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Baseball Therapy 

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05-20

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19

Baseball Therapy: Would the Astros' Piggyback Starters Model Work in the Majors?
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-14

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17

Baseball Therapy: How Reliable Are Our Fielding Metrics?
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-09

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5

Baseball Therapy: Should I Worry About My Favorite Pitcher?
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-06

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7

Baseball Therapy: What is a Good Hitting Coach Worth?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-29

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16

Baseball Therapy: On the Evolution of the Patient Hitter
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-22

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8

Baseball Therapy: What is a Good Pitching Coach Worth?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-15

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35

Baseball Therapy: Boys Will Be Boys?: The Carlos Quentin and Zack Greinke Story
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-08

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43

Baseball Therapy: Rethinking Randomness: Pitchers and Their BABIPs
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-27

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9

Baseball Therapy: The Lessons of Lohse
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-25

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34

Baseball Therapy: Could the All-Bullpen Approach Actually Work?
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-21

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25

Baseball Therapy: Is Brandon Inge Worth 10 Wins Behind Closed Doors?
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-18

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14

Baseball Therapy: You Gotta Keep 'Em Separated
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-11

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21

Baseball Therapy: Maybe I'm Wrong
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-04

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22

Baseball Therapy: Of Dogs, Men, and Stolen Bases
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-26

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10

Baseball Therapy: Can't Buy Me Chemistry?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-18

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23

Baseball Therapy: What Really Predicts Pitcher Injuries?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-11

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25

Baseball Therapy: How to Measure Clubhouse Chemistry
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-28

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25

Baseball Therapy: Fact or Fiction: The Verducci Effect
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-21

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6

Baseball Therapy: Pitchouts and My Underage Gambling Problem
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-14

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22

Baseball Therapy: Does Having a Veteran Around Help Young Players?
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-10

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14

Baseball Therapy: Lessons from the Hall of Fame Vote
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-07

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7

Baseball Therapy: What Really Happens When a Baseball Player Turns 18
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-17

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9

Baseball Therapy: There is No Unicorn
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-10

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3

Baseball Therapy: Do Closers Age Differently Than Other Relievers?
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-03

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14

Baseball Therapy: Does the Way the Draft Works Now Hurt Bad Teams?
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-28

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15

Baseball Therapy: The Truth About Adderall
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-26

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3

Baseball Therapy: The 2012 Silly Awards
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-19

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5

Baseball Therapy: Defining Change in Player Performance from Year to Year
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-12

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21

Baseball Therapy: Assessing the Risk: Hamilton, Greinke, and Mental Health
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-05

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13

Baseball Therapy: In Praise of the Modern Bullpen
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-29

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21

Baseball Therapy: The Proper Care and Feeding of Minor Leaguers
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-22

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9

Baseball Therapy: Are Three-True-Outcomes Players Better in the Playoffs?
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-15

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19

Baseball Therapy: The Case for Cano
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-11

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2

Baseball Therapy: Is Joe Saunders a Double Play Machine?
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-02

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9

Baseball Therapy: WARP for People Who Didn't Like Math Class
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-01

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9

Baseball Therapy: When Do Players Stop Developing?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-28

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22

Baseball Therapy: A Sabermetric Case for Miguel Cabrera's MVP Candidacy
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-24

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8

Baseball Therapy: Reading Lolita in Teheran, Part 3: Smoking, Hitting, and the Search for an 80 Brain
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-21

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18

Baseball Therapy: Wild-Card Game Theory
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-18

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3

Baseball Therapy: Reading Lolita in Teheran, Part 2: Reading and Fear of Failure
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-10

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16

Baseball Therapy: Reading Lolita in Teheran, Part 1: Intro and Losing Focus
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-05

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43

Baseball Therapy: Is There Really Racism in the Broadcast Booth?
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-27

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27

Baseball Therapy: One-Run Winners: Good or Lucky?
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-20

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9

Baseball Therapy: Are Closers Worse When They're Surprised?
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-06

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28

Baseball Therapy: So You Wanna Be a Manager
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-30

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1

Baseball Therapy: Seven Minutes of Terror
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-24

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6

Baseball Therapy: It Happens Every May
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-16

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16

Baseball Therapy: It's a Small Sample Size After All
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-09

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67

Baseball Therapy: Hire Joe Morgan
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-03

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29

Baseball Therapy: Why Are Games So Long?
by
Russell A. Carleton

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A modest proposal to make the draft more fair, if a little less traditional.

The Winter Meetings start today in Nashville. It's a time for major-league executives to get together, chat about the game, and maybe play "let's make a deal." It's nice, because in a world starved for baseball for more than a month now, there's actual baseball news being made. Or at least rampant rumor-mongering, which is almost the same thing. There are mystery teams and... OMG, was that Theo Epstein walking by with a cup of coffee?

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Phillies catcher Carlos Ruiz was suspended for 25 games after testing positive for Adderall. What was he thinking?

Let's talk about Adderall. For those who haven't heard, Phillies catcher Carlos Ruiz has been suspended for the first 25 games of the regular season after testing positive for an amphetamine, widely reported to be the prescription drug Adderall. Adderall is commonly prescribed for the treatment of Attention Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) and, less commonly, narcolepsy. As someone who has treated a number of kids and teens with ADHD, I want to talk a little bit about the medication and why someone might misuse it. 

