Biographical

Portrait of Shaun Marcum

Shaun Marcum PIndians

Indians Player Cards | Indians Team Audit | Indians Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 32)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
71.7 3.67 1.25 58 4 4 0 0.8
Birth Date12-14-1981
Height6' 0"
Weight195 lbs
Age32 years, 10 months, 10 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
4.02010
2.32011
1.32012
0.72013
0.82014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2005 TOR 23 5 0 8.0 0.0 8.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 6 0 0 0 8 4 4 0 4 0.00 3.55 3.99 1.5 0.2
2006 TOR 24 21 14 78.3 68.7 9.7 3 4 0 0 4 0 357 87 44 44 14 153 38 35 4 65 5.06 5.46 5.70 6.6 0.6
2007 TOR 25 38 25 159.0 142.7 16.3 12 6 1 2 15 0 660 149 76 73 27 266 49 48 5 122 4.13 5.00 5.72 1.7 0.4
2008 TOR 26 25 25 151.3 151.3 0.0 9 7 0 0 15 0 630 126 60 57 21 220 50 48 8 123 3.39 4.49 5.23 4.5 0.6
2010 TOR 28 31 31 195.3 195.3 0.0 13 8 0 0 20 1 800 181 84 79 24 301 43 40 6 165 3.64 3.71 4.19 36.3 4.0
2011 MIL 29 33 33 200.7 200.7 0.0 13 7 0 0 20 3 822 175 84 79 22 280 57 54 0 158 3.54 3.70 4.39 20.6 2.3
2012 MIL 30 21 21 124.0 124.0 0.0 7 4 0 0 12 0 527 116 57 51 16 195 41 39 4 109 3.70 4.14 4.30 11.3 1.3
2013 NYN 31 14 12 78.3 68.7 9.7 1 10 0 0 5 1 334 85 48 46 7 125 21 19 4 60 5.29 3.61 3.86 6.3 0.7
Career188161995.0951.343.758461291541629254534291311548303287318063.884.214.7388.910.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2003 AUB A- 21 0 34.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .206 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 CWV A 13 13 79.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .271 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 DUN A+ 12 12 69.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .343 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 TOR MLB 5 0 8.0 3.99 120 .197 .269 .343 .406 .269 .250 106 1.5 0.2 1.5 0.2
2005 NHP AA 9 9 53.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.684 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SYR AAA 18 18 103.7 5.38 93 .247 .275 .343 .430 .256 .303 101 9.4 0.9 9.4 0.9
2006 TOR MLB 21 14 78.3 5.70 92 .279 .278 .349 .440 .263 .309 107 6.6 0.6 6.6 0.6
2006 SYR AAA 18 5 52.1 3.59 120 .214 .252 .320 .387 .257 .291 100 9.0 0.9 9.0 0.9
2007 TOR MLB 38 25 159.0 5.72 77 .263 .278 .344 .428 .268 .268 95 0.5 0.0 1.7 0.4
2008 TOR MLB 25 25 151.3 5.23 87 .240 .264 .333 .417 .260 .246 98 5.3 0.5 4.5 0.6
2008 DUN A+ 1 1 4.0 0.29 194 .060 .232 .309 .319 .232 .000 109 2.6 0.3 2.6 0.3
2008 SYR AAA 2 2 13.0 2.91 135 .218 .264 .330 .424 .271 .286 95 3.2 0.3 3.2 0.3
2009 DUN A+ 2 2 6.0 2.37 149 .223 .272 .331 .382 .260 .350 105 2.4 0.2 2.4 0.2
2009 NHP AA 2 2 7.7 4.93 69 .320 .266 .336 .382 .277 .292 85 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0
2009 LVG AAA 1 1 2.0 5.77 72 .227 .278 .345 .432 .275 .250 96 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2010 TOR MLB 31 31 195.3 4.19 117 .237 .260 .328 .409 .259 .279 113 35.1 3.7 36.3 4.0
