Biographical

Portrait of Matt Joyce

Matt Joyce RFRays

Rays Player Cards | Rays Team Audit | Rays Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 29)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
3 .248 0 0 0 0 .283 0.0
Birth Date8-3-1984
Height6' 2"
Weight200 lbs
Age30 years, 2 months, 21 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
1.52010
2.72011
1.42012
1.82013
1.72014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2008 DET 23 92 277 242 40 61 16 3 12 119 31 65 2 2 0 33 0 2 .252 .339 .492 .285 12.4 1.7 1.4
2009 TBA 24 11 37 32 3 6 1 0 3 16 3 7 1 1 0 7 1 0 .188 .270 .500 .280 0.6 -0.2 0.0
2010 TBA 25 77 261 216 30 52 15 3 10 103 40 55 2 3 0 40 2 2 .241 .360 .477 .284 11.1 3.6 1.5
2011 TBA 26 141 522 462 69 128 32 2 19 221 49 106 4 7 0 75 13 1 .277 .347 .478 .300 29.3 -3.9 2.7
2012 TBA 27 124 462 399 55 96 18 3 17 171 55 102 6 1 1 59 4 3 .241 .341 .429 .277 16.4 -3.0 1.4
2013 TBA 28 140 481 413 61 97 22 0 18 173 59 87 2 7 0 47 7 3 .235 .328 .419 .285 16.8 0.1 1.8
2014 TBA 29 140 493 418 51 106 23 2 9 160 62 111 4 9 0 52 2 5 .254 .349 .383 .276 15.2 -0.1 1.7
Career725253321823095461271388963299533213013132916.250.342.441.285101.8-1.810.6

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2005 ONE A- 65 283 .322 .263 .334 .377 .263 .362 99 13.7 6.0 -2.2 8.9 4.6 21.0 3.0 21.0 3.0
2006 WMI A 122 530 .281 .257 .331 .371 .253 .283 94 8 10.2 -4 4.6 3.6 18.1 2.4 18.1 2.4
2007 ERI AA 130 514 .264 .259 .336 .394 .256 .319 112 2.1 15.6 -5.9 -1.9 0.3 14.2 1.2 14.2 1.2
2008 DET MLB 92 277 .285 .265 .331 .416 .260 .293 106 7.5 8.0 -2.2 1.7 -0.3 12.4 1.4 12.4 1.4
2008 TOL AAA 56 227 .320 .261 .331 .409 .264 .328 88 15.3 7.0 -1.7 3.2 -0.2 20.9 2.3 20.9 2.3
2009 TBA MLB 11 37 .280 .267 .335 .429 .260 .130 109 0.8 1.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.7 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.0
2009 DUR AAA 111 493 .279 .260 .330 .391 .247 .323 114 11 15.4 -4.9 4.5 -1.1 19.7 2.4 19.7 2.4
2010 TBA MLB 77 261 .284 .260 .327 .416 .257 .273 108 6.4 7.2 -2.7 3.6 -2.2 11.1 1.5 11.1 1.5
2010 PCH A+ 10 40 .430 .260 .335 .372 .267 .474 95 7.4 1.2 -0.7 0.1 0.7 8.4 0.9 8.4 0.9
2010 DUR AAA 25 115 .314 .260 .327 .398 .249 .353 101 7 3.5 -1.5 0.3 0.4 9.2 0.9 9.2 0.9
2011 TBA MLB 141 522 .300 .256 .322 .407 .263 .317 98 20.5 14.1 -5 -3.9 -0.3 29.3 2.7 29.3 2.7
2012 TBA MLB 124 462 .277 .257 .319 .412 .262 .281 95 7.8 12.7 -4.2 -3.0 2.3 16.4 1.4 16.4 1.4
2012 PCH A+ 2 9 .238 .268 .347 .422 .271 .286 111 -0.2 0.3 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2012 DUR AAA 1 3 .200 .286 .332 .404 .261 .000 110 -0.2 0.1 0 0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.0 -0.4 -0.0
2013 TBA MLB 140 481 .285 .252 .317 .402 .264 .251 95 11.5 12.6 -4.4 0.1 -1.2 16.8 1.8 16.8 1.8
2014 TBA MLB 140 493 .276 .248 .309 .382 .259 .316 98 7.4 12.7 -4.6 -0.1 -0.3 15.2 1.7 15.2 1.7

