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09-29

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Fantasy Freestyle: Five Short-Season Hitters to Watch
by
Wilson Karaman

09-15

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: What I Learned This Year
by
Wilson Karaman

09-09

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Positioning Your Team for Success
by
Mike Gianella

09-07

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Fantasy Freestyle: Three Thoughts About 2016
by
J.P. Breen

09-02

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: 2016 In-Season Valuations: Third Edition
by
Mike Gianella

09-01

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Low-Minors Prospects I Like
by
Wilson Karaman

08-31

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Worrying About Innings Limits
by
J.P. Breen

08-26

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Fantasy Freestyle: DRA Do-Gooders
by
Wilson Karaman

08-18

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: The Unsung Heroes of the Shortstop Revolution
by
Wilson Karaman

08-17

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Recent Top Performers: Pitchers and Outfielders
by
J.P. Breen

08-10

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Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Post-Mortem
by
J.P. Breen

08-04

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Fantasy Freestyle: Early Returns on the 2016 Draft Class
by
Wilson Karaman

07-27

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11

Fantasy Freestyle: Four Things I Believe
by
J.P. Breen

07-22

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Fantasy Freestyle: Yasiel Puig's Missing Pop
by
Wilson Karaman

07-13

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: First-Half Awards
by
J.P. Breen

07-08

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Second-Half... Bounce Backs?
by
Mike Gianella

07-07

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Fantasy Freestyle: Gimme Some of That Sweet Ratio Love
by
Wilson Karaman

06-30

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Dynasty Prospects: A Few of My Favorites
by
Wilson Karaman

06-24

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Bargains and Busts, Midseason Edition
by
Mike Gianella

06-17

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Fantasy Freestyle: So What's Going on with Jose Abreu, Anyway?
by
Wilson Karaman

06-17

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Fantasy Freestyle: On Average, We'd Rather Not
by
Mike Gianella

06-10

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Fantasy Freestyle: Keeper-League Trading: A Primer
by
Mike Gianella

06-09

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Fantasy Freestyle: Evaluating the California League All-Stars
by
Wilson Karaman

06-09

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Building a Contender in TGDX
by
J.P. Breen

06-08

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Mark Trumbo and Being Wrong
by
Jeff Quinton

06-02

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Fantasy Freestyle: Yes, You Can Stream Jeff Locke, Except You Can't
by
Wilson Karaman

05-27

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Fantasy Freestyle: Batted-Ball Trajectory and BABIP Overachievers
by
Wilson Karaman

05-19

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases
by
J.P. Breen

05-13

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: What Happened to Last Year's Hot Starters
by
Mike Gianella

05-12

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Fantasy Freestyle: Prospect Tweet Bag
by
Wilson Karaman

05-06

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: We're Doing it Wrong
by
Mike Gianella

05-05

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Fantasy Freestyle: Early-Season Ramblings
by
Wilson Karaman

04-28

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Fantasy Freestyle: The Best Fastballs of the First Few Weeks
by
Wilson Karaman

04-22

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: The Art of the Steal
by
Mike Gianella

04-20

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Fantasy Freestyle: Batted-Ball Profile and Team Defensive Context, Part 2
by
Wilson Karaman

04-15

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Fantasy Freestyle: It's Early, Calm Down
by
Mike Gianella

04-13

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Batted Balls and Team Defensive Context
by
Wilson Karaman

04-12

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Fantasy Freestyle: My Fantasy Investment Portfolio
by
Scooter Hotz

04-08

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Problem With the Rules in Standard Leagues
by
Mike Gianella

04-06

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Bold Predictions for 2016
by
Wilson Karaman

04-01

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Spring Training Risers
by
J.J. Jansons

03-29

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Juan Nicasio: Is it Too Soon to Buy in?
by
George Bissell

03-29

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Distributing Dollars
by
Mike Gianella

03-24

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: The BP Local Fantasy Baseball Guide
by
Baseball Prospectus

03-24

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Bargains
by
Scooter Hotz

03-24

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Targets
by
Bret Sayre

03-18

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Fantasy Freestyle: Recapping the 2015 Model Portfolios
by
Greg Wellemeyer

03-17

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Analyzing ADP to Identify Bargains
by
J.P. Breen

03-17

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Fantasy Freestyle: Risers and Fallers in OBP Leagues
by
Scooter Hotz

03-15

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Spring Training Velocity Watch
by
Matt Collins

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September 29, 2016 11:01 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Short-Season Hitters to Watch

0

Wilson Karaman

These bats are years from the majors, but they might be worth the wait.

