Tom Seaver | Baseball Prospectus

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Career Summary

Years	IP	W	L	SV	SO	ERA	WARP
20	4783	311	205	1	3640	2.86	67.5

Birth Date	11-17-1944
Height	6' 1"
Weight	206 lbs

Bats	R
Throws	R

WARP Summary

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YEAR	TEAM	AGE	G	GS	IP	IP-SP	IP-RP	W	L	SV	BS	QS	BQS	PA	H	R	ER	HR	TB	BB	UBB	HBP	SO	ERA	FIP	FRA	VORP	WARP
1967	NYN	22	35	34	251.0	249.7	1.3	16	13	0	0	24	4	1029	224	85	77	19	331	78	72	5	170	2.76	3.28	3.64	21.8	2.6
1968	NYN	23	36	35	278.0	277.0	1.0	16	12	1	0	31	1	1088	224	73	68	15	324	48	43	8	205	2.20	2.38	2.63	28.9	3.9
1969	NYN	24	36	35	273.3	273.0	0.3	25	7	0	0	29	2	1089	202	75	67	24	323	82	73	7	208	2.21	3.25	3.66	27.5	3.6
1970	NYN	25	37	36	290.7	290.3	0.3	18	12	0	0	26	6	1173	230	103	91	21	352	83	75	4	283	2.82	2.74	3.01	70.7	7.9
1971	NYN	26	36	35	286.3	285.7	0.7	20	10	0	1	31	0	1103	210	61	56	18	303	61	59	4	289	1.76	2.02	2.55	64.7	7.4
1972	NYN	27	35	35	262.0	262.0	0.0	21	12	0	0	22	5	1060	215	92	85	23	329	77	75	5	249	2.92	2.71	3.16	40.5	5.2
1973	NYN	28	36	36	290.0	290.0	0.0	19	10	0	0	31	2	1147	219	74	67	23	333	64	59	4	251	2.08	2.55	3.16	47.2	5.0
1974	NYN	29	32	32	236.0	236.0	0.0	11	11	0	0	18	4	956	199	89	84	19	295	75	65	3	201	3.20	2.92	3.70	28.0	3.6
1975	NYN	30	36	36	280.3	280.3	0.0	22	9	0	0	27	4	1115	217	81	74	11	295	88	82	4	243	2.38	2.38	3.08	46.8	5.1
1976	NYN	31	35	34	271.0	270.7	0.3	14	11	0	0	26	2	1079	211	83	78	14	300	77	68	4	235	2.59	2.48	2.88	41.7	4.8
1977	CIN	32	20	20	165.3	165.3	0.0	14	3	0	0	14	4	641	120	45	43	12	190	38	35	0	124	2.34	2.87	3.65	29.4	3.0
1977	NYN	32	13	13	96.0	96.0	0.0	7	3	0	0	8	1	390	79	33	32	7	117	28	25	0	72	3.00	3.06	3.76	10.5	1.2
1978	CIN	33	36	36	259.7	259.7	0.0	16	14	0	0	28	3	1075	218	97	83	26	352	89	78	0	226	2.88	3.21	3.57	33.0	3.4
1979	CIN	34	32	32	215.0	215.0	0.0	16	6	0	0	22	2	868	187	85	75	16	277	61	55	0	131	3.14	3.29	3.80	29.2	3.4
1980	CIN	35	26	26	168.0	168.0	0.0	10	8	0	0	19	0	692	140	74	68	24	243	59	56	1	101	3.64	4.47	5.16	0.5	0.3
1981	CIN	36	23	23	166.3	166.3	0.0	14	2	0	0	15	1	671	120	51	47	10	187	66	58	3	87	2.54	3.65	3.91	13.2	1.4
1982	CIN	37	21	21	111.3	111.3	0.0	5	13	0	0	8	2	501	136	75	68	14	225	44	40	3	62	5.50	4.54	5.27	-1.2	-0.5
1983	NYN	38	34	34	231.0	231.0	0.0	9	14	0	0	20	4	962	201	104	91	18	293	86	81	4	135	3.55	3.69	4.58	4.4	0.4
1984	CHA	39	34	33	236.7	235.7	1.0	15	11	0	0	15	4	978	216	108	104	27	346	61	58	2	131	3.95	3.92	4.50	15.9	1.7
1985	CHA	40	35	33	238.7	237.0	1.7	16	11	0	0	25	3	993	223	103	84	22	337	69	63	8	134	3.17	3.78	4.43	20.1	2.1
1986	BOS	41	16	16	104.3	104.3	0.0	5	7	0	0	9	2	450	114	46	44	8	162	29	28	2	72	3.80	3.30	3.87	18.5	1.9
1986	CHA	41	12	12	72.0	72.0	0.0	2	6	0	0	6	0	309	66	37	35	9	112	27	26	5	31	4.38	4.89	5.56	0.0	0.0
Career			656	647	4783.0	4776.3	6.7	311	205	1	1	454	56	19369	3971	1674	1521	380	6026	1390	1274	76	3640	2.86	3.09	3.61	591.4	67.5

