Biographical

Portrait of Mike Minor

Mike Minor PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
38.3 3.96 1.18 31 2 2 0 0.3
Birth Date12-26-1987
Height6' 4"
Weight210 lbs
Age28 years, 9 months, 3 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
0.02012
3.72013
0.72014
2015
0.02016
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2010 ATL MLB 9 8 40.7 3 2 0 53 11 43 6 .258 94 11.7 2.4 1.3 9.5 38% .379 .321 1.57 3.79 5.98 97 4.07 0.6
2011 ATL MLB 15 15 82.7 5 3 0 93 30 77 7 .252 98 10.1 3.3 0.8 8.4 39% .350 .274 1.49 3.36 4.14 101 4.00 1.0
2012 ATL MLB 30 30 179.3 11 10 0 151 56 145 26 .260 100 7.6 2.8 1.3 7.3 37% .252 .246 1.15 4.42 4.12 117 5.15 0.0
2013 ATL MLB 32 32 204.7 13 9 0 177 46 181 22 .251 100 7.8 2.0 1.0 8.0 37% .272 .239 1.09 3.34 3.21 98 3.45 3.7
2014 ATL MLB 25 25 145.3 6 12 0 165 44 120 21 .256 96 10.2 2.7 1.3 7.4 43% .323 .296 1.44 4.36 4.77 106 4.45 0.7
CareerMLB111110652.73836063918756682.255998.82.61.17.839%.296.2641.273.904.101054.256.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA
2009 ROM A 4 4 14.0 0 1 0 10 0 17 0 .273 82 6.4 0.0 0.0 10.9 42% .323 .155 0.71 1.03 0.64 71 1.97
2009 PES Wnt 7 7 16.7 1 0 0 23 6 12 3 .000 12.4 3.2 1.6 6.5 0% .385 .000 1.74 6.39 4.85 0 0.00
2010 ATL MLB 9 8 40.7 3 2 0 53 11 43 6 .258 94 11.7 2.4 1.3 9.5 38% .379 .321 1.57 3.79 5.98 97 4.07
2010 MIS AA 15 15 87.0 2 6 0 74 34 109 8 .266 92 7.7 3.5 0.8 11.3 48% .317 .257 1.24 3.28 4.03 0 0.00
2010 GWN AAA 6 6 33.3 4 1 0 19 12 37 1 .256 99 5.1 3.2 0.3 10.0 47% .234 .189 0.93 2.54 1.89 0 0.00
2011 ATL MLB 15 15 82.7 5 3 0 93 30 77 7 .252 98 10.1 3.3 0.8 8.4 39% .350 .274 1.49 3.36 4.14 101 4.00
2011 GWN AAA 16 16 100.7 4 5 0 93 27 99 12 .253 96 8.3 2.4 1.1 8.9 45% .295 .238 1.19 3.68 3.13 84 2.21
2012 ATL MLB 30 30 179.3 11 10 0 151 56 145 26 .260 100 7.6 2.8 1.3 7.3 37% .252 .246 1.15 4.42 4.12 117 5.15
2013 ATL MLB 32 32 204.7 13 9 0 177 46 181 22 .251 100 7.8 2.0 1.0 8.0 37% .272 .239 1.09 3.34 3.21 98 3.45
2014 ATL MLB 25 25 145.3 6 12 0 165 44 120 21 .256 96 10.2 2.7 1.3 7.4 43% .323 .296 1.44 4.36 4.77 106 4.45
2014 ROM A 1 1 5.0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 .273 101 1.8 1.8 0.0 7.2 33% .083 .079 0.40 2.59 0.00 94 3.85
2014 MIS AA 2 2 9.0 0 2 0 14 0 7 5 .263 96 14.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 34% .333 .402 1.56 8.85 8.00 99 4.02
2014 GWN AAA 2 1 8.3 2 0 0 5 3 8 1 .241 109 5.4 3.2 1.1 8.6 30% .182 .248 0.96 4.44 3.24 99 4.04
2016 NWA AA 2 2 7.7 0 0 0 5 5 12 1 .267 95 5.9 5.9 1.2 14.1 38% .267 .269 1.30 3.70 3.52 90 3.15
2016 OMA AAA 8 8 34.7 0 4 0 38 17 33 7 .266 98 9.9 4.4 1.8 8.6 37% .333 .306 1.59 5.91 6.23 104 5.72

