Biographical

Portrait of Joe Ross

Joe Ross P  

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2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
94.7 5.35 1.57 54 3 9 0 -1.0
Birth Date5-21-1993
Height6' 4"
Weight205 lbs
Age21 years, 5 months, 1 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-1.02014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2011 PDR Rk 1 0 1.0 7.12 98 .299 .247 .340 .308 .239 .400 123 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2012 FTW A 6 6 27.3 4.65 101 .283 .239 .312 .343 .249 .365 99 3.4 0.3 3.4 0.3
2012 EUG A- 8 8 26.7 4.34 102 .202 .250 .328 .352 .259 .238 98 4.1 0.4 4.1 0.4
2012 PDR Rk 1 1 0.7 10.39 3 .468 .332 .389 .542 .327 .667 99 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2013 FTW A 23 23 122.3 5.19 93 .253 .252 .325 .376 .259 .298 107 8.1 0.8 8.1 0.8
2014 LEL A+ 19 19 101.7 4.40 105 .253 .276 .348 .441 .278 .308 95 16.7 1.7 16.7 1.7
2014 SAN AA 4 3 20.0 3.13 128 .256 .261 .332 .392 .263 .339 100 3.3 0.3 3.3 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2011 PDR Rk 0 0 0 1 0 1.0 2 0 0 0 60% .400 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.00 0.00 0.1 0.0
2012 FTW A 0 2 0 6 6 27.3 33 11 27 2 48% .365 10.9 3.6 0.7 8.9 1.61 6.26 3.4 0.3
2012 EUG A- 0 2 0 8 8 26.7 16 9 28 1 62% .238 5.4 3.0 0.3 9.4 0.94 2.02 4.1 0.4
2012 PDR Rk 0 0 0 1 1 0.7 2 2 1 0 0% .667 27.0 27.0 0.0 13.5 6.00 13.50 -0.1 -0.0
2013 FTW A 5 8 0 23 23 122.3 124 40 79 7 52% .298 9.1 2.9 0.5 5.8 1.34 3.75 8.1 0.8
2014 SAN AA 2 0 0 4 3 20.0 23 1 19 2 47% .339 10.3 0.5 0.9 8.6 1.20 3.60 3.3 0.3
2014 LEL A+ 8 6 0 19 19 101.7 101 28 87 6 55% .308 8.9 2.5 0.5 7.7 1.27 3.98 16.7 1.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-08 - Minors - - - Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 6.3 8.6 0 25 25 118.2 104 45 66 12 .265 1.26 4.05 4.4 5.3 0.5
80o 5.5 8.5 0 23 23 109.8 104 46 62 12 .280 1.36 4.48 4.87 -1.1 -0.1
70o 5 8.4 0 22 22 104.0 104 46 59 12 .292 1.44 4.80 5.21 -4.9 -0.5
60o 4.6 8.3 0 21 21 99.1 104 45 56 12 .302 1.51 5.07 5.51 -7.9 -0.8
50o 4.2 8.2 0 20 20 94.7 104 45 54 12 .311 1.57 5.34 5.8 -10.4 -1.1
40o 3.8 8.1 0 19 19 90.3 103 45 51 12 .321 1.64 5.60 6.09 -12.6 -1.3
30o 3.5 8 0 18 18 85.7 102 45 49 12 .331 1.71 5.90 6.41 -14.6 -1.5
20o 3 7.9 0 17 17 80.5 101 44 46 12 .342 1.80 6.25 6.79 -16.6 -1.7
10o 2.5 7.6 0 15 15 73.5 99 43 42 12 .359 1.93 6.75 7.34 -18.7 -1.9
Weighted Mean4.28.10202094.1102455312.3091.565.305.76-10.0-1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152281002929182185761242048.3071.434.564.969.13.86.11.0-0.8
20162381003030185192751282448.3111.444.745.169.33.66.21.2-1.2
201724670202012112448811548.3081.434.635.039.23.66.01.1-0.6
201825670212112312647821548.3061.404.454.839.23.46.01.1-0.3
201926670212112212045841448.3011.354.234.608.93.36.21.00.0
202027670202012011942841448.3041.354.224.598.93.26.31.10.1
202128660202012011842871448.3031.334.134.498.83.16.51.00.2
202229660202011811744821448.3031.364.264.638.93.36.21.10.0
202330660202011811542841348.3001.334.104.468.73.26.41.00.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
