Biographical

Portrait of Sam LeCure

Sam LeCure PReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 30)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.3 3.69 1.24 0 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date5-4-1984
Height6' 0"
Weight205 lbs
Age30 years, 5 months, 17 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
-0.12010
0.72011
1.12012
0.92013
0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2010 CIN 26 15 6 48.0 33.3 14.7 2 5 0 1 2 1 217 50 24 24 6 79 25 22 5 37 4.50 5.06 5.12 -1.5 -0.1
2011 CIN 27 43 4 77.7 20.7 57.0 2 1 0 1 1 0 307 57 33 32 10 104 21 18 4 73 3.71 3.75 4.20 6.9 0.7
2012 CIN 28 48 0 57.3 0.0 57.3 3 3 0 1 0 0 237 46 22 20 3 68 23 21 1 61 3.14 2.94 3.41 9.3 1.1
2013 CIN 29 63 0 61.0 0.0 61.0 2 1 1 3 0 0 251 50 18 18 4 73 24 24 1 66 2.66 2.94 3.07 8.6 0.9
2014 CIN 30 62 0 56.7 0.0 56.7 1 4 0 1 0 0 251 62 27 24 6 94 24 23 3 48 3.81 4.21 4.00 2.2 0.2
Career23110300.754.0246.710141731126326512411829418117108142853.533.733.9325.52.9

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2005 BIL Rk 13 6 41.3 4.12 109 .247 .298 .378 .456 .288 .405 84 12.4 1.2 12.4 1.2
2006 SAR A+ 27 27 141.1 4.52 84 .235 .259 .334 .385 .260 .291 77 11.9 1.2 11.9 1.2
2007 SAR A+ 1 1 5.0 1.62 168 .130 .264 .336 .380 .259 .222 105 2.4 0.2 2.4 0.2
2007 CHT AA 21 21 110.0 4.69 99 .274 .251 .326 .382 .259 .339 101 10.2 1.0 13.3 1.2
2007 gcr Wnt 7 0 13.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .349 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 CHT AA 27 27 155.3 4.48 111 .240 .264 .341 .399 .252 .297 107 22.6 2.3 24.9 2.6
2009 LOU AAA 25 25 143.3 4.89 102 .244 .262 .329 .395 .246 .305 111 14.8 1.4 17.1 1.6
2009 AGU Wnt 4 2 7.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .429 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 CIN MLB 15 6 48.0 5.12 79 .291 .251 .313 .381 .254 .306 96 -0.9 -0.1 -1.5 -0.1
2010 LOU AAA 15 15 98.0 5.10 93 .223 .267 .338 .409 .254 .323 100 3.0 0.3 3.7 0.3
2011 CIN MLB 43 4 77.7 4.20 102 .223 .252 .313 .392 .257 .236 103 5.3 0.6 6.9 0.7
2011 LOU AAA 4 0 6.7 4.19 96 .204 .260 .320 .404 .254 .250 90 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2012 CIN MLB 48 0 57.3 3.41 122 .228 .256 .319 .406 .260 .289 102 8.9 0.9 9.3 1.1
2013 CIN MLB 63 0 61.0 3.07 126 .236 .252 .315 .392 .257 .295 103 8.6 0.9 8.6 0.9
2014 CIN MLB 62 0 56.7 4.00 99 .295 .253 .315 .393 .264 .329 99 2.2 0.2 2.2 0.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2005 BIL Rk 5 1 0 13 6 41.3 43 15 44 2 51% .405 9.4 3.3 0.4 9.6 1.40 3.27 12.4 1.2
2006 SAR A+ 7 12 0 27 27 141.1 130 46 115 12 40% .291 8.3 2.9 0.8 7.3 1.25 3.44 11.9 1.2
2007 CHT AA 7 5 0 21 21 110.0 119 46 104 12 45% .339 9.7 3.8 1.0 8.5 1.50 4.17 13.3 1.2
