Biographical

Portrait of Sean Nolin

Sean Nolin PBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
89.7 4.59 1.43 78 6 6 0 0.3
Birth Date12-26-1989
Height6' 4"
Weight230 lbs
Age24 years, 9 months, 29 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
-0.12013
0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2013 TOR 23 1 1 1.3 1.3 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 0 11 7 6 6 1 12 1 1 0 0 40.50 15.08 12.58 -1.3 -0.1
2014 TOR 24 1 0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 0 9.00 16.16 16.46 -0.8 -0.1
Career212.31.31.001000015877216110027.0015.5413.58-2.0-0.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2010 AUB A- 6 6 19.3 3.39 124 .295 .238 .314 .337 .251 .424 102 5.1 0.5 5.1 0.5
2010 BLJ Rk 1 1 2.0 1.94 157 .175 .228 .272 .346 .228 .500 97 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1
2011 LNS A 25 21 108.3 4.49 104 .254 .250 .318 .373 .261 .321 102 11.8 1.2 11.8 1.2
2012 DUN A+ 17 15 86.3 4.01 121 .216 .260 .324 .370 .248 .293 107 15.6 1.5 15.6 1.5
2012 NHP AA 3 3 15.0 3.45 123 .202 .259 .335 .398 .265 .257 102 3.1 0.3 3.1 0.3
2013 TOR MLB 1 1 1.3 12.58 -76 .604 .277 .325 .446 .279 .667 106 -1.3 -0.1 -1.3 -0.1
2013 NHP AA 17 17 92.7 2.84 137 .237 .255 .330 .388 .267 .333 103 27.7 3.0 27.7 3.0
2013 BUF AAA 3 3 17.7 4.97 93 .230 .269 .336 .406 .264 .267 102 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0
2014 TOR MLB 1 0 1.0 16.46 -157 .413 .245 .276 .305 .230 .000 111 -0.8 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1
2014 DUN A+ 2 2 7.3 2.80 149 .202 .282 .342 .409 .270 .211 117 2.8 0.3 2.8 0.3
2014 BUF AAA 17 17 87.3 4.30 107 .232 .260 .327 .385 .249 .270 98 10.2 1.0 10.2 1.0
2014 BLJ Rk 1 1 2.3 1.65 170 .114 .278 .366 .401 .282 .333 111 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2010 BLJ Rk 0 0 0 1 1 2.0 1 1 4 0 0% .500 4.5 4.5 0.0 18.0 1.00 0.00 0.8 0.1
2010 AUB A- 0 2 0 6 6 19.3 25 9 22 0 46% .424 11.7 4.2 0.0 10.3 1.76 6.06 5.1 0.5
2011 LNS A 4 4 1 25 21 108.3 102 31 113 9 44% .321 8.5 2.6 0.7 9.4 1.23 3.49 11.8 1.2
2012 NHP AA 1 0 0 3 3 15.0 9 6 18 0 43% .257 5.4 3.6 0.0 10.8 1.00 1.20 3.1 0.3
2012 DUN A+ 9 0 0 17 15 86.3 72 21 90 7 45% .293 7.5 2.2 0.7 9.4 1.08 2.19 15.6 1.5
2013 BUF AAA 1 1 0 3 3 17.7 13 10 13 1 39% .267 6.6 5.1 0.5 6.6 1.30 1.53 0.5 0.0
2013 TOR MLB 0 1 0 1 1 1.3 7 1 0 1 30% .667 47.2 6.8 6.8 0.0 6.00 40.50 -1.3 -0.1
2013 NHP AA 8 3 0 17 17 92.7 89 25 103 6 36% .333 8.6 2.4 0.6 10.0 1.23 3.01 27.7 3.0
2014 DUN A+ 0 1 0 2 2 7.3 4 4 9 0 42% .211 4.9 4.9 0.0 11.0 1.09 3.68 2.8 0.3
2014 TOR MLB 0 0 0 1 0 1.0 1 0 0 1 25% .000 9.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 1.00 9.00 -0.8 -0.1
2014 BLJ Rk 0 0 0 1 1 2.3 1 0 5 0 67% .333 3.9 0.0 0.0 19.3 0.43 0.00 1.3 0.1
2014 BUF AAA 4 6 0 17 17 87.3 74 35 74 6 42% .270 7.6 3.6 0.6 7.6 1.25 3.50 10.2 1.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 35 0.4571 0.4286 1.0000 0.5625 0.3158 1.0000 1.0000 0.0000
2014 18 0.5000 0.4444 0.7500 0.7778 0.1111 0.7143 1.0000 0.2500
Career530.47170.4340.91510.63560.24630.90310.0849