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 768 0.4909 0.4805 0.7317 0.6605 0.3069 0.8072 0.5750 0.2683
2011 1358 0.4794 0.4381 0.7933 0.5791 0.3083 0.8515 0.6927 0.2067
2012 2835 0.4765 0.4261 0.7906 0.6144 0.2547 0.8482 0.6640 0.2094
2013 3119 0.5204 0.4607 0.7711 0.6094 0.2995 0.8463 0.6049 0.2289
2014 2418 0.5070 0.4487 0.8147 0.6158 0.2768 0.8848 0.6545 0.1853
Career104980.4980.44710.78640.6120.28390.85350.64150.2136

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-21 2014-09-29 DTD 8 8 Left Shoulder Soreness -
2014-03-21 2014-05-02 15-DL 42 27 Left Shoulder Recovery From Inflammation - -
2014-02-24 2014-03-21 Camp 25 0 Left Shoulder Inflammation - -
2013-12-31 2013-12-31 Off 0 0 - General Medical Surgery - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 KCA $1,250,000
2017 KCA $4,000,000
2016 KCA $2,000,000
2015 ATL $5,600,000
2014 ATL $3,850,000
2013 ATL $505,000
2012 ATL $482,500
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$10,437,500
2011Current$2,000,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$12,437,500
2 yrFuture$5,250,000
8 yrTotal$17,687,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 138 dJet Sports2 years/$7.25M (2016-17), 2018 option

Details
  • 2 years/$7.25M (2016-17), plus 2018 mutual option. Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 2/19/16. 16:$2M, 17:$4M, 18:$10M mutual option ($1.25M buyout). 2016 roster bonuses: $0.175M each for 30, 60, 90, 120 days on active Major League roster. 2016 performance bonuses: $0.165M/start from 11 to 20. $0.165M each for 75, 80, 85, 90, 95, 100, 105, 110, 115, 120 innings. 2017 performance bonuses: $$0.225M each for 12, 14, 16, 18, 20, 22, 24, 26, 28, 30 starts. $0.225M each for 110, 120, 130, 140, 150, 160, 170, 180, 190, 200 innings.
  • 1 year/$5.6M (2015). Won in arbitration with Atlanta 2/20/15 ($5.6M-$5.1M). Non-tendered by Atlanta 12/2/15.
  • 1 year/$3.85M (2014). Re-signed by Atlanta 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.505M (2013). Re-signed by Atlanta 2/27/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4825M (2012). Re-signed by Atlanta 3/2/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Re-signed by Atlanta 2/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Contract purchased by Atlanta 8/7/10.
  • Drafted by Atlanta 2009 (1-7) (Vanderbilt). $2.42M signing bonus.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3.3 2.8 0 9 9 54.1 40 13 44 5 .254 0.98 2.70 2.94 12.5 1.4
80o 2.9 2.6 0 8 8 48.5 39 12 40 5 .267 1.05 3.04 3.3 9.1 1.0
70o 2.6 2.5 0 7 7 44.5 37 12 36 5 .276 1.09 3.28 3.57 6.9 0.7
60o 2.3 2.4 0 7 7 41.2 36 11 34 5 .284 1.14 3.49 3.8 5.3 0.6
50o 2.1 2.3 0 6 6 38.1 34 11 31 5 .291 1.18 3.69 4.01 3.9 0.4
40o 1.9 2.2 0 6 6 35.2 33 10 29 4 .299 1.22 3.89 4.23 2.8 0.3
30o 1.7 2.1 0 5 5 32.0 31 10 26 4 .307 1.27 4.11 4.47 1.7 0.2
20o 1.5 1.9 0 5 5 28.4 29 9 23 4 .316 1.32 4.37 4.75 0.6 0.1
10o 1.2 1.7 0 4 4 23.6 25 8 19 3 .329 1.40 4.73 5.14 -0.4 -0.0
Weighted Mean2.12.306637.53410314.2901.173.673.994.00.4