Juan Soto, OF, Washington Nationals (Gulf Coast League)

Jeffrey Paternostro recently fired the opening salvo in what is likely to be a winter of Juan Soto feting, so it’s just as well you start getting used to seeing his name on these pages. He was a big bonus baby in 2015, receiving $1.5 million as one of the top hitting prospects in the class. The Nats were rewarded for their aggressiveness in pushing him stateside at the tender age of 17, as all he did was take down the MVP award in the GCL on the back of a .361/.410/.550 line, while flashing potentially plus hit and power tools. The swing has the ingredients you look for, with balance and fluidity into the zone, and the frame oozes with projectable present strength. In leagues where you can still make last-minute claims, he’s a guy on whom to burn a good chunk of your remaining FAAB.

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September 15, 2016 11:04 am

Fantasy Freestyle: What I Learned This Year

1

Wilson Karaman

As the fantasy season winds down, Wilson shares his takeaways.

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September 9, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Positioning Your Team for Success

1

Mike Gianella

Examining player fantasy earnings by position to determine the optimal distribution for your team.

Last week, I put together my valuation update for AL- and NL-only leagues. A reader noticed that middle infielders seem to have earned more this year than they have in past seasons. With this in mind, I thought I would take a look at what players at each position have done the last three years and see if it is possible to glean any potential trends from these data (spoiler alert, it probably is not possible).

The values in these charts are from last week’s article for 2016 player valuations and from the season-end articles for 2014 and 2015. All values are for 5x5 mono leagues (NL or AL-only). Hitters are grouped in blocs of 12 since most standard mono leagues use 12 teams.

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September 7, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Three Thoughts About 2016

0

J.P. Breen

J.P. shares his reflections on three notable players and their fantasy prospect for next season.

(1) Zack Greinke has pitched much better than his 4.54 ERA would otherwise suggest.

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September 2, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: 2016 In-Season Valuations: Third Edition

3

Mike Gianella

With the fantasy playoffs just around the corner, Mike looks at the players who've returned the most value this season.

There is only a month left in the season, but already many of you (well, a few of you) have been asking questions about player valuation for 2016. With this in mind, I thought I’d provide one final in-season valuation update before we close the door on this season.

In the linked document you will find values through games of Wednesday, August 31 for:

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September 1, 2016 11:06 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Low-Minors Prospects I Like

6

Wilson Karaman

These young'uns are way down the farm chain, but they could pay off big if you're patient with them.

Isan Diaz, MI, Milwaukee Brewers (Low-A Wisconsin)

If it wasn’t clear from Mauricio Rubio’s piece earlier this week entitled “Isan Diaz Is A Monster,” we’re collectively kind of high on Diaz at this point. I will refer you to that article and Mau’s accompanying scouting report for the nuts and bolts, but the punchline is that this is a quality bat-first keystone prospect, and those don’t grow on trees. One bit of warning, Diaz has thieved 11 bags this year against low-minors pitching, but that should not equate to you expecting a power-speed combo here. His efficiency rates have been poor already as a professional, and he’s likely to settle in as a pretty firmly below-average runner as he matures physically. Still, beneficial AVG and HR totals (and the R and RBI they generate) from your second baseman is where it’s at. He’ll most certainly crack our Dynasty 101 this winter, so get him now while the getting’s good.

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August 31, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Worrying About Innings Limits

2

J.P. Breen

Keeping an eye on a few pitchers who are just about ready to call it a year.

The September fantasy climate can be turbulent. Many owners have long stopped paying attention to their teams, September call-ups flood rosters with many more players to track, and innings limits can erode starting rotations.

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August 26, 2016 10:53 am

Fantasy Freestyle: DRA Do-Gooders

0

Wilson Karaman

Our advanced pitching metric suggests brighter days ahead for some of these hurlers.

