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05-31

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From The Mailbag: Four Man Rotation, Upton, Rust Belt
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Baseball Prospectus

03-22

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From The Mailbag: Cubans, Standards of Greatness, and Hockey Hair
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Baseball Prospectus

12-22

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From The Mailbag: JAWS, Revenue Sharing, and Sandwich Picks
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Baseball Prospectus

09-26

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From The Mailbag: No Power, FRAA, AgeGate, and Ballooning ERAs
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Baseball Prospectus

08-29

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From The Mailbag: Hit List, WXRL, King Felix, Injury Prediction, The Twins
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Baseball Prospectus

07-06

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From The Mailbag: MLVr, VORP, BABIP, WXRL, Stadiums, and the Dessert Cart
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Baseball Prospectus

04-25

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From The Mailbag: The Flat Earth Society, Win Expectancies, Running Wild, and Baseball Rhymin'
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Baseball Prospectus

03-22

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From The Mailbag: Crooked Numbers, LABR, JAWS, and Top Prospect Rankings
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Baseball Prospectus

10-15

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From The Mailbag: Feedback on the Feedback
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Baseball Prospectus

08-12

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From The Mailbag: Questec, Park Factors and Transactions Galore
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Baseball Prospectus

07-01

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From The Mailbag: Subluxations, The Pitcher's Mound and J.T. Snow
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Baseball Prospectus

05-29

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From The Mailbag: Bunts, Arms and Outs
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Baseball Prospectus

04-26

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From The Mailbag: Unearned Runs, Devil Rays, and the Waiver Wire
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Baseball Prospectus

10-09

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From The Mailbag: Internet Baseball Awards Edition
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Baseball Prospectus

10-07

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From The Mailbag: Controversy at Fenway
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Jason Grady

09-09

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From The Mailbag: Halladay, Gagne, Ichiro, and GWHBPRBI
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Baseball Prospectus

06-12

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From The Mailbag: Stats, Roster Shuffling, and Padres Injuries
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Baseball Prospectus

05-07

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From The Mailbag: Caught Stealing Numbers, Hitting it on the Screws, and Tony Gwynn
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Baseball Prospectus

03-27

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From The Mailbag: Tout Wars, Pulled Groins, and The Four-Man Rotation Debate Continues
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Baseball Prospectus

02-19

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From The Mailbag: Rick Peterson, Assorted Injuries, and the Devil Rays
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Baseball Prospectus

01-24

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From The Mailbag: Bartolo Colon, George W. Bush, and the Newly Important All-Star Game
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Baseball Prospectus

11-15

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From The Mailbag: Barry Bonds, the AFL, and Bob Klapisch Responds
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Baseball Prospectus

10-25

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From The Mailbag: Pete Rose, Mike Marshall, and K-Rod
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Baseball Prospectus

09-24

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From The Mailbag: Baseball Prospectus
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Baseball Prospectus

08-22

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From The Mailbag: Greatest Living Pitcher and Sadaharu Oh
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Baseball Prospectus

02-05

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From The Mailbag: BP2002, Revenue Sharing, and Jack Morris
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Baseball Prospectus

01-09

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From The Mailbag: The Man With The Golden Gun
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Baseball Prospectus

08-15

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From The Mailbag: The Debate Continues
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Baseball Prospectus

07-25

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From The Mailbag: Transactions Feedback
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Baseball Prospectus

06-04

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From The Mailbag: Stadia, Transactions Fun, and Ben Davis
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Baseball Prospectus

05-02

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From The Mailbag: Free Erubiel Durazo!
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Baseball Prospectus

04-24

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From The Mailbag: Ramon Martinez, Freon Deion, and Albert Pujols
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Baseball Prospectus

02-27

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From The Mailbag: Management, Homework, and Frank Thomas
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Baseball Prospectus

02-13

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From The Mailbag: Special Edition: Top 40 Prospects
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Baseball Prospectus

02-06

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From The Mailbag: Special Edition: Pitching and Defense
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Voros McCracken and Keith Woolner

01-25

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From The Mailbag: Dave Parker and Box O'Rocks
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Baseball Prospectus

12-18

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From The Mailbag: The Hall Of Fame
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Baseball Prospectus

11-17

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From The Mailbag: Baseball Prospectus 2001 and Managerial Retreads
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Baseball Prospectus

09-22

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From The Mailbag: Umpire Stolen Base Rates and Scott Sheldon
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Baseball Prospectus

08-16

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From The Mailbag: Shortstop defense and The Imbalance Sheet
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Baseball Prospectus

07-27

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From The Mailbag: Tony Perez, Ed Lynch, and Jay Canizaro
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Baseball Prospectus

07-07

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From The Mailbag: Orthodoxy, All-Stars, Mariners and Rockies
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Baseball Prospectus

06-29

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From The Mailbag: The Strike Zone Revisited, September in Sydney
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Baseball Prospectus

06-19

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From The Mailbag: The Strike Zone, Old Books and Sammy Sosa
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Baseball Prospectus

06-09

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From The Mailbag: Spanning the Northeast
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Baseball Prospectus

06-01

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From The Mailbag: Wrigley Field, Scabs, and Curt Schilling
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Baseball Prospectus

05-16

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From The Mailbag: Pat Burrell, Park Effects, and Rohypnol
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Baseball Prospectus

03-27

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From The Mailbag: DiMaggio vs. Williams, Davenport Translations, More Mets Fun
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Baseball Prospectus

02-04

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From The Mailbag: Gerut vs. Clemente, Hampton vs. Dotel, Gord Ash vs. Chris Kahrl
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Baseball Prospectus

09-02

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From The Mailbag: Ben Christensen and Neifi Perez
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Baseball Prospectus

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BP staffers reach into the mailbag to address the four-man rotation, B.J. Upton's service time, the postseason odds report, Frank Thomas, and more.

