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Doctoring The Numbers 

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10-14

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39

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-13

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57

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-28

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5

Doctoring The Numbers: When the Rains Come
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: Dodgers and Nationals
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: Royals and Phillies
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-12

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Brewers and Giants
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-27

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Cubs and the Red Sox
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-20

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Doctoring The Numbers: Mariners, Braves, and Diamondbacks
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: Mets, Rangers, and Orioles
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-06

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Doctoring The Numbers: Angels, Indians, and Reds
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-23

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Doctoring The Numbers: Marlins, White Sox, and Rays
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: Diving into Data
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: Charlie Haeger
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-23

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Doctoring The Numbers: Worst. Contract. Ever.
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-31

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Hidden Market Boost
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-08

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Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 11
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-11

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Ten
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-15

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Nine
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Eight
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-09

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Five
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Four
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Three
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-19

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-17

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Doctoring The Numbers: A Star No One Sees
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-18

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Doctoring The Numbers: Chasing Wes Ferrell
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-16

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Doctoring The Numbers: Chasing Ron Herbel
by
Rany Jazayerli

07-14

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Amazing Danny Kolb
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-03

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Doctoring The Numbers: Scraping the Bottom of the Barrel
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-06

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1

Doctoring The Numbers: Hot Starts, Part III
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-28

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Doctoring The Numbers: Hot Starts, Part II
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-22

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Doctoring The Numbers: Hot Starts (a.k.a. Should Royals Fans Get Excited Yet?)
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-30

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Five-Man Rotation, Part 3
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-20

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Five-Man Rotation, Part 2
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Five-Man Rotation
by
Rany Jazayerli

07-16

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Doctoring The Numbers: Defense in Colorado
by
Rany Jazayerli

07-16

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Doctoring The Numbers: Defense in Colorado
by
Rany Jazayerli

07-11

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Doctoring The Numbers: Offense in Colorado
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-18

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Doctoring The Numbers: Doctoring the Numbers: Sweet Relief
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-18

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Doctoring The Numbers: Sweet Relief
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-14

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Doctoring The Numbers: Historic Walk Rates in Montreal
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-14

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Doctoring The Numbers: Historic Walk Rates in Montreal
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-06

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Doctoring The Numbers: Doctoring the Numbers: Improvement Ratio
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-06

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Doctoring The Numbers: Improvement Ratio
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-21

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Doctoring The Numbers: Do Lefties "Break Out" More Than Righties?
by
Rany Jazayerli

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Rany comes clean about an obsession with the knuckler, and his active interest in the best prospect to throw it in years.

It's no secret that I'm a fan of the knuckleball and the men who throw it. Among the many clues I have left in my wake, the most obvious is the time I ignored the objections of a fewokay, all of my colleagues, and attached Charlie Zink to the bottom of our Top 50 Prospects list three years ago. Fortunately, Zink has gone on to great and glorious success since then, completely vindicating my faith in him.

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March 23, 2007 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: Worst. Contract. Ever.

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Rany Jazayerli

Rany looks past the Braves' last bargain deal with Andruw Jones to an even worse contract for a player.

And few lists are more fun to break out than the list of the worst free-agent contracts of all time. We love any excuse to mock owners for their reckless decisions; plus, as fans, we have a morbid sense of pride in having been forced to taste the bitter fruit of those moves. Darren Dreifort,

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January 31, 2007 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Hidden Market Boost

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Rany Jazayerli

A small change to the CBA had a very large effect on this winter's free-agent market, and will have one on the upcoming draft as well.

Part of the allure of baseball is that, while players and teams come and go, the game itself changes at such a glacial pace that a 90-year-old fan today would have trouble coming up with any differences between the games he watched as a child from the game he sees today. Basketball before the invention of the shot clock was a vastly different game than the one played today. The shot clock wasn't even adopted by the NCAA until Michael Jordan had already left school. Football adds and subtracts penalties like an accountant furiously trying to make the books balance. The NHL made more rule changes after their lost season of two years ago than Major League Baseball has made since 1920.