1.4out of baseballout of baseball0.1out of baseballout of baseball1.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 90)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 97 T.J. House 2011 0.00 DNP
2 97 Ryan Tucker 2008 8.27
3 96 Ruben Alaniz 2012 0.00 DNP
4 96 Brett Marshall 2011 0.00 DNP
5 95 Albert Campos 2012 0.00 DNP
6 95 Shairon Martis 2008 6.10
7 95 Alex Sanabia 2010 3.98
8 94 Alex Burnett 2009 0.00 DNP
9 94 Deolis Guerra 2010 0.00 DNP
10 94 Domingo Tapia 2013 0.00 DNP
11 94 Oswaldo Sosa 2007 0.00 DNP
12 94 Colton Cain 2012 0.00 DNP
13 94 Joey Mahalic 2010 0.00 DNP
14 94 Erasmo Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
15 93 Jose Urena 2013 0.00 DNP
16 93 Tim Berry 2012 0.00 DNP
17 93 Jose A. Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
18 93 Elvis Araujo 2013 0.00 DNP
19 93 Clayton Cook 2012 0.00 DNP
20 93 Nicholas Struck 2011 0.00 DNP
21 92 Chaz Roe 2008 0.00 DNP
22 92 Mike Foltynewicz 2013 0.00 DNP
23 92 Kyle Ryan 2013 0.00 DNP
24 92 Wilfredo Boscan 2011 0.00 DNP
25 91 Stephen Landazuri 2013 0.00 DNP
26 91 Allen Webster 2011 0.00 DNP
27 91 J.C. Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
28 91 Manuel Rivera 2011 0.00 DNP
29 91 Jason Adam 2013 0.00 DNP
30 91 Kelvin Herrera 2011 13.50
31 90 Jeremy Hellickson 2008 0.00 DNP
32 90 Vin Mazzaro 2008 0.00 DNP
33 90 Ryan Searle 2010 0.00 DNP
34 90 Vance Worley 2009 0.00 DNP
35 90 Tyler Chatwood 2011 5.20
36 90 Eswarlin Jimenez 2013 0.00 DNP
37 90 Alexander Perez 2011 0.00 DNP
38 90 Kyle Allen 2011 0.00 DNP
39 90 Zack Dodson 2012 0.00 DNP
40 90 Brandon Maurer 2012 0.00 DNP
41 90 Alex Cobb 2009 0.00 DNP
42 90 Garrett Gould 2013 0.00 DNP
43 90 Pedro Beato 2008 0.00 DNP
44 90 Dan Cortes 2008 0.00 DNP
45 90 Carlos Carrasco 2008 0.00 DNP
46 90 Ruben Mejia 2013 0.00 DNP
47 90 Patrick Schuster 2012 0.00 DNP
48 89 Jorge Bucardo 2011 0.00 DNP
49 89 Timothy Melville 2011 0.00 DNP
50 89 Jake Johnson 2012 0.00 DNP
51 89 Felipe Rivero 2013 0.00 DNP
52 89 Xavier Cedeno 2008 0.00 DNP
53 89 Anthony Swarzak 2007 0.00 DNP
54 89 Zach McAllister 2009 0.00 DNP
55 89 Patrick Cooper 2011 0.00 DNP
56 89 Greg Billo 2012 0.00 DNP
57 89 Arquimedes Nieto 2010 0.00 DNP
58 89 Henderson Alvarez 2011 3.68
59 89 Luis Diaz 2013 0.00 DNP
60 89 Adrian Salcedo 2012 0.00 DNP
61 89 Nick Kingham 2013 0.00 DNP
62 89 David Baker 2012 0.00 DNP
63 88 Marcos Frias 2010 0.00 DNP
64 88 Juan Minaya 2012 0.00 DNP
65 88 Matt Hoffman 2010 0.00 DNP
66 88 Daniel Tuttle 2012 0.00 DNP
67 88 Shaun Garceau 2009 0.00 DNP
68 88 Zach Phillips 2008 0.00 DNP
69 88 Clayton Tanner 2009 0.00 DNP
70 88 Jeurys Familia 2011 0.00 DNP
71 88 Ryan Morris 2009 0.00 DNP
72 88 Paul Demny 2011 0.00 DNP
73 88 Collin Balester 2007 0.00 DNP
74 88 Jeanmar Gomez 2009 0.00 DNP
75 88 T.J. McFarland 2010 0.00 DNP
76 88 Nick Additon 2009 0.00 DNP
77 88 Chris Jensen 2012 0.00 DNP
78 88 Matt Mitchell 2010 0.00 DNP
79 88 Nicholas Bucci 2012 0.00 DNP
80 88 Josue Carreno 2012 0.00 DNP
81 88 Marwin Vega 2008 0.00 DNP
82 88 Robbie Ray 2013 0.00 DNP
83 88 Joe Wieland 2011 0.00 DNP
84 87 Evan Rutckyj 2013 0.00 DNP
85 87 Tyler Vail 2013 0.00 DNP
86 87 Blake Beavan 2010 0.00 DNP
87 87 Starlin Peralta 2012 0.00 DNP
88 87 Steve Garrison 2008 0.00 DNP