2011 MIL MLB 33 33 200.7 4.39 98 .235 .251 .314 .386 .257 .262 104 15.7 1.7 20.6 2.3
2012 MIL MLB 21 21 124.0 4.30 104 .254 .250 .310 .385 .254 .280 104 13.2 1.4 11.3 1.3
2012 WIS A 3 3 12.7 4.19 111 .208 .267 .351 .414 .280 .222 99 1.9 0.2 1.9 0.2
2013 NYN MLB 14 12 78.3 3.86 100 .275 .239 .299 .374 .247 .322 95 6.4 0.7 6.3 0.7
2014 COH AAA 8 1 15.3 5.12 93 .203 .248 .319 .367 .242 .214 104 -0.6 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1
2014 CLE Rk 1 1 2.0 4.22 124 .174 .266 .330 .381 .269 .333 111 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2003 AUB A- 1 0 8 21 0 34.0 15 7 47 1 0% .206 4.0 1.9 0.3 12.4 0.65 1.32 0.0 0.0
2004 DUN A+ 3 2 0 12 12 69.3 74 4 72 6 0% .343 9.6 0.5 0.8 9.4 1.13 3.12 0.0 0.0
2004 CWV A 7 4 0 13 13 79.0 64 16 83 7 0% .271 7.3 1.8 0.8 9.5 1.01 3.19 0.0 0.0
2005 SYR AAA 6 4 0 18 18 103.7 112 18 90 17 44% .303 9.7 1.6 1.5 7.8 1.25 4.95 9.4 0.9
2005 TOR MLB 0 0 0 5 0 8.0 6 4 4 0 50% .250 6.8 4.5 0.0 4.5 1.25 0.00 1.5 0.2
2005 NHP AA 7 1 0 9 9 53.3 44 10 40 5 0% -.684 7.4 1.7 0.8 6.8 1.01 2.53 0.0 0.0
2006 SYR AAA 4 0 0 18 5 52.1 48 9 60 6 50% .291 8.3 1.6 1.0 10.4 1.09 3.45 9.0 0.9
2006 TOR MLB 3 4 0 21 14 78.3 87 38 65 14 37% .309 10.0 4.4 1.6 7.5 1.60 5.06 6.6 0.6
2007 TOR MLB 12 6 1 38 25 159.0 149 49 122 27 42% .268 8.4 2.8 1.5 6.9 1.25 4.13 1.7 0.4
2008 TOR MLB 9 7 0 25 25 151.3 126 50 123 21 43% .246 7.5 3.0 1.2 7.3 1.16 3.39 4.5 0.6
2008 DUN A+ 0 0 0 1 1 4.0 0 0 6 0 50% .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5 0.00 0.00 2.6 0.3
2008 SYR AAA 0 1 0 2 2 13.0 10 3 15 0 37% .286 6.9 2.1 0.0 10.4 1.00 2.77 3.2 0.3
2009 NHP AA 0 1 0 2 2 7.7 8 2 8 1 44% .292 9.4 2.3 1.2 9.4 1.30 1.17 -0.2 -0.0
2009 LVG AAA 0 0 0 1 1 2.0 2 1 0 0 25% .250 9.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 1.50 4.50 0.2 0.0
2009 DUN A+ 0 1 0 2 2 6.0 7 0 5 0 65% .350 10.5 0.0 0.0 7.5 1.17 3.00 2.4 0.2
2010 TOR MLB 13 8 0 31 31 195.3 181 43 165 24 39% .279 8.3 2.0 1.1 7.6 1.15 3.64 36.3 4.0
2011 MIL MLB 13 7 0 33 33 200.7 175 57 158 22 40% .262 7.8 2.6 1.0 7.1 1.16 3.54 20.6 2.3
2012 MIL MLB 7 4 0 21 21 124.0 116 41 109 16 37% .280 8.4 3.0 1.2 7.9 1.27 3.70 11.3 1.3
2012 WIS A 1 0 0 3 3 12.7 9 3 10 1 41% .222 6.4 2.1 0.7 7.1 0.95 2.84 1.9 0.2
2013 NYN MLB 1 10 0 14 12 78.3 85 21 60 7 38% .322 9.8 2.4 0.8 6.9 1.35 5.29 6.3 0.7
2014 COH AAA 1 0 0 8 1 15.3 10 6 10 1 40% .214 5.9 3.5 0.6 5.9 1.04 2.35 -0.6 -0.1
2014 CLE Rk 0 0 0 1 1 2.0 1 1 3 0 0% .333 4.5 4.5 0.0 13.5 1.00 0.00 0.6 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 2201 0.4412 0.4481 0.7787 0.6025 0.3252 0.8821 0.6275 0.2213
2010 2930 0.4802 0.4703 0.7603 0.6091 0.3414 0.8576 0.6000 0.2397
2011 3170 0.4621 0.4498 0.7676 0.6027 0.3173 0.8720 0.5970 0.2310
2012 2066 0.4768 0.4581 0.7643 0.6223 0.3080 0.8613 0.5856 0.2347
2013 1227 0.4792 0.4866 0.7973 0.6122 0.3709 0.9083 0.6287 0.1993
Career115940.46710.460.77040.60880.32890.87220.60490.2287

