Biographical

Portrait of Hector Nelo

Hector Nelo PReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
50.3 4.79 1.49 43 2 1 2 -0.3
Birth Date11-5-1986
Height6' 1"
Weight205 lbs
Age27 years, 11 months, 20 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2007 SPO A- 15 0 22.0 6.84 68 .272 .265 .346 .391 .266 .306 105 -0.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1
2008 CLN A 17 0 24.3 4.78 86 .284 .250 .325 .365 .264 .292 99 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2008 BAK A+ 2 1 5.0 9.28 1 .315 .256 .326 .364 .261 .083 97 -2.6 -0.3 -2.6 -0.3
2008 RNG Rk 10 8 35.7 5.49 90 .265 .269 .347 .382 .268 .364 102 4.0 0.4 4.0 0.4
2009 BAK A+ 19 0 29.7 4.53 109 .291 .269 .341 .394 .265 .344 99 3.7 0.4 3.7 0.4
2010 HIC A 19 0 31.7 5.03 87 .288 .255 .330 .382 .266 .378 101 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2010 BAK A+ 20 0 27.3 7.02 78 .263 .273 .340 .417 .263 .294 113 -0.4 -0.0 -0.4 -0.0
2011 POT A+ 36 0 41.3 3.64 119 .220 .249 .315 .379 .250 .264 103 6.6 0.7 6.6 0.7
2012 HAR AA 47 0 52.7 4.14 111 .243 .265 .333 .395 .263 .308 105 6.5 0.7 6.5 0.7
2013 CHT AA 45 0 60.7 4.46 91 .244 .246 .320 .368 .257 .285 100 1.4 0.1 1.1 0.1
2014 CHT AA 21 0 31.0 5.71 75 .325 .250 .319 .372 .264 .370 104 -0.3 -0.0 -0.4 -0.1
2014 PEN AA 5 0 7.7 4.67 91 .324 .253 .321 .380 .262 .364 97 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2007 SPO A- 1 2 0 15 0 22.0 20 21 21 1 51% .306 8.2 8.6 0.4 8.6 1.86 6.55 -0.9 -0.1
2008 RNG Rk 1 4 0 10 8 35.7 40 19 26 0 65% .364 10.1 4.8 0.0 6.6 1.65 4.03 4.0 0.4
2008 BAK A+ 0 0 0 2 1 5.0 2 7 6 1 46% .083 3.6 12.6 1.8 10.8 1.80 3.60 -2.6 -0.3
2008 CLN A 1 3 1 17 0 24.3 22 17 19 1 56% .292 8.1 6.3 0.4 7.0 1.60 2.96 0.1 0.0
2009 BAK A+ 0 0 0 19 0 29.7 33 23 27 1 52% .344 10.0 7.0 0.3 8.2 1.89 5.15 3.7 0.4
2010 HIC A 1 2 1 19 0 31.7 40 11 31 3 40% .378 11.4 3.1 0.9 8.8 1.61 6.81 0.2 0.0
2010 BAK A+ 0 1 0 20 0 27.3 25 19 32 5 48% .294 8.2 6.3 1.6 10.5 1.61 5.93 -0.4 -0.0
2011 POT A+ 1 0 18 36 0 41.3 32 16 35 0 58% .264 7.0 3.5 0.0 7.6 1.16 2.40 6.6 0.7
2012 HAR AA 1 6 16 47 0 52.7 44 29 63 4 57% .308 7.5 5.0 0.7 10.8 1.39 2.73 6.5 0.7
2013 CHT AA 5 2 3 45 0 60.7 51 29 50 2 55% .285 7.6 4.3 0.3 7.4 1.32 2.67 1.1 0.1
2014 CHT AA 1 0 0 21 0 31.0 41 19 32 4 45% .370 11.9 5.5 1.2 9.3 1.94 6.97 -0.4 -0.1
2014 PEN AA 0 0 0 5 0 7.7 9 4 9 1 57% .364 10.6 4.7 1.2 10.6 1.70 7.04 0.2 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 2.9 1.2 2.6 55 0 70.0 54 30 57 6 .266 1.20 3.39 3.69 6.3 0.6
