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04-25

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6

Baseball Therapy: The Disappearing Left Fielder?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-18

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4

Baseball Therapy: Reliably Stable (You Keep Using That Word)
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-11

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7

Baseball Therapy: Whatever Happened to Predictability?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-04

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5

Baseball Therapy: Stop Shifting (So Much)
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-28

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14

Baseball Therapy: Let's Fix the Pace-of-Play Problem
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-22

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3

Baseball Therapy: The Secret Powers of the Foul Ball
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-14

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11

Baseball Therapy: Bring Back Ball Four
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-07

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2

Baseball Therapy: Is Defense Slump-Proof?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-28

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7

Baseball Therapy: Baseball Needs Some New Words
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-21

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7

Baseball Therapy: Is Win Probability Broken?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-15

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4

Baseball Therapy: Taking the Weirdness Out of Baseball
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-08

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3

Baseball Therapy: The Minor League Milestone Chart
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-01

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9

Baseball Therapy: Blame it on the Plane
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-24

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1

Baseball Therapy: Let's Dig Into These Tunnels
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-17

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8

Baseball Therapy: What Does Batter/Pitcher Matchup Data Tell Us?
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-11

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10

Baseball Therapy: Grinding On Grounders
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-04

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26

Baseball Therapy: The Bullpen of My Dreams
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-23

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9

Baseball Therapy: Worrying About the Money
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-13

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5

Baseball Therapy: The Questions We Can't Answer
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-09

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7

Baseball Therapy: The New CBA, By The Numbers
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-30

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3

Baseball Therapy: The 26th Man
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-17

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2

Baseball Therapy: Can a Closer be Worth $100 Million?
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-08

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2

Baseball Therapy: The Million Dollar Pillow Fight
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-01

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0

Baseball Therapy: I Don't Know What You'll Do Next Summer
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-25

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4

Baseball Therapy: Stop, Miller Time.
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-18

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4

Baseball Therapy: Getting to the Bottom of the Barrel
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-12

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9

Baseball Therapy: Cy Young Catchers
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-05

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3

Baseball Therapy: How Much Is Theo Epstein Worth?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-27

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2

Baseball Therapy: Bullpen Contagion
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-20

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6

Baseball Therapy: Is The American League Just Better?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-13

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3

Baseball Therapy: Should MLB Go For the Gold?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-07

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2

Baseball Therapy: Stop Blaming the September Call-Ups!
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-01

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6

Baseball Therapy: Let's See if We Can Get a Handle on Zach Britton's Cy Young Case
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-23

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3

Baseball Therapy: If I Had A Million Dollars
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-16

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29

Baseball Therapy: Rage Over Roids
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-09

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1

Baseball Therapy: Learning A New Position Is Free
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-03

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4

Baseball Therapy: What Would 7-Inning Baseball Look Like?
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-26

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8

Baseball Therapy: Growing Zobrists
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-19

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4

Baseball Therapy: The Pink Elephant Effect
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-06

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7

Baseball Therapy: ...Although I Have No Idea How We'd Measure That
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-28

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2

Baseball Therapy: Dollhouses and Sandboxes
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-31

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3

Baseball Therapy: The Knee
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-24

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4

Baseball Therapy: Framing the At-Bat
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-11

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8

Baseball Therapy: The Even Slightly More Convincing Argument Against the Shift
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-03

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10

Baseball Therapy: The Pretty Good Case That the Shift Doesn't Work
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-27

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7

Baseball Therapy: Can Teams Come Back From a Comeback?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-19

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17

Baseball Therapy: The One About Exit Velocity
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-12

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5

Baseball Therapy: Somebody Is Finally Trying to Kill the Traditional Closer Role
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-07

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1

Baseball Therapy: Go Ahead, Call It a Comeback
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-05

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8

Baseball Therapy: Someone's Not Paying Attention
by
Russell A. Carleton

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April 25, 2017 6:45 am

Baseball Therapy: The Disappearing Left Fielder?

6

Russell A. Carleton

Once the home of plodding sluggers, left field is now being treated much differently by managers.

The left fielder has become an endangered species. That's an odd statement to make, but the data say it’s true, and the reasons why tell us some interesting things about where the game of baseball is going. And it starts in this graph right here:

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The idea of quick-stabilizing numbers is tempting, but it can be misleading without digging further.