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-03 2014-08-07 Minors 126 0 - Not Disclosed -
2013-07-08 2013-07-23 15-DL 15 10 Right Shoulder Surgery Thoracic Outlet Syndrome 2013-07-17 -
2013-05-10 2013-05-10 DTD 0 0 Left Thumb Soreness - -
2013-03-22 2013-04-27 15-DL 36 21 Right Neck Nerve Injury Pinched Nerve - -
2013-03-17 2013-03-22 Camp 5 0 Right Shoulder Impingement - -
2012-08-30 2012-08-30 DTD 0 0 Left Lower Leg Cramp Calf - -
2012-06-15 2012-08-24 60-DL 70 60 Right Elbow Tightness - -
2012-03-06 2012-03-25 Camp 19 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -
2011-06-23 2011-06-29 DTD 6 4 Left Hip Strain Hip Flexor -
2011-06-17 2011-06-17 DTD 0 0 Left Hip Strain Hip Flexor -
2011-03-12 2011-03-12 Camp 0 0 Right Shoulder Tightness -
2010-07-18 2010-07-24 On-Alr 6 5 Fingers Blister Middle Finger -
2010-07-02 2010-07-18 15-DL 16 11 Left Elbow Inflammation -
2009-07-21 2009-07-21 On-Alr 0 0 Low Back Strain -
2009-03-27 2009-10-05 60-DL 192 162 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2008-09-30
2008-09-17 2008-09-29 DTD 12 11 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2008-09-30
2008-06-19 2008-07-22 15-DL 33 26 Right Elbow Strain -
2007-09-23 2007-10-01 DTD 8 8 Right Knee Surgery Meniscus 2007-09-26
2007-08-10 2007-08-10 DTD 0 0 Lower Leg Cramp -
2007-06-03 2007-06-03 DTD 0 0 Low Back Spasms -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CLE $
2013 NYN $4,000,000
2012 MIL $7,725,000
2011 MIL $3,950,000
2010 TOR $850,000
2009 TOR $405,200
2008 TOR $402,500
2007 TOR $386,100
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$17,718,800
7 yrTotal$17,718,800

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
7 y 128 dRex Gary1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Signed by Cleveland as a free agent 12/16/13 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1M in major leagues. May earn additional $3M in bonuses.
  • 1 year/$4M (2013). Signed by NY Mets as a free agent 1/13. May earn additional $2.25M in performance bonuses: $0.25M each for 120, 140, 160, 170 innings. $0.375M each for 180, 190 IP. $0.5M for 200 IP. May earn additional $1.75M in roster bonuses: $0.375M each for 90, 120 days on active roster without right arm injury. $0.5M each for 150, 170 days. Released by NY Mets 7/23/13.
  • 1 year/$7.725M (2012). Re-signed by Milwaukee 2/3/12 (avoided arbitration, $8.7M-$6.75M).
  • 1 year/$3.95M (2011). Signed by Milwaukee 2/9/11 (avoided arbitration, $5M-$3M). Performance bonuses: $50,000 each for 190, 200 innings pitched.
  • 1 year/$0.85M (2010). Re-signed by Toronto 1/18/10 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.4052M (2009). Re-signed by Toronto 2/25/09.
  • 1 year/$0.4025M (2008). Optioned to Triple-A 8/23/08. Recalled 9/2/08.
  • 1 year/$0.3861M (2007). Re-signed by Toronto 3/07.
  • 1 year (2006). Optioned to Triple-A 3/06. Recalled 4/06.
  • 1 year (2005). Contract purchased by Toronto 9/05.
