Biographical

Portrait of Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray PTigers

Tigers Player Cards | Tigers Team Audit | Tigers Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 22)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.0 5.64 1.64 0 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date10-1-1991
Height6' 2"
Weight195 lbs
Age23 years, 0 months, 21 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2014 DET 22 9 6 28.7 26.0 2.7 1 4 0 0 1 0 136 43 26 26 5 73 11 11 0 19 8.16 5.25 6.18 0.9 0.1
Career9628.726.02.714001013643262657311110198.165.256.180.90.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2010 VER A- 1 0 1.0 2.29 145 -.013 .262 .336 .396 .283 .000 94 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2011 HAG A 20 20 89.0 3.63 128 .231 .260 .327 .390 .260 .300 107 24.3 2.5 25.0 2.5
2012 POT A+ 22 21 105.7 6.02 73 .301 .260 .327 .401 .266 .332 99 -1.8 -0.2 -1.8 -0.2
2013 POT A+ 16 16 84.0 4.77 106 .234 .253 .326 .375 .251 .273 107 12.1 1.2 12.1 1.2
2013 HAR AA 11 11 58.0 3.59 114 .275 .255 .324 .384 .267 .317 95 10.9 1.2 10.4 1.1
2014 DET MLB 9 6 28.7 6.18 64 .335 .249 .310 .375 .256 .376 110 -0.1 -0.0 0.9 0.1
2014 TOL AAA 20 19 100.3 4.48 105 .259 .264 .326 .400 .249 .326 100 11.4 1.1 11.4 1.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2010 VER A- 0 0 0 1 0 1.0 0 0 2 0 100% .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 0.00 0.00 0.2 0.0
2011 HAG A 2 3 0 20 20 89.0 71 38 95 3 41% .300 7.2 3.8 0.3 9.6 1.22 3.13 25.0 2.5
2012 POT A+ 4 12 0 22 21 105.7 122 49 86 14 35% .332 10.4 4.2 1.2 7.3 1.62 6.56 -1.8 -0.2
2013 HAR AA 5 2 0 11 11 58.0 56 21 60 4 45% .317 8.7 3.3 0.6 9.3 1.33 3.72 10.4 1.1
2013 POT A+ 6 3 0 16 16 84.0 60 41 100 9 45% .273 6.4 4.4 1.0 10.7 1.20 3.11 12.1 1.2
2014 DET MLB 1 4 0 9 6 28.7 43 11 19 5 40% .376 13.5 3.5 1.6 6.0 1.88 8.16 0.9 0.1
2014 TOL AAA 7 6 0 20 19 100.3 106 44 75 6 36% .326 9.5 3.9 0.5 6.7 1.50 4.22 11.4 1.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 547 0.5119 0.4461 0.8730 0.6286 0.2547 0.9091 0.7794 0.1270
Career5470.51190.44610.8730.62860.25470.90910.77940.127

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-02 2014-06-11 Minors 9 0 Right Hand Blister -
2012-04-06 2012-05-03 Minors 27 25 Right Arm Tendonitis Biceps - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Detroit 5/6/14.
  • Acquired by Detroit in trade from Washington 12/3/13.
  • Drafted by Washington 2010 (12-356) (Brentwood HS, Tenn.). $0.799M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 1.5 1.6 0 5 5 39.6 36 17 31 4 .269 1.33 4.15 4.51 2.2 0.2
80o 1.5 1.7 0 5 5 34.4 33 16 27 4 .282 1.42 4.58 4.98 0.9 0.1
70o 1.4 1.8 0 5 5 30.8 31 15 24 4 .292 1.49 4.91 5.33 -0.1 -0.0
60o 1.4 1.8 0 5 5 27.8 29 14 22 4 .300 1.55 5.19 5.64 -0.9 -0.1
50o 1.3 1.9 0 5 5 25.0 27 13 19 3 .308 1.61 5.46 5.93 -1.6 -0.2
40o 1.3 2 0 5 5 22.3 25 12 17 3 .316 1.67 5.73 6.22 -2.3 -0.2
30o 1.2 2.1 0 5 5 19.5 23 11 15 3 .324 1.74 6.02 6.55 -3.1 -0.3
20o 1.2 2.2 0 5 5 16.3 20 9 13 3 .334 1.82 6.38 6.93 -3.9 -0.4
10o 1.1 2.3 0 5 5 12.1 16 7 9 2 .348 1.94 6.88 7.48 -5.1 -0.5
Weighted Mean1.31.905524.62713193.3061.605.425.89-1.5-0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152381002929178188771482441.3051.494.815.239.53.97.51.2-0.2
20162481002727164165761461941.3041.474.655.069.14.28.01.00.2
2017256802121124129611121441.3121.534.855.279.34.48.11.0-0.1
2018268902626158160691292041.2951.454.615.019.13.97.41.10.3
2019277802424143149591181841.3031.454.635.039.43.77.41.10.2
2020287802525144147591231741.3021.434.484.879.23.77.71.10.5
2021297802424142144581231741.3021.424.434.819.13.77.81.10.6
2022307802424140143561171741.3021.424.464.859.23.67.51.10.5
2023317802323137140531141741.2991.414.424.809.23.57.51.10.6

