CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

BP Articles 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

04-18

comment icon

6

Baseball Prospectus News: New Stat Reports and Site Upgrades
by
Rob McQuown

04-18

comment icon

5

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, April 18
by
Matthew Kory

04-18

comment icon

1

Daily League Strategy: Bargain-Bin Starters
by
Paul Sporer

04-18

comment icon

5

Painting the Black: Super Twoing
by
R.J. Anderson

04-18

comment icon

4

Raising Aces: Masahiro Tanaka, the Debut Ante
by
Doug Thorburn

04-18

comment icon

2

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: A Mock Supplemental Draft
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

04-18

comment icon

6

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 17
by
Jeff Moore

04-18

comment icon

7

What You Need to Know: Meltdown in Minnesota
by
Daniel Rathman

04-18

comment icon

6

Notes from the Field: A-Ball Notes
by
CJ Wittmann and Tucker Blair

04-18

comment icon

4

Skewed Left: How Service Time Dictates Top Prospect Promotions
by
Zachary Levine

04-17

comment icon

16

Overthinking It: Lessons We Learned Yesterday
by
Ben Lindbergh

04-17

comment icon

7

Notes from the Field: Carolina League Notes (Wilmington/Winston)
by
CJ Wittmann

04-17

comment icon

6

Fantasy Freestyle: Recovering Prospects
by
Craig Goldstein

04-17

comment icon

8

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 16
by
Jeff Moore

04-17

comment icon

5

Free Agent Watch: Week Three
by
Mike Gianella

04-17

comment icon

8

What Scouts Are Saying: April 17, 2014
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-17

comment icon

8

What You Need to Know: Cueto in Control
by
Daniel Rathman

04-17

comment icon

8

Pebble Hunting: Every Manager's Face: The New Guys
by
Sam Miller

04-17

comment icon

26

The Call-Up: George Springer
by
Nick J. Faleris and Craig Goldstein

04-16

comment icon

2

The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, April 16
by
Matt Sussman

04-16

comment icon

21

Overthinking It: Does Baseball Have a Pace Problem?
by
Ben Lindbergh

04-16

comment icon

16

The Lineup Card: Eight Notable Early-Season Injuries
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-16

comment icon

4

Fantasy Freestyle: Fighting Early-Season Confirmation Bias
by
Jeff Quinton

04-16

comment icon

8

Deep Impact: Week Two
by
Ben Carsley

04-16

comment icon

9

Notes from the Field: Notes from Five Leagues
by
Al Skorupa, Jeff Moore and Ethan Purser

04-16

comment icon

4

Transaction Analysis: A Moran and a Wolf Walk Into a Bar
by
R.J. Anderson and Craig Goldstein

04-16

comment icon

12

Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, April 15
by
Jeff Moore

04-16

comment icon

6

What You Need to Know: Please Send Starters
by
Daniel Rathman

04-16

comment icon

6

Draft Ten Pack: More from NHSI and Two Big College Names
by
Nick J. Faleris and BP Prospect Staff

04-15

comment icon

3

Daily League Strategy: Struggling Stars
by
Paul Sporer

04-15

comment icon

16

Baseball Therapy: Why Sabermetrics Needs Translational Research
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-15

comment icon

32

PECOTA Takes on Prospects
by
Andrew Koo

04-15

comment icon

7

Closer to Me: Week Three
by
Mauricio Rubio

04-15

comment icon

20

Dynasty Dynamics: NL Central U25 Lists
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

04-15

comment icon

1

Notes from the Field: California and Carolina League Notes
by
Chris Rodriguez and Tucker Blair

04-15

comment icon

7

Going Yard: How Carlos Gomez Got His Groove
by
Ryan Parker

04-15

comment icon

13

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, April 14
by
Jeff Moore

04-15

comment icon

11

What You Need to Know: Back-and-Forth Baseball
by
Daniel Rathman

04-14

comment icon

2

The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, April 14
by
Matt Sussman

04-14

comment icon

4

Monday Morning Ten Pack: April 14, 2014
by
BP Prospect Staff

04-14

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Leagues and Salary/Contract Dynamics
by
Mike Gianella

