lacing up the spikes for a start against the Reds. I had a similar experience when I blew out my shoulder 15 years ago, as the initial diagnosis of “a separated shoulder” failed to identify a torn rotator cuff, requiring a secondary assessment that altered the long-term prognosis for recovery.  

Diagnosing the struggles of a major-league pitcher is an imperfect science, considering the lack of reliable data and the multitude of variables that can influence performance. When a pro pitcher is “under the weather,” one evaluator might point toward mechanics as the key symptom while another blames pitch command (though a savvy scout acknowledges the interplay between stuff and mechanics). Other factors may also come into play, including but not limited to pitch sequencing, functional strength, psychology, and luck.

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Strikeouts are up this season, and this quartet of untouchable closers is driving the trend.

The evolution of pitching in the 21st century has trended toward increased specialization, to the point of eight-man bullpens and strict pitch counts for starters. The complete game has all but vanished from the baseball lexicon, and most pitching staffs are now structured with the goal of getting through six innings with a lead before handing the ball to the bullpen. Frequent pitching changes have been unkind to the hardcore fan base, slowing the pace of the game when the drama is at its peak, but the stats reflect the advantages that are gained through the tireless recycling of arms.

Major League Baseball has witnessed a historic trend toward increasing strikeouts, with 2012's league-wide K rate of 19.7 percent (through Wednesday) representing the highest figure of all time. The 1.1-point jump in strikeout percentage from 2011 is the largest season-to-season gain in 25 years. Interestingly, we are not in the middle of some historic home run binge, and the 300-K starter has gone the way of the dodo in the span of about 10 years. Mere memories remain of the exploits of Randy Johnson and Pedro Martinez, while 2011 strikeout kings Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw hit the ceiling at 250 strikeouts, a level that no pitcher is likely to crack this season. The 300-K starter has been replaced by the 100-K reliever.

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September 14, 2012 1:19 pm

Raising Aces: The Man in the Ironic Mask

8

Doug Thorburn

BP's mechanics guru takes a break from breaking down pitchers to analyze their brethren behind the plate.

If there is one thing I’ve learned to appreciate through my study of pitching, it is the value of a great catcher. Backstops are the rock drummers of baseball, hiding behind a mountain of equipment while physically working harder than their teammates and functioning as the glue that holds the group together. Catchers are also invaluable in pitching evaluation, as their actions provide deep insight into the skills of the pitchers they serve.

One of the greatest epiphanies of my career occurred the first time that I focused all of my attention on the catcher for an entire ballgame and discovered the amount of information that can be gleaned about a pitcher by observing the actions of his batterymate. That was the day that I finally understood the distinction between pitch command and control on my own terms, as I watched dozens of pitches that found the strike zone yet strayed far from their intended locations. Observing the catcher is now a standard part of my baseball experience, providing a channel through which to view a pitcher's in-game ability.

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September 7, 2012 11:10 am

Raising Aces: The Ace-Time Continuum

16

Doug Thorburn

Checking in on five prominent starters who've seen noticeable changes in their mechanical timing this season.

There is no overstating the importance of timing. It can be the difference between meeting your future spouse and just missing the taxi cab, or it can separate a well-executed strike from a mistake pitch that is deposited into the bleachers. Timing is the most critical variable in the pitching equation, particularly as it pertains to the sequencing of events within the kinetic chain. Gameday performance is heavily influenced by a pitcher's ability to harness his timing and sequencing, factors that determine the command, velocity, and movement on his pitches.

Of all the grades on the mechanics report card, the score for repetition is not only the most difficult to evaluate—since hundredths of a second can separate the haves from the have-nots—but it is also the most volatile element during the season. Case in point, a number of pitchers that were covered by Raising Aces in the spring have since experienced large changes to their timing patterns, adjustments that could alter their individual outlooks for performance down the stretch.

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