  • Drafted by Toronto 2003 (3-80) (Southwest Missouri State). $0.449M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 6.2 3.8 0 15 15 88.9 72 20 73 8 .252 1.03 2.65 2.88 22.6 2.3
80o 5.6 3.8 0 14 14 82.9 72 19 68 8 .265 1.10 2.99 3.25 17.0 1.7
70o 5.2 3.8 0 13 13 78.7 71 19 64 8 .275 1.15 3.24 3.52 13.4 1.4
60o 4.9 3.7 0 13 13 75.1 71 19 61 8 .283 1.20 3.46 3.76 10.5 1.1
50o 4.6 3.7 0 12 12 71.8 70 19 59 8 .290 1.24 3.66 3.98 8.1 0.8
40o 4.3 3.7 0 11 11 68.6 70 19 56 8 .298 1.29 3.87 4.2 5.9 0.6
30o 4 3.6 0 11 11 65.2 69 19 53 8 .306 1.34 4.09 4.44 3.8 0.4
20o 3.7 3.6 0 10 10 61.3 68 18 50 8 .315 1.40 4.35 4.73 1.5 0.2
10o 3.3 3.5 0 9 9 56.1 66 18 46 7 .328 1.49 4.72 5.13 -1.1 -0.1
Weighted Mean4.63.70121271.36919588.2881.233.643.958.30.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
16% 38% 24% 8% 77%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201533111103030191197531382440.2911.314.104.469.32.56.51.11.0
20163491002727164176431212340.2991.344.374.759.72.46.71.30.4
2017359902525149155391082040.2931.304.144.509.42.46.51.20.8
201836880232313814435981840.2921.304.134.499.42.36.41.20.7
201937770191911312330811640.2991.354.394.789.82.46.51.30.2
202038660171710311127731440.3001.344.384.769.72.46.41.20.2
20213956015159110025631240.3011.374.484.879.92.56.21.20.1
2022405501515879424591240.2971.364.444.839.82.56.11.20.1
2023415501313798622531140.2981.374.494.889.82.56.11.30.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
26.826.515.310.316.411.495.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 94 John Lackey 2011 6.69
2 93 Jake Peavy 2013 4.35
3 91 Bronson Arroyo 2009 4.13
4 90 Gaylord Perry 1971 3.73
5 89 Johan Santana 2011 0.00 DNP
6 89 Brad Penny 2010 4.04
7 89 Freddy Garcia 2009 4.34
8 89 Chris Young 2011 1.88
9 89 Ben Sheets 2011 0.00 DNP
10 88 Jeremy Guthrie 2011 4.89
11 88 Bob Feller 1951 3.79
12 87 Jason Schmidt 2005 4.71
13 87 Kevin Millwood 2007 5.79
14 87 Andy Messersmith 1978 8.46
15 87 Don Sutton 1977 3.45
16 87 Kelvim Escobar 2008 0.00 DNP
17 87 Warren Spahn 1953 2.66
18 86 Ted Higuera 1990 4.24
19 86 Burt Hooton 1982 4.25
20 86 Josh Beckett 2012 4.81
21 86 Dick Donovan 1960 5.61
22 86 John Smoltz 1999 3.38
23 86 Juan Marichal 1970 4.75
24 86 Roy Oswalt 2010 2.98
25 86 Early Wynn 1952 3.26
26 86 Jon Garland 2012 0.00 DNP
27 85 Gil Meche 2011 0.00 DNP
28 85 Phil Niekro 1971 3.75
29 85 Mark Buehrle 2011 4.03
30 85 Dan Haren 2013 4.88
31 85 Chris Carpenter 2007 7.50
32 84 Jaret Wright 2008 0.00 DNP
33 84 Steve Rogers 1982 2.73
34 84 Cliff Lee 2011 2.55
35 84 Catfish Hunter 1978 3.74
36 84 Joe Saunders 2013 5.75
37 83 Matt Clement 2007 0.00 DNP
38 83 Jack Morris 1987 3.76
39 83 Jason Jennings 2011 0.00 DNP
40 83 Erik Bedard 2011 4.38
41 83 Daisuke Matsuzaka 2013 4.89
42 83 Colby Lewis 2012 4.11
43 83 Joel Pineiro 2011 5.50
44 82 Barry Zito 2010 4.38
45 82 A.J. Burnett 2009 4.30
46 82 Matt Morris 2007 5.57
47 82 Orel Hershiser 1991 3.46
48 82 Jarrod Washburn 2007 4.74
49 82 Livan Hernandez 2007 5.11
50 82 Jim Palmer 1978 2.86
51 82 Frank Sullivan 1962 6.23 DNP
52 82 Kyle Lohse 2011 3.82
53 81 Bob Gibson 1968 1.45
54 81 Larry Jackson 1963 3.34
55 81 Jack McDowell 1998 5.33
56 81 Bret Saberhagen 1996 0.00 DNP
57 81 Frank Lary 1962 6.64 DNP
58 81 Chris Bosio 1995 5.19
59 80 Mel Parnell 1954 4.41
60 80 Kevin Appier 2000 5.02
61 80 Roberto Hernandez 2013 5.19
62 80 Bob Rush 1958 3.60
63 80 Jason Marquis 2011 5.05
64 80 Charlie Leibrandt 1989 5.48
65 79 Ted Lilly 2008 4.22
66 79 Wilbur Wood 1974 3.99
67 79 Steve Gromek 1952 4.04
68 79 Bob Lemon 1953 3.74
69 79 Doug Drabek 1995 5.06
70 79 Moose Haas 1988 0.00 DNP
71 79 Tim Belcher 1994 6.89
72 79 Vicente Padilla 2010 4.36
73 79 Danny Darwin 1988 4.03
74 79 Don Mossi 1961 3.63
