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12-31

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155

Prospectus Today: Retrospective on Runs and Records
by
Joe Sheehan

12-30

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19

Prospectus Today: Virtual Hall-Worthy Selections
by
Joe Sheehan

12-27

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45

Prospectus Today: Metropolitan Inactivity
by
Joe Sheehan

12-22

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84

Prospectus Today: The Braves' New World
by
Joe Sheehan

12-17

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128

Prospectus Today: Of Unselfish Decisions and Restocked Systems
by
Joe Sheehan

12-16

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66

Prospectus Today: You Say You Want a Revolution?
by
Joe Sheehan

12-15

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41

Prospectus Today: No Lack of Lackey
by
Joe Sheehan

12-14

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28

Prospectus Today: Getting Talent For Less Than It's Worth
by
Joe Sheehan

12-10

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23

Prospectus Today: Wheeling and Dealing in Indy
by
Joe Sheehan

12-09

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29

Prospectus Today: Strange Dealings in the Desert
by
Joe Sheehan

12-08

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20

Prospectus Today: Arbitration Ambush
by
Joe Sheehan

12-07

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38

Prospectus Today: AL Shopping Lists
by
Joe Sheehan

12-06

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25

Prospectus Today: NL Shopping Lists
by
Joe Sheehan

12-03

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57

Prospectus Today: The Unbearable Lightness of Being the Red Sox
by
Joe Sheehan

12-02

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35

Prospectus Today: The Risks of Arbitration
by
Joe Sheehan

11-25

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14

Prospectus Today: Pen Men Free Agents Review
by
Joe Sheehan

11-24

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10

Prospectus Today: Starting Pitcher Free Agents Review
by
Joe Sheehan

11-23

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24

Prospectus Today: Outfield and Catcher Free Agents Review
by
Joe Sheehan

11-22

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23

Prospectus Today: Infield Free Agents Review
by
Joe Sheehan

11-19

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22

Prospectus Today: The Opening Bell
by
Joe Sheehan

11-18

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12

Prospectus Today: Minor League Free Agents
by
Joe Sheehan

11-16

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27

Prospectus Today: Awards Season
by
Joe Sheehan

11-13

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15

Prospectus Today: Let's Make a Deal!
by
Joe Sheehan

11-12

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16

Prospectus Today: Melting Down the Gold Gloves
by
Joe Sheehan

11-06

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74

Prospectus Today: Looking Both Forwards and Back
by
Joe Sheehan

11-05

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96

Prospectus Today: The Crown Rests Lightly
by
Joe Sheehan

11-03

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36

Prospectus Today: A Player's Game
by
Joe Sheehan

11-02

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28

Prospectus Today: A-Rodemption?
by
Joe Sheehan

11-01

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11

Prospectus Today: Game Three Recap
by
Joe Sheehan

10-30

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35

Prospectus Today: A Classic Confrontation
by
Joe Sheehan

10-29

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59

Prospectus Today: Complete Mastery
by
Joe Sheehan

10-28

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29

Prospectus Today: Back from the Future
by
Joe Sheehan

10-26

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49

Prospectus Today: Turning the Trick in Six
by
Joe Sheehan

10-23

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44

Prospectus Today: Speed Up for a Showdown
by
Joe Sheehan

10-22

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54

Prospectus Today: Outskipper'd
by
Joe Sheehan

10-21

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87

Prospectus Today: The Horror
by
Joe Sheehan

10-20

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67

Prospectus Today: Putting the Drama in Drama Season
by
Joe Sheehan

10-19

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21

Prospectus Today: Palate Cleansing
by
Joe Sheehan

10-18

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71

Prospectus Today: Absent Without Leave
by
Joe Sheehan

10-17

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9

Prospectus Today: Keeping You Guessing
by
Joe Sheehan

10-16

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16

Prospectus Today: The Reminder
by
Joe Sheehan

10-15

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11

Prospectus Today: The NLCS
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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42

Prospectus Today: A Triple Play of Division Series Post Mortems
by
Joe Sheehan

10-13

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67

Prospectus Today: Completion
by
Joe Sheehan

10-09

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42

Prospectus Today: Second Day Roundup
by
Joe Sheehan

10-08

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13

Prospectus Today: Tri-Series Roundup
by
Joe Sheehan

10-07

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46

Prospectus Today: Who Can Say No to Twins?
by
Joe Sheehan

10-06

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40

Prospectus Today: Series Previews
by
Joe Sheehan

10-05

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32

Prospectus Today: Madness
by
Joe Sheehan

10-04

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48

Prospectus Today: Do or Die
by
Joe Sheehan

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December 6, 2009 5:05 pm

Prospectus Today: NL Shopping Lists

25

Joe Sheehan

With the Winter Meetings about to begin, here's what to expect from every National League team.

I'm not going to be in Indianapolis-with Kevin, Will, John, and Christina on-site, think of my absence as the Secretary of Agriculture being assigned to skip the State of the Union, to assure continuity of government should disaster strike. That doesn't mean I'm not as geeked for the Winter Meetings as any fan is. I'm not sure we'll get much in the way of transaction action, but the anticipation of movement makes for a fun four days.

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December 3, 2009 1:45 pm

Prospectus Today: The Unbearable Lightness of Being the Red Sox

57

Joe Sheehan

Working with Yankee-like expectations, the Red Sox have to strike a balance between short-term gains and long-term competitiveness.

