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04-27

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: I’m Very Nervous
by
Mike Gianella

04-21

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: My Fantasy Investment Portfolio—Minor Leaguers I Own Across Multiple Leagues
by
Scooter Hotz

04-20

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Reconsidering Your Targets
by
Mike Gianella

04-14

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Three Surprising Strikeout Surgers
by
Matt Collins

04-14

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: My Fantasy Investment Portfolio: Major League Players I Own Across Multiple Leagues
by
Scooter Hotz

04-06

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: The PFM and The Model Portfolio
by
Mike Gianella

04-05

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Fixing What Broke in Francisco Liriano
by
Alex Chamberlain

04-03

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Five to Watch: Leadoff Surprises
by
Greg Wellemeyer

03-27

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: My First Auction of 2017
by
Scooter Hotz

03-23

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Prep: Auction Podcast Takeaways
by
Jeff Quinton

03-23

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Reviewing the 2016 Model Portfolios
by
Greg Wellemeyer

03-21

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: My First Draft of 2017
by
Scooter Hotz

03-20

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Smaller Leagues
by
Mike Gianella

03-13

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: An All-Post-Hype Team
by
Matt Collins

03-03

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: PECOTA, the PFM, My Bid Limits, and You
by
Mike Gianella

03-02

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Robbie Ray and Statcast
by
Tim Finnegan

01-07

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Twenty Questions For 2017
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-04

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Using Statcast Analytics for Fantasy Decisions
by
Tim Finnegan

10-17

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: An Avoid Retrospective
by
Wilson Karaman

10-10

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: A Target Retrospective
by
Wilson Karaman

09-29

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Short-Season Hitters to Watch
by
Wilson Karaman

09-15

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: What I Learned This Year
by
Wilson Karaman

09-09

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Positioning Your Team for Success
by
Mike Gianella

09-07

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Three Thoughts About 2016
by
J.P. Breen

09-02

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: 2016 In-Season Valuations: Third Edition
by
Mike Gianella

09-01

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Low-Minors Prospects I Like
by
Wilson Karaman

08-31

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Worrying About Innings Limits
by
J.P. Breen

08-26

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: DRA Do-Gooders
by
Wilson Karaman

08-18

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: The Unsung Heroes of the Shortstop Revolution
by
Wilson Karaman

08-17

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Recent Top Performers: Pitchers and Outfielders
by
J.P. Breen

08-10

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Post-Mortem
by
J.P. Breen

08-04

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Early Returns on the 2016 Draft Class
by
Wilson Karaman

07-27

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11

Fantasy Freestyle: Four Things I Believe
by
J.P. Breen

07-22

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Yasiel Puig's Missing Pop
by
Wilson Karaman

07-13

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: First-Half Awards
by
J.P. Breen

07-08

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Second-Half... Bounce Backs?
by
Mike Gianella

07-07

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Gimme Some of That Sweet Ratio Love
by
Wilson Karaman

06-30

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Dynasty Prospects: A Few of My Favorites
by
Wilson Karaman

06-24

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Bargains and Busts, Midseason Edition
by
Mike Gianella

06-17

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: So What's Going on with Jose Abreu, Anyway?
by
Wilson Karaman

06-17

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: On Average, We'd Rather Not
by
Mike Gianella

06-10

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Keeper-League Trading: A Primer
by
Mike Gianella

06-09

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Evaluating the California League All-Stars
by
Wilson Karaman

06-09

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Building a Contender in TGDX
by
J.P. Breen

06-08

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Mark Trumbo and Being Wrong
by
Jeff Quinton

06-02

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Yes, You Can Stream Jeff Locke, Except You Can't
by
Wilson Karaman

05-27

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Batted-Ball Trajectory and BABIP Overachievers
by
Wilson Karaman

05-19

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases
by
J.P. Breen

05-13

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: What Happened to Last Year's Hot Starters
by
Mike Gianella

05-12

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Prospect Tweet Bag
by
Wilson Karaman

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March 20, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Smaller Leagues

4

Mike Gianella

Mike explains how to tweak his auction values when playing in leagues with fewer than 12 teams.

For those of you who use my bid limit articles, one of the most common requests I get is “how do I adjust these bid limits for smaller leagues?” This is a more common question for mono leagues, where even those souls brave enough to participate in AL or NL-only often play in eight or 10-team formats. My bid limits in mono leagues are designed for the old school, “traditional” 12-team mono leagues.

I used to play in a 10-team NL-only and came up with a rough but useful calculation to adjust my bids. I’ll use the hitter population as an example, but the same calculation can easily be used for pitchers as well. I’ll list the three steps below and explain each one in detail.

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March 13, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: An All-Post-Hype Team

6

Matt Collins

The shine may have worn off of these once highly regarded young players, but they could still provide fantasy value in 2017.

We all have our favorite types of players to draft every spring. Some of us like dependable veterans, while others like unproven rookies. Some of us like the high floors, while others drool for the high ceilings. Of the many cookie-cutter groups of players that emerge in every form of fantasy baseball previews each and every spring, my favorite is the post-hype sleepers. This, of course, refers to players who came up with high expectations, but haven’t quite gotten there yet.

