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03-27

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Fantasy Freestyle: My First Auction of 2017
by
Scooter Hotz

03-23

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Prep: Auction Podcast Takeaways
by
Jeff Quinton

03-23

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Reviewing the 2016 Model Portfolios
by
Greg Wellemeyer

03-21

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Fantasy Freestyle: My First Draft of 2017
by
Scooter Hotz

03-20

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Smaller Leagues
by
Mike Gianella

03-13

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: An All-Post-Hype Team
by
Matt Collins

03-03

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: PECOTA, the PFM, My Bid Limits, and You
by
Mike Gianella

03-02

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Fantasy Freestyle: Robbie Ray and Statcast
by
Tim Finnegan

01-07

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Twenty Questions For 2017
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-04

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Using Statcast Analytics for Fantasy Decisions
by
Tim Finnegan

10-17

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: An Avoid Retrospective
by
Wilson Karaman

10-10

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Fantasy Freestyle: A Target Retrospective
by
Wilson Karaman

09-29

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Fantasy Freestyle: Five Short-Season Hitters to Watch
by
Wilson Karaman

09-15

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Fantasy Freestyle: What I Learned This Year
by
Wilson Karaman

09-09

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Fantasy Freestyle: Positioning Your Team for Success
by
Mike Gianella

09-07

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Fantasy Freestyle: Three Thoughts About 2016
by
J.P. Breen

09-02

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: 2016 In-Season Valuations: Third Edition
by
Mike Gianella

09-01

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Low-Minors Prospects I Like
by
Wilson Karaman

08-31

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Worrying About Innings Limits
by
J.P. Breen

08-26

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Fantasy Freestyle: DRA Do-Gooders
by
Wilson Karaman

08-18

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: The Unsung Heroes of the Shortstop Revolution
by
Wilson Karaman

08-17

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Recent Top Performers: Pitchers and Outfielders
by
J.P. Breen

08-10

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Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Post-Mortem
by
J.P. Breen

08-04

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Fantasy Freestyle: Early Returns on the 2016 Draft Class
by
Wilson Karaman

07-27

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11

Fantasy Freestyle: Four Things I Believe
by
J.P. Breen

07-22

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Fantasy Freestyle: Yasiel Puig's Missing Pop
by
Wilson Karaman

07-13

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: First-Half Awards
by
J.P. Breen

07-08

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Second-Half... Bounce Backs?
by
Mike Gianella

07-07

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Fantasy Freestyle: Gimme Some of That Sweet Ratio Love
by
Wilson Karaman

06-30

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Dynasty Prospects: A Few of My Favorites
by
Wilson Karaman

06-24

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Bargains and Busts, Midseason Edition
by
Mike Gianella

06-17

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Fantasy Freestyle: So What's Going on with Jose Abreu, Anyway?
by
Wilson Karaman

06-17

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Fantasy Freestyle: On Average, We'd Rather Not
by
Mike Gianella

06-10

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Fantasy Freestyle: Keeper-League Trading: A Primer
by
Mike Gianella

06-09

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Fantasy Freestyle: Evaluating the California League All-Stars
by
Wilson Karaman

06-09

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Building a Contender in TGDX
by
J.P. Breen

06-08

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Mark Trumbo and Being Wrong
by
Jeff Quinton

06-02

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Fantasy Freestyle: Yes, You Can Stream Jeff Locke, Except You Can't
by
Wilson Karaman

05-27

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Fantasy Freestyle: Batted-Ball Trajectory and BABIP Overachievers
by
Wilson Karaman

05-19

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases
by
J.P. Breen

05-13

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Fantasy Freestyle: What Happened to Last Year's Hot Starters
by
Mike Gianella

05-12

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Fantasy Freestyle: Prospect Tweet Bag
by
Wilson Karaman

05-06

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: We're Doing it Wrong
by
Mike Gianella

05-05

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Fantasy Freestyle: Early-Season Ramblings
by
Wilson Karaman

04-28

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: The Best Fastballs of the First Few Weeks
by
Wilson Karaman

04-22

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: The Art of the Steal
by
Mike Gianella

04-20

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Fantasy Freestyle: Batted-Ball Profile and Team Defensive Context, Part 2
by
Wilson Karaman

04-15

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Fantasy Freestyle: It's Early, Calm Down
by
Mike Gianella

04-13

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Fantasy Freestyle: Batted Balls and Team Defensive Context
by
Wilson Karaman

04-12

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Fantasy Freestyle: My Fantasy Investment Portfolio
by
Scooter Hotz

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March 27, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: My First Auction of 2017

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Scooter Hotz

Scooter recaps the results of his recent keeper-league auction.

Last night I had my first auction of the season. It’s my second season in the league, which is a more serious league than the one I wrote about last week. Like that league, though, a lot of the owners are more inclined towards fantasy football than fantasy baseball, which is why it’s a head-to-head league. Here are some other league settings for background:

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March 23, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Prep: Auction Podcast Takeaways

1

Jeff Quinton

After discussion his strategies on the Flags Fly Forever podcast this week, Jeff recaps what he learned to help you prepare for your league's auction.

