CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

World Series time! Enjoy Premium-level access to most features through the end of the Series!

Playoff Prospectus 

Search Playoff Prospectus

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

10-23

comment icon

1

Playoff Prospectus: Royals Spit Hot Fire: World Series Game 2
by
Zachary Levine

10-22

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Preview
by
Zachary Levine

10-22

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: The Other Royals: World Series Game 1
by
Sam Miller

10-21

comment icon

7

Playoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Giants vs. Royals
by
Sam Miller

10-17

comment icon

22

Playoff Prospectus: A Three-Act Tragedy, A Three-Act Triumph: NLCS Game 5
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

comment icon

4

Playoff Prospectus: The Unconventional Path: ALCS Game 4
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-16

comment icon

2

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Five Preview
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

comment icon

6

Playoff Prospectus: No Pitching and No Defense Make St. Louis (Almost) Go Home: NLCS Game 4
by
R.J. Anderson

10-15

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Four Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and R.J. Anderson

10-15

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: Karmic Kickback: NLCS Game 3
by
Doug Thorburn

10-15

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: Every Choice Ned Yost Must Make: ALCS Game 3
by
Sam Miller

10-14

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: The Sad Reliever Rankings
by
Miles Wray

10-14

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Three Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and Doug Thorburn

10-13

comment icon

7

Playoff Prospectus: The Greatest Defensive Outfield In History: ALCS Game 2
by
Sam Miller

10-13

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: Managing in a 'Must-Not-Lose': NLCS Game 2
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

comment icon

6

Playoff Prospectus: It's a Very Very Mad World
by
R.J. Anderson

10-12

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Mike Gianella

10-11

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Saturday Previews
by
Sam Miller and R.J. Anderson

10-11

comment icon

6

Playoff Prospectus: Yost Plays it Right
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-11

comment icon

14

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Series Preview: Giants vs. Cardinals
by
R.J. Anderson

10-10

comment icon

14

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Series Preview: Royals vs. Orioles
by
Sam Miller

10-08

comment icon

18

Playoff Prospectus: Mattingly's Missteps: NLDS Game Four
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-08

comment icon

7

Playoff Prospectus: Vogelsong Stymies, Williams Perplexes: NLDS Game Four
by
Mike Gianella

10-07

comment icon

6

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Tuesday Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and Doug Thorburn

10-07

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: The Irony Of Ryu's Strong Start
by
Zachary Levine

10-07

comment icon

4

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: The Bunt Heard 'Round the World
by
Doug Thorburn

10-06

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews
by
Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

10-06

comment icon

6

Playoff Prospectus: A Royal Shocker
by
J.P. Breen

10-06

comment icon

6

Playoff Prospectus: Quartet of Consequence: The Four Plays That Keyed An ALDS Sweep
by
R.J. Anderson

10-05

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: Puig and Holliday: A Breakdown of Six Strikeouts
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-05

comment icon

2

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game 3 Previews
by
R.J. Anderson and Sam Miller

10-05

comment icon

8

Playoff Prospectus: Zimmermann and Post-Zimmermann: The Two Games Within NLDS Game Two
by
Mike Gianella

10-04

comment icon

4

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Recap: Orioles 7, Tigers 6
by
Jeff Quinton

10-04

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: 20 Bad Josh Hamilton Swings: ALDS Game 2
by
Sam Miller

10-04

comment icon

1

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Doug Thorburn and Sahadev Sharma

10-04

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Recap: Cardinals 10 Dodgers 9
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-04

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Recap: Giants 3, Nationals 2
by
Doug Thorburn

10-03

comment icon

1

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Dodgers vs. Cardinals
by
Zachary Levine

10-03

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants
by
Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

10-03

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Recap: Royals 3, Angels 2
by
Sam Miller

10-03

comment icon

7

Playoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma, Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella, Doug Thorburn and J.P. Breen

10-03

comment icon

4

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Recap: Detroit Shock City
by
R.J. Anderson

10-02

comment icon

15

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Orioles vs. Tigers
by
R.J. Anderson

10-02

comment icon

8

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Angels vs. Royals
by
Sam Miller

10-02

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Recap
by
Sam Miller

10-01

comment icon

14

Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Recap
by
Jeff Long

10-01

comment icon

9

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Preview
by
Mike Gianella

09-30

comment icon

13

Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Preview
by
R.J. Anderson

10-31

comment icon

17

Playoff Prospectus: World Series Game Six Recap (Cardinals Edition)
by
Ben Lindbergh

10-31

comment icon

17

Playoff Prospectus: Boston's Fast Track to Success
by
Zachary Levine

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 14, 2014 6:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Three Previews

3

Sahadev Sharma and Doug Thorburn

Down two games to none, the Orioles are given the slightest of edges on the road with their offense hoping to take advantage of the Royals Game Three starter.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

The Royals jump way ahead of the Orioles in the ALCS. It'll take much more than regression to cost them the pennant now.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 13, 2014 1:11 am

Playoff Prospectus: Managing in a 'Must-Not-Lose': NLCS Game 2

5

Mike Gianella

The Cardinals nearly let the series get away from them, but four home runs make a lot of sins look small.