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-18 2014-07-28 Minors 40 0 Left Groin Strain -
2014-05-14 2014-06-06 Minors 23 0 Left Groin Strain - -
2013-04-05 2013-05-07 Minors 32 0 - Groin Strain - -
2011-06-30 2011-07-09 Minors 9 0 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 TOR $
2013 TOR $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 1 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Toronto 3/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Contract purchased by Toronto 5/24/13.
  • Drafted by Toronto 2010 (6-186) (San Jacinto JC, Texas). $0.175M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 6.9 6.5 0 22 22 109.8 92 36 96 12 .262 1.16 3.35 3.64 21.7 2.2
80o 6.2 6.5 0 21 21 102.7 92 36 89 12 .277 1.25 3.77 4.1 14.7 1.5
70o 5.7 6.5 0 20 20 97.7 93 36 85 12 .287 1.32 4.08 4.43 10.2 1.0
60o 5.3 6.5 0 19 19 93.6 93 36 82 12 .296 1.38 4.34 4.72 6.8 0.7
50o 5 6.4 0 18 18 89.7 93 36 78 12 .305 1.44 4.60 5 3.7 0.4
40o 4.6 6.4 0 18 18 86.0 92 36 75 12 .313 1.49 4.86 5.28 1.0 0.1
30o 4.2 6.4 0 17 17 82.0 92 36 71 12 .322 1.56 5.14 5.59 -1.7 -0.2
20o 3.8 6.3 0 16 16 77.5 91 36 68 12 .333 1.64 5.48 5.95 -4.4 -0.5
10o 3.3 6.2 0 15 15 71.5 90 35 62 12 .348 1.75 5.96 6.47 -7.7 -0.8
Weighted Mean56.40181889.491367812.3031.424.564.964.10.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
18% 36% 9% 29% 52%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152591003030184187631782440.3141.364.204.579.13.18.71.21.3
2016267802525149148501341940.3011.334.114.468.93.08.11.11.3
2017277702222132132461221740.3061.354.174.539.03.18.31.21.0
2018287702323133136431201740.3081.354.214.589.22.98.11.21.0
2019296602020116115381051540.3021.324.094.458.92.98.11.21.0
2020306602121121118371151540.3041.283.854.188.82.88.61.11.5
2021316602020120119371071540.3011.303.974.328.92.88.01.11.2
202232660191911111134991440.3011.303.974.329.02.78.01.11.1
202333560181810410432911340.3021.314.004.349.02.87.91.11.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
1.74.1out of baseball1.25.14.312.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 88)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 96 Matt Maloney 2008 0.00 DNP
2 95 Simon Castro 2012 0.00 DNP
3 94 Brad Peacock 2012 0.00 DNP
4 94 Scott Barnes 2012 4.26
5 93 J.J. Hoover 2012 2.05
6 93 P.J. Walters 2009 10.69
7 92 John Ely 2010 5.67
8 91 Brandon Workman 2013 4.97
9 91 Micah Owings 2007 4.78
10 91 Ryan Mullins 2008 0.00 DNP
11 90 Erik Goeddel 2013 0.00 DNP
12 90 Blake Wood 2010 5.26
13 90 Brad Mills 2009 14.09
14 90 Juan Nicasio 2011 4.40
15 90 Wade LeBlanc 2009 3.69
16 90 Aaron Crow 2011 3.05
17 90 Ariel Pena 2013 0.00 DNP
