Biographical

Portrait of Neil Wagner

Neil Wagner PBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 30)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
50.7 4.21 1.41 51 2 1 0 0.2
Birth Date1-1-1984
Height6' 0"
Weight215 lbs
Age30 years, 9 months, 23 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
-0.12011
2012
0.22013
0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2011 OAK 27 6 0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 6 7 4 1 11 3 3 1 4 7.20 6.46 7.15 -0.8 -0.1
2013 TOR 29 36 0 38.0 0.0 38.0 2 4 0 1 0 0 161 39 17 16 5 60 13 12 1 33 3.79 4.15 4.41 1.5 0.2
2014 TOR 30 10 0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 12 9 9 1 23 4 4 1 6 8.10 4.76 6.45 -1.1 -0.1
Career52053.00.053.024010023457332979420193434.924.495.07-0.5-0.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2006 MHV A- 26 0 32.2 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .242 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 LKC A 34 0 44.0 3.49 131 .231 .260 .337 .391 .264 .319 102 11.2 1.1 11.2 1.1
2007 KIN A+ 16 0 24.0 4.25 108 .206 .258 .328 .378 .251 .236 100 2.9 0.3 2.9 0.3
2007 woc Wnt 12 0 17.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .381 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 KIN A+ 41 0 62.0 2.77 140 .257 .258 .331 .392 .261 .388 97 20.6 2.1 20.6 2.1
2008 AKR AA 7 0 10.0 3.36 130 .250 .271 .338 .406 .260 .277 102 4.1 0.4 4.1 0.4
2008 gcr Wnt 13 0 19.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .254 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 AKR AA 46 0 61.0 4.22 102 .235 .256 .329 .385 .262 .288 99 5.9 0.6 5.9 0.6
2010 AKR AA 13 0 14.3 2.66 144 .280 .259 .337 .405 .264 .362 105 4.9 0.5 4.9 0.5
2010 MID AA 33 0 48.7 3.97 111 .252 .258 .331 .374 .260 .346 101 7.1 0.7 7.1 0.7
2011 OAK MLB 6 0 5.0 7.15 46 .334 .261 .326 .411 .266 .333 104 -0.8 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1
2011 MID AA 28 0 37.3 2.44 158 .203 .265 .333 .417 .257 .352 115 15.2 1.5 15.2 1.5
2011 SAC AAA 22 0 29.0 3.15 140 .229 .288 .358 .453 .264 .329 92 9.1 0.9 9.1 0.9
2012 SAC AAA 15 0 19.7 4.85 108 .256 .284 .349 .434 .267 .365 101 3.1 0.3 3.1 0.3
2012 TUC AAA 31 0 43.0 4.60 119 .283 .284 .345 .429 .266 .372 108 7.4 0.7 7.1 0.7
2013 TOR MLB 36 0 38.0 4.41 100 .268 .259 .324 .411 .271 .312 102 1.5 0.2 1.5 0.2