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/29/2016 15:02 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
Weighted Mean?????0.0????.0000.000.00?0.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
12% 44% 16% 5% 76%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201729101002828171163401342240.3011.193.844.538.62.17.11.21.5
201830111203232206201481602740.3021.213.934.648.82.17.01.21.5
201931111103030191189441542540.3091.223.884.588.92.17.31.21.5
2020328902424141138351181940.3081.233.914.618.82.27.51.21.1
202133770202011811327981640.3041.193.884.578.62.17.51.21.0
2022348802323133127311101740.3031.193.804.488.62.17.41.11.3
2023354501313767518601040.3071.233.994.718.92.17.11.20.5
2024364401212716917571040.3041.223.944.658.82.27.31.30.5
202537440111162601551840.3051.203.944.658.72.27.41.20.5

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017296802121123130491062340.3001.464.625.459.53.67.81.7-0.4
20183071002626150164601272840.3041.494.665.499.83.67.61.7-0.6
20193181002727160175611403040.3101.484.575.399.83.47.91.7-0.4
202032570181810811744992040.3101.494.555.369.73.78.21.7-0.3
2021335601616929734841740.3041.424.455.259.53.38.21.7-0.1
2022346802121125130461152240.3051.414.285.059.43.38.31.60.1
202335560171710011434891840.3211.484.385.1610.33.18.01.6-0.0
20243681102929176190771553040.3091.524.515.329.73.97.91.5-0.3
20253771002626152161621243140.2911.474.935.819.53.77.31.8-1.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
284447.527.622.730.8169.7