Advanced

'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	FRA	FRA+	TAv	oppAVG	oppOBP	oppSLG	oppTAv	BABIP	PPF	PVORP	PWARP	VORP	WARP
1967	NYN	MLB	35	34	251.0	3.64	104	.255	.266	.327	.403	.281	.271	99	18.2	2.1	21.8	2.6
1968	NYN	MLB	36	35	278.0	2.63	113	.235	.260	.315	.372	.274	.257	89	26.4	3.3	28.9	3.9
1969	NYN	MLB	36	35	273.3	3.66	108	.230	.264	.333	.396	.274	.232	98	25.8	2.9	27.5	3.6
1970	NYN	MLB	37	36	290.7	3.01	131	.221	.272	.340	.414	.276	.267	96	63.5	6.7	70.7	7.9
1971	NYN	MLB	36	35	286.3	2.55	133	.208	.269	.329	.388	.273	.263	97	58.4	6.7	64.7	7.4
1972	NYN	MLB	35	35	262.0	3.16	115	.245	.267	.330	.396	.280	.272	95	35.3	4.2	40.5	5.2
1973	NYN	MLB	36	36	290.0	3.16	122	.214	.271	.339	.412	.276	.243	97	43.2	4.7	47.2	5.0
1974	NYN	MLB	32	32	236.0	3.70	110	.232	.276	.342	.399	.277	.274	100	28.7	3.1	28.0	3.6
1975	NYN	MLB	36	36	280.3	3.08	122	.215	.277	.343	.405	.275	.268	95	43.0	4.6	46.8	5.1
1976	NYN	MLB	35	34	271.0	2.88	122	.223	.266	.330	.381	.270	.263	92	42.8	4.8	41.7	4.8
1977	CIN	MLB	20	20	165.3	3.65	118	.197	.271	.338	.421	.272	.231	101	23.3	2.4	29.4	3.0
1977	NYN	MLB	13	13	96.0	3.76	107	.220	.279	.345	.432	.275	.254	92	10.6	1.1	10.5	1.2
1978	CIN	MLB	36	36	259.7	3.57	114	.245	.269	.332	.402	.272	.262	103	32.3	3.5	33.0	3.4
1979	CIN	MLB	32	32	215.0	3.80	110	.230	.271	.331	.400	.264	.259	99	25.6	2.7	29.2	3.4
1980	CIN	MLB	26	26	168.0	5.16	75	.242	.270	.329	.396	.266	.229	103	-2.5	-0.3	0.5	0.3
1981	CIN	MLB	23	23	166.3	3.91	98	.235	.267	.328	.381	.268	.218	99	8.9	1.0	13.2	1.4
1982	CIN	MLB	21	21	111.3	5.27	73	.299	.271	.329	.401	.267	.323	102	-2.3	-0.2	-1.2	-0.5
1983	NYN	MLB	34	34	231.0	4.58	85	.240	.269	.335	.398	.268	.255	97	3.1	0.3	4.4	0.4
1984	CHA	MLB	34	33	236.7	4.50	98	.245	.271	.333	.416	.273	.250	99	15.9	1.7	15.9	1.7
1985	CHA	MLB	35	33	238.7	4.43	101	.250	.268	.334	.421	.276	.264	98	20.1	2.1	20.1	2.1
1986	BOS	MLB	16	16	104.3	3.87	117	.264	.270	.338	.429	.277	.313	101	18.5	1.9	18.5	1.9
1986	CHA	MLB	12	12	72.0	5.56	78	.265	.268	.340	.419	.274	.241	98	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Career		MLB		647	4783.0	3.61	110	.234	.269	.333	.402	.273	.259	97	539.0	59.3	591.4	67.5

