CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

World Series time! Enjoy Premium-level access to most features through the end of the Series!

Baseball Therapy 

Search Baseball Therapy

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

10-21

comment icon

3

Baseball Therapy: The Truth About Butterflies
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-14

comment icon

8

Baseball Therapy: The Other Playoff Myths
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-07

comment icon

3

Baseball Therapy: Sure As Day Follows Night...
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-07

comment icon

9

Baseball Therapy: The Cardinals Do Not Own Clayton Kershaw
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-30

comment icon

8

Baseball Therapy: The Wild Card Penalty
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-29

comment icon

8

Baseball Therapy: There Is No Derek Jeter Conspiracy
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-23

comment icon

21

Baseball Therapy: Will StatCast Cure Our Defensive Metric Blues?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-16

comment icon

4

Baseball Therapy: Starving Young Royals, Battle-Tested Tigers, and an Unsquarable Circle
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-09

comment icon

24

Baseball Therapy: Poisoned by Losing?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-04

comment icon

10

Baseball Therapy: I Guess You Just Throw The Next Pitch
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-26

comment icon

18

Baseball Therapy: How Billy Beane Built the Royals
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-19

comment icon

13

Baseball Therapy: Becoming An Adult f/x
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-12

comment icon

28

Baseball Therapy: I Believe In Clutch Hitting
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-05

comment icon

6

Baseball Therapy: Big Extension, Big Mistake?
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-29

comment icon

15

Baseball Therapy: Trading Ryan Howard For Nothing and Winning
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-15

comment icon

51

Baseball Therapy: Why Are We Playing Hunger Games with Minor Leaguers?
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-08

comment icon

7

Baseball Therapy: What is a Fast Runner Worth?
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-01

comment icon

4

Baseball Therapy: Do Some Pitches Do More Damage Than Others?
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-24

comment icon

17

Baseball Therapy: Is it Really Harder to Scout in New England?
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-19

comment icon

12

Baseball Therapy: Should You Trust the Projections?
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-17

comment icon

7

Baseball Therapy: What High School Has to Do with Tommy John
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-13

comment icon

3

Baseball Therapy: What You Can Do With Your Old Baseball Cards
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-10

comment icon

4

Baseball Therapy: Can Draft Lightning Be Bottled?
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-03

comment icon

19

Baseball Therapy: Introducing My Daughter to Baseball
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-30

comment icon

16

Baseball Therapy: The Hard Part About Preventing Tommy John Surgeries
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-27

comment icon

13

Baseball Therapy: The Annual Amateur Draft Guessing Game
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-20

comment icon

7

Baseball Therapy: Beware the Genius Tag for Coaches
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-13

comment icon

7

Baseball Therapy: Analytical Master or Leader of Men?
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-06

comment icon

5

Baseball Therapy: Is Oakland's Run Differential for Real?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-29

comment icon

11

Baseball Therapy: Do Innings Limits Work?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-22

comment icon

8

Baseball Therapy: The Houdini Hangover Effect
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-15

comment icon

16

Baseball Therapy: Why Sabermetrics Needs Translational Research
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-07

comment icon

9

Baseball Therapy: Beware of the Intentional Walk?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-01

comment icon

14

Baseball Therapy: The Complete Value of a Complete Game
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-27

comment icon

15

Baseball Therapy: Advances in Chemistry?
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-24

comment icon

5

Baseball Therapy: The Complicated Recoveries of Aroldis Chapman and Salvador Perez
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-17

comment icon

22

Baseball Therapy: The Viability of Burying a Bad Bat
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-10

comment icon

13

Baseball Therapy: The Baseball Questions We're About to Be Asking
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-04

comment icon

9

Baseball Therapy: Why The Cardinal Way is the Most Important Book in Baseball
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-24

comment icon

22

Baseball Therapy: But…He Finished Strong Last Season!
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-17

comment icon

10

Baseball Therapy: Looking for Meaning Amid the Small-Sample Flukes
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-11

comment icon

15

Baseball Therapy: When Sabermetrics Gets Personal
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-03

comment icon

11

Baseball Therapy: How Would We Know That a Team Has Good Chemistry?
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-27

comment icon

38

Baseball Therapy: Why Are Smart Teams Spending Money on Relievers?
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-13

comment icon

15

Baseball Therapy: Building a Better Starting Rotation
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-09

comment icon

23

Baseball Therapy: The Hall of Fame Ballots By the Numbers
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-06

comment icon

11

Baseball Therapy: The Five-Man Rotation: The Appendix of Baseball
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-26

comment icon

7

Baseball Therapy: Rest an Extra Day to Keep the Doctor Away?
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-16

comment icon

28

Baseball Therapy: What Happened to the Four-Man Rotation?
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-09

comment icon

12

Baseball Therapy: What Happened to the Complete Game?
by
Russell A. Carleton

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>

There's a new list of recommended ways to prevent serious elbow injuries. Now, how do we implement them?

On Wednesday, we had a news story involving Drs. James Andrews and Glenn Fleisig and Tommy John surgery. Normally when that’s the case, it means that someone’s season is over (and sadly, that’s been happening a lot lately). But this time, it was the good doctors responding to what they termed an “epidemic” of ulnar collateral ligament transplants (the actual name for Tommy John surgery) and offering some helpful tips to prevent the elbow injuries that require the procedure.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

How good are teams at predicting player performance in the draft?

