Biographical

Portrait of Nate Karns

Nate Karns PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years IP W L SV SO ERA
0 0.00
Birth Date11-25-1987
Height6' 3"
Weight225 lbs
Age29 years, 1 months, 23 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
-0.22013
0.22014
2.02015
0.82016
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2013 WAS MLB 3 3 12.0 0 1 0 17 6 11 5 .254 104 12.8 4.5 3.8 8.2 37% .316 .373 1.92 8.35 7.50 121 6.20 129.6 -0.2
2014 TBA MLB 2 2 12.0 1 1 0 7 4 13 3 .261 100 5.2 3.0 2.2 9.8 47% .148 .264 0.92 5.74 4.50 94 3.60 96.8 0.2
2015 TBA MLB 27 26 147.0 7 5 0 132 56 145 19 .261 99 8.1 3.4 1.2 8.9 43% .285 .257 1.28 4.06 3.67 96 3.92 97.7 2.0
2016 SEA MLB 22 15 94.3 6 2 1 95 45 101 11 .259 102 9.1 4.3 1.0 9.6 43% .327 .267 1.48 4.01 5.15 96 4.58 106.5 0.8
CareerMLB5446265.3149125111127038.2601008.53.81.39.243%.297.2671.364.314.41974.24102.22.8

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2011 AUB A- 8 8 36.7 3 2 0 27 27 33 1 .259 101 6.6 6.6 0.2 8.1 47% .277 .246 1.47 4.46 3.44 116 6.42 113.6
2011 NAT Rk 5 5 18.7 0 0 0 2 6 26 0 .249 103 1.0 2.9 0.0 12.5 48% .065 .096 0.43 1.92 0.00 83 2.44 91.9
2012 HAG A 11 5 44.3 3 0 2 23 21 61 1 .252 103 4.7 4.3 0.2 12.4 50% .237 .177 0.99 2.74 2.03 77 1.96 84.0
2012 POT A+ 13 13 71.7 8 4 0 47 26 87 1 .262 99 5.9 3.3 0.1 10.9 53% .287 .190 1.02 2.39 2.26 80 2.10 85.9
2013 WAS MLB 3 3 12.0 0 1 0 17 6 11 5 .254 104 12.8 4.5 3.8 8.2 37% .316 .373 1.92 8.35 7.50 121 6.20 129.6
2013 HAR AA 23 23 132.7 10 6 0 109 48 155 14 .268 98 7.4 3.3 0.9 10.5 47% .289 .247 1.18 3.60 3.26 74 2.01 77.9
2014 TBA MLB 2 2 12.0 1 1 0 7 4 13 3 .261 100 5.2 3.0 2.2 9.8 47% .148 .264 0.92 5.74 4.50 94 3.60 96.8
2014 DUR AAA 27 27 145.3 9 9 0 142 62 153 16 .250 105 8.8 3.8 1.0 9.5 47% .323 .247 1.40 4.03 5.08 88 3.74 98.3
2015 TBA MLB 27 26 147.0 7 5 0 132 56 145 19 .261 99 8.1 3.4 1.2 8.9 43% .285 .257 1.28 4.06 3.67 96 3.92 97.7
2016 SEA MLB 22 15 94.3 6 2 1 95 45 101 11 .259 102 9.1 4.3 1.0 9.6 43% .327 .267 1.48 4.01 5.15 96 4.58 106.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 246 0.4756 0.4390 0.7778 0.6496 0.2481 0.8158 0.6875 0.2222
2014 205 0.4732 0.4488 0.7391 0.5979 0.3148 0.7759 0.6765 0.2609
2015 2406 0.4751 0.4418 0.7705 0.6150 0.2850 0.8435 0.6278 0.2295
2016 1671 0.4895 0.4339 0.7324 0.5733 0.3001 0.8358 0.5430 0.2676
Career45280.48040.4390.75540.60070.28990.83610.6020.2446

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2010-06-21 2010-08-28 Minors 68 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2010-06-21 2010-08-29 Minors 69 0 Right Shoulder Surgery -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 KCA $
2016 SEA $523,700
2015 TBA $508,800
2014 TBA $
2013 TBA $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$1,032,500
2 yrTotal$1,032,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 33 dKevin Hubbard2017

Details
  • 2017. Acquired by Kansas City in trade from Seattle 1/6/17.
  • 1 year/$0.5237M (2016). Re-signed by Seattle 3/3/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5088M (2015). Re-signed by Tampa Bay as a free agent 3/8/15. Acquired by Seattle in trade from Tampa Bay 11/5/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/2/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Contract purchased by Washington 11/20/12. Re-signed by Washington 3/6/13.
  • Drafted by Washington 2009 (12-352) (Texas Tech).

