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04-16

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases
by
J.P. Breen

04-15

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Streaming Two-Start Pitchers
by
J.P. Breen

04-14

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Early Returns
by
Nick Shlain

04-09

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Is Now the Time for Zach McAllister?
by
Nick Shlain

04-08

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15

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Bold Predictions
by
Wilson Karaman

04-07

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Celebrating National Jump to Conclusions Day
by
Nick Shlain

04-01

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Targets for 2015
by
Bret Sayre

03-30

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Shadow Auctioneering
by
Mike Gianella

03-27

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP
by
Wilson Karaman

03-26

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Picks
by
Nick Shlain

03-24

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Graduated Prospects, Part 2: 26-50
by
Ben Carsley

03-20

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14

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Graduated Prospects, Part 1: 1-25
by
Ben Carsley

03-18

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Spring Training Battles to Watch
by
J.P. Breen

03-16

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13

Fantasy Freestyle: Case Studies of Two Auctions
by
Mike Gianella

03-11

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: ADP Underachivers: Hitters
by
Wilson Karaman

03-10

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22

Fantasy Freestyle: A Different Dynasty Top 101 List
by
Ben Carsley

02-12

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22

Fantasy Freestyle: LABR Mixed Recap
by
Mike Gianella

02-06

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: PFM vs. the 'Experts,' Part Two (Pitchers)
by
Mike Gianella

01-30

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15

Fantasy Freestyle: PFM vs. the 'Experts,' Part One (Hitters)
by
Mike Gianella

01-16

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22

Fantasy Freestyle: Stop Looking for Sleepers, Start Looking for Value
by
Mike Gianella

12-31

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: How NOT to Consume the Positional Series
by
Ben Carsley

12-30

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Consuming the Positional Series
by
Jeff Quinton

12-23

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Still Holliday Season
by
Wilson Karaman

12-22

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Is Marcus Stroman the Real '6 God'?
by
Nick Shlain

12-18

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Don't Forget the Vets
by
Matt Collins

12-17

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Undervalued NL Starting Pitchers
by
Keith Cromer

12-16

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Trouble With Tiers
by
Mike Gianella

12-12

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9

Fantasy Freestyle: Shortening Your Dynasty Rebuild
by
J.P. Breen

12-11

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Jose Quintana, Forever Underrated
by
Matt Collins

12-10

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: American League Speed Options on the Cheap
by
Keith Cromer

12-09

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Is Yordano Ventura Overrated Now?
by
Nick Shlain

12-05

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: The Moderate Rebuild
by
Craig Goldstein

12-04

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to Mike Minor Last Year?
by
Wilson Karaman

12-03

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Relief Help
by
Keith Cromer

12-02

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Keeper Decisions
by
Nick Shlain

11-25

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Christian Yelich is Poised to Break Out
by
Matt Collins

11-25

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Offseason Trades and Responding to the Default Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

11-25

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: 40-Man Additions to Know
by
Craig Goldstein

11-20

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Offseason Trades and the Default Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

11-18

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9

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Fantasy Busts
by
J.P. Breen

11-13

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Fantasy MVPs of 2014
by
J.P. Breen

11-06

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: What to Make of Odrisamer Despaigne
by
Keith Cromer

11-05

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Curb Your Pitching Enthusiasm
by
Nick Shlain

11-04

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Three Players Looking for Bounce-Back Power
by
Matt Collins

10-30

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Going All-In on Hyun-jin Ryu
by
Matt Collins

10-30

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Accept that Justin Upton is Quite Good
by
Wilson Karaman

10-28

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Looking Back: Madison Bumgarner for Cy Young
by
J.P. Breen

10-24

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Fantasy Freestyle: Projection Season and the Recency Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

10-23

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Brandon Belt
by
Ben Carsley

10-21

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Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Alcides Escobar
by
Wilson Karaman

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April 16, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases

5

J.P. Breen

A look at how the six new MLB skippers could impact players' fantasy values with their base-stealing philosophies.

A half-dozen teams have new managers in 2015. While that fact may have already crawled its way out of our collective consciousness in the first couple weeks of the year, new managers do have some impact on fantasy baseball production. Perhaps most directly, changes atop the totem pole in the dugout can lead to strategic differences on the base paths. In other words, the frequency with which a team runs on the basepaths can change with a new manager.

The Detroit Tigers are a prime example of this. In 2013 with Jim Leyland at the helm, the Tigers stole the fewest bases (35) in Major League Baseball. After Leyland retired and Brad Ausmus became skipper, the Tigers ran wild. Their 106 stolen bases a year ago ranked seventh in the league. Coming into Wednesday’s games, they had stolen the second-most bases in baseball. Different managers, different strategies.

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April 15, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Streaming Two-Start Pitchers

2

J.P. Breen

A few recommended pickups who are probably available in your league.

Confession: Outside of points leagues, I don’t understand the overwhelming tendency in fantasy baseball to stream starting pitchers from week-to-week.

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April 14, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Early Returns

3

Nick Shlain

Examining the results to date from three players for whom Nick had high expectations entering the season.

While it’s hard to take a lot of meaning from the super early season results, today I’ll look at a couple of players and a pitcher that I was higher on than most people were entering the season and gauge their season outlook. We begin with two players who were integral to my strategy in the My Model Portfolio series: J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts.

J.D. Martinez – Detroit Tigers

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April 9, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Is Now the Time for Zach McAllister?

2

Nick Shlain

Considering whether you should buy into the righty's spring velo bump.

