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07-08

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0

Pebble Hunting: Kershaw vs. Harper: The Mistakes
by
Sam Miller

07-06

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4

Pebble Hunting: The Baseball In Steamy Novels
by
Sam Miller

06-16

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0

Pebble Hunting: Change The Minimum-Innings Threshold, Dangit
by
Sam Miller

06-12

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6

Pebble Hunting: The State of the Closer
by
Sam Miller

06-07

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2

Pebble Hunting: Clayton Kershaw's 'Mistakes', Chapter Two
by
Sam Miller

05-16

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22

Pebble Hunting: The 14 Heroes Of Sunday's Odor/Bautista Brawl
by
Sam Miller

05-11

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7

Pebble Hunting: The Disappearing Footnote
by
Sam Miller

05-03

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3

Pebble Hunting: Clayton Kershaw's 28 'Mistakes' Last Month
by
Sam Miller

04-22

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8

Pebble Hunting: Which Bunts Are Missing?
by
Sam Miller

04-15

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17

Pebble Hunting: So I Guess This Is Vince Velasquez Now
by
Sam Miller

04-12

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7

Pebble Hunting: How You Tried To Beat PECOTA
by
Sam Miller

03-22

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10

Pebble Hunting: Sim City 1000000
by
Sam Miller

03-14

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33

Pebble Hunting: Should Have Taken Trout
by
Sam Miller

03-11

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7

Pebble Hunting: What It Means To Have The Best Farm System In Baseball, Part 4
by
Sam Miller

02-16

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39

Pebble Hunting: PECOTA Hates the Royals, Part II
by
Sam Miller

02-12

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9

Pebble Hunting: I Read the Entire Collective Bargaining Agreement and Here's What I Learned
by
Sam Miller

01-20

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7

Pebble Hunting: Flame of Thrown
by
Sam Miller

01-12

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4

Pebble Hunting: The Scioscia About Face
by
Sam Miller

11-30

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5

Pebble Hunting: Everything Is Now Super, 2015
by
Sam Miller

10-30

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5

Pebble Hunting: An Illustrated Guide to the People of Citi Field
by
Sam Miller

04-27

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12

Pebble Hunting: Scott Boras Has Baseball's Most Accurate Projection System
by
Sam Miller

04-09

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28

Pebble Hunting: Every Team Gets One Do-Over
by
Sam Miller

04-03

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9

Pebble Hunting: Watching The Worst Game of 2014
by
Sam Miller

03-31

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52

Pebble Hunting: The Case For Shaming the Cubs
by
Sam Miller

03-17

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8

Pebble Hunting: Would Pedro Martinez Have Gone Undefeated?
by
Sam Miller

02-25

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10

Pebble Hunting: What the Heck, Tigers?
by
Sam Miller

02-13

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5

Pebble Hunting: Testing PECOTA's Memory
by
Sam Miller

01-26

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15

Pebble Hunting: What It Means To Have The Best Farm System In Baseball, Part Three
by
Sam Miller

01-23

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15

Pebble Hunting: The Pitchers Who Changed PECOTA's Mind
by
Sam Miller

01-19

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13

Pebble Hunting: The Hitters Who Changed PECOTA's Mind
by
Sam Miller

01-16

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21

Pebble Hunting: The Gospel According to Baseball
by
Sam Miller

11-21

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11

Pebble Hunting: Hank Aaron's Hypothetical Fortune
by
Sam Miller

11-05

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6

Pebble Hunting: Nelson Cruz is Same, Different
by
Sam Miller

10-24

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21

Pebble Hunting: An Illustrated Guide to the People of AT&T Park
by
Sam Miller

10-21

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5

Pebble Hunting: An Illustrated Guide to the People of Kauffman Stadium
by
Sam Miller

10-20

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46

Pebble Hunting: The Best Teams Should Make The World Series; A Defense of Bud Selig
by
Sam Miller