75 79 Billy O'Dell 1965 2.82
76 79 Nate Robertson 2010 6.75
77 79 David Cone 1995 3.73
78 79 Jeff Suppan 2007 4.92
79 78 Justin Duchscherer 2010 3.54
80 78 Brad Radke 2005 4.40
81 78 Kenny Rogers 1997 6.21
82 78 Doug Davis 2008 4.68
83 78 Matt Belisle 2012 4.05
84 78 Roger Clemens 1995 4.44
85 78 Tom Gordon 2000 0.00 DNP
86 78 Kevin Correia 2013 4.32
87 78 Bob Ojeda 1990 4.04
88 78 Mike Garcia 1956 4.23
89 78 Whitey Ford 1961 3.43
90 78 John Tudor 1986 3.33
91 77 Rick Reuschel 1981 3.68
92 77 Bryn Smith 1988 3.59
93 77 Jim Clancy 1988 4.86
94 77 Brian Lawrence 2008 0.00 DNP
95 77 Wandy Rodriguez 2011 3.82
96 77 Brian Tallet 2010 6.87
97 77 Jose Mesa 1998 5.31
98 77 Carlos Zambrano 2013 0.00 DNP
99 77 Frank Viola 1992 3.74
100 77 Mike Caldwell 1981 4.36

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .268 .336 .429 .273
11 vs R (Multi) .244 .286 .382 .237
18 Split (Multi) .023 .049 .046 .036
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .302 .378 .460 .301
31 vs R (2013) .272 .303 .387 .243
38 Split (2013) .030 .075 .073 .058
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Watching Marcum pitch can be a joy, as the human-scaled right-hander consistently distracts the Goliaths facing him with an array of off-speed junk before jamming them with his mid-80s heater—the pitching equivalent of Otter telling Greg Marmalard to look at his thumb before cold-cocking him. If only Marcum could embody our bully-revenge fantasies more frequently, he’d be a wealthier man. To no one’s surprise, Marcum missed two months with a barking elbow last summer, leaving his career total of 200-inning seasons stuck at one. When healthy, he’s a valuable mid-rotation starter whose extreme fly-ball tendencies would play best in a larger ballpark, but he’ll have to shed his reputation for fragility in order to earn the big bucks his talent and productivity otherwise deserve.
2012 Marcum is the change-of-pace for the two flamethrowers atop the rotation, barely breaking 90 mph on the gun. But he's also authored WHIPs among the top 21 starting pitchers in baseball each of the past two seasons, and he keeps hitters constantly off-balance by spotting six pitches (or more, if each of his several changeups is considered separately). His extra-low BABIP, weak second-half strikeout rate (5.8 K/9), and postseason ineptitude raise serious concerns about his ability to repeat in 2012. But he's a smart pitcher and used to adapting; the more serious concern—given his injury history—is that his late-season decline is due to a concealed health issue.
2011 It long looked like the Blue Jays had an interchangeable-parts approach to the non-Halladay section of their rotation. Litsch, Richmond, Marcum—who could keep them all straight? If they really were interchangeable, the Blue Jays would have been wise to turn in all their chips and cash out in Marcums. In contrast to Litsch’s and McGowan’s recoveries, Marcum’s return from Tommy John surgery went swimmingly, and the Opening Day starter set career bests in nearly every relevant category. He slashed his walks, leading to a strikeout-to-walk ratio that was sixth-best in the majors, ahead of King Felix, Tim Lincecum, and Francisco Liriano. Despite the fact that he’s a righty who doesn’t throw hard, Marcum’s beguiling mix of slow stuff fooled plenty of AL lineups in 2010. If he doesn’t have the most intimidating mound presence, he more than makes up for it in results and value. The Brewers acquired the righty in December to serve as a crucial component of their revamped rotation, sending Brett Lawrie north of the border in return, and he should reap the dual benefit of escaping the AL East gauntlet and emigrating to the easier league.
