CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

Pebble Hunting 

Search Pebble Hunting

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

07-11

comment icon

1

Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of June
by
Sam Miller

07-07

comment icon

9

Pebble Hunting: Why Do Teams Pitch to Trout?
by
Sam Miller

06-30

comment icon

3

Pebble Hunting: Sean Doolittle Gets Scarier
by
Sam Miller

06-26

comment icon

14

Pebble Hunting: The [Your Team Name Here] Way Power Rankings
by
Sam Miller

06-20

comment icon

13

Pebble Hunting: Clayton Kershaw and the Fan In Black
by
Sam Miller

06-16

comment icon

12

Pebble Hunting: The 16 Hottest Teams in Baseball
by
Sam Miller

06-13

comment icon

11

Pebble Hunting: Alex Anthopoulos' Amazing Offseason
by
Sam Miller

06-11

comment icon

10

Pebble Hunting: Throwing Bats, Throwing Balls, and the Appropriate Punishment for Each
by
Sam Miller

06-06

comment icon

7

Pebble Hunting: Bartolo Colon Approaches First Base
by
Sam Miller

06-04

comment icon

15

Pebble Hunting: The Baseball Bloodlines Project
by
Sam Miller

06-02

comment icon

11

Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of May
by
Sam Miller

05-29

comment icon

11

Pebble Hunting: Pitchers at the Plate: Even Worse Than We Thought?
by
Sam Miller

05-28

comment icon

9

Pebble Hunting: How to Celebrate a Game-Ending Error
by
Sam Miller

05-23

comment icon

8

Pebble Hunting: A Billy Hamilton/David Ortiz Race
by
Sam Miller

05-21

comment icon

3

Pebble Hunting: The Marlins and the AT&T Shift
by
Sam Miller

05-19

comment icon

6

Pebble Hunting: How to Still Get Ejected
by
Sam Miller

05-16

comment icon

4

Pebble Hunting: The Meaning of 3-0 Green Lights
by
Sam Miller

05-15

comment icon

13

Pebble Hunting: Recent History's Most Cringe-Worthy Pitch Counts
by
Sam Miller

05-12

comment icon

0

Pebble Hunting: The Best Game of the 2014 Season So Far
by
Sam Miller

05-09

comment icon

9

Pebble Hunting: Starling Marte and the Upside of Headfirst Slides
by
Sam Miller

05-08

comment icon

33

Pebble Hunting: The Baseball Sandbox Experiment
by
Sam Miller

05-05

comment icon

10

Pebble Hunting: Who's Winning the Dodgers/Red Sox Trade This Second?
by
Sam Miller

05-02

comment icon

11

Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of April
by
Sam Miller

04-30

comment icon

13

Pebble Hunting: The Mets' Pitchers Can't Get a Hit
by
Sam Miller

04-28

comment icon

2

Pebble Hunting: Martin Perez Turns Two, 12 Times
by
Sam Miller

04-24

comment icon

2

Pebble Hunting: Platoonies Never Say Die
by
Sam Miller

04-17

comment icon

9

Pebble Hunting: Every Manager's Face: The New Guys
by
Sam Miller

04-11

comment icon

5

Pebble Hunting: Your Five Favorite Players of 2014
by
Sam Miller

04-09

comment icon

16

Pebble Hunting: Max Scherzer and the Sabermetric Approach to Pitching to the Count
by
Sam Miller

04-07

comment icon

7

Pebble Hunting: It's Been One Week
by
Sam Miller

04-04

comment icon

13

Pebble Hunting: The Best Pitches Thrown This Week
by
Sam Miller

04-02

comment icon

11

Pebble Hunting: Bonds vs. Pedro, and More Fun with Batter-Pitcher Matchups
by
Sam Miller

03-31

comment icon

3

Pebble Hunting: Mike Trout vs. Felix Hernandez
by
Sam Miller

03-28

comment icon

30

Pebble Hunting: BOOM! HERE COMES THE BOOM! READY OR NOT! HERE COMES THE BOYS FROM THE TIGERS!
by
Sam Miller

03-26

comment icon

2

Pebble Hunting: What We Can Learn from the Expos
by
Sam Miller

03-21

comment icon

37

Pebble Hunting: The Simulated Seasons Where the Astros Make the Playoffs
by
Sam Miller

03-14

comment icon

24

Pebble Hunting: Sounding the Depths of Each Team's Rotation
by
Sam Miller

03-12

comment icon

13

Pebble Hunting: The Complicated Decline of Brandon Phillips
by
Sam Miller

03-07

comment icon

23

Pebble Hunting: Billy Hamilton, Usain Bolt, and Whether 90 Feet is Still Enough
by
Sam Miller

03-05

comment icon

30

Pebble Hunting: The Best GIFs of the 2014 Baseball Season
by
Sam Miller

03-03

comment icon

7

Pebble Hunting: Mike Trout and the Meaning of $140 Million
by
Sam Miller

02-28

comment icon

8

Pebble Hunting: The Pitchers Who Changed PECOTA's Mind
by
Sam Miller

02-26

comment icon

11

Pebble Hunting: Introducing the Attackability Score
by
Sam Miller

02-24

comment icon

18

Pebble Hunting: The Position Players Who Changed PECOTA's Mind
by
Sam Miller

02-14

comment icon

21

Pebble Hunting: The Search for Yuni's Successor
by
Sam Miller

02-12

comment icon

15

Pebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect Trajectories
by
Sam Miller

02-10

comment icon

7

Pebble Hunting: Yasiel Puig and the Prototypical Young Hitter
by
Sam Miller

02-04

comment icon

20

Pebble Hunting: Watching the Worst Game of 2013
by
Sam Miller

01-31

comment icon

13

Pebble Hunting: The Opt-Out Hater's Case for Opt-Outs
by
Sam Miller

01-28

comment icon

8

Pebble Hunting: Who's Faster, Mike Trout or Peter Bourjos?
by
Sam Miller

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>

Congratulations, your team just walked off with an error. Now what do you do?