Most of the fantasy leagues I play in use FAAB for free agency, but I still play in one league where it’s a free-for-all won by the first person to the internet. When the gates open for our league to make adds the following Monday after the draft at noon, it’s a question of who can click on their guy first. I’ve added players on my phone while getting out of a cab in years past. This was a time for Zach McAllister, who I forgot about on draft day. Now, I believe he’s worth a closer look after a strong spring.

Last year, McAllister struggled as a starter for the Indians as he had a 5.67 ERA in 15 starts. He failed to live up to the 3.75 ERA he had in 24 starts in 2013, but McAllister rebounded while pitching out of the bullpen in September. In seven appearances as a reliever, he posted a 2.77 ERA, 1.15 WHIP with a 14-to-2 K:BB ratio and 27 percent strikeout rate in 13 innings. Perhaps most importantly, his fastball velocity spiked and he averaged over 96 mph with his heater, according to Brooks Baseball. It was only the second time in his career that he had averaged over 93.5 mph with his fastball in a month and the other time was in July (94.22).

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April 8, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Bold Predictions

15

Wilson Karaman

Wilson goes out on a limb, forecasting big things for Pedro Alvarez, Mike Napoli, and others.

It occurred to me the other day in filling out my BP staff predictions ballot that I hadn’t written a #bold fantasy predictions column anywhere on the internet yet this spring. And that’s just a damn shame, because who doesn’t love #bold predictions! So with no further ado, and likely much ado about nothing, here are five things that are definitely going to happen.

Pedro Alvarez will lead the National League in home runs with a whiff rate under 22 percent

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April 7, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Celebrating National Jump to Conclusions Day

0

Nick Shlain

Based on the very, very, very, very early returns, Nick might've underestimated these junior-circuit players going into the year.

The day after Opening Day can be brutal. It’s the comedown after an incredible and long-overdue high from baseball returning. In the fantasy world, it’s National Jump to Conclusions Day as everyone tries to look for the positives in the results from the players they own. Here, I’ll be looking at the super early results from players I wasn’t especially fond of before the season to see where I might’ve gone wrong.

Jose IglesiasDetroit Tigers

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April 1, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Targets for 2015

10

Bret Sayre

A closer look at 20 players obtainable on the cheap in drafts and auctions this spring.

With the weekend of our first regular-season game approaching, it’s time for my final and favorite column of the preseason.

We’ve been doing rankings and analysis here for the last three months and hopefully they’ve been helpful to you as you sort through all of the information that leads (or has led) to your most important draft decisions. And so as we arrive at the endgame of draft season, it seems only fitting to focus on the endgame of drafts. It’s the most interesting aspect of team construction, as individual owners’ valuation only gets more divergent as initial roster construction draws to a close. As I’ve said many times, finishing out your draft strong is a must if you want to win your league.

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March 30, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Shadow Auctioneering

6

Mike Gianella

Mike uses a few examples to show why PFM values aren't the end all, be all heading into an auction.

A popular question I get around this time of year is along these lines:

The PFM ranks Steven Souza much higher than your bid limits/draft rankings do. I don’t understand. Why is it so different? What’s the deal? Huh, huh, huh, Huh, Huh, HUH?!?!?!?!?!?”

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March 27, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP

5

Wilson Karaman

Comparing when the fantasy staff would advise you to take players to when they're actually being selected.

This article took shape thanks to the comments and suggestions of BP readers Tuck and TroJim. The former noted that a column elaborating on some of the larger discrepancies between Mike Gianella’s Top 300 list and current ADP numbers might be a helpful exercise in helping drafters determine value, and I agree. And then in a response to questions about the utility of our Darkhorses series focusing on generally known and highly drafted players, TroJim made the following excellent point: “Like the stock market... some people try to get rich on penny stocks and others find success in discerning which blue chips will perform the best.”

And lo, a column was born. I’m going to focus this article on the players with the largest gaps between our own ranking and ADP from the top 84 names on Mike’s list, as that cutoff represents the top six rounds of a standard 14-team league. I don’t think I’m breaking much ground with this declaration, but the top six rounds of a draft are extremely important rounds. These are your blue chip players, the foundation upon which your team is built. It’s possible to win with an underwhelming start, but it’s awfully difficult.

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Picks

4

Nick Shlain

A few possible bargains with which to round out your auctions.

Much of my writing for Baseball Prospectus so far has been about AL-only deep league targets, but even though the following players each reside in the AL, for the purposes of this article these recommendations are intended to be for the endgame in mixed leagues.

Daniel NorrisToronto Blue Jays

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March 24, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Graduated Prospects, Part 2: 26-50

2

Ben Carsley

The second installment in the series looking at the future performance of last year's top promoted prospects.

Last week, I brought you the first installment in this series. This installment follows it, sequentially.

The disclaimer: Let’s take a look at all of the graduated prospects from Bret’s 2014 list, examine how they performed last year and what we can expect moving forward. For each player, I’ll simply render an “overvalued,” “properly valued” or “undervalued” verdict at the end of each writeup, based on current ADP (from FantasyPros.com) and to be used for the 2015 season only.

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March 20, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Graduated Prospects, Part 1: 1-25

14

Ben Carsley

Reviewing the most highly regarded young'uns from our fantasy top 101 who debuted last year.

Fantasy prospect lists are great. We publish them, we debate them, we answer questions about them, and we refer to them in our work.

And four or five months after they go live, no one gives a damn about them anymore.

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