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20158.531.12.62.84.86.249.8

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .247 .339 .354 .262
11 vs R (Multi) .228 .284 .434 .257
18 Split (Multi) .018 .055 -.079 .004
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .248 .338 .351 .260
31 vs R (2015) .229 .283 .424 .254
38 Split (2015) .019 .055 -.073 .006
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 A 27-year-old rookie, Karns entered spring training vying for the temporary fifth starter's spot in the Rays' rotation. To sum up how Tampa Bay's month of March went, Karns ended up starting the second game of the season and spent most of the year as the club's no. 3 guy. The right-hander held his own. His fastball-slash-curveball combination was enough to stymie most lineups at least twice through the order, which was usually all first-year manager Kevin Cash asked of him. That said, he proved to be worthy of more on several occasions. The changeup is definitely his third option, and he has trouble getting started, perhaps a byproduct of his body type. Even with just two pitches—both are plus—he has the durability and control to project as a middle-of-the-rotation type going forward.
2015 Karns has three big league-quality pitches: a lively fastball that sits comfortably at 93 mph, a hard changeup and a power curve. He's big and durable. He dominated in his Rays debut in September. So why do you sense a caution flag coming? In Karns' second big-league start, he was tagged for three homers in five innings, victimized by his typically untrustworthy command. Although he tinkered with his delivery in Triple-A to throw less cross-body, the issue isn't really mechanical. As one scout put it in Durham, Karns "comes with baggage," which is to say: head case as suitcase. Or: You don't have to throw left-handed to be a lefty; it's a state of mind.
2014 It was nearly two years between Karns' signing—for an over-slot $225,000 as a 12th-rounder—and his pro debut, as shoulder surgery wiped out a season and put him way behind his draft peers' pace. Despite excellent performances at each level since, he was still in Double-A at 25, until the Nationals plucked him for emergency-starter duties in May. Karns has a heavy mid-90s fastball and a swing-and-miss curve, and his lone bugaboo—walks—seems to be behind him. Still, after three starts (and five home runs), the Nationals sent him back down; perhaps tellingly, they went with other old-for-his-level options when they needed emergency starters later in the season.
2013 Though Nathan Karns was used as a starter in High-A last year, his above-average fastball and plus curveball could project better in a bullpen role; if Karns is to remain in the rotation, where he has a mid-rotation ceiling, he'll need to refine his changeup and avoid injury despite a jerky delivery.

BP Articles

Nate Karns is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Transaction Analysis: Mariners Move Deck ChairsBryan Grosnick2017-01-11
Cold Takes: A Season Before DyingPatrick Dubuque2017-01-10
Rumor Roundup: Cespedes FalloutEmma Baccellieri2016-11-30
Transaction Analysis: Career-Years and Old UpsideBret Sayre2016-11-24
Transaction Analysis: Career-Years and Old UpsideWilson Karaman2016-11-24
Transaction Analysis: Career-Years and Old UpsideJeff Quinton2016-11-24
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: 19th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-08-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 18th Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-08-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 13Scooter Hotz2016-07-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 12Greg Wellemeyer2016-06-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300Bret Sayre2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300Mike Gianella2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week NineGreg Wellemeyer2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessUpdating the Tiers: Starting PitchersMike Gianella2016-05-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week FiveGreg Wellemeyer2016-04-29
Life at the Margins: The Best Pitcher Right NowRian Watt2016-04-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Batted-Ball Profile and Team Defensive Context, Part 2Wilson Karaman2016-04-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Juan Nicasio: Is it Too Soon to Buy in?George Bissell2016-03-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPlaying Time Battles: American League WestWilson Karaman2016-03-22
Winter Is Leaving: Seattle MarinersRian Watt2016-03-08
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: Starting Pitching Depth, RankedJeff Long2016-03-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part TwoMike Gianella2016-02-26
Rubbing Mud: Seven or Eight ShortstopsMatthew Trueblood2016-02-05
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 70: Sorry KojiBret Sayre2015-11-19
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 70: Sorry KojiGeorge Bissell2015-11-19
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 70: Sorry KojiMike Gianella2015-11-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Strikeouts: A Deeper DiveJ.P. Breen2015-11-16
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dipoto Makes It His TeamR.J. Anderson2015-11-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dipoto Makes It His TeamGeorge Bissell2015-11-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dipoto Makes It His TeamChristopher Crawford2015-11-06
Expert FAAB Review: Week 23Mike Gianella2015-09-08
Fantasy Rounders: Buc the Hand that FeedsDoug Thorburn2015-08-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21Wilson Karaman2015-08-21
Fantasy Rounders: For Whom the Bell TollsDoug Thorburn2015-08-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 28, 2015Daniel Rathman2015-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13Wilson Karaman2015-06-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week SevenMike Gianella2015-05-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week SevenKeith Cromer2015-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Are You Over 18? Russell A. Carleton2015-05-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week FourWilson Karaman2015-04-24
Fantasy Rounders: Take FiveDoug Thorburn2015-04-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week TwoKeith Cromer2015-04-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week TwoMike Gianella2015-04-13
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Shift in ColoradoChris Mosch2015-04-08
Fantasy Rounders: Run for CoverDoug Thorburn2015-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Who Are These Guys?R.J. Anderson2015-04-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: American League Position BattlesNick Shlain2015-03-24
Every Team's Moneyball: Tampa Bay Rays: Never Trust Any Win Over 30Adam Sobsey2015-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Alex Colome's Series of Unfortunate EventsDaniel Rathman2015-03-16
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: The Post-Offseason Top 10s: American LeagueChris Mellen2015-02-23
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: The Post-Offseason Top 10s: American LeagueNick J. Faleris2015-02-23
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Tampa Bay Rays Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-12-03
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Tampa Bay Rays Top 10 ProspectsChris Mellen2014-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Rays to the TopR.J. Anderson2014-09-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 25Ben Carsley2014-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 15, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-15
Daily League Strategy: Picking on Young PitchersPaul Sporer2014-09-12
This is Not Your Father's Baseball Road Trip: Day 13: Winston-Salem, Durham, and HomeJake Mintz2014-06-09
This is Not Your Father's Baseball Road Trip: Day 13: Winston-Salem, Durham, and HomeJordan Shusterman2014-06-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: A Moran and a Wolf Walk Into a BarCraig Goldstein2014-04-16
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: A Moran and a Wolf Walk Into a BarR.J. Anderson2014-04-16
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Competition in CoorsDaniel Rathman2014-03-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Choosing the Brave LifeR.J. Anderson2014-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Catching Up with Catcher NewsDaniel Rathman2014-02-13
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: August 16, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-08-16
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: August 16, 2013Jason Parks2013-08-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, June 25Zach Mortimer2013-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 12, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 9, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: The Mystery of Super Two StatusBret Sayre2013-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Halo EffectDaniel Rathman2013-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 28, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Don Mattingly's Post-RealismBret Sayre2013-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 20th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 10-12Zach Mortimer2013-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 19-April 21Zach Mortimer2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 12-14Zach Mortimer2013-04-15
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten PackKevin Goldstein2012-07-23