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A look at how to make the most of BP's offerings in tandem with Mike's bid limits.

This column is designed to address the questions I commonly get about my published bid limits here at Baseball Prospectus, how they’re different from the prices in our Player Forecast Manager (PFM), and most importantly why they are useful. It would be impossible to address every question our readers have had about my pricing modeling versus what the PFM is and what it does, so I’ll start with a few of the most common questions our readers have had about both.

Are you planning on using the awful Q&A format for this article?

Read the full article...

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March 2, 2017 9:34 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Robbie Ray and Statcast

0

Tim Finnegan

Pitching metrics disagree when it comes to the D'backs lefty, but does his Statcast data reveal his true skill level?

Robbie Ray has been much talked about by both fantasy owners and baseball fans. Sam Miller profiled Ray fantastically in this ESPN piece from November. Depending on which pitching stats you place the most emphasis on, Ray’s 2016 season varied anywhere from significantly below average (run prevention) to above average (Fielding Independent Pitching, Deserved Run Average). Ray’s 4.90 ERA ranked fourth-worst among the 64 starting pitchers who threw at least 170 innings last year, and his park-adjusted ERA- of 112 ranked 54th out of 64. His 3.88 DRA ranked 31st. His 3.76 FIP ranked 21st.

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You asked, we answered.

Monday is the start of our positional series at Baseball Prospectus, and we’re going to give you a lot of information, opinions and strategy tips. In fact, we laid it all out for you here. But before we get into the nitty gritty, we thought we’d have a little fun with some quick-hit questions that we answered as a team. Some of these were questions we got from you, the readers. Some were just interesting discussion points. But here are 14 opinions on 20 questions:

Read the full article...

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January 4, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Using Statcast Analytics for Fantasy Decisions

5

Tim Finnegan

How exit velocity, spin rate, and other new metrics can help guide your player choices this season.

As a fantasy owner, I like to look at what the progressive front offices inside the game are doing in their player evaluation. What are the brightest minds in baseball doing to pick players? I often find concepts and ideas that I carry over to my player evaluation in my leagues to help me construct my fantasy rosters.

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October 17, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: An Avoid Retrospective

2

Wilson Karaman

Meanwhile, on the other side of the coin.

Last week I covered the players I had recommended you go out and get in our pre-season Target/Avoid series, and this week we turn to the players where I advocated steering clear.

Starting Pitcher to Avoid: Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers

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October 10, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: A Target Retrospective

0

Wilson Karaman

Looking back on three targets from the pre-season. Wistfully.

One of our annual traditions I most look forward to here at BP is the Target/Avoid series we run as part of our pre-season positional coverage, as it allows us to get a little more in-depth with player recommendations and strategic examples that we feel particularly passionate about. The way the cards were dealt this year I ended up mildly unbalanced in my assignments, so we’ll start today with a look back at my “target” selections and then work our way through the “avoid” guys next week.

Shortstop to Target: Brad Miller, Tampa Bay Rays

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September 29, 2016 11:01 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Short-Season Hitters to Watch

0

Wilson Karaman

These bats are years from the majors, but they might be worth the wait.

Juan Soto, OF, Washington Nationals (Gulf Coast League)

Jeffrey Paternostro recently fired the opening salvo in what is likely to be a winter of Juan Soto feting, so it’s just as well you start getting used to seeing his name on these pages. He was a big bonus baby in 2015, receiving $1.5 million as one of the top hitting prospects in the class. The Nats were rewarded for their aggressiveness in pushing him stateside at the tender age of 17, as all he did was take down the MVP award in the GCL on the back of a .361/.410/.550 line, while flashing potentially plus hit and power tools. The swing has the ingredients you look for, with balance and fluidity into the zone, and the frame oozes with projectable present strength. In leagues where you can still make last-minute claims, he’s a guy on whom to burn a good chunk of your remaining FAAB.

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September 15, 2016 11:04 am

Fantasy Freestyle: What I Learned This Year

1

Wilson Karaman

As the fantasy season winds down, Wilson shares his takeaways.

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September 9, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Positioning Your Team for Success

1

Mike Gianella

Examining player fantasy earnings by position to determine the optimal distribution for your team.

Last week, I put together my valuation update for AL- and NL-only leagues. A reader noticed that middle infielders seem to have earned more this year than they have in past seasons. With this in mind, I thought I would take a look at what players at each position have done the last three years and see if it is possible to glean any potential trends from these data (spoiler alert, it probably is not possible).

The values in these charts are from last week’s article for 2016 player valuations and from the season-end articles for 2014 and 2015. All values are for 5x5 mono leagues (NL or AL-only). Hitters are grouped in blocs of 12 since most standard mono leagues use 12 teams.

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September 7, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Three Thoughts About 2016

0

J.P. Breen

J.P. shares his reflections on three notable players and their fantasy prospect for next season.

(1) Zack Greinke has pitched much better than his 4.54 ERA would otherwise suggest.

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