10-15

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13

Pebble Hunting: The Rich Get Smarter
by
Sam Miller

10-01

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2

Pebble Hunting: The '80' Pitches In This Year's Postseason
by
Sam Miller

09-29

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8

Pebble Hunting: The Padres' Sad Team Leaders
by
Sam Miller

09-24

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8

Pebble Hunting: Spoiler: Spoiling Spoiled
by
Sam Miller

09-19

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1

Pebble Hunting: Cueto's Quirks
by
Sam Miller

09-12

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7

Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of August
by
Sam Miller

09-11

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0

Pebble Hunting: Pitchers Live For the Applause-plause
by
Sam Miller

09-05

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12

Pebble Hunting: The Nearby Faraway
by
Sam Miller

08-29

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3

Pebble Hunting: This Article Mentions Fehlandt Lentini
by
Sam Miller

08-21

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5

Pebble Hunting: You Lie!
by
Sam Miller

08-15

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5

Pebble Hunting: Arizona's Pitching Problems
by
Sam Miller

08-12

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7

Pebble Hunting: The Unlikeliest Part of the Rangers' Collapse
by
Sam Miller

08-06

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8

Pebble Hunting: The Non-Scout's Guide To Javier Baez
by
Sam Miller

07-16

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18

Pebble Hunting: This Time, We Count
by
Sam Miller

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>

Measuring the scale of a single draft pick.

"We're going to take this kid with our first pick," Bane reportedly told his staff. "The problem is that he's not going to be there. He's too good." –San Francisco Chronicle

Read the full article...

How the Rays turned a great farm system into an even greater collection of players.

In 2007, the Rays had the best farm system in baseball, according to both Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus. I have an annual tradition of going over these farm systems one decade later in the hopes of putting into perspective what it means to have such a strong collection of young talent. I will commence this year’s version now.

Read the full article...

As we prepare to release the 2016 PECOTA projections, a look at one projection that many will not like.

Sometime today, or thereabouts, we expect to release all 2016 PECOTA projections. As part of that, there is a Royals team projection. And as part of that, there will be rolling of eyes, because, surprise, it is not a very optimistic projection. So in anticipation of the full PECOTA release...

Well, cuss.

Read the full article...

Finding the soul of the modern game in legalese.

It’s easy to underestimate how important baseball’s collective bargaining agreement is. I know how easy, because I’ve been doing it for years without even trying. The CBA has been mostly defined in my mind as “not a strike, yay.”

Read the full article...

After the fire, after all the rain, has the fast-fastball flame kept up with the era?

Read the full article...

Have all of the years of screaming about his insistence on playing Jeff Mathis been for naught?

You’ve heard the joke about McGregor the Barbuilder and the one goat, I assume. Mike Scioscia’s one goat is Jeff Mathis. It’s been years since Jeff Mathis was under his aegis, and it’s still the first thing I think of when somebody asks me about Scioscia. A few days ago, Jeff Long asked me how well Scioscia manages his bullpen. I thought for a moment. “Well, he started Jeff Mathis over Mike Nap…”

Read the full article...

The press conference that changes everything.

Good morning, and thank you all for being here today. We are extremely excited to introduce this man sitting beside me today, and to bring him—and his beautiful wife—into our organization. It has been a long and arduous past four years—disastrous, even—but that’s how baseball goes sometimes. It’s a game of failure. You can fail seven out of 10 times and still be Felipe Paulino. Today, though, marks a new direction and a new era for this organization.

(Note: All real quotes from real press conferences:)

Read the full article...

Classifying the fans you'll see in the stands at the World Series this weekend.

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In 2000, when Alex Rodriguez was a free agent, Scott Boras did something amazing that we just don't appreciate enough.

On Sunday, Darren Rovell tweeted a handful of pages from the free agent binder that Scott Boras put together for a 25-year-old Alex Rodriguez. As most of us around here tend to be projections junkies, surely you’ll find this page particularly interesting:

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April 9, 2015 11:30 am

Pebble Hunting: Every Team Gets One Do-Over

28

Sam Miller

What if every team could undo one move? If baseball teams were different, how different would they be?

This is a long article to set up another article six months from now to try to answer the question of how often a pennant race turns on one move.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

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A reminder about baseball.

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Why we are comfortable having the Kris Bryant service time conversation but not the Mike Trout service time conversation, and why we should be uncomfortable having either.

In 2012, Mike Trout was the best baseball player. He was so good that his delayed call-up to the Angels—for, it should be noted clearly here, completely non-service time reasons, but legitimate and honest concerns about his ability to produce after a difficult offseason (healthwise) and an interrupted spring training—might have even cost the Angels a spot in the postseason. He was so, so, so, so, so good.

Read the full article...

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>