Statistics For All Levels

Year	Team	Lg	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	WHIP	ERA	VORP	WARP
1967	NYN	MLB	16	13	0	35	34	251.0	224	78	170	19	50%	.271	8.0	2.8	0.7	6.1	1.20	2.76	21.8	2.6
1968	NYN	MLB	16	12	1	36	35	278.0	224	48	205	15	49%	.257	7.3	1.6	0.5	6.6	0.98	2.20	28.9	3.9
1969	NYN	MLB	25	7	0	36	35	273.3	202	82	208	24	51%	.232	6.7	2.7	0.8	6.8	1.04	2.21	27.5	3.6
1970	NYN	MLB	18	12	0	37	36	290.7	230	83	283	21	47%	.267	7.1	2.6	0.7	8.8	1.08	2.82	70.7	7.9
1971	NYN	MLB	20	10	0	36	35	286.3	210	61	289	18	48%	.263	6.6	1.9	0.6	9.1	0.95	1.76	64.7	7.4
1972	NYN	MLB	21	12	0	35	35	262.0	215	77	249	23	47%	.272	7.4	2.6	0.8	8.6	1.11	2.92	40.5	5.2
1973	NYN	MLB	19	10	0	36	36	290.0	219	64	251	23	48%	.243	6.8	2.0	0.7	7.8	0.98	2.08	47.2	5.0
1974	NYN	MLB	11	11	0	32	32	236.0	199	75	201	19	54%	.274	7.6	2.9	0.7	7.7	1.16	3.20	28.0	3.6
1975	NYN	MLB	22	9	0	36	36	280.3	217	88	243	11	52%	.268	7.0	2.8	0.4	7.8	1.09	2.38	46.8	5.1
1976	NYN	MLB	14	11	0	35	34	271.0	211	77	235	14	52%	.263	7.0	2.6	0.5	7.8	1.06	2.59	41.7	4.8
1977	NYN	MLB	7	3	0	13	13	96.0	79	28	72	7	41%	.254	7.4	2.6	0.7	6.8	1.11	3.00	10.5	1.2
1977	CIN	MLB	14	3	0	20	20	165.3	120	38	124	12	43%	.231	6.5	2.1	0.7	6.8	0.96	2.34	29.4	3.0
1978	CIN	MLB	16	14	0	36	36	259.7	218	89	226	26	49%	.262	7.6	3.1	0.9	7.8	1.18	2.88	33.0	3.4
1979	CIN	MLB	16	6	0	32	32	215.0	187	61	131	16	48%	.259	7.8	2.6	0.7	5.5	1.15	3.14	29.2	3.4
1980	CIN	MLB	10	8	0	26	26	168.0	140	59	101	24	49%	.229	7.5	3.2	1.3	5.4	1.18	3.64	0.5	0.3
1981	CIN	MLB	14	2	0	23	23	166.3	120	66	87	10	48%	.218	6.5	3.6	0.5	4.7	1.12	2.54	13.2	1.4
1982	CIN	MLB	5	13	0	21	21	111.3	136	44	62	14	61%	.323	11.0	3.6	1.1	5.0	1.62	5.50	-1.2	-0.5
1983	NYN	MLB	9	14	0	34	34	231.0	201	86	135	18	51%	.255	7.8	3.4	0.7	5.3	1.24	3.55	4.4	0.4
1984	CHA	MLB	15	11	0	34	33	236.7	216	61	131	27	50%	.250	8.2	2.3	1.0	5.0	1.17	3.95	15.9	1.7
1985	CHA	MLB	16	11	0	35	33	238.7	223	69	134	22	56%	.264	8.4	2.6	0.8	5.1	1.22	3.17	20.1	2.1
1986	CHA	MLB	2	6	0	12	12	72.0	66	27	31	9	54%	.241	8.2	3.4	1.1	3.9	1.29	4.38	0.0	0.0
1986	BOS	MLB	5	7	0	16	16	104.3	114	29	72	8	47%	.313	9.8	2.5	0.7	6.2	1.37	3.80	18.5	1.9

Injury History beta

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
1986-05-18	1986-06-04	15-DL	17	15	Left	Shoulder	Inflammation		-	-
1980-07-01	1980-08-04		34	33	Left	Shoulder	Inflammation		-	-

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status

Details

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

Tom Seaver is referenced in the following articles.

