Biographical

Portrait of Fabio Martinez Mesa

Fabio Martinez Mesa PDodgers

Dodgers Player Cards | Dodgers Team Audit | Dodgers Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
33.7 5.44 1.72 33 2 2 0 -0.4
Birth Date10-29-1989
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lbs
Age24 years, 11 months, 22 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2007 DNG Rk 13 3 25.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .380 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 DNG Rk 13 13 76.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .302 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 ANG Rk 14 13 60.7 3.88 120 .244 .259 .336 .360 .261 .312 98 14.7 1.5 14.7 1.5
2009 ORM Rk 2 2 7.0 5.51 99 .233 .298 .364 .483 .287 .200 110 1.5 0.1 1.5 0.1
2010 CDR A 20 19 103.3 3.81 120 .250 .255 .332 .376 .255 .327 104 21.7 2.2 21.7 2.2
2011 ANG Rk 2 0 2.3 4.45 117 .218 .248 .329 .374 .254 .286 95 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0
2012 CAR A+ 8 0 6.3 5.90 68 .301 .253 .312 .380 .249 .294 97 -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1
2012 SBR A+ 8 8 22.7 8.12 27 .374 .277 .343 .439 .280 .343 94 -3.8 -0.4 -3.8 -0.4
2013 CAR A+ 20 0 25.7 6.69 67 .273 .252 .325 .388 .253 .298 107 -2.1 -0.2 -2.1 -0.2
2013 AKR AA 3 0 2.7 10.68 -32 .427 .244 .328 .388 .273 .417 100 -1.8 -0.2 -1.8 -0.2
2014 RCU A+ 23 17 99.7 7.77 40 .279 .270 .342 .421 .273 .264 100 -11.7 -1.2 -11.7 -1.2
2014 ABQ AAA 5 0 5.7 5.87 102 .254 .289 .358 .454 .280 .300 116 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2007 DNG Rk 1 2 1 13 3 25.3 27 26 30 0 0% .380 9.6 9.2 0.0 10.7 2.09 6.76 0.0 0.0
2008 DNG Rk 6 1 0 13 13 76.3 55 32 93 1 0% .302 6.5 3.8 0.1 11.0 1.14 1.53 0.0 0.0
2009 ORM Rk 1 0 0 2 2 7.0 5 2 10 2 27% .200 6.4 2.6 2.6 12.9 1.00 3.86 1.5 0.1
2009 ANG Rk 3 2 0 14 13 60.7 45 36 92 1 56% .312 6.7 5.3 0.1 13.6 1.33 3.26 14.7 1.5
2010 CDR A 7 3 0 20 19 103.3 80 76 141 6 48% .327 7.0 6.6 0.5 12.3 1.51 3.92 21.7 2.2
2011 ANG Rk 0 0 0 2 0 2.3 2 1 2 0 57% .286 7.7 3.9 0.0 7.7 1.29 0.00 0.4 0.0
2012 CAR A+ 0 2 0 8 0 6.3 5 8 7 0 53% .294 7.1 11.4 0.0 9.9 2.05 8.53 -0.7 -0.1
2012 SBR A+ 0 5 0 8 8 22.7 26 32 23 2 54% .343 10.3 12.7 0.8 9.1 2.56 10.72 -3.8 -0.4
2013 AKR AA 0 1 0 3 0 2.7 5 5 1 0 42% .417 16.9 16.9 0.0 3.4 3.75 33.75 -1.8 -0.2
2013 CAR A+ 0 1 0 20 0 25.7 19 30 36 2 73% .298 6.7 10.5 0.7 12.6 1.91 8.06 -2.1 -0.2
2014 RCU A+ 5 6 0 23 17 99.7 82 91 86 9 65% .264 7.4 8.2 0.8 7.8 1.74 4.97 -11.7 -1.2
2014 ABQ AAA 1 0 0 5 0 5.7 6 2 3 0 65% .300 9.5 3.2 0.0 4.8 1.41 3.18 0.4 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2011-08-20 2011-09-06 Minors 17 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2010-08-01 2010-09-11 Minors 41 0 Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2012)

