Biographical

Portrait of Esmil Rogers

Esmil Rogers PBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 28)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date8-14-1985
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lbs
Age28 years, 11 months, 16 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.22010
0.02011
1.32012
0.82013
-0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2009 COL 23 1 1 4.0 4.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 3 2 2 0 3 2 2 0 3 4.50 3.06 4.08 -0.1 -0.0
2010 COL 24 28 8 72.0 38.3 33.7 2 3 0 1 3 0 333 94 59 49 5 135 26 24 5 66 6.12 3.47 4.02 12.3 1.2
2011 COL 25 18 13 83.0 71.3 11.3 6 6 0 0 3 1 403 110 65 65 14 176 47 42 6 63 7.05 5.58 5.80 0.3 0.0
2012 CLE 26 44 0 53.0 0.0 53.0 3 1 0 0 0 0 217 47 19 18 5 73 12 10 3 54 3.06 3.08 3.57 7.8 0.8
2012 COL 26 23 0 25.7 0.0 25.7 0 2 0 2 0 0 131 36 23 23 2 53 18 16 2 29 8.06 4.23 4.04 4.6 0.5
2013 TOR 27 44 20 137.7 106.7 31.0 5 9 0 1 9 0 598 152 76 73 21 251 44 42 6 96 4.77 4.75 5.05 6.6 0.8
2014 TOR 28 16 0 20.7 0.0 20.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 96 28 17 16 5 49 7 7 1 21 6.97 5.44 5.91 -0.6 -0.1
Career17442396.0220.3175.3162104151179447026124652740156143233325.594.454.7930.93.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2006 CAS Rk 15 15 63.0 6.74 49 .306 .275 .361 .410 .281 .299 88 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0
2007 ASH A 19 18 117.7 4.57 121 .246 .264 .336 .395 .262 .321 122 24.8 2.5 24.8 2.5
2008 MOD A+ 25 25 143.7 4.50 100 .270 .271 .341 .411 .275 .318 94 19.7 2.0 19.7 2.0
2009 COL MLB 1 1 4.0 4.08 81 .231 .265 .336 .425 .269 .273 76 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2009 TUL AA 15 15 94.3 3.02 141 .214 .264 .340 .387 .251 .310 114 30.8 3.2 32.0 3.4
2009 CSP AAA 12 11 60.7 6.51 76 .294 .277 .345 .440 .279 .351 112 1.2 0.1 2.3 0.2
2009 LIC Wnt 4 4 16.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .304 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 COL MLB 28 8 72.0 4.02 110 .295 .255 .317 .395 .264 .385 102 10.6 1.1 12.3 1.2
2010 CSP AAA 12 11 61.0 4.92 108 .249 .277 .349 .439 .268 .308 107 10.6 1.0 11.5 1.2
2011 COL MLB 18 13 83.0 5.80 68 .313 .253 .314 .390 .258 .352 105 -2.3 -0.2 0.3 0.0
2011 TUL AA 1 1 4.0 7.30 59 .320 .255 .336 .400 .255 .267 107 -0.3 -0.0 -0.5 -0.0
2011 CSP AAA 5 5 23.0 5.50 126 .278 .302 .368 .480 .266 .398 141 7.9 0.7 8.9 0.9
2011 LIC Wnt 4 4 15.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .333 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 CLE MLB 44 0 53.0 3.57 119 .241 .258 .319 .413 .263 .294 100 6.7 0.7 7.8 0.8
2012 COL MLB 23 0 25.7 4.04 127 .289 .252 .315 .385 .256 .425 128 4.9 0.5 4.6 0.5
2012 LIC Wnt 3 3 13.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .281 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 TOR MLB 44 20 137.7 5.05 85 .289 .260 .324 .413 .271 .304 102 5.7 0.6 6.6 0.8
2014 TOR MLB 16 0 20.7 5.91 77 .318 .251 .313 .385 .255 .371 113 -0.9 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1