89 87 Greg Reynolds 2007 0.00 DNP
90 87 Ezequiel Infante 2010 0.00 DNP
91 87 Blake Perry 2013 0.00 DNP
92 87 Su-Min Jung 2011 0.00 DNP
93 87 Michael Pineda 2010 0.00 DNP
94 87 Will Roberts 2012 0.00 DNP
95 87 Quinton Miller 2011 0.00 DNP
96 87 Kyle Winters 2008 0.00 DNP
97 87 Ryan Webb 2007 0.00 DNP
98 87 Edgar Olmos 2011 0.00 DNP
99 87 Kyle Kaminska 2010 0.00 DNP
100 87 James Parr 2007 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 The Padres took Tyson Ross's younger brother with the 25th pick in the 2011 draft. He got shelled in his full-season debut before making a few more starts, including six strong innings at West Michigan on May 4. Scratched from his next outing with right shoulder soreness, Ross ended up missing seven weeks. After an aborted rehab assignment at the end of June, he returned for good a month later and fared much better while rebuilding arm strength in the short-season Northwest League. When healthy, Ross works with a fastball-slider combination and a clean, easy delivery that gives him good command of both pitches.
2012 Joe Ross is the younger brother of another right-hander, Oakland's Tyson Ross. The Padres took Joe, who will make his pro debut this year, with the 25th overall pick in the 2011 draft and signed him away from a UCLA commitment.

BP Articles

Joe Ross is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
The 2011 Redraft: Redoing a Deep First RoundBaseball Prospectus2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, June 23Jeff Moore2014-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 27, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 16-18Jeff Moore2014-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, April 29Jeff Moore2014-04-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL CentralDavid Rawnsley2014-02-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL CentralTodd Gold2014-02-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL CentralPatrick Ebert2014-02-10
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 5-7Baseball Prospectus2014-01-31
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL WestTodd Gold2014-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL WestPatrick Ebert2014-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL WestDavid Rawnsley2014-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: San Diego Padres Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-13
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: July 19, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-07-19
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: July 19, 2013Jason Parks2013-07-19
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: The Mid-Season Top 50 ProspectsJason Parks2013-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 14Zach Mortimer2013-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: April 15BP Prospect Staff2013-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 11Zach Mortimer2013-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Friday, December 14Daniel Rathman2012-12-14


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)What can you tell me about Joe Ross, SP, SD?
