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05-31

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3

Baseball Therapy: The Knee
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-24

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4

Baseball Therapy: Framing the At-Bat
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-11

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8

Baseball Therapy: The Even Slightly More Convincing Argument Against the Shift
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-03

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10

Baseball Therapy: The Pretty Good Case That the Shift Doesn't Work
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-27

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7

Baseball Therapy: Can Teams Come Back From a Comeback?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-19

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17

Baseball Therapy: The One About Exit Velocity
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-12

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5

Baseball Therapy: Somebody Is Finally Trying to Kill the Traditional Closer Role
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-07

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1

Baseball Therapy: Go Ahead, Call It a Comeback
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-05

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8

Baseball Therapy: Someone's Not Paying Attention
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-29

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7

Baseball Therapy: It Worked Last Time
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-22

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4

Baseball Therapy: Are You Cultured?
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-15

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8

Baseball Therapy: Bringing Down The House
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-08

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1

Baseball Therapy: Should Someone Save Salvy?
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-01

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19

Baseball Therapy: Let's Talk About Tax Policy
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-23

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13

Baseball Therapy: Is There a Times Through The Order Penalty?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-16

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7

Baseball Therapy: Do Bad PECOTA Projections Make Teams Mad?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-09

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13

Baseball Therapy: The Crack in the Defensive Spectrum
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-02

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20

Baseball Therapy: The Dark Side of Pitch Framing?
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-26

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6

Baseball Therapy: It's Nice to Have Options
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-19

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2

Baseball Therapy: Let's Figure Out What a Scouting Department's Entire Product is Worth
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-12

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7

Baseball Therapy: Put Russell In the Hall of Fame
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-05

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12

Baseball Therapy: Now With 50 Percent Less Math
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-22

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8

Baseball Therapy: We Can Be Heroes?
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-16

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17

Baseball Therapy: Have We Been Underpricing Relievers?
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-08

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6

Baseball Therapy: Fiddlesticks, Yeah!
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-01

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5

Baseball Therapy: The Neuropsychology of Bad Managing
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-24

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7

Baseball Therapy: The Kimbrel Gambit
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-19

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6

Baseball Therapy: What Should the QO Number Be?
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-10

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3

Baseball Therapy: I Want to Write About Player Development
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-03

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8

Baseball Therapy: How Much the DH Rule Matters
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-28

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8

Baseball Therapy: And on the Fifth Day He Rested
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-20

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5

Baseball Therapy: Say You'll Remember Me
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-13

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14

Baseball Therapy: Do We Still Need Divisions?
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-06

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9

Baseball Therapy: My Bad Baseball Predictions
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-29

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6

Baseball Therapy: Let Him Pitch!
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-22

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10

Baseball Therapy: Why Do Pitchers Get Tired?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-15

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4

Baseball Therapy: Seven Months Has Gone So Fast
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-09

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11

Baseball Therapy: The Chessmaster and the Screwball
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-03

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5

Baseball Therapy: A Veteran and His Presents
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-25

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5

Baseball Therapy: Interaction Effects and Credit
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-18

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5

Baseball Therapy: Collage or Jigsaw?
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-11

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23

Baseball Therapy: Starlin Castro and ADHD
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-04

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21

Baseball Therapy: No Relief For Starters
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-28

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2

Baseball Therapy: Bumping the Grind
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-21

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11

Baseball Therapy: So You've Decided To Trade Within Your Division
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-08

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24

Baseball Therapy: Why Not Make the Hole Square?
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-30

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19

Baseball Therapy: Better Playing Through Chemistry
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-23

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13

Baseball Therapy: The Wonderful World of Throwing to First
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-16

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3

Baseball Therapy: Paul Molitor is the Twinspiration
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-10

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7

Baseball Therapy: Who Really Won Game 6 of the 2011 World Series?
by
Russell A. Carleton

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September 15, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Seven Months Has Gone So Fast

4

Russell A. Carleton

Here comes the call-ups again; can we trust the stats they'll put up in September?

It's September. People are starting to use words like "crisp." Christmas trees are already out. Kids are back in school, and the world smells like nutmeg. Everyone's getting ready to tweet that Green Day joke at the end of the month. And major-league rosters have expanded to roughly 68 players each. On top of that, a lot of minor-league seasons have ended, meaning that teams are free to call up the veteran guys they had signed as cover during the offseason, their top prospects, their not-so-top-prospects who just happen to be left-handed or fast, and Larry, the guy who is about to pitch the only three innings of his major-league career in garbage time … but he wore a major-league uniform!!!

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September 9, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The Chessmaster and the Screwball

11

Russell A. Carleton

Games and their breaking can teach us something about beating baseball

1. e4.

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September 3, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: A Veteran and His Presents

5

Russell A. Carleton

Do veterans give the gift of grind-avoidance?

There's the "wrong side" of 30, and then there's the wrong side of 35. I've blown past the former and am quickly creeping up on the latter. In a baseball clubhouse (and, increasingly, in a baseball front office!) I would be the old guy in the room. I can still draw comfort from the fact that there are major leaguers who are older than I am, although more and more, they seem to be guys who carry the tag of "He's great in the clubhouse!" rather than "He's great in the WAR column!"