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
1.6out of baseball1.10.11.22.46.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 88)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 94 Brandon Erbe 2010 0.00 DNP
2 93 Sean Nolin 2012 0.00 DNP
3 92 Kelvin De La Cruz 2011 0.00 DNP
4 92 Eric Hurley 2008 5.47
5 92 Jake Odorizzi 2012 4.91
6 92 Will Inman 2009 0.00 DNP
7 92 Carlos Pimentel 2012 0.00 DNP
8 91 Jeurys Familia 2012 5.84
9 91 Timothy Melville 2012 0.00 DNP
10 91 Travis Wood 2009 0.00 DNP
11 91 Kasey Kiker 2010 0.00 DNP
12 91 Yordano Ventura 2013 3.52
13 91 Cody Hebner 2013 0.00 DNP
14 91 Kyle Drabek 2010 4.76
15 91 Sean Gilmartin 2012 0.00 DNP
16 90 Scott Barnes 2010 0.00 DNP
17 90 Ethan Martin 2011 0.00 DNP
18 90 Aaron Miller 2010 0.00 DNP
19 90 Kyle Lotzkar 2012 0.00 DNP
20 90 Josh Lindblom 2009 0.00 DNP
21 90 Ryan Chaffee 2010 0.00 DNP
22 90 Adam Ottavino 2008 0.00 DNP
23 90 Keyvius Sampson 2013 0.00 DNP
24 90 Jeanmar Gomez 2010 5.62
25 89 Matt Magill 2012 0.00 DNP
26 89 Josue Carreno 2013 0.00 DNP
27 89 David Bromberg 2010 0.00 DNP
28 89 Omar Poveda 2010 0.00 DNP
29 89 Chris Devenski 2013 0.00 DNP
30 89 Nicholas Bucci 2013 0.00 DNP
31 89 Chris Withrow 2011 0.00 DNP
32 89 Tim Berry 2013 0.00 DNP
33 89 Anthony Ranaudo 2012 0.00 DNP
34 88 Jose A. Ramirez 2012 0.00 DNP
35 88 Zach Cates 2012 0.00 DNP
36 88 Mauricio Robles 2011 0.00 DNP
37 88 Justin Wilson 2010 0.00 DNP
38 88 Anthony Swarzak 2008 0.00 DNP
39 88 Roman Mendez 2013 0.00 DNP
40 88 Collin Balester 2008 5.96
41 88 Dan Cortes 2009 0.00 DNP
42 88 Dan Straily 2011 0.00 DNP
43 88 Austin Wright 2012 0.00 DNP
44 88 James Adkins 2008 0.00 DNP
45 88 Johnny Cueto 2008 5.22
46 88 Daniel Renken 2012 0.00 DNP
47 87 Casey Crosby 2011 0.00 DNP
48 87 Nick Martinez 2013 0.00 DNP
49 87 Jeff Ferrell 2013 0.00 DNP
50 87 Hector Rondon 2010 0.00 DNP
51 87 Randall Delgado 2012 4.66
52 87 Shairon Martis 2009 5.46
53 87 Chuck Lofgren 2008 0.00 DNP
54 87 Trevor Reckling 2011 0.00 DNP
55 87 Robert Bundy 2012 0.00 DNP
56 87 Vance Worley 2010 1.38
57 87 Tanner Peters 2013 0.00 DNP
58 87 Ben Snyder 2008 0.00 DNP