2014 BUF AAA 12 7 48.7 4.44 102 .222 .271 .338 .417 .264 .294 96 5.6 0.6 5.6 0.6

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2006 CAS Rk 3 6 0 15 15 63.0 78 24 40 8 44% .299 11.1 3.4 1.1 5.7 1.62 7.00 -0.0 -0.0
2007 ASH A 7 4 0 19 18 117.7 125 42 90 6 49% .321 9.6 3.2 0.5 6.9 1.42 3.75 24.8 2.5
2008 MOD A+ 9 7 0 25 25 143.7 146 45 116 9 43% .318 9.1 2.8 0.6 7.3 1.33 3.95 19.7 2.0
2009 COL MLB 0 0 0 1 1 4.0 3 2 3 0 55% .273 6.8 4.5 0.0 6.8 1.25 4.50 -0.1 -0.0
2009 CSP AAA 3 5 0 12 11 60.7 77 35 46 9 48% .351 11.4 5.2 1.3 6.8 1.85 7.41 2.3 0.2
2009 LIC Wnt 1 1 0 4 4 16.0 15 5 13 1 0% .304 8.4 2.8 0.6 7.3 1.25 3.94 0.0 0.0
2009 TUL AA 8 2 0 15 15 94.3 87 19 83 2 46% .310 8.3 1.8 0.2 7.9 1.12 2.48 32.0 3.4
2010 CSP AAA 3 3 0 12 11 61.0 62 19 53 6 52% .308 9.1 2.8 0.9 7.8 1.33 5.75 11.5 1.2
2010 COL MLB 2 3 0 28 8 72.0 94 26 66 5 51% .385 11.8 3.2 0.6 8.2 1.67 6.12 12.3 1.2
2011 LIC Wnt 0 2 0 4 4 15.3 16 6 14 0 0% .333 9.4 3.5 0.0 8.2 1.43 2.35 0.0 0.0
2011 COL MLB 6 6 0 18 13 83.0 110 47 63 14 43% .352 11.9 5.1 1.5 6.8 1.89 7.05 0.3 0.0
2011 CSP AAA 1 2 0 5 5 23.0 36 5 15 3 48% .398 14.1 2.0 1.2 5.9 1.78 6.26 8.9 0.9
2011 TUL AA 0 1 0 1 1 4.0 5 1 2 1 50% .267 11.2 2.2 2.2 4.5 1.50 2.25 -0.5 -0.0
2012 COL MLB 0 2 0 23 0 25.7 36 18 29 2 48% .425 12.6 6.3 0.7 10.2 2.10 8.06 4.6 0.5
2012 LIC Wnt 2 0 0 3 3 13.0 11 3 15 2 0% .281 7.6 2.1 1.4 10.4 1.08 4.15 0.0 0.0
2012 CLE MLB 3 1 0 44 0 53.0 47 12 54 5 48% .294 8.0 2.0 0.8 9.2 1.11 3.06 7.8 0.8
2013 TOR MLB 5 9 0 44 20 137.7 152 44 96 21 48% .304 9.9 2.9 1.4 6.3 1.42 4.77 6.6 0.8
2014 BUF AAA 2 2 0 12 7 48.7 42 18 41 2 47% .294 7.8 3.3 0.4 7.6 1.23 3.14 5.6 0.6
2014 TOR MLB 0 0 0 16 0 20.7 28 7 21 5 46% .371 12.2 3.0 2.2 9.1 1.69 6.97 -0.6 -0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 80 0.5375 0.3125 0.8800 0.4884 0.1081 0.9048 0.7500 0.1200
2010 1261 0.4941 0.4579 0.7834 0.6549 0.2649 0.8897 0.5266 0.2149
2011 1491 0.5158 0.4658 0.8401 0.6619 0.2562 0.9116 0.6432 0.1571
2012 1444 0.5325 0.4591 0.7828 0.6125 0.2844 0.8896 0.5208 0.2172
2013 2254 0.4703 0.4317 0.8325 0.5943 0.2873 0.9095 0.6910 0.1675
2014 415 0.5157 0.4530 0.7819 0.5935 0.3035 0.8740 0.5902 0.2181
Career69450.50080.44940.81240.62230.27490.90.61020.1867

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2011-05-02 2011-07-25 15-DL 84 76 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi -
2008-07-17 2008-08-02 Minors 16 0 Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 TOR $
2014 TOR $1,850,000
2013 TOR $509,000
2012 COL $481,000
2011 COL $417,000
2010 COL $401,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$1,808,000
2011Current$1,850,000
5 yrPvs + Cur$3,658,000
5 yrTotal$3,658,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 135 dRelativity Baseball1 year/$1.85M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$1.85M (2014). Re-signed by Toronto 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration). DFA by Toronto 5/23/14. Sent outright to Triple-A 5/24/14. Contract selected by Toronto 7/22/14. DFA by Toronto 7/27/14.