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August 25, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Interaction Effects and Credit

5

Russell A. Carleton

Do pitchers change approaches depending on their defense? How should credit (in the sense of WAR) be assigned if so?

Last week, we discussed the baseball team as a jigsaw puzzle. How the pieces fit together (or don't) can make a real, tangible difference to a team. How much difference depends on what we're talking about. The way a defense fits with the pitcher on the mound could make a big difference; given some modest assumptions, on the order of half a win. But is that the only difference a good infield defense makes?

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August 18, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Collage or Jigsaw?

5

Russell A. Carleton

How much does fit matter on a roster?

I was not an art major. Kind of like my dreams of being a major-leaguer, my artistic abilities peaked in about third or fourth grade, when the art-class assignments went beyond pasting construction paper shapes on top of each other in some pre-specified order. But I was handy with the collage, which is the big-kid version of pasting vague shapes, this time cut out of magazines, in at least a bit of a formation. The important task is to get all of the important stuff onto the page. How it's arranged is secondary.

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August 11, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Starlin Castro and ADHD

23

Russell A. Carleton

Our resident clinical psychologist weighs in on the Starlin Castro/ADHD kerfuffle.

Last week, Cubs beat reporter Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun-Times wrote an article in which he discussed Cubs (former?) starting shortstop Starlin Castro and the possibility that Castro has Attention Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD; Wittenmyer used the older name—ADD—which was retired in 1994). It caused a bit of a tizzy on Twitter, but just about everything causes a tizzy on Twitter. It was a strange tizzy though, because no one quite knew what to make of it. Castro stated that he knew what the disorder was but preferred not to be tested. Was Wittenmyer right to ask Castro about the potential diagnosis? Is Castro right to ignore a potential issue like this and not seek out treatment?

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August 4, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: No Relief For Starters

21

Russell A. Carleton

A new approach on the "What if this ace were a reliever?" and "What if this fireman were a starter?" questions

What would happen if Aroldis Chapman were to start? Or Max Scherzer were to close? It's a strange invisible fence that seems to separate the roles of starter and reliever. If the Nationals wanted to, they could use Scherzer in relief. The Reds would have to stretch Chapman out a bit, but they could choose to make him a starter. And the world would continue spinning. It's a maddening question, but despite the constant pleas of the listenership of Effectively Wild, no team seems willing to run the experiment that would answer it. Pitchers either pitch seven innings or they pitch one. (Unless they pitch for Tampa Bay.)

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July 28, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Bumping the Grind

2

Russell A. Carleton

Do any hitters show a consistent ability to fight off degradation of skills as the year goes on?

I know, you all just want to talk about the trade deadline. It's fun because you get to see general managers pretend they aren't sweating over the fact that they just mortgaged two really good prospects to pick up a guy who may or may not even get them into October this year. Of course to get to October, the GM—and all of the other 24 players who weren't picked up in a trade at the end of July—have to get through August and September. The dreaded dog days of summer. By Friday, we'll know where almost everyone is going to land for the stretch drive. After Friday, teams actually have to go play the games.

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Is divisioncest really such a bad idea?

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The Rays have turned a punted roster spot into a positive.

If there's been a trend over the last few years that has caught on like wildfire, it's been the rise of the short starter. Not the 5-foot-9 starter who wishes he was a little bit taller or wishes he was a baller. The Tampa starter. The guy who goes 4 innings and 18 batters and then leaves. In 2015, the Rays began experimenting with the concept, although the Rockies were even trying a four-man rotation with pitchers limited to 75 pitches in 2012. But it was in the hands of the Rays that the idea found its heart. The team that always seemed to be a little bit further ahead of the curve than anyone else had it all figured out two years ago.

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June 30, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Better Playing Through Chemistry

19

Russell A. Carleton

It's unlikely that chemistry is worth nothing, so how much is it worth?

I'm going to be a bad scientist and accept something without proper proof. I'm going to assume that "the clubhouse guy" exists and is a real phenomenon. I say that I don't have proper proof only in the numerical sense. I don't have a measure called ENZYME to tell me which players are chemically enhanced and I can't tell you how many WARs it's worth. At least not yet.

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Everything you could ever want to know about the causes and effects of a pitcher's pickoff throws

Remember earlier in the spring when everyone was all abuzz over the fact that Jon Lester hadn’t thrown to first base since the Carter Administration? Lester’s nonexistent pickoff move became a story for a few reasons, not the least of which was the fact that he had signed a contract with nine digits in it over the offseason. But for the most part, it was just strange. Throws to first aren’t anyone’s favorite part of a baseball game, since they generally accomplish “nothing” and they take up time. Still, everyone understands that there’s a certain sense to those throws. If they were outlawed, then runners would be at liberty to take as large a lead as they wanted. They could walk halfway to second base with no consequence. A throw to first isn’t likely to actually pick the runner off, but it does keep him a few feet closer to the base. Even the fact that a throw to first is a legal play is enough in some cases to keep the runner close. It’s probably the one thing that Lester had going in his favor. He hadn’t thrown over in a year… but he could.

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