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Picking up where he left off yesterday, Rany continues his dissection of the 2006 Detroit Tigers.

A month after nabbing their franchise shortstop, the Tigers signed a franchise catcher, Ivan Rodriguez. On the surface, this made all kinds of sense; it's not often you get the opportunity to sign a surefire Hall of Famer who just turned 32. On the other hand, catchers age quickly, and Rodriguez caught more games (1564) before his 32nd birthday than anyone other than Johnny Bench, who was finished as a catcher by the time he turned 33 and was finished as a ballplayer when he was 35. While Rodriguez's 4-year, $40 million deal was eminently reasonable, it still represented a gamble in that it was likely the Tigers would never be competitive enough during the life of the contract to make the addition of Rodriguez meaningful.

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August 7, 2006 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City

0

Rany Jazayerli

Dr. Jazayerli dissects the early makings of the game's best team--your 2006 Detroit Tigers.

Which is what makes the delirious success of the 2006 Detroit Tigers so fascinating. Winning teams are not put together overnight. Even teams that suddenly rise up from years of mediocrity to create a dynasty had a foundation of mediocrity to build upon. The New England Patriots were not a good team before they won three Super Bowls in four years, but they weren't a bad team either--they had gone 43-37 over the previous five seasons.

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June 5, 2006 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12

0

Rany Jazayerli

Rany closes out his epic series, identifying the new inefficiency in the market before tomorrow's Rule 4 draft.

Well, there's no reason to think that change suddenly ground to a halt in 1999, and the data from a decade ago may hold little bearing on the decisions that will be made next Tuesday.

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With the Amateur Draft just around the corner, Rany returns to summarize his findings from his year-long draft study.

Now that we're done, it's safe to bring them out again. Starting from scratch, here is a summary of everything we've covered in the first 10 parts of this series. Consider this your pocket guide to the draft, especially if you happen to be on a conference call next Tuesday afternoon. Feel free to print out, laminate, and place in an attractive wood frame with gold trim.

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May 11, 2006 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Ten

0

Rany Jazayerli

The Doctor returns with a look at the draft history of high school and college pitchers, to see if we can learn a few things about pitching value.

Pos Years 1st Rd 2nd Rd 3rd Rd Overall Busts COL LHP 84-91 - 4.4% + 54.7% +133.4% + 21.5% COL LHP 92-99 - 7.3% + 61.1% + 15.0% + 8.0% COL LHP 84-99 - 5.8% + 57.8% + 82.4% + 15.2% Years Biggest Bargains Biggest Busts 84-91 Jim Abbott, Greg Swindell Drew Hall, Kyle Abbott 92-99 Barry Zito, Randy Wolf B.J. Wallace, Jeff Granger Note that the two most valuable draft picks from 1984 to 1991 are not Randy Johnson, who was third on the list. Johnson is a future Hall of Famer, but was not a full-time starting pitcher in the major leagues until four years after he was drafted, and didn't become RANDY JOHNSON until 1993. And of course, along the way he was traded by the team that drafted him, the Montreal Expos, essentially for four months of Mark Langston. The point bears repeating: the sooner a draft pick renders his value, the less likely the team that drafted him will have already given him up for pennies on the dollar.

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Rany forges ahead in his draft study with a look at college shortstops, third basemen, and outfielders.

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March 7, 2006 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Eight

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Rany Jazayerli

The Good Doctor returns with Part Eight of his draft study, focusing on college hitters.

Last time, we looked at the relative merits of high school players by position, ending with this chart:

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September 13, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven

0

Rany Jazayerli

Rany returns with a look at the value of high-school hitters drafted between 1984 and 1999.

Using the technique described in the last part of this draft series, here's a breakdown of draft pick value for college and high school players, separated into pitchers and regulars, from 1984 through 1999:

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August 2, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six

0

Rany Jazayerli

Rany returns with his newest installment on assessing the value of draft picks.

I'm back now, and promise to get the next installment of this series out well in advance of the big 4-0.

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