  • 1 year/$0.509M (2013). Re-signed by Toronto 3/13.
  • 1 year/$0.481M (2012). Re-signed by Colorado 3/3/12. Acquired by Cleveland in trade 6/12/12 after being DFA by Colorado 6/9/12. Acquired by Toronto in trade from Cleveland 11/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.417M (2011). Re-signed by Colorado 3/11.
  • 1 year/$0.401M (2010). Re-signed 3/5/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2009). Re-signed 3/4/09 (split contract, $65,000 in minors).
  • 1 year (2008). Contract purchased 11/20/07.
  • Signed as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .293 .375 .462 .296
11 vs R (Multi) .273 .317 .450 .266
18 Split (Multi) .021 .058 .012 .030
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .297 .374 .480 .306
31 vs R (2013) .258 .291 .440 .253
38 Split (2013) .039 .083 .040 .052
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Esmil Rogers is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
The Lineup Card: 9 Unexpected Storylines of the Season to DateBaseball Prospectus2014-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Kluber Completes a GameDaniel Rathman2014-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL East 2014 Preseason PreviewZachary Levine2014-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL East 2014 Preseason PreviewAndrew Koo2014-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Whither Santana?Daniel Rathman2014-02-20
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Where the Remaining Free Agents Would Matter the MostBen Lindbergh2014-02-12
The Lineup Card: Nine Moves that Teams Still Need to MakeBaseball Prospectus2014-01-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Toronto Blue JaysBen Carsley2013-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Beltran to the Bronx?Daniel Rathman2013-11-26
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: How Long Home Runs HappenDoug Thorburn2013-10-25
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 26, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 21, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Eight Surging StartersPaul Sporer2013-09-18
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 15, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 9, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-09
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 21, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessSporer Report: Looking Ahead to September PromotionsPaul Sporer2013-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Recapping the Dodgers' Incredible RunDaniel Rathman2013-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Elevator ActionDoug Thorburn2013-08-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21Paul Sporer2013-08-16
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 15, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 10, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The AL Central Gap GrowsDaniel Rathman2013-08-02
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 30, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18Paul Sporer2013-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 25, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 20, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-20
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 11, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The NL East Gets InterestingDaniel Rathman2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Bailed Out By a Homer-iffic PerformanceDaniel Rathman2013-07-03
Fantasy Beat: Weekly #streameroftheday UpdateBret Sayre2013-06-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Rays Outshine JaysDaniel Rathman2013-06-25
Painting the Black: Birds SongR.J. Anderson2013-06-24
The Week in Quotes: June 17-23Andrew Koo2013-06-24
The Week in Quotes: June 17-23Satchel Price2013-06-24
The Week in Quotes: June 17-23Chris Mosch2013-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13Paul Sporer2013-06-21
BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 49 is LiveJason Collette2013-06-20
BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 49 is LivePaul Sporer2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 2, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My American League PortfolioPaul Sporer2013-04-10
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Strong Side, Weak SideDaniel Rathman2013-03-28
BP Unfiltered: My Tout Wars TeamJason Collette2013-03-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Esmil Rogers, Fantasy SleeperJason Collette2013-01-09
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Moves Alex Anthopoulos Made Before the BlockbusterBen Lindbergh2012-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Thursday, November 8Daniel Rathman2012-11-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: C-Notes By the Layers for Big PapiR.J. Anderson2012-11-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Texas and Toronto Dig Deep for Rotation HelpR.J. Anderson2012-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessHeartburn Hardball: The Dangers of First ImpressionsJonathan Bernhardt2012-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Colorado RockiesKevin Goldstein2011-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Colorado RockiesJay Jaffe2011-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Colorado RockiesESPN Insider2011-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL West: Everybody Got ProblemsGeoff Young2011-05-10
Collateral Damage: No-Hit Hangover?Corey Dawkins2011-05-09