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015284447.527.622.730.8169.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 84)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Jeff Francis 2009 0.00 DNP
2 93 Cliff Lee 2007 6.75
3 91 Jeremy Hellickson 2015 4.87
4 91 Ian Kennedy 2013 5.36
5 89 Wei-Yin Chen 2014 3.73
6 89 Homer Bailey 2014 3.71
7 88 Aaron Harang 2006 4.19
8 88 Wade Davis 2014 1.00
9 88 Travis Wood 2015 4.29
10 87 Shaun Marcum 2010 3.87
11 87 Ervin Santana 2011 3.70
12 87 Jordan Zimmermann 2014 3.02
13 86 Jesse Litsch 2013 0.00 DNP
14 86 Andy Sonnanstine 2011 5.55
15 86 Dave Bush 2008 4.48
16 86 Phil Hughes 2014 3.78
17 86 Kyle Davies 2012 0.00 DNP
18 85 Boof Bonser 2010 6.12
19 85 Byung-Hyun Kim 2007 6.85
20 85 Ian Snell 2010 6.99
21 85 Gil Meche 2007 4.08
22 85 Gavin Floyd 2011 4.51
23 85 John Smiley 1993 5.88
24 85 Juan Pizarro 1965 3.90
25 85 Johnny Podres 1961 3.99
26 85 Jason Hammel 2011 5.28
27 85 Brett Cecil 2015 2.82
28 84 Brad Penny 2006 4.48
29 84 Billy Loes 1958 4.03
30 84 Mike Witt 1989 4.87
31 84 Wade Miley 2015 4.55
32 84 Andy Benes 1996 4.14
33 84 Adam Eaton 2006 5.26
34 84 Luke Hochevar 2012 6.17
35 84 Bud Norris 2013 4.53
36 84 Britt Burns 1987 0.00 DNP
37 84 Ivan Nova 2015 5.17
38 84 Odalis Perez 2006 6.63
39 84 Mickey Lolich 1969 3.56
40 84 John Montefusco 1978 4.11
41 84 Scott Baker 2010 4.60
42 84 Geraldo Guzman 2001 3.86
43 84 Joe Kennedy 2007 5.37
44 84 Moose Haas 1984 4.28
45 83 Vicente Padilla 2006 4.86
46 83 Pete Schourek 1997 6.27
47 83 Frank Viola 1988 2.82
48 83 Anibal Sanchez 2012 4.37
49 83 Andrew Cashner 2015 5.41
50 83 Chad Billingsley 2013 3.00
51 83 Scott McGregor 1982 5.01
52 83 Jim Wright 1979 5.09
53 83 Milt Pappas 1967 3.64
54 83 Joe Blanton 2009 4.10
55 83 Freddy Garcia 2005 4.03
56 83 Jack McDowell 1994 4.08
57 83 Javier Vazquez 2005 4.67
58 83 Edwin Jackson 2012 4.27
59 83 Sid Fernandez 1991 3.68
60 83 Dwight Gooden 1993 3.84
61 83 Chris Capuano 2007 5.58
62 83 Tommy Hunter 2015 4.33
63 83 Alex Fernandez 1998 0.00 DNP
64 83 Joel Pineiro 2007 4.52
65 83 Don Wilson 1973 3.54
66 82 Chris Young 2007 3.38
67 82 Kyle Lohse 2007 5.09
68 82 Dillon Gee 2014 4.00
69 82 Tom Gorzelanny 2011 4.29
70 82 James Shields 2010 5.62
71 82 James McDonald 2013 7.28
72 82 Jorge Sosa 2006 5.95
73 82 Derek Holland 2015 4.91
74 82 Dave McNally 1971 3.01
75 82 Larry Dierker 1975 4.23 DNP
76 82 Yovani Gallardo 2014 4.02
77 82 Ed Halicki 1979 5.87
78 82 Lance Lynn 2015 3.39
79 82 Esmil Rogers 2014 5.91
80 82 Carl Erskine 1955 4.07
81 82 Bobby Shantz 1954 7.88
82 82 Jeff Weaver 2005 4.46
83 82 Roger Mason 1986 5.25
84 82 Ted Higuera 1986 3.04
85 82 Denny Neagle 1997 3.36
86 82 Kris Medlen 2014 0.00 DNP
87 82 Mike Flanagan 1980 4.33
88 82 Ross Ohlendorf 2011 8.84
89 82 Erik Hanson 1993 3.81
90 82 Manny Parra 2011 0.00 DNP
91 82 Bill Monbouquette 1965 4.45
92 81 Randy Wolf 2005 4.50
93 81 Billy Pierce 1955 2.19
94 81 Ralph Branca 1954 5.90
95 81 Chad Gaudin 2011 10.80
96 81 Don Sutton 1973 2.74
97 81 Billy Hoeft 1960 4.82
98 81 Jorge De La Rosa 2009 4.62
99 81 Kevin Slowey 2012 0.00 DNP
100 81 Len Barker 1984 4.20