Earlier this week, George and Mike from the Flags Fly Forever podcast were kind enough to have me on to discuss auction strategy and the decision-making process. When I write my articles from my typing cove (really, my apartment’s kitchenette), I do not get to bounce ideas off of people in real time or get to listen to the in-depth thoughts of others on auction strategy like I did when on the podcast. Consequently, the podcast (which you can listen to here) helped clarify and even bring to light some new beliefs and ideas that I believe will help us in our quest to improve our auction strategies, strategic process, and decision-making as we endeavor to chase flags that will fly forever. Again, I would highly recommend listening to the podcast, but additionally, I have recapped and expanded on some of the ideas and recommendations discussed—advice that I am going to be trying to heed come my final auction preparation this week and come my two auctions this weekend

1. Always prepare and analyze with opportunity cost in mind

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March 23, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Reviewing the 2016 Model Portfolios

4

Greg Wellemeyer

Looking back on how our staff members fared with their ideal fantasy rosters last season.

Our positional coverage is all wrapped up and draft season is drawing to a close as Opening Day nears. One series we’ll be rolling out starting next week is My Model Portfolio, wherein our staff members will each pick a roster using Mike Gianella’s final bid limits, which will be published tomorrow.

Before we get there, though, how about a little accountability on last year’s picks? I’m judging these purely based on how much difference there was between Mike’s preseason bid limits and his postseason retrospective valuations. There is no consideration for roster balance or categorical strength, this is purely an evaluation of whose draft day roster created the most raw profit over the course of the season.

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March 21, 2017 11:58 pm

Fantasy Freestyle: My First Draft of 2017

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Scooter Hotz

Scooter breaks down his keepers and recaps his selections in his first draft of the spring.

Last night, I had my first draft or auction of the season. It’s my second season in the league, which is a fairly casual one with friends, a lot of whom are more inclined towards fantasy football than fantasy baseball. Here are some other league settings for background:

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March 20, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Smaller Leagues

4

Mike Gianella

Mike explains how to tweak his auction values when playing in leagues with fewer than 12 teams.

For those of you who use my bid limit articles, one of the most common requests I get is “how do I adjust these bid limits for smaller leagues?” This is a more common question for mono leagues, where even those souls brave enough to participate in AL or NL-only often play in eight or 10-team formats. My bid limits in mono leagues are designed for the old school, “traditional” 12-team mono leagues.

I used to play in a 10-team NL-only and came up with a rough but useful calculation to adjust my bids. I’ll use the hitter population as an example, but the same calculation can easily be used for pitchers as well. I’ll list the three steps below and explain each one in detail.

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March 13, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: An All-Post-Hype Team

6

Matt Collins

The shine may have worn off of these once highly regarded young players, but they could still provide fantasy value in 2017.

We all have our favorite types of players to draft every spring. Some of us like dependable veterans, while others like unproven rookies. Some of us like the high floors, while others drool for the high ceilings. Of the many cookie-cutter groups of players that emerge in every form of fantasy baseball previews each and every spring, my favorite is the post-hype sleepers. This, of course, refers to players who came up with high expectations, but haven’t quite gotten there yet.

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A look at how to make the most of BP's offerings in tandem with Mike's bid limits.

This column is designed to address the questions I commonly get about my published bid limits here at Baseball Prospectus, how they’re different from the prices in our Player Forecast Manager (PFM), and most importantly why they are useful. It would be impossible to address every question our readers have had about my pricing modeling versus what the PFM is and what it does, so I’ll start with a few of the most common questions our readers have had about both.

Are you planning on using the awful Q&A format for this article?

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March 2, 2017 9:34 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Robbie Ray and Statcast

0

Tim Finnegan

Pitching metrics disagree when it comes to the D'backs lefty, but does his Statcast data reveal his true skill level?

Robbie Ray has been much talked about by both fantasy owners and baseball fans. Sam Miller profiled Ray fantastically in this ESPN piece from November. Depending on which pitching stats you place the most emphasis on, Ray’s 2016 season varied anywhere from significantly below average (run prevention) to above average (Fielding Independent Pitching, Deserved Run Average). Ray’s 4.90 ERA ranked fourth-worst among the 64 starting pitchers who threw at least 170 innings last year, and his park-adjusted ERA- of 112 ranked 54th out of 64. His 3.88 DRA ranked 31st. His 3.76 FIP ranked 21st.

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You asked, we answered.

Monday is the start of our positional series at Baseball Prospectus, and we’re going to give you a lot of information, opinions and strategy tips. In fact, we laid it all out for you here. But before we get into the nitty gritty, we thought we’d have a little fun with some quick-hit questions that we answered as a team. Some of these were questions we got from you, the readers. Some were just interesting discussion points. But here are 14 opinions on 20 questions:

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January 4, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Using Statcast Analytics for Fantasy Decisions

5

Tim Finnegan

How exit velocity, spin rate, and other new metrics can help guide your player choices this season.

As a fantasy owner, I like to look at what the progressive front offices inside the game are doing in their player evaluation. What are the brightest minds in baseball doing to pick players? I often find concepts and ideas that I carry over to my player evaluation in my leagues to help me construct my fantasy rosters.

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October 17, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: An Avoid Retrospective

2

Wilson Karaman

Meanwhile, on the other side of the coin.

Last week I covered the players I had recommended you go out and get in our pre-season Target/Avoid series, and this week we turn to the players where I advocated steering clear.

Starting Pitcher to Avoid: Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers

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October 10, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: A Target Retrospective

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Wilson Karaman

Looking back on three targets from the pre-season. Wistfully.

One of our annual traditions I most look forward to here at BP is the Target/Avoid series we run as part of our pre-season positional coverage, as it allows us to get a little more in-depth with player recommendations and strategic examples that we feel particularly passionate about. The way the cards were dealt this year I ended up mildly unbalanced in my assignments, so we’ll start today with a look back at my “target” selections and then work our way through the “avoid” guys next week.

Shortstop to Target: Brad Miller, Tampa Bay Rays

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