80o 2.5 1 2.2 49 0 63.1 53 29 51 6 .282 1.29 3.81 4.14 2.2 0.2
70o 2.3 0.9 2 46 0 58.3 51 28 47 6 .293 1.36 4.12 4.48 -0.3 -0.0
60o 2.1 0.8 1.8 42 0 54.2 50 27 44 6 .303 1.43 4.39 4.77 -2.2 -0.2
50o 1.9 0.7 1.6 40 0 50.6 49 27 41 5 .312 1.49 4.65 5.05 -3.7 -0.4
40o 1.8 0.6 1.4 37 0 47.0 47 26 38 5 .322 1.55 4.91 5.34 -5.1 -0.5
30o 1.6 0.5 1.3 34 0 43.2 45 25 35 5 .332 1.62 5.20 5.65 -6.2 -0.6
20o 1.4 0.4 1.1 30 0 39.0 43 23 32 5 .344 1.71 5.54 6.02 -7.3 -0.7
10o 1.2 0.3 0.9 26 0 33.3 39 21 27 4 .360 1.83 6.02 6.55 -8.3 -0.8
Weighted Mean1.90.71.639049.84826405.3101.474.615.01-3.4-0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152821135045432136549.3111.424.414.798.64.27.21.00.1
20162921239050462442549.3041.404.134.498.34.37.60.90.3
20173021135045432136549.3091.414.334.718.54.27.11.00.1
20183121236046432137549.3021.384.234.608.44.17.21.00.2
20193221133043411933549.3031.414.294.678.64.07.01.10.1
20203321132042391833549.3061.374.234.608.43.97.11.10.2
20213421131040381732449.3051.384.194.568.53.87.20.90.2
20223511129037351629449.3051.384.234.608.53.97.11.00.2
20233611128035341528449.3051.394.224.598.73.87.11.00.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
3.60.60.3out of baseball0.30.24.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 95 Justin Friend 2013 0.00 DNP
2 91 Lee Hyde 2012 0.00 DNP
3 90 Carlos Vasquez 2010 0.00 DNP
4 90 Ryan Reid 2012 0.00 DNP
5 90 T.J. Large 2010 0.00 DNP
6 90 Rocky Roquet 2010 0.00 DNP
7 90 Barret Browning 2012 5.12
8 90 Derrick Loop 2011 0.00 DNP
9 90 Joe Testa 2013 0.00 DNP
10 89 Rommie Lewis 2010 6.75
11 88 Neil Wagner 2011 12.60
12 88 Jairo Asencio 2010 0.00 DNP
13 88 Clay Rapada 2008 4.64
14 88 Jose Valdez 2010 0.00 DNP
15 88 Joseph Krebs 2012 0.00 DNP
16 88 Trey Barham 2013 0.00 DNP
17 87 Josh Schmidt 2010 0.00 DNP
18 87 Neil Schenk 2013 0.00 DNP
19 87 Adam Reifer 2013 0.00 DNP
20 86 Steven Richard 2012 0.00 DNP
21 86 Tim Lahey 2009 0.00 DNP
22 86 Josh Ellis 2012 0.00 DNP
23 86 Chris Mobley 2011 0.00 DNP
24 86 Frank Gailey 2013 0.00 DNP
25 86 Jay Buente 2011 10.80
26 86 Matt German 2011 0.00 DNP
27 86 John Lujan 2011 0.00 DNP
28 86 Jon Link 2011 0.00 DNP
29 86 Michael Jarman 2012 0.00 DNP
30 86 Edwin Walker 2011 0.00 DNP
31 85 Carlos Hines 2008 0.00 DNP
32 85 Jeff Jeffords 2012 0.00 DNP
33 85 Garrett Parcell 2012 0.00 DNP