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Minor's career has fallen down a hole. After a promising start as a first-round pick who developed as every team hopes their first-round picks will, he struggled repeating his mechanics and saw his stuff flatten in 2014. He also dealt with left-shoulder inflammation in spring training and soreness late in the year. The nightmares engendered by those issues came to life when his shoulder caved in, requiring surgery to repair a torn labrum in May. As you can see in the stats box above, it cost him the season. How much more it will cost him is, as with all shoulder injuries, unknown. Someone toss him a rope.
2015 Shelved for the first month with shoulder inflammation, Minor returned in May with a quality start against the Giants. Then the worst season of his big-league career began. The next two months were so bad that Minor exited July with an ERA north of 5.20. Chief among the causes for his implosion were, as noted by the attentive folks at Talking Chop, an elevated arm slot and worse posture‚ÄĒleading to flat pitches and worse command. Minor also tinkered with his pitch selection, all but benching his changeup over the final few weeks. He did find success late, reeling off six quality starts in a row, and his peripherals remained solid. Even so, it's understandable if Braves fans are guarded in their expectations for Minor heading forward.
2014 Once thought of as an overdraft, Minor turned in his best big-league season to date in 2013. He improved on his strikeout and walk rates, and his home-run rate remained manageable despite extreme fly-ball tendencies. Minor was the lone Braves pitcher to top 200 innings, and while he's not good enough to earn the ace distinctionóand there's not really an extra gear hereóhe is a durable above-average starter who would be welcome in any team's rotation. Expect more of the same in 2014.
2013 After struggling in the first half, Minor finished the season strong. His peripherals improved across the board in the second half, including his home run rateóhe went from allowing more than one long ball per start to allowing one every other start. Whether Minorís second half represents an epiphany is unclear. If not, Minor might be what he seems to be: a slightly better-than-average starter who always leaves you wanting more.
2012 Atlanta took body blows from the community after drafting Minor in 2009. The seventh overall pick is not one usually associated with risk aversion, but the gambit paid off. Minor increased his velocity and stock, shooting through the minors thanks to an already healthy arsenal that featured a plus changeup and improving breaking ball. Despite losing the fifth starterís job to Beachy in camp, Minor still made 15 starts and opened the season in the rotation due to a Jurrjens injury. Although he allowed a below league-average number of runs, the component measures suggest he pitched well. Expect Minor to open 2012 in the big-league rotation.
2011 The Braves caught some flak for using the seventh overall pick in the 2009 draft to nab Minor. Scouts agreed that he could get to the big leagues quickly, but there were questions about his upside. The former prediction certainly came true, since Minor was making big-league starts during a pennant race in his first full season, but estimates of his ceiling have risen as dramatically and unexpectedly as his velocity. What was recently an average fastball suddenly turned into a beast that touched 95 mph, and the bread and butter of his game, secondary offerings and command, were as good as ever. Clearly out of gas at the end of the year, Minor will be expected to play a bigger role for Atlanta in 2011. No one is criticizing his selection now.
2010 The selection of Minor with the seventh overall pick was one of the more controversial moments of the 2009 draft. The debate didn't concern Minor's talent, but rather the proper moment to take a player like him. Outsized talents Stephen Strasburg aside, a strong case can be made that no pitcher in the draft had a better chance of a lengthy big-league career, but one might also prefer 50 pitchers ahead of him if the criterion was changed to "most likely to pitch in an All-Star Game." Minor represents the classic, conservative selection in the certainty vs. upside argument, as he has the polish of a veteran and plus-plus command of a four-pitch mix, but he doesn't blow anyone away. His ceiling is that of a third or fourth starter, but it's a ceiling he's going to reach quickly, likely beginning his first full season at Double-A. The third side to the Minor question is that good teams such as the Braves rarely get the chance to pick in the single digits, and that's where the stars come from, so did the Braves do the right thing by finding a consistent starter, or blow a golden opportunity to find a true impact player?