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November 26, 2012 5:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The 2012 Silly Awards

3

Russell A. Carleton

The strangest double plays, groundouts for the cycle, and more from the weird side of the season.

Let's get a little silly. The Gold Gloves, Cy Youngs, MVPs, Managers of the Year, Hank Aaron Awards, and the Greg Spira Internet Baseball Awards (may Greg's memory remain eternally) have all been given out. It's time to appreciate the befuddling side of baseball. The awards that should be given out, but aren't.

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Before we can attempt to figure out why a player improved or regressed, we have to figure out how much his performance actually changed.

Quick, which player had the greatest change in on-base percentage from 2011 to 2012? Did you say Houston Astros pitcher Aneury Rodriguez? In 2011, Rodriguez went 0-for-9 with two sac bunts. In 2012, Rodriguez appeared in only one major-league game, but he came to the plate once and got a hit. Rodriguez went from a seasonal OBP of .000 to 1.000. It doesn't get bigger than that.

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BP's clinical psychologist brings his experience and expertise to bear in evaluating the impact of Zack Greinke's and Josh Hamilton's mental health histories on their on-field futures.

If you'll excuse me for a moment while I put on my other hat.

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November 5, 2012 5:00 am

Baseball Therapy: In Praise of the Modern Bullpen

13

Russell A. Carleton

Sure, there might be better ways to construct bullpens than the way teams do it now, but change might not be as easy as you think.

The construction of the modern bullpen is silly. It starts with a junk stat (the save) and works backwards from there. There’s an anointed “closer,” his deputy (“the set-up guy”) who pitches the eighth inning, a couple of “match-up” relievers for the seventh inning, and some middle and long-relief guys who suck up innings four through six, as needed. In a close game, the relievers on the team with a lead are generally deployed in the (perceived) reverse order of their effectiveness as the innings unfold, with the apparent aim being to slowly choke off the other team’s chances of winning as the game goes further along. And to record a save.

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Are teams losing out in the long run by letting their prospects feed on fast food?

A couple of months ago, I got on a plane to Orlando, not to see an anthropomorphic mouse and a duck who doesn’t wear pants, but to do actual work. It’s not often that I travel for work, but I do enjoy a good plane ride, because it’s one of the few times that I can sit down and read a book without feeling guilty. On this trip, my companion was Dirk Hayhurst’s Bullpen Gospels, which had been sitting on my shelf for a while. For those who haven’t yet read it (what are you doing with your lives?), Hayhurst discusses his travels through the minors and the real life that happens in between the last out and "play ball!" (and yes, I got that right). It could double as an anthropological field study of a very curious culture: the minor-league baseball player.

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Does walking, striking out, and homering more often help or hurt a hitter in the postseason?

Let me pull back the curtain on how BP articles are made, at least at my house. This article came about when I was washing the dishes. It's my thing. I like to listen to podcasts and scrub down pots and pans. It's wondrously therapeutic after a long day at work, and BP alumni Joe Sheehan and Rany Jazayerli were keeping me company as I struggled mightily with the remnants of mac and cheese from my daughter's lunch plate.

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October 15, 2012 5:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The Case for Cano

19

Russell A. Carleton

Why Robinson Cano deserves a second-plate vote on your mental AL MVP ballot.

Depending on the day, Robinson Cano is often the third- or fourth-most-talked-about member of the Yankee infield.

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October 11, 2012 5:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Is Joe Saunders a Double Play Machine?

2

Russell A. Carleton

Does Orioles Game Four starter Joe Saunders really possess the ability to induce double plays on command?

On last Friday's episode of Effectively Wild, the daily podcast from Baseball Prospectus, our own Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller (and guest Marc Normandin) discussed Buck Showalter's decision to start Joe Saunders in the AL wild card play-in game against the Texas Rangers. They noted that Saunders—who'll get the call again tonight in Game Four of the Yankees-Orioles ALDS—does not have amazing stuff and allows a lot of runners to reach base, and also that he does not have an exceedingly high groundball rate. Still, he seems to induce more groundballs at opportune times, and as a result, he gets a lot of double plays to bail him out of some major jams. Perhaps Saunders changes his approach with a runner on first and no one out in an intentional bid to get a groundball. It would make complete sense that he would do so.

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A handy guide to understanding what WARP means without many numbers.

Over the weekend, there were plenty of end-of-season retrospectives from columnists who cast non-existent ballots for the MVPs, Cy Young award winners, and Rookies of the Year. As might be expected, many of the columnists brought up the WARP (Mike Trout) vs. Triple Crown (Miguel Cabrera) angle. There was a common theme running through the pieces that argued for Cabrera: WARP is a complicated and math-heavy stat, and because it is so complicated, how can we be sure that Trout was actually the better player?

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October 1, 2012 5:00 am

Baseball Therapy: When Do Players Stop Developing?

9

Russell A. Carleton

How old does a player have to be before we should stop expecting him to improve?

"He just needs another year."

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