2013 BUF AAA 23 0 23.7 1.85 159 .168 .267 .333 .401 .260 .317 103 8.3 0.9 8.3 0.9
2014 TOR MLB 10 0 10.0 6.45 58 .336 .244 .305 .370 .252 .297 109 -1.1 -0.1 -1.1 -0.1
2014 BUF AAA 9 0 9.0 1.58 166 .173 .264 .334 .408 .255 .273 103 3.9 0.4 3.9 0.4
2014 BLJ Rk 1 0 0.0 444.62 -8498 1.401 .257 .302 .436 .279 .000 111 -0.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2006 MHV A- 0 1 17 26 0 32.2 16 9 50 1 0% .242 4.5 2.5 0.3 14.0 0.78 1.40 0.0 0.0
2007 woc Wnt 0 1 0 12 0 17.7 27 12 16 3 0% .381 13.7 6.1 1.5 8.1 2.20 9.66 0.0 0.0
2007 KIN A+ 0 0 0 16 0 24.0 17 6 18 2 53% .236 6.4 2.2 0.8 6.8 0.96 3.00 2.9 0.3
2007 LKC A 1 4 11 34 0 44.0 41 11 49 3 39% .319 8.4 2.2 0.6 10.0 1.18 3.68 11.2 1.1
2008 KIN A+ 3 6 3 41 0 62.0 67 21 81 1 59% .388 9.7 3.0 0.1 11.8 1.42 4.50 20.6 2.1
2008 gcr Wnt 0 1 0 13 0 19.3 18 12 9 2 0% .254 8.4 5.6 0.9 4.2 1.55 5.60 0.0 0.0
2008 AKR AA 0 2 0 7 0 10.0 10 4 11 1 35% .277 9.0 3.6 0.9 9.9 1.40 3.60 4.1 0.4
2009 AKR AA 1 3 2 46 0 61.0 48 32 69 3 56% .288 7.1 4.7 0.4 10.2 1.31 2.95 5.9 0.6
2010 MID AA 6 2 1 33 0 48.7 55 27 45 1 57% .346 10.2 5.0 0.2 8.3 1.68 3.70 7.1 0.7
2010 AKR AA 1 1 4 13 0 14.3 17 7 15 0 43% .362 10.7 4.4 0.0 9.4 1.68 6.29 4.9 0.5
2011 OAK MLB 0 0 0 6 0 5.0 6 3 4 1 50% .333 10.8 5.4 1.8 7.2 1.80 7.20 -0.8 -0.1
2011 SAC AAA 2 1 2 22 0 29.0 27 10 34 2 35% .329 8.4 3.1 0.6 10.6 1.28 3.10 9.1 0.9
2011 MID AA 1 3 4 28 0 37.3 31 13 53 0 62% .352 7.5 3.1 0.0 12.8 1.18 3.38 15.2 1.5
2012 SAC AAA 1 1 1 15 0 19.7 20 6 24 1 38% .365 9.2 2.7 0.5 11.0 1.32 5.49 3.1 0.3
2012 TUC AAA 3 1 0 31 0 43.0 57 17 32 2 47% .372 11.9 3.6 0.4 6.7 1.72 5.44 7.1 0.7
2013 BUF AAA 1 0 16 23 0 23.7 13 9 38 0 41% .317 4.9 3.4 0.0 14.5 0.93 0.76 8.3 0.9
2013 TOR MLB 2 4 0 36 0 38.0 39 13 33 5 46% .312 9.2 3.1 1.2 7.8 1.37 3.79 1.5 0.2
2014 BUF AAA 0 1 4 9 0 9.0 6 3 11 0 50% .273 6.0 3.0 0.0 11.0 1.00 4.00 3.9 0.4
2014 TOR MLB 0 0 0 10 0 10.0 12 4 6 1 26% .297 10.8 3.6 0.9 5.4 1.60 8.10 -1.1 -0.1
2014 BLJ Rk 0 0 0 1 0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0% .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 -0.9 -0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 105 0.5429 0.5429 0.7895 0.7368 0.3125 0.8333 0.6667 0.2105
2013 645 0.5194 0.4667 0.7841 0.6746 0.2419 0.8186 0.6800 0.2159
2014 216 0.5000 0.4676 0.8317 0.7037 0.2315 0.8421 0.8000 0.1683
Career9660.51760.47520.79530.68790.24720.82550.70540.2047