34 85 Kevin Cameron 2007 3.72
35 85 Brian Schlitter 2013 0.00 DNP
36 85 Kyle Crist 2010 0.00 DNP
37 85 Derrick Gordon 2011 0.00 DNP
38 85 Derrik Lutz 2012 0.00 DNP
39 85 Dumas Garcia 2011 0.00 DNP
40 85 Pedro Viola 2010 13.50
41 85 Jeff Gray 2009 4.44
42 85 Carlos Muniz 2008 5.40
43 84 Chris Leroux 2011 3.24
44 84 Spencer Steedley 2012 0.00 DNP
45 84 Reid Mahon 2010 0.00 DNP
46 84 Anthony Tomey 2009 0.00 DNP
47 84 Patrick Ryan 2010 0.00 DNP
48 84 Brendan Lafferty 2013 0.00 DNP
49 84 Andy Loomis 2013 0.00 DNP
50 84 Jim Henderson 2010 0.00 DNP
51 84 Josh Papelbon 2010 0.00 DNP
52 84 Tim Wood 2010 6.18
53 84 Sergio Escalona 2012 0.00 DNP
54 84 Joe Torres 2010 0.00 DNP
55 84 Stephen Marek 2011 0.00 DNP
56 84 Jeff Kennard 2009 0.00 DNP
57 83 Brian Baker 2010 0.00 DNP
58 83 Evan Reed 2013 6.17
59 83 Lincoln Holdzkom 2009 0.00 DNP
60 83 Matthew Scherer 2010 0.00 DNP
61 83 Blake Parker 2012 10.50
62 83 Michael Dubee 2013 0.00 DNP
63 83 Brennan Garr 2011 0.00 DNP
64 83 Bob McCrory 2009 23.32
65 83 Jose Diaz 2011 0.00 DNP
66 83 Ryan Flannery 2013 0.00 DNP
67 83 Justin Dowdy 2011 0.00 DNP
68 83 Jermaine Van Buren 2008 0.00 DNP
69 83 Atahualpa Severino 2012 0.00 DNP
70 83 Jonathan Ortiz 2013 0.00 DNP
71 83 Luis Pena 2010 0.00 DNP
72 83 Henry Mabee 2013 0.00 DNP
73 83 Jason Ray 2012 0.00 DNP
74 83 Brian Akin 2009 0.00 DNP
75 83 Ricky Brooks 2012 0.00 DNP
76 82 Jailen Peguero 2008 5.79
77 82 Hunter Jones 2011 0.00 DNP
78 82 Jason Rice 2013 0.00 DNP
79 82 Zech Zinicola 2012 0.00 DNP
80 82 Justin Hedrick 2009 0.00 DNP
81 82 Jared Potts 2013 0.00 DNP
82 82 Jose Marte 2011 0.00 DNP
83 82 Lee Tabor 2012 0.00 DNP
84 82 Bo Schultz 2013 0.00 DNP
85 82 Brent Leach 2010 0.00 DNP
86 82 Jeff Ridgway 2008 3.72
87 82 Will Latimer 2013 0.00 DNP
88 82 Eduardo Sierra 2009 0.00 DNP
89 82 Abe Woody 2010 0.00 DNP
90 82 Brett Butts 2013 0.00 DNP
91 82 Josh Newman 2009 0.00 DNP
92 82 Will Harris 2012 9.17
93 82 Frank Mata 2011 0.00 DNP
94 82 Wade Korpi 2013 0.00 DNP
95 81 Daniel Sattler 2011 0.00 DNP
96 81 Jesse Carlson 2008 2.40
97 81 Matt Daley 2009 4.24
98 81 Daniel Stange 2013 16.20
99 81 Juan Lara 2008 0.00 DNP
100 81 Jeremiah Bayer 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Hector Nelo threw 13 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2013, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph), also mixing in a Slider (80mph) and Sinker (95mph).