Collateral Damage: No-Hit Hangover?Marc Normandin2011-05-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #5Craig Brown2011-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Value Picks in the RotationBill Baer2011-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Heightened ExpectationsJohn Perrotto2011-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL West: And Then Kemp and Upton Stopped Swinging at EverythingGeoff Young2011-04-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Value Picks in the RotationBill Baer2011-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Under PressureJohn Perrotto2011-04-13
BP Unfiltered: For Amusement Only 4/13John Perrotto2011-04-13
BP Unfiltered: For Amusement Only 4/12John Perrotto2011-04-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #2Craig Brown2011-04-08
BP Unfiltered: For Amusement Only 4/7John Perrotto2011-04-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTeam Injury Projection: Colorado RockiesCorey Dawkins2011-03-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTeam Injury Projection: Colorado RockiesMarc Normandin2011-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL West: Value Over Replacement FluffGeoff Young2011-03-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Senior Circuit ShufflingChristina Kahrl2011-03-17
Purpose Pitches: Day Seven in Cactus CountryChristina Kahrl2011-03-16
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL West: Everyone Was Young and Promising OnceGeoff Young2011-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Reds Plot a RepeatJohn Perrotto2011-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL West: If a Cliche Falls in the Desert...Geoff Young2011-03-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Branyan, Weeks, and DetritusChristina Kahrl2011-02-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Napoli, oh NapoliChristina Kahrl2011-01-26
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: NL West RoundupChristina Kahrl2010-12-30
Future Shock: Top 11 Review: NL WestKevin Goldstein2010-10-12
This article requires BP Premium accessBP Unfiltered: BP: LABR ChampionsClay Davenport2010-10-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-09-01
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: No Problem with the PiratesJohn Perrotto2010-08-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #22Craig Brown2010-08-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2010-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Retooling on the FlyJohn Perrotto2010-08-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL West UpdatesChristina Kahrl2010-08-19
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Shuffling SeniorsChristina Kahrl2010-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Dealing and DecapitatingChristina Kahrl2010-07-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Mid-Week Aches and PainsWill Carroll2010-04-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Rockies Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-01-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWinter League Preview: The Dominican LeagueCarlos J. Lugo2009-10-18
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Colorado RockiesBaseball Prospectus2009-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Winding Down the NLChristina Kahrl2009-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Senior Circuit StragglersChristina Kahrl2009-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-07-20
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Everyone's talking about all the possibilities for the 5th Blue Jays starter, but no one seems to be talking up me. Why not, I'm healthy again.
(Kyle Drabek from TheT.O.dog)
It's probably got something to do with your walk rates over your career. You've pitched in MLB for parts of four seasons and have had a BB% over 10 in three of them. That being said, I'm not a big Esmil Rogers fan and I don't trust Brandon Morrow at all. It's likely you and Sean Nolin will be in the mix. (Mauricio Rubio)
2013-07-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Does a pitcher with a delivery like Esmil Rogers who seems to put a lot of strain on his arm cause a lot of concern about his durability? How would you try to prevent an injury for a pitcher like Rogers if your a manager or in the front office?
(Alex from Toronto)
Yes, he scares the crap out of me. I don't think you can prevent it. I think you let him rip it until it rips off. (Jason Parks)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)In a 20 team dynasty league, would you drop Jacob Turner, Esmil Rogers, or Nate Eovaldi when Erasmo becomes active?
(Al from NC)
Esmil. (Paul Sporer)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)Greetings from the land of Rush. Who should I use as my closer this year? If it isn't Janssen or Santos, which other live arm in my pen should I be looking at?
(John Gibbons from Toronto, Ontario)
I'm a big Santos fan and thought he'd be effective in the role last year, but obviously health is a concern. Jason Collette and I were just discussing this offline this morning, and he's bullish on Steve Delabar and Esmil Rogers as deep sleepers should neither of the top two options be able to ring the bell. I'd like to say those were my great suggestions but I can't steal Jason's thunder. (Cory Schwartz)
2011-04-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)What about Esmil Rogers this year? I know it's just one game but he looked filthy. I've heard his stuff is not that far from Ubaldo, or is that crazy talk?
(Rob from Alaska)
Rogers may look good, but that's probably crazy talk. He's more of a back-end option. (Ben Lindbergh)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Esmil Rogers has thrown 6,970 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Slider (86mph) and Fourseam Fastball (95mph), also mixing in a Sinker (94mph), Cutter (92mph) and Curve (83mph). He also rarely throws a Change (89mph).