Details
  • 1 year (2012). Contract purchased by LA Angels 11/18/11. Re-signed by LA Angels 3/3/12. Claimed by Cleveland off waivers from LA Angels 8/6/12. Sent outright to Triple-A by Cleveland 11/26/12.
  • Signed 2007 as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 2.9 2.9 0.5 20 9 52.4 38 33 51 5 .270 1.36 3.90 4.24 3.1 0.3
80o 2.4 2.7 0.4 17 7 45.7 36 32 45 4 .287 1.48 4.41 4.79 -0.2 -0.0
70o 2.1 2.6 0.3 15 7 41.0 34 30 40 4 .299 1.57 4.79 5.21 -2.1 -0.2
60o 1.8 2.4 0.3 14 6 37.1 33 28 36 4 .310 1.65 5.12 5.57 -3.4 -0.3
50o 1.6 2.3 0.3 12 5 33.5 31 27 33 4 .320 1.72 5.44 5.91 -4.3 -0.4
40o 1.3 2.1 0.2 11 5 30.1 29 25 30 3 .330 1.80 5.76 6.27 -5.0 -0.5
30o 1.1 2 0.2 10 4 26.5 27 23 26 3 .341 1.89 6.12 6.65 -5.4 -0.5
20o 0.9 1.7 0.1 8 4 22.5 24 21 22 3 .354 1.99 6.55 7.12 -5.6 -0.6
10o 0.6 1.4 0.1 6 3 17.2 20 17 17 2 .372 2.15 7.17 7.79 -5.3 -0.5
Weighted Mean1.52.20.312532.73026324.3171.705.385.85-4.0-0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
9% 12% 4% 12% 18%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152567149191441181211451247.3021.665.065.507.47.69.10.8-1.2
2016265613915115100891171247.3091.645.095.547.87.09.20.9-1.0
20172767145171341161041351447.3101.655.025.467.87.09.10.9-1.1
2018285614316126112941281347.3171.634.985.418.06.79.10.9-0.9
2019296614417130112931331447.3071.584.795.207.86.49.21.0-0.7
2020306614517132115911321347.3091.564.675.087.86.29.00.9-0.5
2021316614316126109851251247.3091.544.625.037.86.19.00.9-0.4
2022325614015118103801161247.3091.554.665.077.96.18.80.9-0.4
202333551381511198751081147.3091.554.705.107.96.18.70.9-0.5