2007 SAR A+ 1 0 0 1 1 5.0 2 0 8 0 11% .222 3.6 0.0 0.0 14.4 0.40 1.80 2.4 0.2
2007 gcr Wnt 1 2 0 7 0 13.0 15 4 12 0 0% .349 10.4 2.8 0.0 8.3 1.46 4.85 0.0 0.0
2008 CHT AA 9 7 0 27 27 155.3 147 58 128 12 41% .297 8.5 3.4 0.7 7.4 1.32 3.42 24.9 2.6
2009 LOU AAA 10 8 0 25 25 143.3 143 44 125 17 40% .305 9.0 2.8 1.1 7.9 1.30 4.46 17.1 1.6
2009 AGU Wnt 0 2 0 4 2 7.3 12 5 6 0 0% .429 14.8 6.2 0.0 7.4 2.33 8.63 0.0 0.0
2010 LOU AAA 8 3 0 15 15 98.0 98 23 87 8 54% .323 9.0 2.1 0.7 8.0 1.23 3.67 3.7 0.3
2010 CIN MLB 2 5 0 15 6 48.0 50 25 37 6 46% .306 9.4 4.7 1.1 6.9 1.56 4.50 -1.5 -0.1
2011 LOU AAA 0 1 1 4 0 6.7 5 2 6 1 59% .250 6.8 2.7 1.4 8.1 1.05 1.35 0.2 0.0
2011 CIN MLB 2 1 0 43 4 77.7 57 21 73 10 47% .236 6.6 2.4 1.2 8.5 1.00 3.71 6.9 0.7
2012 CIN MLB 3 3 0 48 0 57.3 46 23 61 3 48% .289 7.2 3.6 0.5 9.6 1.20 3.14 9.3 1.1
2013 CIN MLB 2 1 1 63 0 61.0 50 24 66 4 44% .295 7.4 3.5 0.6 9.7 1.21 2.66 8.6 0.9
2014 CIN MLB 1 4 0 62 0 56.7 62 24 48 6 45% .329 9.8 3.8 1.0 7.6 1.52 3.81 2.2 0.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 851 0.4501 0.3958 0.8274 0.5666 0.2543 0.8940 0.7059 0.1696
2011 1189 0.4979 0.4356 0.8124 0.5997 0.2714 0.8845 0.6543 0.1876
2012 939 0.4771 0.4254 0.7995 0.5714 0.2912 0.8750 0.6643 0.2005
2013 1006 0.4722 0.4076 0.7439 0.5516 0.2787 0.8740 0.5135 0.2561
2014 968 0.4587 0.4021 0.7964 0.5743 0.2538 0.8745 0.6466 0.2010
Career49530.47290.41460.79550.57390.27030.88020.6350.2035

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-08-11 2012-08-18 DTD 7 6 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -
2011-05-23 2011-06-22 15-DL 30 27 Right Forearm Strain -
2010-07-01 2010-07-15 Minors 14 0 Right Groin Strain -
2009-07-15 2009-07-24 Minors 9 0 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2008-06-28 2008-07-07 Minors 9 0 Left Knee Sprain - -
2007-05-11 2007-06-11 Minors 31 0 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 CIN $
2015 CIN $1,850,000
2014 CIN $1,200,000
2013 CIN $510,000
2012 CIN $487,500
2011 CIN $414,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$1,411,500
2011Current$1,200,000
4 yrPvs + Cur$2,611,500
1 yrFuture$1,850,000
5 yrTotal$4,461,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 72 d2 years/$3.05M (2014-15)

Details
  • 2 year/$3.05M (2014-15). Signed extension with Cincinnati 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration). 14:$1.2M, 15:$1.85M. 2015 salary increases $50,000 each for 60, 65, 70 games in 2014.
  • 1 year/$0.51M (2013). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4875M (2012). Re-signed by Cincinnati 2/12.
  • 1 year/$0.414M (2011). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed 3/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2009). Contract purchased 11/20/08. Re-signed 2/21/09.