Postseason baseball brings with it an endless stream of clichés and meaningless bromides, and one of those tired bromides is that this game is a “must win.” Once you reach this point in the season, every game is a must-win game. Lose three game in the League Division Series and you’re out; lose four in the League Championship Series or the World Series and the same precept applies. “Must win” is a term that gets dragged out endlessly, but “must not lose” is probably the more apt term.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 13, 2014 12:36 am

Playoff Prospectus: It's a Very Very Mad World

6

R.J. Anderson

The outcome never seemed in doubt, as Madison Bumgarner continued to be some kind of dominant.

Here's what you need to know about Game One between the Giants and Cardinals: Marco Gonzales began warming with nobody out in the fourth inning.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 12, 2014 12:45 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews

0

Mike Gianella

Even on the road, the Giants are slight favorites to put the Cardinals in a deep hole.

Madison Bumgarner continued his postseason dominance, putting up 7 2/3 shutout innings to lead the Giants to a 3-0 win in Game One of the NLCS. Here are the lineups and PECOTA projections for Game Two.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 11, 2014 4:56 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Saturday Previews

3

Sam Miller and R.J. Anderson

It's a must-win, for everybody! Everybody must win! No losers, everybody must not lose!

The Royals look to keep their unlikely winning streak going, while wags will call this a "must win" for Baltimore.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 11, 2014 3:23 am

Playoff Prospectus: Yost Plays it Right

6

Sahadev Sharma

In a postseasn filled with unexpected outcomes, the Royals continue the trend, with Ned Yost leading the way.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 11, 2014 12:15 am

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Series Preview: Giants vs. Cardinals

14

R.J. Anderson

Two teams that never lose in the postseason face off in the postseason.

While the ALCS emanates a fresh vibe, the NLCS features two familiar, borderline-stale opponents. Either the Cardinals or Giants has appeared in each of the past four World Series, a streak that will extend to five regardless of the victor. These powerhouses have so ruled the postseason that they've combined to go 15-1 in postseason series against other teams, according to Tom Verducci. (That one? Last year's World Series.) With two World Series appearances apiece, which team will break the tie and earn their third crack at the championship in five years? Let's find out.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 10, 2014 12:15 am

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Series Preview: Royals vs. Orioles

14

Sam Miller

The Fightin' Showalters against the Yosts with the Mosts.

Since 2000, only one AL team has won fewer games than the Baltimore Orioles. Think you can guess who that team is? Answer at the bottom of th-- nah, just kidding, you know who it is. So here they are in the ALCS, and one will go to the World Series. No team in this century plays like the Royals do, so any matchup will be an odd pairing, but this one in particular pits two teams with different philosophies, different strategies, different offensive approaches, different men at the helm. Except neither team draws any walks. Admit it: That's not the worst thing in the world at a time of the season when games start pushing four hours for no good reason at all. Here's how the showdown shapes up:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 8, 2014 6:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: Mattingly's Missteps: NLDS Game Four

18

Sahadev Sharma

Don Mattingly didn't always have easy decisions to make, but the one that seemed like a no-brainer may loom the largest.

Prior to Game Four, baseball twitter was abuzz with two topics: Andre Ethier replacing the struggling Yasiel Puig in the lineup and Clayton Kershaw going on three days’ rest. Turns out, we were all focusing on the right things, as all three players placed their stamp on the outcome of this game in their own way.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

The Nats had the pitching advantage on paper -- again -- but they lost -- again, and some odd bullpen maneuvering by Matt Williams certainly didn't help.

At the beginning of the National League Division Series between the Washington Nationals and the San Francisco Giants, it seemed that some were overestimating the Nationals and underestimating the Giants (you can perhaps include me in this group, as I predicted that the Nats would sweep the Giants). When this series is looked back at in a few years – if we remember it at all – it is entirely possible that the opposite will occur, and we will underestimate how close this series was. After four games, the Nationals and Giants played 45 innings, scored nine runs apiece and were evenly matched throughout. Yet it was the Giants who walked away not only with a victory but a victory in a mere four games.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 7, 2014 1:53 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Tuesday Previews

6

Sahadev Sharma and Doug Thorburn

The Dodgers put their ace on the mound on three days' rest in a must-win game, and the Nats hope that having the pitching edge finally leads to a win and a Game Five.

The Dodgers face an elimination game and have the best pitcher in baseball taking the mound for them on three days' rest. Here is a look at the PECOTA odds and projected lineups for Game Four of the NLDS.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>