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Title	Author	Date
Raising Aces: Time to Unwind	Doug Thorburn	2013-05-03
Baseball ProGUESTus: When Good Things Come in Three Years	Chad Finn	2013-04-17
Fantasy Freestyle: As Good as They Once Were?	Jason Collette	2013-04-02
Perfect Game Presents: 2013 Rookie of the Year Candidates	David Rawnsley	2013-03-29
The BP Wayback Machine: Opening Day Goodbyes	Jim Baker	2013-03-29
Overthinking It: Ranking Rivera	Ben Lindbergh	2013-03-22
Punk Hits: Top Team Cookbooks, Part 2	Ian Miller	2013-02-05
Western Front: Zeroes and Ones	Geoff Young	2013-01-15
Baseball Therapy: Lessons from the Hall of Fame Vote	Russell A. Carleton	2013-01-10
Transaction Analysis: Dodgers Go Big for Greinke	Sam Miller	2012-12-10
What You Need to Know: Thursday, August 30	Daniel Rathman	2012-08-30
Baseball ProGUESTus: No No-No, No Cry	Craig Glaser	2012-05-29
BP Unfiltered: Buster Posey Was One Year Ago	Sam Miller	2012-05-25
Inside The Park Blog: Big 3s: The Complete List	Bradford Doolittle	2012-05-24
The Platoon Advantage: All Done With All-Time Teams	Michael Bates	2012-04-18
Research Mailbag: More Than a Mouthful	Bradley Ankrom	2012-04-12
Pebble Hunting: Matt Moore Against Miguel Cabrera	Sam Miller	2012-04-11
Baseball ProGUESTus: Between Death and Glory	Ian Miller	2012-04-10
Transaction Analysis: 12 Years For Joey Votto	Ben Lindbergh	2012-04-03
The Process: Which College Programs Have Produced the Most Value?	Bradley Ankrom	2012-04-03
Western Front: Runs? We Don't Need No Stinkin' Runs!	Geoff Young	2012-02-21
The BP Broadside: Fernandomania and Linsanity	Steven Goldman	2012-02-16
Prospectus Hit and Run: The Golden Era Ballot for the Hall of Fame	Jay Jaffe	2011-11-22
Fantasy Beat: Hellickson's BABIP: Lucky or Sustainable?	Jason Collette	2011-10-10
Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Curious Case of Javier Vazquez	Michael Jong	2011-09-06
Clubhouse Confidential: Be Like CC	Marc Carig	2011-08-03
The Lineup Card: 17 Favorite Midseason Trades	Baseball Prospectus	2011-07-27
BP Unfiltered: The Hallworthy Alomar and Blyleven	Jay Jaffe	2011-07-23
Prospectus Hit and Run: Cooperstown's Backhanded Compliment	Jay Jaffe	2011-07-22
Baseball ProGUESTus: Astros Appreciation	Allen Barra	2011-07-15
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail 6/19	John Perrotto	2011-06-19
The Payoff Pitch: How the Mets Were Lost	Neil deMause	2011-05-26
Aging Hurlers: Javier Vazquez and the Incredible Fading Fastball	Michael Jong	2011-05-25
Transaction Analysis: Return of the Busted Prospects	Ben Lindbergh	2011-04-26
The BP Broadside: New Age Mets Mass-a-cree	Steven Goldman	2011-04-12
The BP Broadside: When is Baseball's MVP Its Least Valuable Player?	Steven Goldman	2011-02-10
Prospectus Hit and Run: Class of 2011: Starting Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2010-12-20
Spinning Yarn: The Glavine Line	Mike Fast	2010-10-14
Changing Speeds: Closing Time	Ken Funck	2010-09-30
You Could Look It Up: The Futility of Selling	Steven Goldman	2010-07-30
Prospectus Hit and Run: Don't Call it the Veterans' Committee	Jay Jaffe	2010-07-28
Prospectus Hit and Run: Jacktastic!	Jay Jaffe	2010-06-30
One-Hoppers: Pettitte on the Ritz	Ben Lindbergh	2010-06-05