There were runners on first and second with nobody out when Desmond Jennings batted in the bottom of the 15th inning on Saturday. The game was still tied. Jennings was asked to bunt. A rundown of possible outcomes here, ranked by how proud Jennings could be afterward:

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 23, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: A Billy Hamilton/David Ortiz Race

8

Sam Miller

Which is worse for the pitcher: having Billy Hamilton on first, or David Ortiz on second?

On April 16th, Johnny Cueto singled against Francisco Liriano, which brought up Billy Hamilton, who grounded weakly to shortstop Jordy Mercer, which sets up a question we don’t ask very often but, in this case, must: Should Mercer have taken the out at second, or ignored Cueto and thrown Hamilton out at first?

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 21, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Marlins and the AT&T Shift

3

Sam Miller

Have the Marlins figured out how to beat the Giants at their own ballpark?

Buster Posey represented the tying run when he batted in the ninth inning against Miami on Friday night. He got a 1-1 slider in the middle of the plate and drove it into deep right-center, toward triples alley. As soon as the crowd could raise its voice, though, it went quiet: Giancarlo Stanton was standing right there.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 19, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: How to Still Get Ejected

6

Sam Miller

Despite replay, ejections aren't down (or aren't down by much) this year.

I remember last summer, the day after Bob Melvin had been ejected in what would turn out to be an extra-innings loss to the Astros, Melvin talking to the media in the dugout. He was abashed to have been ejected from such a game. I wasn’t trying to get run, he stressed. As opposed to all the other ejections we see.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 16, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Meaning of 3-0 Green Lights

4

Sam Miller

Is swinging on 3-0 counts a stathead philosophy or an old-school staple?

On Sunday, in the first inning, Derek Norris homered on a 3-0 pitch from Gio Gonzalez. Then in the second inning, the same guy did the same thing on the same count against the same guy. “They've given me the green light a few times this year,” Norris said afterward, which is interesting. The A’s haven’t generally given their hitters many green lights on 3-0. Assistant GM David Forst once said that “we typically don’t allow guys to swing 3-0. When one of our guys does it, it’s a big deal. It happens only three or four times a year.”

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Reviewing the most egregious starts of the last decade and a half, with an assist from Old Hoss Radbourn.

On Tuesday, 23-year-old Zack Wheeler threw a career-high 118 pitches. That’s not all that many pitches, except that they were crowded into just 4 ⅓ innings; all but 33 of those 118 pitches were thrown with men on base, and all of the innings were extended:

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 12, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Best Game of the 2014 Season So Far

0

Sam Miller

And a division that's shaping up to be more fun than the Playoff Odds suggested.

The play-by-play for the top of the first inning of the game between the Giants and Dodgers in Los Angeles on Sunday doesn't initially look like much:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Headfirst slides are under fire (perhaps for good reason), but they aren't without their virtues.

Someday, when you’re telling your grandkids about baseball in your day, you might have to explain what headfirst sliding was. Whether a player will continue to slide head-first now qualifies as a low-grade controversy (at least if the player is good enough). The Astros reportedly outlawed it for their minor leaguers for a time, pulling players from the game if they led with their fingers instead of their toes. The Braves teach their prospects not to slide headfirst, and the Indians lecture theirs. “I don't like headfirst slides,” said Houston manager Bo Porter last week, perhaps unintentionally putting a spotlight on headfirsting prospect George Springer. “I really don’t like headfirst slides.”

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 8, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Baseball Sandbox Experiment

33

Sam Miller

You're running a terrible team, and you get to do (almost) anything you want with it in order to learn more for the future. What do you do?

When Ken Rosenthal wrote about his interview of Astros GM Jeff Luhnow last week, he included this line: “Some think the "team of the future" is making frequent use of shifts merely to gather information for the future. Not so, Luhnow said.”

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Neither the first nor the last reevaluation.

The gods had condemned Collettius to ceaselessly having his most famous trade reanalyzed on the internet, whence the analysis would fall back of its own weight. They had thought with some reason that there is no more dreadful punishment than futile and hopeless reanalysis.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 2, 2014 6:15 am

Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of April

11

Sam Miller

Involving an unexpected source.

Good days at the plate are pretty easy to identify. If you’re looking for the best game any hitter had in April, you can look at total bases (as in Ryan Braun’s three-homer game) or at hits (as in Charlie Blackmon’s 6-for-6 game) or at win probability added (as when Kyle Seager hit two homers, including a walk-off, for a one-game .906 WPA); or, simply RE24, which would lead you back to Blackmon, who produced more than five runs all by himself. Similarly, for pitchers, pretty easy: Andrew Cashner’s 9/1/0/0/2/11 was the month’s best game score, though you might opt for Jose Fernandez’s 8/3/0/0/0/14 for dominance or Julio Teheran’s 1-0 shutout for value.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

But might they, someday?

Gary Cohen: The Mets have a group of pitchers now who can help themselves (at the plate) a little bit more.

Ron Darling: I always say, on every ballclub there’s different fraternities—the everyday players, the bullpen guys, and the starting pitchers. If you have a close-knit bunch of starting pitchers that are talented as far as their pitching is concerned, they start to get uber competitive with the hitting, too, and you have a lot of fun with it. Who gets the most bunts down? Who’s got the most RBIs? Those are the things that make it the most fun.

Read the full article...

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>