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An improved methodology and a format change highlight Will Carroll's annual look into health risk across pro baseball.

The one thing that is often misunderstood by people about these reports is that they actually don't measure health--they measure risk. While it may seem like those are two sides of the same coin, it's not quite that simple. Risk is a measure of probabilities rather than possibilities. It is quite possible to have a high risk of injury without suffering an injury, just as it's possible to drive home with your eyes closed. While the measure of that risk is injury, a binary result of "is he injured or isn't he?", the actual measure of the success of our system is the prediction of injury over a population.

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