04-14

comment icon

6

Painting the Black: Portents for the Imports of Importance
by
R.J. Anderson

04-14

comment icon

0

The Week In Quotes: April 7-13
by
Morris Greenberg, Chris Mosch and Nick Wheatley-Schaller

04-14

comment icon

5

Minor League Update: Weekend Games of April 11-13
by
Jeff Moore

04-14

comment icon

8

Moonshot: Does April Velocity Last?
by
Robert Arthur

04-14

comment icon

8

What You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 4/14
by
Daniel Rathman

04-14

comment icon

1

Interleague Report: Week Three
by
Jeff Quinton

04-14

comment icon

9

Notes from the Field: Carolina League Notes: Wilmington vs. Myrtle Beach
by
CJ Wittmann

04-11

comment icon

8

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, April 11
by
Matthew Kory

04-11

comment icon

2

Daily League Strategy: Sticking With Your Guys
by
Paul Sporer

<< Previous Article Entries No More Article Entries

PECOTA appears at MLB.com, and BP publishes new stat reports and updates to PITCHf/x products and player cards.

Often, the content on the Baseball Prospectus website is driven by data collected during the research leading to an article. And readers can now benefit from some recent research on a daily basis, as six new reports have been added to the sortable statistics page, all of which will be updated daily throughout the season.

Player Pace Reports

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 18, 2014 10:30 am

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, April 18

5

Matthew Kory

Powered by statistics and Matthew Kory quips.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Paul rolls with the red-hot Alfredo Simon and trusts Drew Smyly in his first start of the year.

I’m looking at three no-name starters to lead me to the promised land on Friday.

Lineup of the Day
DraftStreet offers one of the best lineup constructions in the industry allowing for three pitchers, two starters and a starter/reliever. Additionally, they don’t overvalue the win as it is worth just two points. The rest of the scoring and roster setup can be viewed here if you aren’t already familiar with it.


Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 18, 2014 7:34 am

Painting the Black: Super Twoing

5

R.J. Anderson

What can be done to stop the roster monkeying?

George Springer made his big-league debut on Wednesday night, and in the process opened the season on service time–related debates. Such arguments have become commonplace in early-season baseball, particularly in recent years, as teams have grown more cognizant of the Super Two service time deadline, which determines which players will be eligible for arbitration four times instead of three. But as much as we talk about the status quo, there's seldom talk about how things should change. So how could the Super Two rules be altered (by collective bargaining) for the better? Here are three proposals.

Eliminate Super Two

The extreme solution doubles as the most obvious way to end service-time manipulation. Teams would continue to hold their best prospects down for about two weeks, just long enough to gain the seventh year of control, but would thereafter have no reason to keep the youngsters down for artificial reasons. The downside to eliminating the Super Two designation is that it would further limit the earning power of the class of players who already have the least leverage in the league. This arrangement would be a win for the teams and the fans, but a loss for the players.

Incorporate performance into the Super Two equation

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 18, 2014 6:36 am

Raising Aces: Masahiro Tanaka, the Debut Ante

4

Doug Thorburn

The Yankees' new starter appears to have the most important attribute of them all: the ability to make adjustment.

When I wrote about Masahiro Tanaka over the winter, my analysis was limited to the piecemeal footage that could be found across the interwebs, which led to a lot of caveats about what we could expect of his performance in the majors. There were many reasons for caution when projecting the state-side translation of his skill set, ranging from his workloads and pitch selection to his mechanics and statistical profile. With a trio of big-league starts now under his belt, we have a much clearer picture of his talent.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 18, 2014 6:12 am

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: A Mock Supplemental Draft

2

Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

Advice on how to approach your league's supplemental draft, plus matchup-based start/sit decisions for the coming week.

In Scoresheet baseball, the first supplemental draft is a time when the dreams of spring training are dashed against the rocks of designated for assignment statuses and hamstring strains. For all but the most active/desperate traders, this is your first chance to reshape your team, if even slightly, to cover up for some of the inevitable strains against your depth chart.