2010 Having undergone Tommy John surgery in September 2008, Marcum made five minor league rehab starts late last season with encouraging results. Prior to the surgery, Marcum was a control pitcher with enough guts and guile to keep his strikeout rates above league average, and that control seemed to be uncompromised in those rehab innings. Marcum is expected to be in the Jays’ Opening Day rotation in April. He’ll be the “veteran” in the group, despite having never made more than 25 starts or thrown 160 innings in a single major league season and having just 64 big-league starts to his name.
2009 Marcum was sporting a 2.65 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, and a 3.2 K/BB when he hit the DL in late June with discomfort in his elbow. A visit to Dr. James Andrews confirmed strained ligaments, but Andrews didn’t think it was a major concern. After some rest and rehabilitation, Marcum returned to the rotation in late July, but over his next ten starts, he posted a 4.78 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, and a 1.6 K/BB. Shut down in mid-September, he went under Andrews’ knife for Tommy John surgery and will miss all of 2009.
2008 The difference between Litsch and Marcum is that Marcum displayed his good command in the majors, using it to post above-average rates. The small right-hander has posted amazing K/BB numbers in the pros, and pitched passably in a half-season in the bigs in 2006. He's the one non-groundball pitcher in the rotation, and like command pitchers of his ilk, will battle his home-run rate. He's closer to Paul Byrd than Josh Towers, however.
2007 Marcum has a lefty`s repertoire with command of a high-80s fastball that gets pretty good sink and three average secondary pitches that he throws perhaps more often than he should. PECOTA thinks he`ll hold up pretty well, and he should certainly be better than a lot of the fourth- and fifth-starters that teams are running out there every day. As with many pitchers in this system, however, his gaudy minor league K/BB ratios cannot be taken at face value.
2006 A dark horse candidate for the bullpen who`s found favor with Ricciardi, Marcum has put up very solid numbers as a starting pitcher since being drafted in the third round of the 2003 draft. He mixes a fastball that tops out in the low 90s with a good, hard slider, and has a few other breaking pitches in the works. Depending on how the rest of the roster shakes out, Marcum, who is younger than most of the other available options, could find himself in a swingman role in 2006.
2005 Like Bush, Marcum was a closer in college, making the move to the rotation only this year. As you might expect from a college draftee taken for his polish, Marcum has slapped around the lower levels, and has nearly an 8-to-1 K:BB ratio as a pro. The test comes this year at New Hampshire; the Jays love him, but we'll see if Marcum's combination of decent stuff and great command fools hitters at Double-A and beyond.

BP Articles

Shaun Marcum is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: A Mock Supplemental DraftBen Murphy2014-04-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: A Mock Supplemental DraftIan Lefkowitz2014-04-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: A Mock Supplemental DraftJared Weiss2014-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2014 Preseason PreviewBen Lindbergh2014-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2014 Preseason PreviewNick Wheatley-Schaller2014-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: Fun with 2014 PECOTA ComparablesZachary Levine2014-02-13
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Failures to CommunicateDaniel Rathman2014-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessOne Move: National League EastCraig Goldstein2013-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Angels' DemonsR.J. Anderson2013-09-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 24, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMid-Season Outliers: Starting PitchersBaseball Prospectus2013-07-17
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 10, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 9, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 8, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 7, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Kyle GibsonBret Sayre2013-06-28
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The Week in Quotes: June 3-9Chris Mosch2013-06-10
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Home-Style AuctioningMike Gianella2013-04-09
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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 174: More Week One ReactionsBen Lindbergh2013-04-04
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Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 3, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-03
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Fantasy Beat: My Razzball Expert League TeamPaul Singman2013-03-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: National League Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2013-03-28
BP Unfiltered: Tommy Hanson, Shaun Marcum, and Causes for ConcernBen Lindbergh2013-03-21
Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 41-80Jason Collette2013-03-08
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The Lineup Card: 12 Least-Favorite Off-Season MovesBaseball Prospectus2013-02-27
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: NL Starting PitchersDerek Carty2012-03-13
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The Lineup Card: 13 Bad Players Who Are (or Were) Still Fun to Watch and Root ForBaseball Prospectus2011-10-26
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What You Missed: 3/28-4/1Stephani Bee2011-04-01
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Scoresheet Draft Prep, BP Kings, and YouRob McQuown2011-02-25
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Fantasy Beat: One of These Things is Not Like the OthersJason Collette2011-02-11
Transaction Analysis: Weekly Roundup, February 4-10Christina Kahrl2011-02-11
Baseball ProGUESTus: On the Ordinary Index, and Unlocking PECOTA's PizzazzJeff Sullivan2011-02-11
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On the Beat: One Last ChanceJohn Perrotto2010-12-28
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Matty Matt! - Between Shaun Marcum, Jeff Francoeur and Nyjer Morgan, who has the best chance, if any of having a meaningful impact to the tribe this year?