Another Look: A Six Pack of No-Hitters	Bob Hertzel	2010-06-01
You Can Blog It Up: Dead Player of the Day and Other Controversies #18	Steven Goldman	2010-05-04
Prospectus Hit and Run: Tom Glavine	Jay Jaffe	2010-02-17
Prospectus Hit and Run: 10 Men Out	Jay Jaffe	2010-01-13
Prospectus Hit and Run: Hall of Fame Cases for Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2010-01-06
Prospectus Q&A: Best Q&A Quotes of 2009	David Laurila	2009-12-30
Player Profile: Pedro Martinez	Marc Normandin	2009-11-04
You Could Look It Up: He Should Have Picked Lee	Steven Goldman	2009-11-01
On the Beat: Weekend Update	John Perrotto	2009-09-27
Future Shock: Monday Ten Pack	Kevin Goldstein	2009-06-29
Prospectus Q&A: Rob Deer	David Laurila	2009-04-12
Is Consistency Key?: Adventures in Pitching	Eric Seidman	2009-03-03
Prospectus Q&A: George Thorogood	David Laurila	2009-02-22
You Could Look It Up: The Nose Knows	Steven Goldman	2009-01-27
Prospectus Hit and Run: Protracting the Process	Jay Jaffe	2009-01-22
Prospectus Hit and Run: The Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2009-01-12
Prospectus Today: The Old You're In, You're Out	Joe Sheehan	2008-12-18
Prospectus Q&A: Rico Carty	Carlos J. Lugo	2008-12-15
Prospectus Q&A: Richard Dotson	David Laurila	2008-12-14
On the Beat: One Man's Hall of Fame Vote	John Perrotto	2008-12-03
You Could Look It Up: The Best-Worst Blue Jays versus the Best-Worst Pirates	Steven Goldman	2008-10-07
Prospectus Preview: Saturday's Games to Watch	Caleb Peiffer	2008-09-27
You Could Look It Up: Love in the Temperate Zone, Part One	Steven Goldman	2008-09-09
The Week In Quotes: August 25-31	Alex Carnevale	2008-09-01
Prospectus Matchups: Learning to Cheer Correctly	Jim Baker	2008-06-27
Prospectus Q&A: Marvin Miller	Jay Jaffe	2008-06-02
Prospectus Hit and Run: Take Me Out of the Hall Game	Jay Jaffe	2008-05-29
You Could Look It Up: Who Really Needed an Early Pink Slip?	Steven Goldman	2008-04-26
Prospectus Preview: Tuesday's Games to Watch	Caleb Peiffer	2008-04-22
Prospectus Matchups: Opening Day Goodbyes	Jim Baker	2008-03-28
You Could Look It Up: Fun with Comparables	Steven Goldman	2008-02-25
Prospectus Hit and Run: Having a Ball	Jay Jaffe	2008-02-22
Lies, Damned Lies: The Smoking Gun?	Nate Silver	2008-02-14
You Could Look It Up: Topping the Twins?	Steven Goldman	2008-02-11
Prospectus Hit and Run: Tandemonium	Jay Jaffe	2008-02-07
Prospectus Matchups: Dead Horses and Fifth Starters	Jim Baker	2008-01-04
The Class of 2008: The Starting Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2008-01-03
Prospectus Matchups: The Freshmen	Jim Baker	2007-11-30
You Could Look It Up: Sweepers, Part 3	Steven Goldman	2007-11-12
Schrodinger's Bat: The Biggest Booms and Busts?	Dan Fox	2007-11-08
Hope and Faith: How the Boston Red Sox Can Win the World Series	Baseball Prospectus	2007-10-29
Lies, Damned Lies: The Best Player in Baseball, Part Two	Nate Silver	2007-09-21
Prospectus Matchups: Grab Bag	Jim Baker	2007-08-31
Lies, Damned Lies: Rookies and Cycles	Nate Silver	2007-08-23
Prospectus Matchups: 300	Jim Baker	2007-08-10
The Big Picture: Evolving the Save Rule	David Pinto	2007-08-08
History's Heights: Tom Glavine's Climb to 300	John Perrotto	2007-08-06