As we head into the homestretch of the season some of you are angling for a title run, or a challenge for the money, or waiting in vain for your one-category “Perfect Games” league to get more interesting. I, however, play in at least two full keeper leagues in which mine eyes are affixed squarely upon the great horizon beyond 2016. And that means using this time of the year to start searching for potentially undervalued acquisition targets, either for your end-of-year FAAB queue or your off-season trade list. So let’s start in a basic and logical place with some pitchers who have performed much worse than their underlying metrics suggest they should have performed to date. Below is a table of the hurlers with the biggest gaps between their DRA and ERA. I’ve isolated guys who have performed at least a run and a half worse by ERA than their DRA suggests. And for the sake of weeding out some additional riffraff I’ve limited the pool to those arms who have performed as at least a roughly league-average level.

So without further ado, here’s our list:

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August 18, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: The Unsung Heroes of the Shortstop Revolution

4

Wilson Karaman

A pack of elite shortstops is behind the position's resurgence, but there are some very noteworthy contributors beyond the cream of the crop.

Thirteen shortstops currently rank among the top 100 players overall per Sportsline’s standard rankings, including 10 among the top 50 overall, and those numbers mark a significant leap forward in status for six-spotter fantasy performance. Just eight earned top-100 status per our valuations last year, with only Xander Bogaerts cracking the top 50. The position’s renaissance has been driven by some who were expected to usher in a new age of relevance for the position, to be sure; Xander Bogaerts, Francisco Lindor, Carlos Correa, Corey Seager, and pleasant surprise of re-eligibility Manny Machado all pepper the ranks of double-digit overall value. But there has been an interesting second wave of guys who were decidedly not expected to provide that kind of value, who have stepped up and taken their games to new levels this year. A full six of those 13 shortstops—yes, almost half—have produced top-100 value by outperforming their average draft positions by at least 200 spots. That’s league-winning surplus value, right there. So let’s take a look at that crew and see if we can’t figure out whether their meteoric respective rises represent new normals, or whether managers who’ve reaped their rewards this year will be best off selling high before keeper deadlines this winter.

Jonathan Villar, Milwaukee Bewers (ADP: 317, Current Rank: 16)

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August 17, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Recent Top Performers: Pitchers and Outfielders

2

J.P. Breen

A closer look at the players who've stood out on the bump and at the plate of late.

Fantasy baseball necessitates relying on small sample sizes for day-to-day or week-to-week decisions, despite the recognition that it’s not desirable. I’ve written about that phenomenon in this space before. It means fantasy owners must take a gamble that some short samples are real, as the strategy of fantasy baseball doesn’t allow long-term trends to develop before acting. Players simply aren’t available long enough for a wait-and-see approach.

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August 10, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Post-Mortem

0

J.P. Breen

A look at how players' values have changed as a result of recent trades.

TRENDING UP

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August 4, 2016 10:47 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Early Returns on the 2016 Draft Class

0

Wilson Karaman

Wilson reviews the first impressions of a handful of prospects selected in this year's FYPD.

I’m in the middle of my home league’s midseason minor-league draft right now, and that has me thinking front and center about how this year’s draft class has looked in their professional debuts. As a brief aside before we dive in, I can’t recommend this format of prospect drafting strongly enough. This is a 16-team league with 11 minor-league slots per team, so 176 prospects are rostered at any given time. We hold two prospect drafts annually, one in February as the off-season lists are rolling out, and one right now, after the Rule 4 draft and opening of the international signing period on July 2nd. The specter of the mid-season draft beginning right after our trading deadline encourages more deals. It gives us an opportunity to pounce on the new talent while it’s still fresh. And we can pop the pop-up guys before they jump onto off-season lists. Then in the winter we get to clean up on the rest of the draft class that makes some noise after signing. It’s a wonderful way to play.

Anyway, back in the aftermath of the first-year player draft in June, our noble overlord Bret Sayre unveiled his Top 40 Dynasty League Prospects for the recently professionalized players of this class. We’re all of seven weeks removed from that list dropping, so realistically it is way, way too early in the process to go changing our pre-draft opinions on players. But that doesn’t mean we can’t start gathering some info on the early returns, for both the stars of the draft and the guys who might not have gone in the first round, but who may quickly emerge as interesting fantasy players.

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