  • Drafted 2005 (4-122) (Texas). $0.26M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 0 0 0 0 0 73.2 52 21 68 6 .256 0.99 2.46 2.67 0.0 0.0
80o 0 0 0 0 0 67.3 51 20 63 6 .270 1.06 2.81 3.05 0.0 0.0
70o 0 0 0 0 0 63.1 50 20 59 6 .280 1.11 3.06 3.33 0.0 0.0
60o 0 0 0 0 0 59.6 49 20 56 6 .289 1.16 3.28 3.57 0.0 0.0
50o 0 0 0 0 0 56.4 48 19 53 6 .297 1.20 3.49 3.8 0.0 0.0
40o 0 0 0 0 0 53.2 47 19 50 6 .305 1.25 3.70 4.02 0.0 0.0
30o 0 0 0 0 0 49.9 46 18 47 6 .313 1.30 3.93 4.27 0.0 0.0
20o 0 0 0 0 0 46.2 45 18 43 6 .323 1.36 4.20 4.57 0.0 0.0
10o 0 0 0 0 0 41.0 42 17 38 5 .337 1.44 4.58 4.98 0.0 0.0
Weighted Mean0000055.84719526.2951.193.473.770.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
13% 25% 24% 22% 60%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20153131160064532061844.2851.143.253.547.52.88.61.11.1
20163231151054461850644.2981.193.553.867.73.08.41.00.7
20173321146048421646644.2991.203.533.837.83.08.61.10.6
20183421146049421645644.2971.193.543.857.83.08.31.10.6
20193521142045391441544.2981.193.573.887.92.88.31.00.6
20203621140043371440544.2971.203.543.847.83.08.41.10.6
20213721138040351337544.2981.203.573.887.92.98.31.10.5
20223821136039341235544.2981.193.573.887.92.88.11.20.5
20233921135037331233444.2981.233.623.948.12.98.11.00.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
5.62.922.31.32.114.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 88 Dustin Nippert 2011 0.00 DNP
2 87 Angel Guzman 2012 0.00 DNP
3 86 David Purcey 2012 0.00 DNP
4 86 Brian Stokes 2010 9.72
5 85 Brian Tallet 2008 3.04
6 85 Luke Hudson 2007 22.50
7 85 Jorge Campillo 2009 6.23
8 84 Wil Ledezma 2011 15.00
9 84 Chris Narveson 2012 8.00
10 83 Kevin Gregg 2008 3.93
11 83 Tom Mastny 2011 0.00 DNP
12 83 Philip Humber 2013 7.90
13 82 J.J. Putz 2007 1.38
14 82 Clay Hensley 2010 2.40
15 82 Lenny DiNardo 2010 0.00 DNP
16 82 Dan Meyer 2012 0.00 DNP
17 82 Zach Miner 2012 0.00 DNP
18 82 Chris Resop 2013 7.00
19 82 Edgar Gonzalez 2013 7.50
20 81 Tim Stauffer 2012 7.20
21 81 Doug Slaten 2010 3.98
22 81 Robinson Tejeda 2012 0.00 DNP
23 81 Jeff Fulchino 2010 5.70
24 81 Greg Aquino 2008 12.54
25 81 Garrett Mock 2013 0.00 DNP
26 81 Phil Coke 2013 5.63
27 80 Jeremy Guthrie 2009 5.36
28 80 Brian Burres 2011 3.86
29 80 Matt Guerrier 2009 2.71
30 80 Ruddy Lugo 2010 0.00 DNP
31 80 Cha Seung Baek 2010 0.00 DNP
32 80 Dennis Sarfate 2011 0.00 DNP
33 79 Brandon Backe 2008 6.16
34 79 David Pauley 2013 0.00 DNP
35 79 Geoff Geary 2007 5.88
36 79 Mike Adams 2009 2.19
37 79 Matt Belisle 2010 3.23
38 79 Josh Roenicke 2013 4.35
39 79 Josh Hancock 2008 0.00 DNP
40 79 Micah Owings 2013 0.00 DNP
41 79 Matt Thornton 2007 4.95
42 79 Aaron Heilman 2009 4.35
43 79 Brian Duensing 2013 4.28
44 79 Bobby Seay 2008 4.31
45 79 Leo Rosales 2011 0.00 DNP
46 78 Brian Bass 2012 0.00 DNP
47 78 Rich Hill 2010 0.00
48 78 Adam Bernero 2007 0.00 DNP
49 78 Pat Misch 2012 0.00 DNP
50 78 Carlos Torres 2013 3.54
51 78 Nick Regilio 2009 0.00 DNP
52 78 Tom Gorzelanny 2013 4.32
53 78 Andrew Brown 2011 0.00 DNP
54 78 Tyler Yates 2008 4.79
55 78 Juan Salas 2009 0.00 DNP
56 78 Neal Cotts 2010 0.00 DNP
57 78 Kameron Loe 2012 5.53
58 77 Travis Blackley 2013 4.83
59 77 John Axford 2013 4.43
60 77 Justin Germano 2013 9.00
61 77 Ramon Troncoso 2013 6.60
62 77 Mitch Stetter 2011 5.14
63 77 Jeff Niemann 2013 0.00 DNP
64 77 Randy Wells 2013 0.00 DNP
65 77 Sean Henn 2011 0.00 DNP
66 77 Chad Cordero 2012 0.00 DNP