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat)Do you prefer Alex Colome or Nate Karns or Burch Smith as a starter?
(Goseman from Detroit)
I'll take Colome out of that trio. (Mark Anderson)
2014-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Nate Karns anything other than a back of the rotation or bullpen arm?
(Mark from IA)
Not for me, no. I think he's a bit of a swingman that can fill the back of a rotation on the right team. (Mark Anderson)
2014-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chris Archer working hard on change-up, Jake Odorizzi learning how to throw Alex Cobb's split-finger change-up, Nate Karns improving on his change-up and Jake McGee adding a change-up w/ a possibility of a curveball to his repertoire. Which one of these guys will benefit most from adding the pitch that some people are obsessed/fixated/fascinated with? If Odorizzi does indeed learn and hone "The Thing"(split-change), would this take him from a bottom-of-rotation to a 2/3 guy because he'll finally have an out-pitch?
(jlarsen from Chicagoland Area)
a killer changeup can move the needle, sure. But some times a guy is just hoping to get a half-way decent one. In theory any big league pitcher who 'learns awesome new pitch' is going to get better, change cutter knucklecurve etc, but it feels to me like Odorizzi and Archer are going to benefit the most, since they are already potential quality starters and this could put them over the top. Karns could be helped out by having a better chance to stick in the rotation, but that's not as shiny as having a chacne to be a front-line guy. (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Nate Karns or Jesse Hahn?
(Danny from Boston)
Looks like the details of that Rays-Nats swap are coming in, so we've got a few Qs on that front.

This is a fun one because the Rays just traded Jesse Hahn (and Alex Torres) for Logan Forsythe and a grab bag of prospects a month ago, and now they've traded Jose Lobaton (and a grab bag of prospects) for Nick Karns.

Hahn and Karns are similar in a few senses: both were college arms, both have injury histories, both have two good pitches, and so on. Even their outlooks are a lot alike: possible MOR arm or impact bullpen guy. I guess it comes down to the medicals, and without knowing which is better, I'll just call them evenish. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of the Nate Karns - Jose Lobaton deal? Seems like the Rays did better, but the Nats getting Felipe Rivero might help their case a bit
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
We covered this earlier in the chat but it's been a while so:

It seems like a fair deal. Lobaton was out of options and the Rays had two superior catchers they made multi-year commitments toward this winter. They obviously wanted Karns, but the Nationals didn't consider that a fair swap, so the Rays added two interesting, but limited parts to make it work. Both sides should be satisfied with the deal. (R.J. Anderson)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Nate Karns has thrown 4,819 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2013 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph) and Curve (82mph), also mixing in a Change (87mph) and Sinker (94mph).