18 90 Aaron Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
19 90 Tommy Milone 2011 3.81
20 89 Christian Garcia 2010 0.00 DNP
21 89 Paul Kometani 2007 0.00 DNP
22 89 Glen Perkins 2007 3.14
23 89 Christian Friedrich 2012 6.48
24 89 Josh Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
25 89 Drew Granier 2013 0.00 DNP
26 89 Jeff Locke 2012 5.50
27 89 Felix Doubront 2012 5.31
28 89 Tyler Thornburg 2013 2.29
29 89 A.J. Griffin 2012 3.17
30 89 Hector Noesi 2011 4.63
31 89 Matt Loosen 2013 0.00 DNP
32 88 Erik Davis 2011 0.00 DNP
33 88 Mike Kickham 2013 10.80
34 88 Andre Rienzo 2012 0.00 DNP
35 88 Mark Rogers 2010 1.80
36 88 Omar Poveda 2012 0.00 DNP
37 88 Garrett Richards 2012 5.83
38 88 Jason Windsor 2007 0.00 DNP
39 88 James McDonald 2009 4.86
40 88 Gus Schlosser 2013 0.00 DNP
41 88 Jake Arrieta 2010 5.11
42 88 Rudy Owens 2012 0.00 DNP
43 88 Kelvin De La Cruz 2013 0.00 DNP
44 88 Eric Berger 2010 0.00 DNP
45 88 Yoervis Medina 2013 3.04
46 88 Antonio Bastardo 2010 4.34
47 88 Jeff Manship 2009 5.97
48 88 Maikel Cleto 2013 19.29
49 87 Scott Gorgen 2011 0.00 DNP
50 87 Yohan Pino 2008 0.00 DNP
51 87 Philip Humber 2007 7.71
52 87 Brandon Erbe 2012 0.00 DNP
53 87 James Gillheeney 2012 0.00 DNP
54 87 Scott Lewis 2008 3.38
55 87 Paolo Espino 2011 0.00 DNP
56 87 Deryk Hooker 2013 0.00 DNP
57 87 Chad Bettis 2013 6.85
58 87 Nick Tepesch 2013 5.03
59 87 Roenis Elias 2013 0.00 DNP
60 87 Chris Withrow 2013 2.60
61 87 Chris Dwyer 2012 0.00 DNP
62 87 Matt Packer 2012 0.00 DNP
63 87 Heath Rollins 2009 0.00 DNP
64 87 Kyle Gibson 2012 0.00 DNP
65 87 Bud Norris 2009 4.69
66 87 Drake Britton 2013 3.86
67 87 Sam LeCure 2008 0.00 DNP
68 86 James Simmons 2011 0.00 DNP
69 86 Ben Snyder 2010 0.00 DNP
70 86 Tim Crabbe 2012 0.00 DNP
71 86 Bobby Parnell 2009 5.71
72 86 Chris Rusin 2011 0.00 DNP
73 86 James Houser 2009 0.00 DNP
74 86 Jose Ortegano 2012 0.00 DNP
75 86 Michael Stutes 2011 3.63
76 86 Scott Diamond 2011 5.77
77 86 Jose Cisnero 2013 4.74
78 86 Dellin Betances 2012 0.00 DNP
79 86 Jake McGee 2011 4.50
80 86 Anthony Capra 2011 0.00 DNP
81 86 J.A. Happ 2007 11.25
82 86 John Gast 2013 5.11
83 86 Yohan Flande 2010 0.00 DNP
84 86 Kyle Weiland 2011 8.03
85 86 Alex Wilson 2011 0.00 DNP
86 86 Dan Straily 2013 4.37
87 86 Eric Niesen 2010 0.00 DNP
88 86 Rob Rasmussen 2013 0.00 DNP
89 85 Michael Megrew 2008 0.00 DNP
90 85 David Huff 2009 5.75
91 85 Josh Lindblom 2011 2.73
92 85 Luke Hochevar 2008 5.86
93 85 Matt Shoemaker 2011 0.00 DNP
94 85 Jhonny Nunez 2010 0.00 DNP
95 85 Lance Lynn 2011 3.12
96 85 Luis Marte 2011 2.45
97 85 Esmerling Vasquez 2008 0.00 DNP
98 85 Casey Crosby 2013 0.00 DNP
99 85 David Bromberg 2012 0.00 DNP
100 85 Brayan Villarreal 2011 6.75