(scott from az)
Athletic; dream pitchers body; FB 91-93; SL 79-84; CH 81-84; all flash plus; high 3/4 so it has a tough plane; hides the ball well; would like to see more extension to the plate to make better use of his long body. If the stuff ticks up, he could be a #3 starter. Now, I have him pegged as a back-end guy. (Chris Rodriguez)
2014-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ceiling and floor for Joe Ross?
(John from Ny)
Ceiling of his brother. Floor of a useful reliever. (This floor assumes he makes it to the majors... obviously the real floor for any arm to completely fizzle out) (Paul Sporer)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Joe Ross seems to be having a good year so far, is he going to be better then his brother?
(scott from az)
I'm not sure. I was always hesitant to go crazy on Joe Ross because I didn't see the bat-missing secondary stuff. As he climbed, I was always wondering where the outs will come from. But he looked much sharper in camp, and continues to show more bat-missing ability with both the lively FB and sharp breaking ball. The uptick in stuff and improved command are very encouraging developments. (Jason Parks)
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)My big brother may be in the big leagues already, but in the end he'll be "the other Ross", won't he?
(The other Ross from SD)
You've come to the wrong place looking for Joe Ross love. Try, like, any of my colleagues. I don't think Tyson is that special either. Let's talk about Zach Eflin. Zach Eflin > Joe Ross. (Ben Carsley)
2014-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know you saw Padres camp, because I know you had the chance to drool over Franchy Cordero. Did you get to see Joe Ross? How did he look, and do you think he'll be better than his brother?
(birdzfan52 from Baltimore)
Ross can be quite a tease, showing you easy plus (to plus-plus) velocity and a sharp slider that can miss bats. The problem is that I was drunk on the Kool-Aid last season and the pitcher I saw in camp didn't fully translate to the regular season, so I'm both optimistic based on his spring badassness yet skeptical because he likes to show a little leg in the club but it doesn't go beyond that. (Jason Parks)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you give me 5 SP prospects you are higher on than industry? I really like Eddie Butler, despite Coors looming.
(JoJo from SD)
Joe Ross, Chris Anderson, Jesse Hahn, Edwin Diaz, Miguel Almonte. I like Butler too (Craig Goldstein)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Best pitcher in the Padres system? Highest upside? Sleeper?
(padremurph from San Diego)
Wisler is probably the best pitcher. Never sleep on Joe Ross. That sucker could pop in 2014. (Jason Parks)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)What's the deal with Joe Ross? He's repeating the MWL and his numbers looks great in some stretches and awful in others.
(padremurph from San Diego)
I wouldn't worry about Ross, he's a young pitcher still working things out. I talked to someone who really liked Ross a few weeks back. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Bret, I play in a fairly deep competitive keeper league 16 team with a 20 man minor system. I am always looking for the edge in future top prospects as they carry quite the value in mid season trades etc. In 2011 I was able to grab a pre breakout Taveras and Bogaerts, since that year I am always looking for prospects who look to really make that jump from back end or outside the top 100 to future top 30 stud. I was wondering if you had some names to watch in A and Low A, that could make these leaps, particularly position players. Alen Hanson and Polanco are already picked up, Adalberto Mondesi is spoken for as well, trying to stay ahead of my competition.
(Brandon from Toronto)
If you want a few off the radar names, how about Zach Eflin and Dilson Herrera. And if you don't need to dig quite that deep, check out Dorssys Paulino, Blake Snell, Jeimer Candelario and Joe Ross. (Bret Sayre)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Joe Ross has thrown 17 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2014, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (96mph), also mixing in a Slider (90mph) and Sinker (95mph).