BP Articles

Mike Minor is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: 19th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-08-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 18th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: 17th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 16th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-07-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 15th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-07-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 14th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 13th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-06-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 12th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-06-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 11th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-06-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 10th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-06-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Ninth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-06-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Eighth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-05-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Seventh Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-05-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Sixth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-05-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Fifth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-05-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Fourth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: Third Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-04-22
TDGX Transactions: Betting on BettisGeorge Bissell2016-04-20
Expert FAAB Review: Week TwoMike Gianella2016-04-12
Pebble Hunting: Should Have Taken TroutSam Miller2016-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: Starting Pitching Depth, RankedJeff Long2016-03-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2016-03-03
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Transaction Analysis: Minor MovesR.J. Anderson2016-02-23
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, 2015Mike Gianella2015-03-19
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting PItchers, Part TwoDoug Thorburn2015-02-25
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part TwoJ.P. Breen2015-02-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Atlanta BravesNick Shlain2014-12-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to Mike Minor Last Year?Wilson Karaman2014-12-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessRetrospective Player Valuation: National League PitchersMike Gianella2014-11-20
The Lineup Card: Seven of Our Favorite Giancarlo Stanton Home RunsBaseball Prospectus2014-11-19
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National LeagueMike Gianella2014-10-20
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 15, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-15
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)Mike Minor or Jarred Cosart, keep forever. Whom do you prefer?
(Derek from Minnesnowta)
I prefer Cosart here, Minor scares the hell out of me. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Minor had his 1st decent game in awhile Sunday against Oakland. Is this a sign of things to come (fingers crossed) or just a positive blip on a lost season? Any thoughts on him getting back to form in '15?
(pat from chicago)
I am a big fan of Mike Minor and I think he can return to form in 2015. He is a good pitchability guy with good stuff. Mid-rotation to backend piece. Pitchers have down seasons. (CJ Wittmann)
2014-07-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do your wise injury-predicting eyes say about Mike Minor's chances of surviving the next week? This scares me: https://twitter.com/IanMM_/status/491758581294071808
(Frank W. from Atlanta)
Iíll start by saying that, though I do have 20/20 vision, Iíve never predicted a pitcher injury before. But youíre rightóMinor has definitely opted for a higher release point this year.

The little pitching-related UCL research that Iíve read suggests that an upward shift in release takes pressure off of the ligament. Minor has undergone a sudden, dramatic shift (probably related to some mechanical change) and a more gradual shift as well. The gradual shift is the one that concerns me, but only if elbow discomfort is causing it.

A final note on Minor: over the last few years, heís been one of the quickest fatiguing starting pitchers out there. For Minor, almost everything (velocity, movement, etc.) drops off from pitch #1 onward. Iím not sure Iíd go as far as saying that he never should have been a starter in the big leagues, but heís not built for 100+ pitch outings. (Noah Woodward)
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Think Mike Minor turns it around? Peripherals all look pretty much the same as last year. What was he projected to be when he was coming up through the minors?
(Joe from Chucktown)
I'm not too worried about Minor at this point. He's a quality pitcher that has good feel for his craft and will ultimately figure it out. I always pegged him as a #3 starter and I still think he settles in that range for quite some time. (Mark Anderson)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)David Wright, Mike Minor, James Shields, Gregory Polanco for Paul Goldschmidt, George Springer and Dellin Betances. Would you make this move or is it not enough for Goldy?
(Jimbo from LA)
This is bordering on too many moving parts but I think this is fair, unless you suddenly find yourself in need of starting pitchers. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, I love reading your work. How would you rank these pitchers just for this year: Anibal Sanchez, Mat Latos, Mike Minor, Matt Moore, Homer Bailey, Tanaka and Alex Cobb?
(oscarbluth from Madison, WI)
[Sanchez, Latos, Bailey, Cobb], [Moore, Minor, Tanaka] (Paul Sporer)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)I have a plethora of SP in my dynasty league and am looking to pick up an OF. Would type of OF would you trade Mike Minor or Teheran for?
(Brian from Mass)
Jennings? Werth? Crisp? should be able to net a solid OF (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Mike Minor has looked pretty spectacular in his first two starts, but one was against Miami. If you were to take the under/over on 3.6 ERA, which would it be and why?
(Todd from Boston)
I am not a fan of his delivery, but it is hard to argue with the results since July of last year. The Braves are excellent when it comes to pitcher development, especially the elements of pitch selection and approach, so I give them credit for getting the most out of their pitchers. My head says over on the 3.60 ERA, but my gut takes the under.