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) 1.000 1.000 1.333 .772
11 vs R (Multi) .571 .625 1.143 .511
18 Split (Multi) .429 .375 .190 .261
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.026 -.032 -.063 -.030
30 vs L (2013) 1.000 1.000 1.333 .772
31 vs R (2013) .571 .625 1.143 .511
38 Split (2013) .429 .375 .190 .261
39 LgAvg (2013) -.025 -.031 -.062 -.029

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Thanks to the trades with the Mets and Marlins, Nolin will begin the season as one of the best prospects in Torontoís system. But thanks to those same deals, there isnít much room for him on the big-league roster. Fortunately, neither qualifies as a huge problem. Nolin has more development left anyway, with just 15 innings thrown above A-ball, although his overall refinement hints that he may be ready sometime this season.

BP Articles

Sean Nolin is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
The Lineup Card: Seven September Call-ups We're Excited to SeeBaseball Prospectus2014-08-27
Overthinking It: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade for, David PriceBen Lindbergh2014-06-27
Overthinking It: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade for, David PriceBaseball Prospectus2014-06-27
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Prospect Proximity RankingsR.J. Anderson2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
The Lineup Card: Nine Moves that Teams Still Need to MakeBaseball Prospectus2014-01-30
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Toronto Blue Jays Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-12-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Toronto Blue JaysBen Carsley2013-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, July 15Zach Mortimer2013-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, July 8Zach Mortimer2013-07-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Checking Back in on the Debut DebateBret Sayre2013-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 21-23Zach Mortimer2013-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: June 13, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 6-June 9Zach Mortimer2013-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 25, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-25
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Sean NolinBret Sayre2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Sean NolinMark Anderson2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 24, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 22, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 10-12Zach Mortimer2013-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Spring Training Scouting ReportsZach Mortimer2013-03-27
BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2013-02-26
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-25
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Toronto Blue Jays Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2012-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of August 20Kevin Goldstein2012-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of August 14Kevin Goldstein2012-08-15
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 12Kevin Goldstein2012-04-13


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)With Aaron Sanchez's control issues and possible move to the bullpen, is it safe to say Daniel Norris and Sean Nolin are the best in house starter prospects? When do you project they get their chances, eh?
(Hoser from Bob n Doug's Kitchen)
I'm not prepared to say Sanchez is destined for the bulllpen in any way. Even as much as I question the projection of his control/command, I still think he can succeed in the Major Leagues as a starter. He may end up more of a #3 than a #2 that his raw stuff suggests he should become, but that's still a damn valuable rotation piece. I still consider Sanchez the best starting pitching prospects in the Blue Jays organization and the gap between Sanchez and Norris/Nolin is considerable for me. (Mark Anderson)
2014-04-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Everyone knows the big prospect names that will be called up between now and July (e.g., Polanco, Bradley, Singleton. etc.), but are there less heralded MILB guys you think are on the cusp of helping MLB teams?
(PaulR from Queens)
Ian literally talks about nothing else. Less heralded MILB guys are the vital backbone of a savvy Scoresheeter. Letís offer Tim Cooney and Jake deGrom in the NL, and Mike Montgomery and Sean Nolin in the AL. Draft and follow Triple A guys are much more versatile than all but the best Low-A prospects in all but trade bait ability. (Scoresheet Chat with Ben, Jared, and Ian)
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Everyone's talking about all the possibilities for the 5th Blue Jays starter, but no one seems to be talking up me. Why not, I'm healthy again.
(Kyle Drabek from TheT.O.dog)
It's probably got something to do with your walk rates over your career. You've pitched in MLB for parts of four seasons and have had a BB% over 10 in three of them. That being said, I'm not a big Esmil Rogers fan and I don't trust Brandon Morrow at all. It's likely you and Sean Nolin will be in the mix. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-02-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Sam, Who has more upside--Heath Hembree or Sean Nolin?
(Shawn from Princeton, NJ)
Nolin (Sam Miller)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any of these guys going to wind up more than back-end fodder? Sean Nolin, Robbie Erlin, Jimmy Nelson, Alex Wood, Oberholtzer, Holmberg, Taylor Jordan, Maurer, Enny Romero, Alex Colome.
(TheKernel from Pasadena)
Don't sleep on Enny Romero. I think there is a better chance of him providing impact in the bullpen, but I've been working on the Rays system lately and scouts really like this kid's stuff; I've seen it several times myself, so I can definitely appreciate a mid-90s FB and hard breaking ball from a southpaw. The command concerns, but if he can develop into an effectively wild type, he has the stuff to pitch above the middle-of-a-rotation. Projection is #2/3 type, but I think a late-innings arm is the realistic role. (Jason Parks)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Wow, marathon chat...you are showing serious #want. Thank you for all you do. I love the MLU, and you've been a great follow on Twitter. #followmort. You've been a believer in Sean Nolin for quite a while. Is Mark Buehrle a fair comp/ceiling?
(boneil33 from Boston)
Thank you for all of the kind words. Yes I think Mark Buehrle is a fine comp for Sean Nolin. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Sean Nolin or Mike Foltynewicsz?
(Brian from Boston)
Folty is ready to step into serious prospect company in 2013. Just wait. He's moving up quickly. (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Sean Nolin has thrown 53 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2013 and 2014, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph), also mixing in a Curve (74mph) and Change (82mph).