67 77 Jesse Carlson 2011 0.00 DNP
68 77 Cory Wade 2013 0.00 DNP
69 77 George Sherrill 2007 2.36
70 77 Omar Beltre 2012 0.00 DNP
71 77 Scott Proctor 2007 4.27
72 77 Jose Veras 2011 4.18
73 76 D.J. Carrasco 2007 0.00 DNP
74 76 Jason Davis 2010 0.00 DNP
75 76 Ryan Dempster 2007 4.86
76 76 Ryan Speier 2010 0.00 DNP
77 76 Dusty Hughes 2012 0.00 DNP
78 76 Glen Perkins 2013 2.30
79 76 Phil Dumatrait 2012 0.00 DNP
80 76 Shawn Hill 2011 0.00 DNP
81 76 Yunesky Maya 2012 0.00 DNP
82 76 Bronson Arroyo 2007 4.66
83 76 Joe Saunders 2011 3.99
84 76 Pat Neshek 2011 4.38
85 76 Jason Kershner 2007 0.00 DNP
86 76 Sergio Mitre 2011 5.40
87 76 Derrick Turnbow 2008 15.63
88 76 Kirk Saarloos 2009 0.00 DNP
89 76 Justin Lehr 2008 0.00 DNP
90 75 Dontrelle Willis 2012 0.00 DNP
91 75 John Maine 2011 0.00 DNP
92 75 Merkin Valdez 2012 0.00 DNP
93 75 Jon Adkins 2008 2.45
94 75 Mike Wood 2010 0.00 DNP
95 75 Juan Oviedo 2012 0.00 DNP
96 75 Todd Wellemeyer 2009 6.47
97 75 Chris Young 2009 5.57
98 75 Ryan Rowland-Smith 2013 0.00 DNP
99 75 Vinnie Chulk 2009 4.50
100 75 Ryan Braun 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .187 .271 .275 .203
11 vs R (Multi) .247 .320 .386 .253
18 Split (Multi) -.060 -.049 -.111 -.050
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .167 .238 .208 .169
31 vs R (2013) .264 .345 .411 .277
38 Split (2013) -.097 -.107 -.203 -.108
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Whatever LeProblem was, LeCure solved it on moving to the bullpen. The former fourth-round pick became a key part of Baker's bullpen last year, particularly toward the end. LeCure held batters to a 505 OPS in the second half and worked four scoreless innings in the NLDS. He didn't allow a homer after May 24—no small feat given his home park. LeCure doesn't throw hard, but features a starter's arsenal that keeps hitters guessing. There is nothing sexy about his game except the results, which in the end are all that matter.
2012 On a team with as many week-to-week crises in the rotation as the Reds had to deal with, LeCure was an indispensable man for the five months he was healthy enough to contribute. Calling him a low-velo guy would be a mistake; he's a utility pitcher who can occasionally dial up a 94-mph fastball, but he's also a five-pitch hurler who can hit the corners. He can be spotted in the rotation or handle multi-inning relief chores. If there were ever an "11th man Olympics," LeCure would be on the short list of favorites to medal, and as long as you don't insist he graduate from the role, you're in great shape.
2011 Low-velocity LeCure packs a four-pitch arsenal, but one would be hard-pressed to describe any of his standard-issue offerings as “plus,” at least while keeping a straight face. The 2005 fourth-rounder has better control than he showed in his MLB debut, but the rest of the package doesn’t stand to get much better. Formerly an extreme fly-ball pitcher, LeCure induced grounders at a higher rate last season, a trend that will have to continue for him to succeed while calling Great American Ball Park home. As a starter, his potential probably surpasses replacement level, which makes him an adequate short-term substitute for, say, an injured Homer Bailey, but not the kind of arm on which a team would want to rely for long. LeCure was far more effective in a small-sample taste of relief, which should provide the Reds with food for thought about his future.