Prospectus Today: Round Number Day	Joe Sheehan	2007-06-29
Under The Knife: Less Than Ideal	Will Carroll	2007-06-20
JAWS Returns: Cooperstown Musings	Jay Jaffe	2007-05-21
Under The Knife: Prior Mayhem Makes a Long Wait Longer	Will Carroll	2007-04-26
Transaction Analysis: April 15-18	Christina Kahrl	2007-04-19
Hope and Faith: How the Boston Red Sox Can Win the World Series	Keith Woolner	2007-02-28
Grumpy Old Men: JAWS Tackles the Veterans Committee Ballot	Jay Jaffe	2007-02-26
Prospectus Today: Signature Insignificance	Joe Sheehan	2007-02-23
Transaction Analysis: NL East Catchup	Christina Kahrl	2007-01-31
The Class of 2007: The Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2007-01-09
Playoff Prospectus: The Best and Worst of Mets and Cardinals Postseason Pitching	Jim Baker	2006-10-14
Schrodinger's Bat: On Scorers and Scoring	Dan Fox	2006-09-21
Under The Knife: Liriano Update	Will Carroll	2006-09-15
Prospectus Matchups: Sweepers and Sweepees	Jim Baker	2006-08-22
Prospectus Matchups: The Best Rookie Pitching Duos of These Modern Times	Jim Baker	2006-08-02
Prospectus Matchups: Early Clincher	Jim Baker	2006-06-27
Under The Knife: Elbow Surprise	Will Carroll	2006-05-17
Prospectus Matchups: College Boys	Jim Baker	2006-01-04
The Class of 2006: Starting Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2005-12-16
Prospectus Matchups: I Remember	Jim Baker	2005-11-04
Prospectus Matchups: Feels Like the First Time	Jim Baker	2005-10-21
Prospectus Game of the Week: St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros, 9/4/05	Jonah Keri	2005-09-06
Prospectus Matchups: Passel of Pitchers	Jim Baker	2005-07-29
The Class of 2006: Pitchers, Pitchers and More Pitchers	Bryan Smith	2005-06-30
Prospectus Matchups: Good Fridays Past	Jim Baker	2005-03-25
Prospectus Matchups: Potpourri for $100	Jim Baker	2005-03-22
Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York Mets	Baseball Prospectus	2005-03-04
Prospectus Triple Play: Houston Astros, St. Louis Cardinals, Texas Rangers	Baseball Prospectus	2005-02-10
Prospectus Matchups: Seeking the Perfect Candidate	Jim Baker	2005-01-06
The Class of 2005: The Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2004-12-20
Prospectus Today: Nine Games	Joe Sheehan	2004-06-14
You Could Look It Up: Draft Edition	Steven Goldman	2004-06-09
Not Earning Its Keep, Part II: More on the Unearned Run	Michael Wolverton	2004-05-06
You Could Look It Up: Reverse Lepidoptery	Steven Goldman	2004-03-26
Marginal Payroll/Marginal Wins: 1980-1984	Doug Pappas	2004-03-16
You Could Look It Up: 1984 Part V: Baseball Prospectus, Circa '84	Steven Goldman	2004-02-23
Trading a Superstar: It's Not as Rare as You Might Think	Mark Armour	2004-01-16
The Class of 2004: Analyzing the Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2004-01-14
Lies, Damned Lies: Working Late	Nate Silver	2003-10-08
Can Of Corn: Game Scores, v2.0	Dayn Perry	2003-09-17
Prospectus Roundtable: Mark Prior and Pitch Counts	Baseball Prospectus	2003-07-01
Prospectus Triple Play: Anaheim Angels, Chicago Cubs, Detroit Tigers	Baseball Prospectus	2003-04-24
Team Health Reports: Chicago Cubs	Will Carroll	2003-02-26
Another Curse Unmasked: One Ring to Rule Them All	Shane Demmitt	2002-08-29

BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2011-01-05 13:00:00	Hi Jay! greetings from your southern-most follower (unless someone in the southern island of NZ is also out there?) Quick question, who would be the 5 charter members of the Baseball HoF if it was founded today? (Guillermo from Montevideo, Uruguay)	Hey Guillermo! I think if you were to start today, Babe Ruth, Willie Mays, Hank Aaron and Cy Young would be four of those five. I'm not sure who the fifth would be, though - probably another pitcher. Maybe Tom Seaver given that he had the highest vote percentage of all time. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-05-14 13:00:00	Who gets into the HOF on the first ballot with a higher percentage of votes, Mariano Rivera or Derek Jeter? I think even those voters with anti-closer bias are going to agree with Mo's inclusion, eh? Tough call. (tommybones from brooklyn)	I don't think I'm going out too far on a limb by saying that either of these guys could challenge Tom Seaver's 98.84% record vote. The closer thing is more likely to work against Mo, but any writer who doesn't think both of those two are Hallworthy should be considered a fraud. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-10-20 13:00:00	Hi Steve, Thanks for chatting. Speaking of the 1969 Mets, they were, of course, led by Tom Seaver, whom they acquired by pulling his name out of a hat. How should have the commissioner handled the case to Seaver's rights back then? (ripfan008 from Baltimore)	And we're back... The whole Seaver situation was kind of a joke, a crazy catch-22. The Braves made Seaver a #1 pick in 1966, but the contract was voided because USC had started its exhibition season by the time the deal went through - not that Seaver had played, although he had worked out with the team (IIRC). Simultaneously, the NCAA ruled Seaver ineligible because he had signed a pro contract. He had nowhere to go. Baseball's solution was a lottery for Seaver. The weird thing about it was that only three teams asked for a shot, the Mets, the Phillies, and the Indians. Oddly, the Braves quit on Seaver at that point. The contract should never have been voided in the first place... (Steven Goldman)
2008-02-28 14:00:00	Christina, great work over the offseason, as always. My question is about roster construction, and specifically the hitter/pitcher divide. It seems like it was just yesterday that we were mocking the Rockies and/or Don Baylor for taking 12 pitchers, but at least it was mildly defensible on the grounds that they needed extra arms to throw in Coors Field. Now we're at a point where almost everyone is at a 13/12 divide. What the heck happened, and what do you think are the chances of some squad going back to 15/10 simply by employing 2 good long men in the pen at all times? (ElAngelo from New York, NY)	Baylor's mistake was that he made that choice for a post-season roster. While I would like to see more teams invest the roster space in observing one of Earl Weaver's rules and put their young starters in long relief roles, and thereby save themselves multiple spots sunk on multiple situational playthings in the pen, you could also save roster space by effectively committing to a four-man rotation that exploits the fact that we're in a world that doesn't have doubleheaders and a schedule that features plenty of off-days to reduce the fifth slot to a sometime thing. That might mean shorter starts for the front four, and it might not, but I think we're at a point where the industry has probably overcorrected, costing us the next Jack Morris or Tom Seaver. You could also expand your roster by not resorting to Eck-style closer usage patterns--make the money pitcher for the endgame something more than a sundae's cherry, and you'll get more quality innings. Condition them to be Eck-style closers, and you're investing a roster spot on a single-purpose single-inning reliever, forcing you to commit to 11 at the outset, and making 12 seems plausible. Now, to be fair to major league managers, managing pitching staffs involves anticipating a lot of different scenarios, not all of them happy, and committing resources in the form of those roster spots. But it can also mean not giving lineups the same depth of consideration, because you know you'll have nine guys out there, and beyond someone who can play the corners, someone who can play the outfield, and someone who can catch, you figure you're covered. It's not the way I look at the problem of in-game tactics or in-season operations, but I was reading Earl Weaver's books at an impressionable age. (Christina Kahrl)

BP Roundtables

Date	Roundtable Name	Comment
2010-10-06 10:00:00	2010 Playoffs Day One	I can never let go of the fact that the Mets didn't protect Tom Seaver after '83 because they wanted to leave room for Ron Gardenhire on the roster. (Steven Goldman)
2009-10-15 17:00:00	2009 NLCS Game One (Phillies/Dodgers)	Aaron W. (Kentucky): Re: Joe's question, in the '69 NLCS Niekro faced Tom Seaver. That's 264 post-69 wins for Niekro plus 254 for Seaver. 518 put together Blast, I had half of it. Still, Joe said YOUNG starter. Knucksie doesn't count. Maybe there was a Spahn-Ford game in '57 or '58 that yields a pretty good total. (Steven Goldman)