It’s been a surprising 2017 for (name of player) so far. The (team) (position) has put up (adjective) numbers so far and is one of the reasons his team is (record). In the offseason, (name) worked with (name of famous trainer) on (new trick). “I made it a point in spring training to really work on (new trick) and to (action) (adverb).”

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April 11, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Whatever Happened to Predictability?

7

Russell A. Carleton

It's dinosaurs vs. nerds in the battle of bullpen usage.

In theory, spring training is the place to figure out what a team has become over the winter. The reality of baseball is that teams change, and the plan from last year might need some updating to reflect the new personnel. Got a couple of new faces in the bullpen this year? Well, we need to assign jobs to each of them. Otherwise, they’ll sit out there like little lost puppies, not sure what to do. But what if spring training wasn’t quite enough time to get everyone into place? What if your plans were suddenly derailed by an untimely injury?

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As The Shift spreads further and further across baseball, unexpected side effects have emerged to cloud the issue.

4,576
6,881
13,298
17,737
28,072





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March 28, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Let's Fix the Pace-of-Play Problem

14

Russell A. Carleton

What year is it, anyway?

Let’s fix the pace-of-play problem. It shouldn’t be that hard. But first, let’s diagnose the patient.

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March 22, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The Secret Powers of the Foul Ball

3

Russell A. Carleton

Some are good, some are bad, and some are just Souvenirs.

I’ve never caught a foul ball. I’ve been to a couple of games where I was in the right section and came close to snaring one, but I never got a chance to make a play on a batted ball off the bat of a major leaguer, even if it was one that went the wrong way.

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March 14, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Bring Back Ball Four

11

Russell A. Carleton

Pay attention. This scene is really important.

Strangely, my defense of the “classic” intentional walk—the one where you have to actually throw four balls—begins with the center fielder. In fact, I’d argue that the guy standing out there waiting for a ball to come his way is the reason that baseball needs to bring back ball four.

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March 7, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Is Defense Slump-Proof?

2

Russell A. Carleton

Is the old cliche right or is there something in the data to suggest otherwise?

Some days, we all wake up on the wrong side the bed. It starts to be a problem when your bed is against the wall. Slumps are a part of baseball (and life), because humans are creatures of cycles. Sometimes you’re caught in a bad one.

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Groffling (and not groffling) is a problem.

Every once in awhile, there will be a delightful meme going around about words that are found in another language that convey a meaning we don’t have a single word for in English. Sometimes those words are culturally relevant to the speaker’s culture, though not more broadly (e.g., the somewhat disputed claim that Alaska Natives have dozens of words to describe different types of snow that English does not). Sometimes they are words that, upon learning what they mean, we wish we had in English.

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February 21, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Is Win Probability Broken?

7

Russell A. Carleton

Super Bowls and presidential elections can get you thinking about all sorts of things.

It’s probably a sign of how long we’ve been without baseball that this week’s column was inspired by football. A couple of weeks ago, the Annual Ultimate Flying Handegg Game of Doom was played, and since I live in Atlanta I was vaguely aware of one of the teams playing in the game. According to conversations that I overheard at the water cooler, the Falcons were up 28-3 at one point, but didn’t win. According to various win probability models of football, at one point the Falcons were considered to have a 99 percent chance to win the game. Of course, that didn’t actually happen. So, can we believe win probability models anymore?

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February 15, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Taking the Weirdness Out of Baseball

4

Russell A. Carleton

One little (proposed) rule changes and so many side effects.

Let me begin by laying my cards on the table. I have a soft spot in my heart for post-apocalyptic survivalist fiction. What would happen if it were really the end of the world as we knew it and we didn’t feel fine? What would happen if all of the phones and lights and motorcars on which we have come to rely were taken away suddenly and we had to survive off the land, Gilligan’s Island style? Now, I’d never want to actually live that way, but it’s fun to torture the edges of anything, including our notions of civilization.

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Teams might be losing potential major leaguers at the intersection of human development and player development.

As a dad of three (and soon to be two more!) I’ve seen my share of developmental milestones. I’ve watched my daughters take their first steps, say their first words, and attend their first baseball games. I even took my oldest daughter to her first no-hitter, which also happened to be my first time seeing a no-hitter. In the ninth inning, I turned to her and, speaking more to my own sense of reverie than anything else, told her that I wished she were older so that she could really appreciate what she was seeing.

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