2010 A fourth-round pick in 2005, LeCure is a fly-ball pitcher with slightly above-average velocity on his fastball, but also below-average movement. In his Triple-A debut in 2009, he posted solid peripherals, but had underwhelming results. He’s in line to be a replacement starter in 2010, and could have a future as a fifth starter, but one can expect that pitching at the Gap he’ll see a drop in his strikeout rate and an increase in his home-run rate, which is a dangerous combination.
2009 LeCure repeated at Chattanooga, with results not much different from the first time around, and his peripherals were right around his minor league career rates. Nevertheless added to the 40-man roster in November, LeCure remains a pitchability prospect, with average stuff across the board but a good sense of how approach the batter. Like Matt Maloney, he's also an extreme fly-ball pitcher in an organization whose end stop is a bandbox, and that just doesn't bode well.
2008 The Filthy LeCure doesn't have the same ceiling as the big arms in the system, but he is a more polished product. He also has a unique background due to sitting out his junior year in college do to academic problems, but that may have been a blessing in disguise, as the Reds got a fresh arm out of the college game, which is notorious for destroying young pitching. LeCure is not big, and he lacks that one big pitch to get scouts excited, but he mixes his pitches well, throws strikes, and should be a solid back of the rotation option by 2009.
2007 The academic issues that kept Lecure from pitching as a junior at the University of Texas helped drop him to the fourth round in the 2005 draft. The Reds jumped him up to High-A in his full-season debut in 2006 and Lecure didn`t disappoint. Flashing an ability to mix low-90s heat with good sliders and changeups, a successful jump to Double-A this year would put Lecure into the picture for the back end of the big league rotation in 2008.

BP Articles

Sam LeCure is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 17, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 5, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 21Ben Carsley2014-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 23, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Five Hours and CountingChris Mosch2014-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/23Daniel Rathman2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Does Baseball Have a Pace Problem?Ben Lindbergh2014-04-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Three Murky Closer SituationsMauricio Rubio2014-03-27
The Week in Quotes: March 17-23Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-03-24
The Week in Quotes: March 17-23Chris Mosch2014-03-24
The Week in Quotes: March 17-23Morris Greenberg2014-03-24
Understanding the Umpire-Manager Arguments of 2013: A Lipreader Deciphers the Second Half's Angriest ExchangesEvan Brunell2014-03-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersBen Murphy2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersJared Weiss2014-03-07
Framing and Blocking Pitches: A Regressed, Probabilistic Model: A New Method for Measuring Catcher DefenseDan Brooks2014-03-03
Framing and Blocking Pitches: A Regressed, Probabilistic Model: A New Method for Measuring Catcher DefenseHarry Pavlidis2014-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game PreviewBen Lindbergh2013-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 23, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: A Test of Wil'Mike Gianella2013-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: Russell Martin and Ryan HaniganBen Lindbergh2013-06-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Movin' on UpMike Gianella2013-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Introducing TiersMike Gianella2013-05-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: Boston BluesMike Gianella2013-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Retaliation, and Pitchers Hitting PitchersSam Miller2013-03-15
Wezen-Ball: Happy Pi (Pi) Day, 2013!Larry Granillo2013-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Monday, February 4Daniel Rathman2013-02-04
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, November 27Daniel Rathman2012-11-27
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Five Preview: Giants at RedsDaniel Rathman2012-10-11
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Giants-Reds Division Series PreviewSam Miller2012-10-06
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: A Closer Look at Relievers and LeverageSam Miller2012-09-26
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Getting Caught Up Before Opening DayR.J. Anderson2012-04-05
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: Closers in WaitingJason Collette2011-12-30
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Red Hot or Dead Red?John Perrotto2011-07-20
Transaction Analysis Blog: Reds Get Bailey and Cueto BackR.J. Anderson2011-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: Tout Wars FAAB FrenzyJason Collette2011-04-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #4Craig Brown2011-04-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Scoresheet Supplemental Draft TipsRob McQuown2011-04-15
Fantasy Beat: Tout Wars FAAB UpdateJason Collette2011-04-12
BP Unfiltered: For Amusement Only 4/7John Perrotto2011-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Braves' New WorldJohn Perrotto2011-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Perspective: Five Deals That Must HappenChristina Kahrl2010-11-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Reds and 'Stros, Brewers and BucsChristina Kahrl2010-09-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Blast, or Blasted?Christina Kahrl2010-06-28
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Monday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Seeing RedJay Jaffe2010-06-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL Central UpdateChristina Kahrl2010-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Monday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-05-31
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Central PreoccupationsChristina Kahrl2010-05-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2010-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: National LeagueChristina Kahrl2010-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWinter League Preview: The Dominican LeagueCarlos J. Lugo2009-10-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Senior Circuit ShufflingChristina Kahrl2009-08-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction of the Day: Jay BruceChristina Kahrl2008-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, NL CentralKevin Goldstein2007-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Systems Retrospective, National LeagueKevin Goldstein2007-03-08


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-02-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)Any of these guys worth a look in an NL only 4x4 standard league? Trevor Rosenthal, Tony Cingrani, Arodys Vizcaino, Christian Garcia, J.J. Hoover, or Sam Lecure.
