Biographical

Portrait of Jay Powell

Jay Powell PAstros

Astros Player Cards | Astros Team Audit | Astros Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years IP W L SV SO ERA WARP
11 542.3 36 23 22 423 4.17 4.8
Birth Date1-9-1972
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lbs
BatsR
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
1995 FLO 23 9 0 8.3 0.0 8.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 38 7 2 1 0 7 6 5 2 4 1.08 4.98 6.04 -0.7 -0.1
1996 FLO 24 67 0 71.3 0.0 71.3 4 3 2 4 0 0 321 71 41 36 5 105 36 35 4 52 4.54 4.23 5.54 -3.1 -0.3
1997 FLO 25 74 0 79.7 0.0 79.7 7 2 2 2 0 0 337 71 35 29 3 93 30 27 4 65 3.28 3.21 4.23 10.5 1.1
1998 FLO 26 33 0 36.3 0.0 36.3 4 4 3 4 0 0 165 36 19 17 5 61 22 16 2 24 4.21 5.52 5.64 -2.4 -0.2
1998 HOU 26 29 0 34.0 0.0 34.0 3 3 4 2 0 0 137 22 9 9 1 32 15 12 1 38 2.38 2.63 2.27 9.8 0.9
1999 HOU 27 67 0 75.0 0.0 75.0 5 4 4 5 0 0 341 82 38 36 3 110 40 36 3 77 4.32 3.26 3.41 16.7 1.6
2000 HOU 28 29 0 27.0 0.0 27.0 1 1 0 0 0 0 127 29 18 17 1 37 19 18 0 16 5.67 4.46 5.35 2.3 0.2
2001 COL 29 39 0 38.7 0.0 38.7 3 1 7 1 0 0 157 34 18 12 5 58 12 9 2 26 2.79 4.43 5.38 4.3 0.4
2001 HOU 29 35 0 36.3 0.0 36.3 2 2 0 6 0 0 170 41 18 15 4 61 19 19 0 28 3.72 4.47 5.06 3.4 0.3
2002 TEX 30 51 0 49.7 0.0 49.7 3 2 0 5 0 0 224 50 28 19 5 73 24 20 1 35 3.44 4.47 4.92 6.1 0.6
2003 TEX 31 51 0 58.7 0.0 58.7 3 0 0 1 0 0 279 75 58 51 7 121 34 31 2 40 7.82 5.12 6.42 -0.6 -0.1
2004 TEX 32 23 0 24.0 0.0 24.0 1 1 0 0 0 0 103 24 11 9 3 39 11 10 0 17 3.38 4.74 4.89 3.3 0.3
2005 ATL 33 5 0 3.3 0.0 3.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 1 0.00 5.99 4.51 0.3 0.0
Career5120542.30.0542.33623223000241454329525142798272242214234.174.144.8149.84.8