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-02 2014-09-01 Minors 91 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery - Designated for Assignment 2014-08-19
2014-05-03 2014-05-11 Minors 8 0 Right Forearm Strain - -
2010-05-30 2010-06-12 Minors 13 0 Left Ankle Sprain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 TOR $
2013 OAK $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 158 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Toronto 3/14. Released by Toronto 9/1/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Signed by Toronto as a free agent 11/15/12 (minor-league contract). Contract purchased by Toronto 5/29/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by Oakland 2/12. Claimed by San Diego off waivers from Oakland 5/28/12. DFA by San Diego 8/23/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Oakland 8/30/11.
  • Acquired by Oakland in trade from Cleveland 5/11/10 (for cash).
  • Drafted by Cleveland 2005 (21-634) (North Dakota State).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 0 0 0 0 0 74.5 59 26 71 7 .265 1.15 3.13 3.4 0.0 0.0
80o 0 0 0 0 0 68.1 58 26 65 7 .280 1.24 3.55 3.86 0.0 0.0
70o 0 0 0 0 0 63.6 58 26 61 6 .290 1.31 3.86 4.19 0.0 0.0
60o 0 0 0 0 0 59.8 57 25 57 6 .299 1.37 4.12 4.48 0.0 0.0
50o 0 0 0 0 0 56.4 56 25 54 6 .308 1.42 4.38 4.76 0.0 0.0
40o 0 0 0 0 0 53.0 54 24 51 6 .316 1.48 4.64 5.04 0.0 0.0
30o 0 0 0 0 0 49.5 53 24 47 6 .326 1.55 4.92 5.35 0.0 0.0
20o 0 0 0 0 0 45.5 51 23 44 6 .336 1.63 5.25 5.71 0.0 0.0
10o 0 0 0 0 0 40.1 48 21 38 5 .351 1.74 5.73 6.23 0.0 0.0
Weighted Mean0000055.85424536.3061.414.344.720.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
11% 17% 11% 14% 31%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20153121045048482045547.3081.424.344.729.03.88.40.90.1
20163221043045451842547.3081.394.364.748.93.68.31.00.1
20173321040043431739547.3091.414.384.769.13.68.21.10.1
20183421038041411637547.3091.404.374.749.13.58.21.10.1
20193521036038391434447.3101.414.424.819.33.38.11.00.1
20203621034036371433447.3091.404.364.749.23.58.21.00.1
20213721032034351331447.3101.404.374.769.23.48.11.00.1
20223821032034351330447.3101.434.374.759.43.58.01.10.1
20233921031033341229447.3101.394.404.789.33.37.91.10.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
4.52.32.32.53.32.314.9