59 87 Carlos Carrasco 2009 9.27
60 87 Jay Jackson 2010 0.00 DNP
61 87 Gio Gonzalez 2008 9.00
62 87 Giovanni Soto 2013 0.00 DNP
63 87 Tyler Herron 2009 0.00 DNP
64 87 Sean Watson 2008 0.00 DNP
65 86 Matt Lollis 2013 0.00 DNP
66 86 Will Lamb 2013 0.00 DNP
67 86 Tommy Hanson 2009 2.96
68 86 Bryan Mitchell 2013 0.00 DNP
69 86 Paul Demny 2012 0.00 DNP
70 86 Phillippe Aumont 2011 0.00 DNP
71 86 Miguel Pena 2013 0.00 DNP
72 86 Manuel Rivera 2012 0.00 DNP
73 86 Robert Morey 2011 0.00 DNP
74 86 Juan Oramas 2012 0.00 DNP
75 86 Cody Anderson 2013 0.00 DNP
76 86 Drake Britton 2011 0.00 DNP
77 85 Zach Phillips 2009 0.00 DNP
78 85 Joe Wieland 2012 5.20
79 85 Brett Wallach 2011 0.00 DNP
80 85 Matt Thompson 2012 0.00 DNP
81 85 Bruce Pugh 2011 0.00 DNP
82 85 Duane Below 2008 0.00 DNP
83 85 Henry Sosa 2008 0.00 DNP
84 85 Mitch Atkins 2008 0.00 DNP
85 85 Andres Santiago 2012 0.00 DNP
86 85 Jeremy Hellickson 2009 0.00 DNP
87 85 Dellin Betances 2010 0.00 DNP
88 85 Kyle Lobstein 2012 0.00 DNP
89 85 Will Smith 2012 5.42
90 85 Steve Johnson 2010 0.00 DNP
91 85 Arquimedes Nieto 2011 0.00 DNP
92 85 Tyler Robertson 2010 0.00 DNP
93 85 Enny Romero 2013 0.00
94 85 Chaz Roe 2009 0.00 DNP
95 84 Christian Friedrich 2010 0.00 DNP
96 84 Danny Duffy 2011 5.64
97 84 Jake McGee 2009 0.00 DNP
98 84 Daniel Corcino 2013 0.00 DNP
99 84 Trevor May 2012 0.00 DNP
100 84 Zachary Nuding 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2012 Ray's exceptionally polished for a high school product, and not in a "Gee, we really like the way you spot your 87 mph fastball" way. He's got quality pitches and uses a remarkably consistent delivery to spot them all over the strike zone, even using offspeed pitches off the plate inside effectively—something you don't see in most 19-year-olds. Another instance where the Nationals were willing to spend the money on a kid with "signability issues," and he's part of a nice portfolio that should more than justify the incremental expense. He'll likely start the season at High-A, and should start climbing prospect lists sooner rather than later.