To help prepare you for the upcoming draft, we podcasted what may be the first-ever mock Scoresheet supplemental draft, a feat for which we are duly proud and ashamed. In order to determine who was eligible for the draft, we randomly selected 25 public continuing Scoresheet leagues, both American and National format, and found whether the players were available in that league. Players who were available in 60 percent or more of these index leagues were listed as available.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 18, 2014 6:11 am

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 17

6

Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out yesterday, including Rockies third baseman Ryan McMahon.


Mac Williamson, OF, Giants (San Jose, A+): 2-4, 3 R, 2B, HR. We know Williamson has power. The question is whether he will hit. There’s some serious swing-and-miss to his game, but thus far in a repeat of the California League, he’s controlling the strike zone better than he did last year.

Zoilo Almonte, OF, Yankees (SWB, AAA): 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, K. I’m almost afraid to mention Almonte because I talked about him a lot this winter, but a pair of home runs is a day worthy of any update. With the injuries the Yankees have already put up with, Almonte is just a pulled hamstring or tweaked quad away from being called on for big-league duty.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 18, 2014 6:11 am

What You Need to Know: Meltdown in Minnesota

7

Daniel Rathman

The Blue Jays' and Brewers' bullpens fall apart, David Price gets hit hard, and what to watch this weekend.

The Thursday Takeaway
A week replete with bullpen meltdowns continued on Thursday with what might be the most embarrassing of them all.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 18, 2014 6:10 am

Notes from the Field: A-Ball Notes

6

CJ Wittmann and Tucker Blair

Notes on South Atlantic and Carolina League prospects, including Hunter Harvey and Lucas Giolito.

(CJ Wittmann)

RHP Hunter Harvey (Orioles)
6-foot-3 accurate; nice broad shoulders and beautiful frame to add good weight; great physical projection; very athletic; 3/4 arm slot; uses high kick to create good momentum toward the plate; stretch: 1.40 to 1.53 range; has slight crossfire; also can open early and land toward first-base side; front-side glove can get big, creating deception before throwing front side through; ball explodes out of his hand; hips and shoulders rotate in unison and arm comes through fast; easy release; low-effort delivery; stays over top of pitches well; uses tall frame to create plane; repeatable mechanics; presently more of a thrower than pitcher and needs work with pitchability; very good demeanor and killer mentality on the mound and I love it; also plus-plus hair flow.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

And why the Astros would have been silly to promote George Springer sooner.

If you stretch, maybe you could come up with a good baseball reason for the Astros not to have called up outfield prospect George Springer until earlier this week. And yes, GM Jeff Luhnow probably did need to stick with baseball reasons in his public explanations of the delayed promotion: Springer needed some more at-bats to work on cutting down his strikeouts, or the team wanted to see whether Robbie Grossman could start this season as strong as he finished the last one, etc.

You understand why Luhnow can’t say the real reason, but at some point, you wish that we could let a smart guy be a smart guy and tell you that by waiting two weeks, he was able to exchange a minimal amount of Springer in a bad season for a full year of Springer in what could be a good season. That would be the 2020 season, which is now part of the Astros’ control period on Springer as he won’t have a full six served after 2019. (Read more of the details in this Evan Drellich piece at the Houston Chronicle.)

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Thoughts (both deep and shallow) inspired by Wednesday's games.

On Opening Day, I jotted down an assortment of thoughts and threw them all into this article, below which reader “cmyiii” commented, “Something like this every day—or even just once a week—is worth the price of admission.” Daniel Rathman’s column, What You Need to Know, delivers that daily fix, but by the request of at least one reader, I’ll be doing the same whenever I have enough disjointed observations from a single slate of games to add up to an article. Daniel covered Johnny Cueto’s complete game, the Yankees’ day-night shutout, and a couple other topics in today’s WYNTK; my topic grab bag is below.

Trivia question: Which pitcher wore the jauntier cap on Wednesday, Fernando Rodney or Michael Pineda? Answer at the bottom.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 17, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: Every Manager's Face: The New Guys

8

Sam Miller

Reading the faces of Lloyd McClendon, Rick Renteria, Matt Williams, Brad Ausmus, and Bryan Price.

Part 1
Part 2

Lotta new faces in the game this year, and those new faces have faces. Look at their faces:



The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Article Entries No More Article Entries