(tablack from Cleveland)
That's a toughie. Betting on oft-injured pitchers isn't smart, and Jeff Francoeur is and has been done for a while now. So I guess that leaves Morgan who hit pretty well in Japan last season. I'll take him! And unless you're a big believer in David Murphy, Cleveland may need some outfield help this season. (Should've signed Grady Sizemore! joke) (Matthew Kory)
2013-09-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)I always found Shaun Marcum's success as a finesse righty to be rather surprising. Are there any current minor-league RH SPs who might fit that type of profile
(Matt from Chicago)
probably a lot, but without the command necessary to do it well. Or ability to change speeds, or whatever magic it is Marcum has used to succeed. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Does Shaun Marcum have any fantasy value going forward? He's having a fairly decent season for being 0-9. He's going to probably lose his rotation spot, but he isn't terrible yet is he?
(Yancy from Bakersfield)
Yeah, I don't mind speculating on him in deeper leagues. He might not lose his spot, but rather get traded first. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)How long does Josh Byrnes wait before he takes steps to fix his rotation?
(Gregorio from Londres)
Hi Gregorio, thanks for the question. The biggest problem Byrnes faces is that there isn't any real way to fix the rotation. Edwin Jackson, Shaun Marcum, and the rest all signed elsewhere, leaving the Padres with Jason Marquis. At some point maybe Cory Luebke, Tim Stauffer, and Robbie Erlin can help, but not now. (Geoff Young)
2012-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joe Blanton, really? Is Dipoto done overhauling the pitching staff or is there an Anibal Sanchez in the Angels' future?
(Mark68 from A Mile High)
Guessing a Shaun Marcum in the Angels' future. Dipoto's tastes are getting sort of predictable (in I would say a good way). (Sam Miller)
2012-10-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)With the Cardinals' inevitable loss of Kyle Lohse, do you see them being active in the free agent sp market? Besides Wainwright, Shelby Miller, maybe Garcia, Carpenter and Westbrook, they are a bit light. I think Kelly or Rosenthal could replace Lynn. Thank you.
(Chopper from Indy)
Hi Chopper. I'm not sure what the Cardinals might be thinking, but if I ran things, I'd wouldn't be looking to replace Lohse's 2012 performance. Adam Wainwright should improve a year removed from surgery and Chris Carpenter should give the team more than three starts. I'd be targeting guys to slot in behind those two, guys who maybe are on level with what Lohse was when he came to St. Louis. Specifically, I'd be looking at Joe Blanton, Edwin Jackson, Shaun Marcum, and Anibal Sanchez. If I wanted to gamble, I might make a play for Scott Baker. But this all says more about my process than the Cardinals', so take it with a grain of salt. (Geoff Young)
2012-06-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Shaun Marcum or Matt Harrison for the rest of the season?
(Alex from Anaheim)
I'll take the guy who's not currently on the disabled list and who's playing in front of the above average defense, namely Harrison. Marcum's gotten a .268 BABIP on a team that's 22 points below average in defensive efficiency, while Harrison's at .294 on an above-average team in that regard. He doesn't miss as many bats, but his chances for sustaining his success appear greater from this vantage. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)The Grand Rapids Grasshoppers ask that you peek into the future to tell us what will become of Michael Pineda. Should we just release him now, avoiding the frustration of another injury-riddled pitcher? Also, what would you do with a pitching coach who has worked with the likes of Pineda, Joakim Soria, Rich Harden, Joey Devine, Francisco Liriano, Shaun Marcum, Adam Miller, et al? lol
(GR Grasshoppers from Michigan)
Always good to hear from my favorite ex-36er. Being a Cubs fan, I'd send that pitching coach to St. Louis, of course.