BP Articles

Robbie Ray is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, October 17thJeff Moore2014-10-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part One: American LeagueMike Gianella2014-09-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Angels Add Post-Post-Post-Post-Post Hype All-StarR.J. Anderson2014-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 25, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 13, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 12, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Midseason Keeper League FAAB StrategyJeff Quinton2014-07-17
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/23Sam Miller2014-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Ray, the Rays, and the A'sDaniel Rathman2014-05-23
BP Unfiltered: Explaining the Position Player Pitcher ParadeBen Lindbergh2014-05-23
BP Unfiltered: Scouting Danny Worth as a PitcherDan Rozenson2014-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Worst Sweeps FirstChris Mosch2014-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cueto Fries the FriarsChris Mosch2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cueto Fries the FriarsMorris Greenberg2014-05-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week SixBret Sayre2014-05-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week SixMike Gianella2014-05-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Kershaw Comes BackDaniel Rathman2014-05-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week FiveBen Carsley2014-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Tulo on a TearDaniel Rathman2014-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Fourth EditionBret Sayre2014-05-06
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 15: A Coconut Crab With Darwin Barney's GloveMauricio Rubio2014-05-03
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 15: A Coconut Crab With Darwin Barney's GloveBen Carsley2014-05-03
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 15: A Coconut Crab With Darwin Barney's GloveCraig Goldstein2014-05-03
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 15: A Coconut Crab With Darwin Barney's GloveBret Sayre2014-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Robbie RayMark Anderson2014-05-01
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Robbie RayCraig Goldstein2014-05-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 28Jeff Moore2014-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Third EditionBret Sayre2014-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 23Jeff Moore2014-04-24
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2014 Preseason PreviewBen Lindbergh2014-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2014 Preseason PreviewNick Wheatley-Schaller2014-03-26
The Lineup Card: 11 of Our Favorite Offseason MovesBaseball Prospectus2014-03-12
The Lineup Card: 11 of Our Least-Favorite Offseason MovesBaseball Prospectus2014-03-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Relief Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-03-05
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Smyly AnticipatedR.J. Anderson2014-01-14
The Lineup Card: 13 Trade Offers for Mike TroutBaseball Prospectus2013-12-18
The Lineup Card: Seven Trade Ideas for the Winter MeetingsBaseball Prospectus2013-12-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Detroit TigersPaul Sporer2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dombrowski's Puzzling DealBen Lindbergh2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dombrowski's Puzzling DealPaul Sporer2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dombrowski's Puzzling DealJosh Herzenberg2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, June 5Zach Mortimer2013-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 16-19Zach Mortimer2013-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 8Zach Mortimer2013-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 25-26Zach Mortimer2013-04-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 19-April 21Zach Mortimer2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL EastJeff Euston2012-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL EastBradley Ankrom2012-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL EastKevin Goldstein2012-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: NL East Prospect PreviewKevin Goldstein2012-04-04
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Washington Nationals Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 31Kevin Goldstein2011-06-01


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you please throw out a few SP with expected near-term ETAs but mid-rotation upside a la Matt Wisler? Bigger names/higher upside guys are already rostered and looking for some draft targets. Thanks.
(JoJo from SD)
How about: Kingham, Marco Gonzales, Eduardo Rodriguez, Rafael Montero, Robbie Ray, Luke Jackson, Jake Thompson (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)Assuming Max Scherzer leaves Detroit in the off-season, who is more likely to replace his spot in the rotation, Robbie Ray or somebody who's currently outside of the organization?
(Curtis from Michigan)
Ray, or Drew VerHagen and 100/1 odds on Josh Beckett. (Matt Sussman)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)In five years, who is the best player: Willy Adames, Derek Hill, Jake Thompson, Robbie Ray, Nick Castellanos?
(Tigersfan from MI)
Hill has the highest ceiling, but I'll go Castellanos. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Robbie Ray....10 words...go !
(Fred from Frankfurt)
Needs injury for a chance, has a #3 upside overall (Paul Sporer)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)Is Robbie Ray's curve/slider really that bad or did he just have no confidence in throwing it during his starts with the Tigers. Obviously he faced some low end offences in his first two starts, but the Ranges rocked him (zero command that day). The change looks like a good pitch for him and it looks like he has a good feel for it, and the fastball also looks like a solid pitch. I still have high hopes for the guy, but what do you Ultimately see him as? DD says number 3 upside, but that breaking pitch seems like it has a long way to go.
(Zack from Windsor)
The curveball needs some work. He has trouble generating spin right now. I see him as more of a #4 type, with a solid avg fastball, a plus change up, and a fringy CB down the line. He can help in a major league rotation as soon as 2015. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Pitching "mechanics" question: What are your thoughts of Robbie Ray? Does he have the consistent stuff to control a 3-spot in the rotation?
(Silverback38 from VA)
I haven't watched Ray yet, but I look forward to evaluating his MLB performance. Rain check? (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)There is some recent talks of Robbie Ray possibly sliding into the starting rotation this year. What are you thoughts on him?
(Silverback38 from VA)
Should be a solid starter for the Tigers. Not a frontline guy, but that's okay. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-01-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Does the price paid by Detroit lead you to believe they see Robbie Ray as an important piece of their future rotation? Also, will Eraser deliver the kind of season you were anticipating 12 months ago?
(Oliver from Boston)
Absolutely. They have to view him as a potential 3. I trust their ability to identify talent, but I really believe Fister should've netted more. (Paul Sporer)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Robbie Ray has thrown 547 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2014, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Change (85mph), also mixing in a Curve (79mph) and Slider (83mph).