On the jukebox: Snot, "Tecato" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mike Minor have all star potential?
(Tony Danza from China)
You're the boss, I should be asking you! Sure he can make an ASG or two. I don't think he's a consistent upper echelon All-Star. (Paul Sporer)
2013-03-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Loved thr article on velocity risers. You mention creating hip-shoulder separation as a key element to doing it, and single out the possibility of delaying trunk rotation. Justin Verlander seems to do that really well. Are there specific pitchers you think could find an extra tick or two by just rotating earlier with their lower half, headed into a new season?
(Matt Trueblood from Fridley, MN)
Great question and awesome observation on Verlander. His torque is incredible, with a killer combination of upper-body load, delayed trunk rotation, and mechanical repetition.

There are a umber of pitchers who tend to rotate the hips very late, choosing to fire hips and shoulders together, though this technique places the kinetic responsibility lower on the chain. Some of the pitchers who use this "hip whip," and who would likely benefit from greater hip-shoulder separation include: Mike Fiers, Mike Minor, Matt Harrison, and Clayton Kershaw.

Kershaw's strategy is more than likely tied to his hip problems, and he is the #1 pitcher that I would like to see find a more efficient method for generating torque. The problem is that he has recently found his ideal timing, after years of struggling with repetition, and making such an adjustment could set him back for a stretch while he coordinated the new mechanics. So it's hard to fault the team for not making an adjustment.

On the jukebox: Pantera, "Cemetery Gates" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)are the braves a threat to the nationals or do you think washngiton will cruise to the east?
(Kev from charlotte)
The Braves are absolutely a threat, Kev, especially if Kris Medlen and Mike Minor can sustain their second-half performance. I think the Nationals are a few wins better at this point, with a rough projection of 96-66 for WSH and 93-69 for ATL, but one injury could tilt the balance the other way. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-12-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Early predictions: which Starting Pitchers do you feel make for some good fantasy sleepers next year? Thanks for the chat.
(Paul from St. Louis)
You're welcome, Paul; thank you for stopping by. I'll toss a few names out there off the top of my head: Chris Archer (if he lands a spot in the Rays rotation), Brett Anderson, Mike Minor, and Homer Bailey. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-03-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Mike Minor stays in Atlanta's rotation all season?
(Ed from Cranford, NJ)
It's certainly possible, but my guess is he spends a little bit of time out of the rotation at some point. Not for any specific reason; just that, young #5 starters, no matter their potential, tend to have struggles here and there. It's kind of rare today to see a team get 35 starts from their #5 guy, so odds are against it for anyone, even Minor. (Larry Granillo)
2012-03-14 13:30:00 (link to chat)Do you ever see Mike Minor having a breakout season? Or is his leash short with all the pitching on the horizon?
(Jerome from T Hills)
Minor makes a lot of sense as a trade candidate. He's a young, cost-controlled starter who could be at least league average right now, which makes him very valuable, but he lacks the upside of some of the Braves' blue-chippers. I certainly wouldn't say Atlanta should shop him, but the right offer could come along. If it doesn't, they'll be happy with what they get out of him. I don't know about "breakout," but barring injury, I think he's going to be good for quite a while. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Braves starting rotation on opening day looks like....
(Trey from Texas)
Good question. Tim Hudson just said he's going to miss the first month, so my best guess is that Jair Jurrjens, Tommy Hanson, Brandon Beachy and Mike Minor are all in there, with Randall Delgado, Julio Teheran, and perhaps Kris Medlen competing for the five spot. Wouldn't surprise me at all if the kids were to start the season in the minors because of the way that April off days limit fifth starters anyway. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-08-26 16:00:00 (link to chat)I'm a huge Braves fan, but I'm frustrated as to why we never spend big money in the draft, like other teams. Is there a reason for that?
(Zack from El Paso)
Spending big money doesn't mean you are going to be successful. We are proud of the players we drafted and feel like they will be able to help us accomplish our goal of winning another World Series for the city of Atlanta.