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
1993 AGA A 6 6 27.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1994 FRD A+ 26 20 123.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1995 FLO MLB 9 0 8.3 6.04 72 .234 .258 .314 .381 .244 .269 101 -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1
1995 PME AA 50 0 3.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 FLO MLB 67 0 71.3 5.54 80 .251 .267 .328 .413 .254 .295 98 -2.4 -0.2 -3.1 -0.3
1996 BRV A+ 1 1 2.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 FLO MLB 74 0 79.7 4.23 106 .245 .268 .334 .422 .261 .289 98 8.6 0.8 10.5 1.1
1998 FLO MLB 33 0 36.3 5.64 73 .275 .261 .330 .416 .258 .277 96 -2.4 -0.2 -2.4 -0.2
1998 HOU MLB 29 0 34.0 2.27 150 .189 .265 .333 .419 .262 .256 97 9.9 1.0 9.8 0.9
1999 HOU MLB 67 0 75.0 3.41 128 .269 .273 .346 .439 .264 .362 95 16.7 1.6 16.7 1.6
2000 HOU MLB 29 0 27.0 5.35 103 .249 .265 .341 .426 .258 .308 109 2.7 0.2 2.3 0.2
2000 ROU AA 1 1 2.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 NWO AAA 2 1 2.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 COL MLB 39 0 38.7 5.38 104 .229 .266 .332 .431 .263 .259 118 4.3 0.4 4.3 0.4
2001 HOU MLB 35 0 36.3 5.06 100 .273 .260 .328 .426 .261 .311 106 3.1 0.3 3.4 0.3
2002 TEX MLB 51 0 49.7 4.92 106 .249 .263 .331 .422 .266 .283 108 6.1 0.6 6.1 0.6
2002 TUL AA 2 0 2.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 OKL AAA 8 0 8.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .414 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 TEX MLB 51 0 58.7 6.42 81 .299 .261 .326 .415 .258 .349 109 -0.6 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1
2003 FRI AA 4 0 6.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .294 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 TEX MLB 23 0 24.0 4.89 111 .259 .263 .330 .422 .255 .292 109 3.3 0.3 3.3 0.3
2005 ATL MLB 5 0 3.3 4.51 102 .203 .239 .317 .370 .253 .100 101 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2005 MIS AA 11 0 14.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
1993 AGA A 0 2 0 6 6 27.7 29 13 29 0 0% .000 9.4 4.2 0.0 9.4 1.52 4.55 0.0 0.0
1994 FRD A+ 7 7 1 26 20 123.3 132 54 87 13 0% .000 9.6 3.9 0.9 6.4 1.51 4.96 0.0 0.0
1995 FLO MLB 0 0 0 9 0 8.3 7 6 4 0 69% .269 7.6 6.5 0.0 4.3 1.56 1.08 -0.7 -0.1
1995 PME AA 5 4 24 50 0 3.0 42 15 53 2 0% .000 126.0 45.0 6.0 159.0 19.00 33.00 0.0 0.0
1996 FLO MLB 4 3 2 67 0 71.3 71 36 52 5 53% .295 9.0 4.5 0.6 6.6 1.50 4.54 -3.1 -0.3