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 91 Dane De La Rosa 2013 3.36
2 90 Jim Henderson 2013 2.70
3 90 Jim Hoey 2013 0.00 DNP
4 90 Greg Burke 2013 7.67
5 90 Jailen Peguero 2011 0.00 DNP
6 88 Jairo Asencio 2013 7.71
7 87 Clay Rapada 2011 6.61
8 87 Chris Schroder 2009 0.00 DNP
9 87 Carlos Muniz 2011 0.00 DNP
10 86 Beau Vaughan 2011 0.00 DNP
11 86 Jonathan Albaladejo 2013 0.00 DNP
12 86 Jordan De Jong 2009 0.00 DNP
13 85 Jason Bulger 2009 3.56
14 85 Steve Andrade 2008 0.00 DNP
15 85 Marcus McBeth 2011 0.00 DNP
16 85 Marcus Gwyn 2008 0.00 DNP
17 84 Jose Valdez 2013 0.00 DNP
18 84 Dale Thayer 2011 3.48
19 84 Rocky Cherry 2010 0.00 DNP
20 84 Ryan Braun 2011 0.00 DNP
21 84 Jim Miller 2012 2.77
22 84 Brad Salmon 2010 0.00 DNP
23 83 Mitch Stetter 2011 5.14
24 83 Eric Hull 2010 0.00 DNP
25 83 Allan Simpson 2008 0.00 DNP
26 83 Felix Romero 2010 0.00 DNP
27 83 Gabe DeHoyos 2010 0.00 DNP
28 83 Juan Salas 2009 0.00 DNP
29 83 Josh Schmidt 2013 0.00 DNP
30 83 Jon Switzer 2010 0.00 DNP
31 82 Bobby Korecky 2010 0.00 DNP
32 82 Travis Hughes 2008 0.00 DNP
33 82 Sean Henn 2011 0.00 DNP
34 81 Ryan Bukvich 2008 6.75
35 81 Mike DeMark 2013 0.00 DNP
36 81 T.J. Beam 2011 0.00 DNP
37 81 Bill White 2009 0.00 DNP
38 81 Joe Torres 2013 0.00 DNP
39 81 Alex Hinshaw 2013 0.00 DNP
40 81 Royce Ring 2011 0.00 DNP
41 81 Joe Bateman 2010 0.00 DNP
42 81 Charlie Manning 2009 0.00 DNP
43 80 Colter Bean 2007 12.00
44 80 Jason Urquidez 2013 0.00 DNP
45 80 Dusty Hughes 2012 0.00 DNP
46 80 Ryan Houston 2010 0.00 DNP
47 80 Dennis Sarfate 2011 0.00 DNP
48 80 Steven Jackson 2012 0.00 DNP
49 80 Mike Zagurski 2013 17.05
50 79 Merkin Valdez 2012 0.00 DNP
51 79 Jim Ed Warden 2009 0.00 DNP
52 79 Carmen Cali 2009 0.00 DNP
53 79 Francisco Butto 2010 0.00 DNP
54 79 Jason Kershner 2007 0.00 DNP
55 78 Greg Aquino 2008 12.54
56 78 Ross Wolf 2013 4.53
57 78 Tim Hamulack 2007 0.00 DNP
58 78 Paul Bush 2010 0.00 DNP
59 78 J.J. Putz 2007 1.38
60 78 Joey Newby 2012 0.00 DNP
61 78 Ben Howard 2009 0.00 DNP
62 77 Jason Anderson 2009 0.00 DNP
63 77 Ben Julianel 2010 0.00 DNP
64 77 Adam Russell 2013 0.00 DNP
65 77 Rich Rundles 2011 0.00 DNP
66 77 Nick Regilio 2009 0.00 DNP
67 77 Amauri Sanit 2010 0.00 DNP
68 77 Mike Burns 2009 6.27
69 77 Tim Wood 2013 0.00 DNP
70 77 Greg Jones 2007 6.23
71 77 Carlos Fisher 2013 0.00 DNP
72 77 Doug Slaten 2010 3.98
73 77 Mike Adams 2009 2.19
74 76 Jarrett Grube 2012 0.00 DNP
75 76 Andrew Brown 2011 0.00 DNP
76 76 Tom Mastny 2011 0.00 DNP
77 76 Grant Balfour 2008 1.54
78 76 Blaine Neal 2008 0.00 DNP
79 76 Brent Leach 2013 0.00 DNP
80 76 Jon Huber 2012 0.00 DNP
81 76 Ian Ostlund 2009 0.00 DNP
82 76 Victor Marte 2011 0.00 DNP
83 76 George Sherrill 2007 2.36
84 76 Jeff Gray 2012 5.88
85 76 Justin James 2012 0.00 DNP
86 76 Heath Bell 2008 3.58
87 76 Jason Motte 2012 2.88
88 76 Kurt Birkins 2011 0.00 DNP
89 75 Josh Roenicke 2013 4.35
90 75 Edwar Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
91 75 Brad Thomas 2008 0.00 DNP
92 75 Brian Tallet 2008 3.04
93 75 Matt Daley 2012 0.00 DNP
94 75 Omar Beltre 2012 0.00 DNP
95 75 Dan Meyer 2012 0.00 DNP
96 75 Chad Cordero 2012 0.00 DNP
97 75 Mumba Rivera 2011 0.00 DNP
98 75 Jose Veras 2011 4.18
99 75 Fernando Rodney 2007 4.80
100 75 Jerome Gamble 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .274 .329 .448 .253
11 vs R (Multi) .270 .342 .401 .273
18 Split (Multi) .004 -.014 .047 -.020
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .270 .324 .444 .249
31 vs R (2013) .272 .341 .395 .270
38 Split (2013) -.002 -.017 .049 -.021
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2008 Neil Wagner is a prospect because he packs some serious heat and strikes guys out, but he's still looking for a second pitch.
2007 Neil Wagner put up dominating numbers in his pro debut thanks to an upper-90s fastball, but his ability to find a quality off-speed pitch will define his future.

BP Articles

Neil Wagner is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Rays to the TopR.J. Anderson2014-09-16
BP Unfiltered: Scouting Steve Tolleson as a PitcherDan Rozenson2014-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Kluber Completes a GameDaniel Rathman2014-04-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersJared Weiss2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersBen Murphy2014-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 21, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 2, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-02
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 22, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-22
This article requires BP Premium accessBP Unfiltered: The Longest Plate Appearance of the Week, 6/21Ben Lindbergh2013-06-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Ack to the MinorsR.J. Anderson2013-05-31
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 30, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-30


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Neil Wagner has thrown 971 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (96mph), also mixing in a Slider (87mph) and Change (86mph).