You of all people I don't need to tell about the inherent riskiness of pitchers, but as I said before I think Pineda will come back strong. If I were in, say, a Strat league, I'd hang onto him. Unless you'd rather trade him for, oh, I dunno, Matt Capps. (Ken Funck)
2011-10-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)It's easy to speculate that something is physically wrong given his injury history and ineffectiveness of late, but do you SEE anything that would lead you to believe there's something wrong with Shaun Marcum, or is he just getting his brains beaten in as pitchers are occasionally wont to do?
(Spencer Steel from Detroit)
Last question...

I don't see anything in Marcum's mechanics or his everyday mannerisms, but then again I'm no scout. What I can say is that Marcum has both stopped throwing his change-up as often this past month or so and has been throwing it worse when he does throw it. As someone who makes his living with that change, it's disheartening to see that. His fastballs aren't fooling hitters as well either.

Some Brewers fans seem to think it's caused by fatigue, since Marcum has never had a 200 IP season before, but he did throw 195 pitches in 2010. I wish I knew the answer, but, with each poor start, it's beginning to look less and less like a "bad luck" issue. (Larry Granillo)
2010-10-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Today, there's a rumor that the Blue Jays will trade for Colby Rasmus: what would you think the cost would be? How likely could this be? Please be kind: all of us Blue Jays fans feel today like Lawrence Fishbourne did a few months ago.
(Will from Mactaquac)
I would say that the Cardinals would definitely want one of the Jays' top young startnig pitchers to start with, likely Shaun Marcum, along with another player or prospect. However, I don't get the sense the Cardinals have Rasmus on the trading block despite his rocky (at times) relationship with Tony La Russa. (John Perrotto)
2009-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is the projected ETA for Shaun Marcum to return to the Toronto rotation in 2010?
(colavito from Memphis, TN)
Spring Training, just like it was last Spring Training. I have no idea why Toronto tried rushing him back. Well, one idea ... (Will Carroll)
2008-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are the Jays contenders if they would have started the season with Gaston and giving Lind more playing time or is this just a nice looking winning streak that has happened late in the season?
(Ted from at the pool)
Lind's presence over the dessicated remains of Shannon Stewart or Kevin Mench/Brad Wilkerson certainly would have improved matters, but there's a lot of other factors that would have had to go right - better health (and fortune) from Dustin McGowan, Shaun Marcum, B.J. Ryan, Vernon Wells, Scott Rolen... wow, that's a lot right there. A.J. Burnett avoiding his mid-season cold streak, too. Given some better luck in breaks like those, they coulda been contenders, but as it is, it's just a nice-looking winning streak. Their potential as spoilers (7 games vs. Boston as Joe from Tewksbury mentioned above) probably shouldn't be underestimated. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-09-09 13:30:00 (link to chat)Why is it that a minor leaguer who has a 1.93 era between three levels in the minors(including a great stint in double a) who has an arsenal of an outstanding change and great control, can only seem to garner the ceiling of a 5th starter. Doesn't this sound like Shaun Marcum part deux?
(TheBunk from Toronto)
Because most guys like that have exactly that ceiling. Some break through with excellent command, or an ability to keep the ball down, but most pitchers who lack a good fastball don't make it in MLB. We tend to focus on the exceptions, but the rule exists for a reason. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-08-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Andy sonnastine or Shaun Marcum for keeper?
(JMan from TP)
Is your pitching that bad, or is the league that deep? (Marc Normandin)
2008-02-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Please rank and comment on the follow AL Starters. Rich Harden, Shaun Marcum, Phil Hughes, Erik Bedard, John Lackey.
(Bittorrentluvr from Music Theft, IA)
Ok, so you want to roll a whole bunch of information into a single axis, huh? Fair enough. I'll spare you the 4 paragraphs of equivocation...

Lackey
Bedard
Hughes
Marcum
Harden

With the difference between Marcum and Hughes not being particularly large. Of course, move Harden's E(Starts) from eight to thirty, and things change. (Gary Huckabay)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableEnough of Vicente Padilla and company. I've got to see what's going on with Shaun Marcum. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableEnough of Vicente Padilla and company. I've got to see what's going on with Shaun Marcum. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableThe vaunted Rangers offense, at home, against Shaun Marcum, has zero hits through four innings. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableWestbrook and the Blue Jays' Shaun Marcum are both making opening day starts as their first major league outings since undergoing Tommy John surgery. (Jay Jaffe)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Shaun Marcum threw 13,684 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Cutter (84mph), Fourseam Fastball (86mph) and Change (80mph), also mixing in a Curve (73mph), Slider (80mph) and Sinker (86mph).