1996 BRV A+ 0 0 0 1 1 2.0 0 0 4 0 0% .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0
1997 FLO MLB 7 2 2 74 0 79.7 71 30 65 3 58% .289 8.0 3.4 0.3 7.3 1.27 3.28 10.5 1.1
1998 HOU MLB 3 3 4 29 0 34.0 22 15 38 1 57% .256 5.8 4.0 0.3 10.1 1.09 2.38 9.8 0.9
1998 FLO MLB 4 4 3 33 0 36.3 36 22 24 5 57% .277 8.9 5.4 1.2 5.9 1.60 4.21 -2.4 -0.2
1999 HOU MLB 5 4 4 67 0 75.0 82 40 77 3 48% .362 9.8 4.8 0.4 9.2 1.63 4.32 16.7 1.6
2000 HOU MLB 1 1 0 29 0 27.0 29 19 16 1 46% .308 9.7 6.3 0.3 5.3 1.78 5.67 2.3 0.2
2000 ROU AA 0 0 0 1 1 2.0 0 1 1 0 0% .000 0.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 0.50 0.00 0.0 0.0
2000 NWO AAA 0 0 0 2 1 2.0 2 2 2 0 0% .000 9.0 9.0 0.0 9.0 2.00 4.50 0.0 0.0
2001 HOU MLB 2 2 0 35 0 36.3 41 19 28 4 61% .311 10.2 4.7 1.0 6.9 1.65 3.72 3.4 0.3
2001 COL MLB 3 1 7 39 0 38.7 34 12 26 5 75% .259 7.9 2.8 1.2 6.1 1.19 2.79 4.3 0.4
2002 TEX MLB 3 2 0 51 0 49.7 50 24 35 5 65% .283 9.1 4.3 0.9 6.3 1.49 3.44 6.1 0.6
2002 TUL AA 0 0 0 2 0 2.0 0 1 0 0 0% .000 0.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.50 0.00 0.0 0.0
2002 OKL AAA 2 0 0 8 0 8.0 14 3 8 2 0% .414 15.8 3.4 2.2 9.0 2.12 12.38 0.0 0.0
2003 TEX MLB 3 0 0 51 0 58.7 75 34 40 7 47% .349 11.5 5.2 1.1 6.1 1.86 7.82 -0.6 -0.1
2003 FRI AA 0 0 1 4 0 6.7 5 5 8 0 0% .294 6.7 6.7 0.0 10.7 1.49 2.69 0.0 0.0
2004 TEX MLB 1 1 0 23 0 24.0 24 11 17 3 48% .292 9.0 4.1 1.1 6.4 1.46 3.38 3.3 0.3
2005 ATL MLB 0 0 0 5 0 3.3 1 4 1 0 50% .100 2.7 10.8 0.0 2.7 1.50 0.00 0.3 0.0
2005 MIS AA 2 0 0 11 0 14.0 6 3 8 0 0% -.500 3.9 1.9 0.0 5.1 0.64 0.64 0.0 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2005-07-30 2005-10-03 60-DL 65 59 Right Upper Arm Surgery Fractured Humerus 2005-07-31
2004-06-05 2004-10-04 60-DL 121 110 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2004-07-08
2003-04-13 2003-05-03 15-DL 20 18 General Medical Vertigo -
2002-03-31 2002-06-10 60-DL 71 61 Right Fingers Strain Middle Finger Tendon -
2000-08-17 2000-10-02 60-DL 46 41 Right Shoulder Surgery 2000-08-29 -
2000-06-21 2000-08-05 15-DL 45 40 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2000-05-17 2000-06-02 15-DL 16 14 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -
1996-04-20 1996-05-10 15-DL 20 19 Left Trunk Strain Intercostal - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2004 TEX $3,500,000
2003 TEX $3,250,000
2002 TEX $2,250,000
2001 HOU $1,600,000
2000 HOU $1,250,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$11,850,000
5 yrTotal$11,850,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
8 y 23 dBo McKinnis