In the win on Tuesday night 23-year old Mike Minor got the win, 23-year old Craig Kimbrel got the save, and 22-year old Jason Heyward hit a grand slam. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, since MLB adopted the save rule in 1969, it was the first tim that three teammates 23 years of age or younger had earned a win, notched a save, and hit a grand slam in the same game. All three of those players were signed at or very near to slot recommendations. (John Coppolella)
2011-06-29 13:30:00 (link to chat)Who are the most likely Braves to be traded away at the deadline? Mike Minor, Randall Delgado, Bethancourt? Please tell me that Tehran's going nowhere.
(dan11995 from Atlanta, GA)
There is no way they trade Teheran. I'd say they'd let Minor go in the right deal, though. (John Perrotto)
2011-06-06 17:00:00 (link to chat)If Hultzen lands with the O's, when is the earliest he could be up? Next summer? Is he more than this years Mike Minor?
(Juice from Baltimore)
I could see him ready by late 2012 yes. Most polished pitcher in the draft. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-04-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)And as I sit inside a computer lab running simulations, Mike Minor had another solid outing for the Braves playing down the road in Durahm. Damn. It's a beautiful day, too. Here's a real question, though. Is there any reason to believe that Charlie Morton is finally actualizing his talent? The 6:12 K:BB argue against, but I've got a soft spot for the guy.
(Matt A from Raleigh)
I think there is plenty of reason to believe that Morton is better than his numbers have been in the past, but I don't think he's THIS much better as much as I think he's a solid back-end starter. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do see from the Braves rotation next year? Can Hudson and Jurrjens continue to outperform some of their underlying metrics? Does Hanson have another step forward in him, or will he continue to look like a right handed Kershaw (not a bad thing, btw!)?
(PhilliesRed from Menlo Park, CA)
I think Hudson is a lot more likely to keep beating his SIERA than Jurrjens. He's a really extreme ground ball pitcher, and there's clearly something abnormal about him that would make you think he doesn't fit in the one-size-fits-all box. I think the Braves rotation is definitely going to be good, and Hudson and Hanson should be in the low-to-mid 3s. Jurrjens even if healthy seems like a 4-4.5 ERA guy, and at this point in his career, so does Lowe. I think Mike Minor's K/BB suggests he could be a bigger deal than he looked like in the majors in 2010. This is a good rotation without major holes. The lineup has questions, but I like the rotation. (Matt Swartz)
2010-09-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Jay, I may be too late to respond, but YES I was talking only in the NL. It seems they have a ton this season with: Heyward, Posey, Logan Morrison, Stanton, Starlin Castro, Pedro Alvarez, Tabata, Strasburg, Chapman, Mike Minor, Leake, Ike Davis... all in the National League.
(Bobby from New York)
Ah, got it. That's a tough question for another day - there's a lot to like there, but we've already got less reason to be excited about Ike Davis, for one. What really matters is how these guys develop beyond year one, anyway. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)So I own Mike Minor in a keeper league. Better keeper than Roy Oswalt?
(Me from Here)
Well, things can happen with developing pitchers as the league adjusts to them, but yes, he is an exciting young pitcher. As long as he can keep those strikeout rates in the eye-popping range, I'll have an eye on him. And given his two years in the minors and start to his major league career, it's definitely a possibility worth exploring. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of stuff has Mike Minor shown to throw up such great K numbers? What would you say is his ceiling now?
(Lane from Austin, TX)
He's been excellent obviously. 89-94 MPH fastball, true plus change, good curve, I'd up his ceiling to a good No. 3. (Kevin Goldstein)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2016, Mike Minor threw 10,926 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph) and Sinker (91mph), also mixing in a Curve (82mph), Slider (86mph) and Change (85mph).