I had a lot of fun Tuesday night, serving as a guest lecturer-really, Q&A target-for the Sabermetrics 101 class at Tufts University in Boston. Along with Baseball Information Systems' Steve Moyer, and at the behest of my friend Dr. Andy Andres, I got to spend a few hours talking about matters serious and otherwise with a group of students who, had this been 20 years earlier, might have been engaging in thrust-and-parry with Gary Huckabay, Clay Davenport, and others on rec.sport.baseball.

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December 2, 2009 2:21 pm

Prospectus Today: The Risks of Arbitration

35

Joe Sheehan

With the offers of arbitration in place, has the market corrected from last year's Type-A fiasco?

The deadline for offering arbitration to free agents passed last night, and once again a fairly small number of players received offers, just 23 of 70 ranked free agents. I've written in the past that for almost all ranked players, this should be a fairly simple decision: almost any player good enough to be a ranked free agent is good enough to warrant having back on a one-year deal with a salary determined through arbitration. Given that this offer is a necessary step in receiving draft-pick compensation for free agents-if you decline to offer arbitration, you forfeit the right to compensation-it's long been my contention that teams should err on the side of making the offer. The downside is very small.

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November 25, 2009 12:08 pm

Prospectus Today: Pen Men Free Agents Review

14

Joe Sheehan

The entire horde of relievers on the market, from the ones you'll want to sign, the ones to invite, and those to ignore.

Before we get to the relievers, I want to comment on Jamey Carroll, who I inadvertently sorted into the relief pitchers during this process.

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November 24, 2009 12:55 pm

Prospectus Today: Starting Pitcher Free Agents Review

10

Joe Sheehan

Who's out there to toe the rubber at the start of ballgames, and who should you favor from among them?

There are very few good buys among the available starting pitchers. As with the first two pieces in this series, these pitchers are sorted by the chance that they'll return value on the contract they can be expected to sign.

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November 23, 2009 2:53 pm

Prospectus Today: Outfield and Catcher Free Agents Review

24

Joe Sheehan

Sorting through the available mercenaries in the outfield and behind the dish.

There are lots of free-agent catchers and outfielders, many of whom provide little or no bang for the buck. Again, these players are listed roughly in order of what I see as their chance of providing value for the contract they'll sign.

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November 22, 2009 2:07 pm

Prospectus Today: Infield Free Agents Review

23

Joe Sheehan

Checking out who's in the pool at first, second, third, and short.

There are currently 170 free agents. John Grabow was the 171st, but that was before signing with the Cubs right after the list became official. Over the next couple of days, I'll cover every single one of the 170, with the infielders coming first. Players are listed by position, and ranked within their position subjectively by how good a value I think each can be as a free agent.

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November 19, 2009 2:08 pm

Prospectus Today: The Opening Bell

22

Joe Sheehan

With the free-agent market set to open, teams should be wary of overpaying for the large fish in a small pond.

Come the morning, all six-year players who have declared free agency can sign with new teams. This isn't likely to trigger a wave of transactions-the players and their agents are technically not allowed to even talk to new teams until tomorrow-but it does begin the off-season feeding frenzy that will see hundreds of millions of dollars guaranteed to a group of players that, collectively, has nowhere to go but down.

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November 18, 2009 6:08 pm

Prospectus Today: Minor League Free Agents

12

Joe Sheehan

Teams can improve themselves without paying too much if they know where to look.

One way to fill holes on a major league roster extremely cheaply is to find good values among minor league free agents. These aren't prospects, but players who are right around their career peaks, some even in their early thirties, who you pick up to fix an immediate problem for $400,000, and who if they work out can be an inexpensive three-year solution. The process of moving players from the minors to the majors is fairly efficient, but it isn't a perfect market, and mistakes and misevaluations are made. A strong front office is aggressive in tendering non-roster invitations to this pool of players; on the basis of a return on investment, the minor league free-agent pool is much more attractive than the major league one in general, and this winter's in particular.

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November 16, 2009 11:11 am

Prospectus Today: Awards Season

27

Joe Sheehan

One man's virtual ballot for the MVP, Cy Young, Rookie of the Year, and Manager of the Year awards.

In the excitement of the Twins/Tigers finish to the season and the quick run-up to the playoffs, I never published my Internet Baseball Awards ballots. Despite the late date-the BBWAA awards will be announced between now and Thanksgiving-these ballots do reflect only regular-season performance.

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November 13, 2009 4:09 pm

Prospectus Today: Let's Make a Deal!

15

Joe Sheehan

A recap of moves already made as the Hot Stove swiftly kicks into high gear.

The late start to the 2009 season and late end to it mean that we have a shortened offseason. Perhaps, then, I shouldn't have been surprised at how much activity we saw in the immediate aftermath of the World Series, with a trade being consummated even before the Yankee clubhouse had been cleaned. Still, the days following the Series feel like they've been busier than that period ever has been before. Let's get caught up:

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November 12, 2009 2:20 pm

Prospectus Today: Melting Down the Gold Gloves

16

Joe Sheehan

As defensive metrics improve, disenchantment with the Gold Glove Awards grows.

Once again, the Gold Glove Awards were announced to a mix of applause, boos, and abject horror. The awards' legitimacy have been in question for years, as better ways of measuring defensive performance have come on line, and the patterns of awarding Gold Gloves-in some cases, like Supreme Court seats-became apparent. Gold Glove voting measures defensive reputation, rather than defensive skill or defensive performance, and while there are relationships among those things, giving out an award based on reputation isn't a valuable process.

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