Details
  • contract purchased 7/05 signed as a free agent from TX 1/05 (minor-league contract)
  • 3 year/$9M (02-04) 02-04:$3M/year
  • bonuses to $0.5M for 69 g, $0.8M for games finished
  • signed as a free agent from COL 12/01
  • acquired in trade from HOU 6/01

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
Weighted Mean?????0.0????.0000.000.00?0.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2003 Powell’s 3.44 ERA last year was deceptive—he gave up almost half as many unearned runs as earned (his RA: 5.07). He was still a decent arm out of the bullpen after the All-Star break. But he’s never struck that many guys out, especially after the shoulder problems that cost him most of 2000, and that’s not a great sign going forward. For the league minimum salary, 60 innings of Jay Powell would be an asset. For $3 million a year, when your team supposedly can’t afford to keep Frank Catalanotto, he’s a liability.
2002 Frying pan to fire: Powell, just getting his stuff back after missing most of 2000 with a rotator-cuff tear, was dealt from Houston to Colorado in June. He actually pitched better after the deal and emerged as the Rockies' closer in August. Having conquered the two best hitting environments in baseball, Powell moved to what may be the third-best, The Ballpark in Arlington, signing a three-year deal to help set up Jeff Zimmerman. He's the best alternate closer candidate, rotoheads.
2001 Having done next to nothing since being a great midseason pickup for the Astros in 1998, Jay Powell’s career in Houston may be close to over. When a reliever starts losing the strike zone and then develops arm problems, the two are usually related. There’s no reason to believe Powell’s strained shoulder is going to suddenly heal, and there’s no reason to think he’s going to bounce back with a great year any time soon.
2000 Powell was not nearly as dominant as the Astros expected him to be, forcing Elarton to be used more as Wagner’s setup man than in the long-relief role the Astros would have preferred. My suspicion is that Powell was pitching through a nagging injury all year. He had trouble throwing strikes and was way too hittable for someone with his stuff. He’s a better pitcher than he showed, and I expect him to bounce back some this year.
1999 Powell has been a closer since college and has the two-pitch repertoire you’d expect, but the Orioles did force him into the rotation for a year. Throws hard, stays healthy, gets righties and lefties out well, and as the right-handed set-up man for a lefty closer, is bound to pick up a few saves this year.
1998 Like Nen, he scoffs at finesse; nothing fancy, just a heavy, 95-mph fastball. When he has control of it and any of his other pitches, he can be near impossible to drive. He doesn’t always have good control, but he’s usually wild down and has only given up eight home runs in 159 career innings. A terrific setup man, who with the trade of Nen is first in line to be the Marlins’ closer.
1997 Generally inconsistent all season, but he’s got an arm. Powell was an Orioles first-rounder who they prepared for a career in relief by placing in the rotation. Traded to a franchise with an abundance of functioning brain cells, Powell’s future suddenly brightened. He gets a lot of groundballs, and the early state of flux surrounding the Marlins’ infield probably hurt. Should be Nen’s top set-up man this year, but he did post a 5.15 ERA in the second half, so be wary.
1996  Powell was drafted in the first round by the Orioles originally, but was terrible for a year-and-a-half while the Orioles proved yet again that starting closers-of-the-future in an effort to "get them innings" is not a smart idea. The Marlins allowed him to go all out for an inning an appearance, and he dominated the Eastern League. Expect him to dominate the majors before too long.

BP Articles

Jay Powell is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Future Shock Blog: Draft Day Dream CrushingKevin Goldstein2012-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessEvery Given Sunday: Under ReviewJohn Perrotto2008-05-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: August 18-22Christina Kahrl2006-08-23
Prospectus Hit List: Week of July 31Jay Jaffe2005-08-02
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Upping the WorkloadWill Carroll2005-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: July 30Christina Kahrl2005-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: An Ugly InjuryWill Carroll2005-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: July 14-19, 2005Christina Kahrl2005-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Offseason - The EastsChristina Kahrl2005-02-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: August 1-2Christina Kahrl2004-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Mid-Season Health ReportsWill Carroll2004-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Nip/TuckWill Carroll2004-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: St. James Infirmary BluesWill Carroll2004-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: June 2-8, 2004Christina Kahrl2004-06-10
This article requires BP Premium access2004 Amateur Draft Preview: A Look at the OverlookedBoyd Nation2004-06-07
Prospectus Triple Play: Chicago White Sox, St. Louis Cardinals, Texas RangersBaseball Prospectus2004-03-23
Prospectus Roundtable: The Rodriguez-for-Soriano DealBaseball Prospectus2004-02-16
6-4-3: Hart to HartGary Huckabay2003-12-19
Prospectus Triple Play: Chicago White Sox, Houston Astros, Oakland Athletics, St. Louis Cardinals, Texas RangersBaseball Prospectus2003-09-02
Prospectus Triple Play: Cleveland Indians, Los Angeles Dodgers, Seattle MarinersBaseball Prospectus2003-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: May 1-7, 2003Christina Kahrl2003-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: April 17-20, 2003Christina Kahrl2003-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Transaction Analysis, The WestsChristina Kahrl2003-02-05
Transaction Analysis: September 4-10, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: June 9-10, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-06-12
Transaction Analysis: June 4-5, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: The Daily Prospectus: Notes on a MonitorJoe Sheehan2002-06-06
Transaction Analysis: April 23-24, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-04-26
Transaction Analysis: March 26-30, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-04-02
Transaction Analysis: March 6-13, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: The Daily Prospectus: A Great Race?Joe Sheehan2002-02-26


BP Chats

No BP chats have mentioned this guy.

BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.