(Johnny T from The Hills)
Rosenthal is definitely worth a $2-3 bid in NL-only. His stuff is legitimate and even if he's only a set-up man, his Ks mean that he could put up sneaky $10-12 value. (Mike Gianella)
2012-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)PECOTA seems extremely down on Reds pitchers. 24 year old Mike Leake is projected to have a worse year than either of his previous (and only) 2. The skill and performance changes we've seen from 26 year old Johnny Cueto are projected to disappear. Same with Sam LeCure. There just seems to be a massive regression across the board. I'm wary of simply being a homer and wearing rose color glasses, but this seems "off", even accounting for reasonable levels of regression based on performance of year's past and to the mean. What am I missing?
(Rick from Chicago)
Leake is a guy whose outpitched his FIP for two straight seasons. One season he did this by having a really low BABIP, another season he did this by giving up unearned runs at twice the league average. PECOTA doesn't just look at what a guy's done, but how he's done it - some things carry with them a higher predictive value than others, and so Leake's ERAs are maybe not the best reflection of the underlying skills he has. (Colin Wyers)
2011-04-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who the hell is Sam LeCure, where did he come from, and why is he pitching so well?
(Jordan from DC)
A pitcher; the University of Texas; I have no idea. You have to love that he is missing bats, while keeping runners off base. He snuck up on me as well. I need to go back and watch some of his work. (Jason Parks)
2010-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez, Homer Bailey, Travis Wood, Mike Leake, Matt Maloney, Sam LeCure, Aroldis Chapman. That's 9 guys for 5 rotation spots in Cincinnati. How can Jocketty best capitalize on that depth?
(RMR from Chicago)
A few of the brighter bulbs 'round these parts (where there isn't much call for cheddar, by the way)have made a few suggestions. IIRC, SG recommended they trade Volquez, while CK opted for shipping out Maloney, I think. Me, I'd find out what sort of a market there is for Mike Leake -- maybe he's already at his peak trade value. It's really, really hard to predict trades that actually get made, because you almost always look like you're way over- or under-valuing someone in retrospect. That being said, sitting on all that pitching is like sitting on a pot of gold, and Jocketty is sure to be a very popular man next week. (Ken Funck)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Any chance the Reds' AAA affiliate could beat the Pirates in a 7 game series? They're trotting out a lineup of Dave Sappelt, Chris Valaika, Yonder Alonso, Todd Frazier, Juan Francisco, Danny Dorn, and Devin Mesoraco, with Sam LeCure, Matt Maloney, Aaron Harang, and Aroldis Chapman among their pitchers.
(Joe from Cincy)
I was going to rip you and talk about how massive the different is between Triple-A and the big leagues is, but they might have a chance. I'll still favor the Pirates though. (Kevin Goldstein)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Sam LeCure has thrown 5,097 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2010 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (88mph) and Curve (74mph), also mixing in a Fourseam Fastball (89mph) and Splitter (81mph). He also rarely throws a Slider (81mph).