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BP Staffers reach into the mailbag to discuss Cuban performance, two upcoming Hall of Fame cases, the Pirates' front office, and steroids in other sports.

Rolling Some Cubans

You wrote this article a year or so ago and I found it incredibly interesting at the time. As I was watching the Cubans play in the World Baseball Classic tournament I couldn't help but think back to this research and wanted to get your impressions.

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BP staffers address reader mail about JAWS, revenue sharing, and the confusing rules of the sandwich round.

Worst of the Best

I like your articles looking at the Hall of Fame ballot each year, but I disagree with some of your methods. It isn't the JAWS score but that you use the average of all HOFers, dropping the worst ones. Players who meet these standards are obviously in, the standards that need to be met are those of the borderline guys.

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September 26, 2005 12:00 am

From The Mailbag: No Power, FRAA, AgeGate, and Ballooning ERAs

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Baseball Prospectus

BP staffers answer questions on outfield power droughts, weighing EqA against fielding, young pitchers and ERA spikes.

Scott Podsednik, the White Sox left fielder, is about to go homerless with more than 500 at bats for the season! Does anyone know if a regular left fielder has ever done this before?

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BP staffers reach into the mailbag to talk King Felix, WXRL usage, Hit List construction and more.

The Angels have a better record than the A's, a better record for the week against better opponents, and a better run differential for the season, yet you list the A's higher and have them going up. I know I am biased for the Angels but how do you explain your ranking without admitting bias?

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Keith Woolner, Steven Goldman, Jonah Keri and Neil deMause reach into the mailbag to address questions on using stats, pitching performances, stadium financing, and local broadcasters.

I was wondering something about MLVr. I always see players plugged into a lague average team whenever it is used, but can you plug Player X into a current team (say, put Lyle Overbay in the place of Kevin Millar in the Red Sox order) and still have the results work? It seems like it would work no problem, but I just wanted to make sure there was no reason that alluded me as to why it may not work.

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Jay Jaffe, Keith Woolner, James Click and Jonah Keri reach into the mailbag and address win expectancies, the stathead revolution, the running game, gambling, and...scrabble? Plus, a reader known only as "J.S." offers Steven Goldman (if that is his real name) some more conspiracy fuel for the fire.

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James Click, Jonah Keri and Jay Jaffe reach into the BP mailbag. Plus, a reader does some research and gives us a grade on our Prospect Rankings.

Playing With the Lineup

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What do the D.C. Expos, surprising seasons and infield singles have in common? Just the readers' interest.

As a longtime D.C.-area resident, I seriously doubt deMause's breakdown of the fan base. deMause claims that D.C. is the 'region's entertainment hub' and 50% of the dollars spent at the D.C. ballpark would otherwise be spent in D.C. Very doubtful. Ask a Virginian who holds Redskins season tickets how often they otherwise spend money in Prince Georges County. This answer is never. Because of the uniqueness of D.C.'s location, the 'bowling alley effect' in this case is negligible--probably less than 5%. Money spent by VA/MD/WV surburbanites at the D.C. ballpark is truly money that would not go to D.C.

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Dipping into the BP Mailbag, Jason Karegeannes has more on being a Questec operator; Clay Davenport delves into RFK's park factors; a D'backs fan suggests another reason for the team's struggles; and Chris Kahrl's inbox is stuffed with TA thoughts.

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Will Carroll delves deeper into shoulder injuries. Clay Davenport provides a history lesson on pitcher's mounds. Chris Kahrl takes a closer look at J.T. Snow. All in this edition of From The Mailbag.

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Excellent columns on sacrificing. One question though. In the situation where the team is looking for just one run, and there is a runner on 2nd with no outs. If I were the opposing manager, and the other team succesfully sacrificed the runner to third, depending on the next batters, I might give batter two an intentional walk and hope for a double play to get out of the inning. Does this response by the opposing manager change the effectiveness of the strategy? --J.P. You make an excellent point. Running the numbers assuming that a GIDP is possible after a sacrifice of the man to third, the breakeven levels now read: AVG: .306 OBP: .384 SLG: .516 (Instead of the .351/.436/.619 line from the article.) Obviously this reduces the number of players who should be sacrificing from "everyone except Bonds" to simply the vast majority. I will definitely include this correction in future adjustments to the equations. Thanks for pointing out the shortfall.

--J.P.

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