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.84.42.81.8out of baseballout of baseball9.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Shane Lindsay 2009 0.00 DNP
2 92 Shooter Hunt 2011 0.00 DNP
3 91 Ramon Lebron 2013 0.00 DNP
4 89 Eddie Degerman 2008 0.00 DNP
5 87 Jason Rice 2010 0.00 DNP
6 87 Travis Chick 2008 0.00 DNP
7 87 Thomas Diamond 2007 0.00 DNP
8 87 Daniel Brauer 2008 0.00 DNP
9 87 Cole Kimball 2010 0.00 DNP
10 87 Jesse English 2009 0.00 DNP
11 86 Nick Hagadone 2010 0.00 DNP
12 86 Brett Hunter 2011 0.00 DNP
13 86 Andrew Bailey 2008 0.00 DNP
14 86 Tyler Kehrer 2012 0.00 DNP
15 86 Kasey Kiker 2012 0.00 DNP
16 86 Bradley Holt 2011 0.00 DNP
17 85 Michael Strong 2013 0.00 DNP
18 84 Carlos Sencion 2009 0.00 DNP
19 84 Greg Wilborn 2011 0.00 DNP
20 84 Eric Beaulac 2011 0.00 DNP
21 84 Kirby Yates 2011 0.00 DNP
22 84 Michael Megrew 2008 0.00 DNP
23 84 Blake King 2011 0.00 DNP
24 84 Duane Below 2010 0.00 DNP
25 84 Nicholas Carr 2011 0.00 DNP
26 83 Andrew Brackman 2010 0.00 DNP
27 83 Tim Crabbe 2012 0.00 DNP
28 83 Christian Garcia 2010 0.00 DNP
29 83 Radhames Liz 2007 7.66
30 83 Francisco Rondon 2012 0.00 DNP
31 83 Renyel Pinto 2007 3.68
32 83 Alexander Smit 2010 0.00 DNP
33 83 Scott Gorgen 2011 0.00 DNP
34 83 Samuel Deduno 2008 0.00 DNP
35 83 Mark Rogers 2010 1.80
36 83 Ariel Pena 2013 0.00 DNP
37 83 Anthony Capra 2011 0.00 DNP
38 83 Victor Garate 2009 22.50
39 83 Humberto Sanchez 2007 0.00 DNP
40 83 Craig Whitaker 2009 0.00 DNP
41 82 J.A. Happ 2007 11.25
42 82 Javy Guerra 2010 0.00 DNP
43 82 Andre Rienzo 2012 0.00 DNP
44 82 Mark Serrano 2010 0.00 DNP
45 82 Wilkin De La Rosa 2009 0.00 DNP
46 82 Philip Humber 2007 7.71
47 82 Brayan Villarreal 2011 6.75
48 82 Shane Greene 2013 0.00 DNP
49 82 Drew Granier 2013 0.00 DNP
50 82 Thomas Shirley 2013 0.00 DNP
51 82 Travis Webb 2009 0.00 DNP
52 82 Daniel Bard 2009 4.38
53 82 Josh Ravin 2012 0.00 DNP
54 82 Luis Perez 2009 0.00 DNP
55 82 Bud Norris 2009 4.69
56 82 Glen Perkins 2007 3.14
57 82 Eric Krebs 2009 0.00 DNP
58 81 Jairo Cuevas 2008 0.00 DNP
59 81 Clint Everts 2009 0.00 DNP
60 81 Adam Bostick 2007 0.00 DNP
61 81 Gary Daley 2010 0.00 DNP
62 81 Brad Mills 2009 14.09
63 81 Dustin Richardson 2008 0.00 DNP
64 81 Sergio Severino 2009 0.00 DNP
65 81 Ben Henry 2013 0.00 DNP
66 81 Tyler Pelland 2008 0.00 DNP
67 81 Jake Cowan 2012 0.00 DNP
68 81 Chris Nicoll 2008 0.00 DNP
69 81 Jake Brigham 2012 0.00 DNP
70 81 Matt Wright 2011 0.00 DNP
71 81 Cory Rasmus 2012 0.00 DNP
72 81 Matt Loosen 2013 0.00 DNP
73 80 Sergio Escalona 2009 4.61
74 80 Michael Belfiore 2013 13.50
75 80 Sean Watson 2010 0.00 DNP
76 80 Bruce Pugh 2013 0.00 DNP
77 80 Ben Hornbeck 2012 0.00 DNP
78 80 Nate Karns 2012 0.00 DNP
79 80 Daniel Haigwood 2008 0.00 DNP
80 80 Ryan Buch 2012 0.00 DNP
81 80 Aaron Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
82 80 Jeff Beliveau 2011 0.00 DNP
83 80 Josh Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
84 80 Craig Italiano 2011 0.00 DNP
85 80 Mario Alvarez 2008 0.00 DNP
86 80 Trevor Hurley 2012 0.00 DNP
87 80 Jordan Pratt 2009 0.00 DNP
88 80 Yeiper Castillo 2013 0.00 DNP
89 80 Jonathan Cornelius 2012 0.00 DNP
90 80 Henry Rodriguez 2011 4.11
91 80 Paul Kometani 2007 0.00 DNP
92 80 Austin Adams 2011 0.00 DNP
93 80 Brett Wallach 2013 0.00 DNP
94 80 Alberto Bastardo 2008 0.00 DNP
95 80 Kevin Roberts 2008 0.00 DNP
96 79 Tanner Robles 2013 0.00 DNP
97 79 Josh Sullivan 2009 0.00 DNP
98 79 Ruben Flores 2008 0.00 DNP
99 79 Tyler Norrick 2008 0.00 DNP
100 79 Jhonny Nunez 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 As high-risk as they come, Fabio Martinez Mesa has been an absolute mess of injuries, mechanical issues, and awful command since 2010, when he showed a lot of potential.
2012 "Great stuff, but wild" became "great stuff, but wild, with mysterious shoulder injury" for Fabio Martinez Mesa. Angels never did have an expected return date for him. Mysterious.
2011 Before last season, Mesa had yet to put his enticing repertoire to the test in a full-season league. That changed in 2010, as the righty took his act to Cedar Rapids, where he showcased the same tantalizing package of unpolished promise that already had scouts talking. Mesa’s 12.3 strikeouts per nine paced the Midwest League, but his walk rate showed no sign of improvement, ranking third-worst in the circuit. Like many a young flamethrower, Mesa doesn’t always know where his pitches are going, which—given the fact that his fastball touches 97—must be as unsettling for opposing batters as it is for him. Armed with a plus slider and a developing changeup, he has the secondary stuff to succeed. Further development time may allow him to repeat his smooth delivery more often, removing his most glaring impediment to stardom.
2010 After impressing in the Dominican Summer League in 2008, Fabio Martinez Mesa dominated stateside thanks to his mid-90s fastball and plus-plus slider, leading the Arizona League in strikeouts. Scouts like his projectable frame and the potential for his changeup to be a plus pitch as well.

BP Articles

Fabio Martinez Mesa is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Yuni to Get Out of Here NowR.J. Anderson2012-08-09
This article requires BP Premium accessGM for a Day: Los Angeles Angels of AnaheimTommy Bennett2010-11-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Org Watch: Rangers, Athletics, AngelsKevin Goldstein2010-06-30
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 1Kevin Goldstein2010-06-02
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 27Kevin Goldstein2010-05-28


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Fabio Martinez Mesa - is he a MLB starter even if his control does not progress much, and a 1/2 if it does? Also, any word on his health?
(Fonzarelli from Milwaukee)
That's really an open question. You have to keep him starting for as long as possible, but some scouts do project him purely as a reliever. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.