Next week is going to be a big one for all 30 teams in Major League Baseball. It’s draft week! The Rule 4 Draft (which is the fancy name for the amateur draft) will take place from June 5th through June 7th. There will be pageantry (which is a fancy name for people trying to make a boring administrative event into a less-boring administrative event). There will be Hall of Famers representing teams. And the end result of a year of hard work by your favorite team’s scouting staff will come to fruition in the form of 30 teams making a bunch of wild guesses.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 20, 2014 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Beware the Genius Tag for Coaches

7

Russell A. Carleton

Who are the best hitting and pitching coaches? Or is it impossible to tell?

How do you know whether your team’s hitting coach or pitching coach is doing a good job? Generally, the answer is “Well, how are his hitters/pitchers doing? Are they getting better?” That seems to be the justification given when he gets fired, after all.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

An attempt to settle an age-old debate: What's more important for a manager to possess, people skills or tactical savvy?

There are two men in front of you who want to be your team’s manager. One of them is fully up to date on all the latest baseball research. He reads Baseball Prospectus religiously, and that’s not a metaphor. He actually has a shrine to Dan Brooks in his bedroom. (We have a support group that meets on Wednesdays, that’s how I know.) He’s fully on board with the analytical movement, dabbles in his own research, drops the phrase “run expectancy matrix” into sentences, and has pledged that he will make sure that the supercomputer is in the dugout with him every night. He’s also rather boring. Not a jerk, just…boring.

Read the full article...

How early in the season can we start to trust run differential?

As of the moment that I write this, the best run differential in baseball is owned by…the Oakland A’s. Raise your hand if you saw that coming. Also, please raise your hand if—since I mentioned the A’s, you can work the word “moneyball” into this paragraph. I’ve run out of ways to do it.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 29, 2014 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Do Innings Limits Work?

11

Russell A. Carleton

Stephen Strasburg wants to know.

Let’s go back to 2012, when the Washington Nationals made one of the most controversial decisions in recent memory by shutting down pitcher Stephen Strasburg late in the season, even though it meant that Strasburg, though not injured at the time, would not pitch for the Nationals in their Division Series. The Nationals lost that series to the St. Louis Cardinals three games to two, and Lana del Rey wrote “Summertime Sadness” as a result (no, not really). The Nationals justified that decision by saying that they wanted to keep Strasburg below 160 innings pitched for the season to prevent him from further injury. In 2011, Strasburg only pitched in five games, spending most of the season recovering from Tommy John surgery. He was healthy through most of 2013 and has been so far through 2014.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

If a reliever gets out of a big jam, is it safe to bring him back out?

Rainbow sprinkles alert: Ben Lindbergh saw this one on Twitter, from currently shelved reliever Peter Moylan, who was traded to the Dodgers in the middle of last year after spending several years with the Braves. Mr. Moylan is currently recovering from Tommy John surgery, like everyone else in baseball.

Read the full article...

Why simply knowing an answer isn't always enough.

My father is fond of saying that a thousand “attaboys” is worth one “aw crap.” You can do a thousand things right, but if you get one wrong, all of the goodwill you built up over those thousand successes is now gone. It’s completely irrational, but no one ever said that human beings made any sense.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 7, 2014 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Beware of the Intentional Walk?

9

Russell A. Carleton

Looking for evidence of an intentional walk hangover effect.

I missed baseball. It’s like being in a relationship with someone and then having to spend an extended period of time apart from them. Oh sure, you call and Skype and send each other e-mails, but when you are finally back in the same room, you get the joy of re-discovering each other. (And yeah, that’s a Journey reference.) Then there’s the next day after you’ve… ahem… gotten re-acquainted, when you realize that in addition to all of the wonderful things you missed about each other, all of the things that drive you crazy are still, there too.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Does a starter who goes deep into games really have an effect on days before and after his outings?

The complete game has become an increasingly rare beast. In 2013, there were 124 complete games registered by the 4,862 pitchers who started out on the hill, and Adam Wainwright led all of baseball with five. If a pitcher makes it through nine innings, he’s likely having a very good day, and nine innings of well-pitched baseball is nothing to sneeze at. But a complete game is more than that. It’s a sign of manliness. It’s like shouting, “I don’t need no stinkin’ bullpen!” It’s a cultural touchstone. It’s the guy yelling at his TV, “Finish what you started, you silly overpaid, coddled millionaire. I finish my day of work without calling in a reliever.” A pitcher who completes a game is just getting in touch with the common man.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

March 27, 2014 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Advances in Chemistry?

15

Russell A. Carleton

A look at the ESPN: The Magazine team chemistry rankings.

Let’s talk about the ESPN: The Magazine team chemistry rankings. For those who haven’t seen them yet, I suggest going here, but if you’d like to skip to the good part, the centerpiece of ESPN’s predictions about the 2014 season is that they adjusted them for team chemistry. The article actually (seriously, no really) says that the Tampa Bay Rays are projected to win 1.7 extra games this year because of chemistry. This will be enough to win them the AL East.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Why the recovery from a traumatic event isn't always just a matter of surgery and stitches.

Last Wednesday night, something truly awful occurred in a spring training game between the Royals and Reds. In the sixth inning, Reds closer Aroldis Chapman was getting in some work and faced off against Royals catcher Salvador Perez. In the regular season, that matchup would be compelling stuff, but this was just a fake game, so no one thought much of it. You’ve probably seen the replay of what happened next: Perez squared one up and hit a line drive that caught Chapman in the face. Chapman was taken off the field by stretcher and the game was called off.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Column Entries Next Column Entries >>