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2005 ONE A- 283 51 81 10 4 4 45 30 29 9 5 .331 .404 .453 .122 .322 21.0 8.9 3.0
2006 WMI A 530 75 120 30 5 11 86 56 70 5 4 .258 .341 .415 .157 .281 18.1 4.6 2.4
2007 ERI AA 514 61 117 33 3 17 70 51 127 4 6 .257 .335 .454 .197 .264 14.2 -1.9 1.2
2008 DET MLB 277 40 61 16 3 12 33 31 65 0 2 .252 .339 .492 .240 .285 12.4 1.7 1.4
2008 TOL AAA 227 36 54 13 2 13 41 24 62 2 3 .270 .354 .550 .280 .320 20.9 3.2 2.3
2009 TBA MLB 37 3 6 1 0 3 7 3 7 1 0 .188 .270 .500 .312 .280 0.6 -0.2 0.0
2009 DUR AAA 493 73 114 35 2 16 66 67 98 14 5 .273 .378 .482 .209 .279 19.7 4.5 2.4
2010 DUR AAA 115 18 27 8 0 3 12 22 21 1 3 .293 .435 .478 .185 .314 9.2 0.3 0.9
2010 PCH A+ 40 6 11 5 0 2 8 10 8 1 0 .379 .538 .759 .379 .430 8.4 0.1 0.9
2010 TBA MLB 261 30 52 15 3 10 40 40 55 2 2 .241 .360 .477 .236 .284 11.1 3.6 1.5
2011 TBA MLB 522 69 128 32 2 19 75 49 106 13 1 .277 .347 .478 .201 .300 29.3 -3.9 2.7
2012 DUR AAA 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 .000 .333 .000 .000 .200 -0.4 0.1 -0.0
2012 TBA MLB 462 55 96 18 3 17 59 55 102 4 3 .241 .341 .429 .188 .277 16.4 -3.0 1.4
2012 PCH A+ 9 2 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 .250 .333 .375 .125 .238 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0
2013 TBA MLB 481 61 97 22 0 18 47 59 87 7 3 .235 .328 .419 .184 .285 16.8 0.1 1.8
2014 TBA MLB 493 51 106 23 2 9 52 62 111 2 5 .254 .349 .383 .129 .276 15.2 -0.1 1.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1065 0.5117 0.4878 0.7129 0.7046 0.2596 0.7734 0.5407 0.2852
2009 142 0.4789 0.4789 0.8235 0.7500 0.2297 0.9020 0.5882 0.1765
2010 1086 0.4853 0.4236 0.7761 0.6698 0.1914 0.8329 0.5888 0.2239
2011 2061 0.4876 0.4544 0.7810 0.6866 0.2330 0.8565 0.5691 0.2190
2012 1865 0.4912 0.4218 0.7656 0.6539 0.1960 0.8447 0.5108 0.2344
2013 2002 0.4970 0.4246 0.7812 0.6362 0.2155 0.8641 0.5392 0.2176
2014 1998 0.4935 0.4399 0.7440 0.6663 0.2194 0.8447 0.4459 0.2560
Career102190.49340.44030.7640.66780.21850.8430.52790.2356

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-20 2014-03-23 Camp 3 0 - Neck Stiffness - -
2013-05-22 2013-05-24 DTD 2 1 Right Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2012-08-29 2012-08-30 DTD 1 1 - Forearm Tightness - -
2012-07-19 2012-07-20 DTD 1 1 - Low Back Soreness - -
2012-06-20 2012-07-17 15-DL 27 23 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2012-06-17 2012-06-19 DTD 2 1 - General Medical Illness - -
2012-05-10 2012-05-11 DTD 1 1 Left Ankle Sprain - -
2011-07-18 2011-07-19 DTD 1 1 Right Knee Soreness Foul Tip - -
2011-06-09 2011-06-11 DTD 2 1 Left Shoulder Inflammation Had Injection Sore for 10 Days -
2011-05-14 2011-05-14 DTD 0 0 Right Thigh Tightness Quadriceps -
2011-03-21 2011-03-22 Camp 1 0 Back Tightness -
2010-03-26 2010-05-31 15-DL 66 51 Right Elbow Strain -
2010-03-11 2010-03-21 Camp 10 0 Right Elbow Soreness -
2009-02-22 2009-03-22 Camp 28 0 Right Lower Leg Strain Calf -
2008-08-28 2008-08-30 DTD 2 1 General Medical Respiratory Flu -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 TBA $
2014 TBA $3,700,000
2013 TBA $2,450,000
2012 TBA $499,500
2011 TBA $426,500
2010 TBA $406,000
2009 TBA $410,400
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$4,192,400
2011Current$3,700,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$7,892,400
6 yrTotal$7,892,400

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 123 dSportsmeter LLC1 year/$3.7M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$3.7M (2014). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$2.45M (2013). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.4995M (2012). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.4265M (2011). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 2/26/11.
  • 1 year/$0.406M (2010). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/3/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4104M (2009). Renewed by Tampa Bay 2/25/09.
  • 1 year (2008). Contract purchased by Detroit 5/5/08. Acquired by Tampa Bay in trade from Detroit 12/10/08.
  • Drafted by Detroit 2005 (12-360) (Florida Southern).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 625 84 147 33 3 24 87 85 123 10 4 .277 .379 .486 .315 42.5 LF 1 4.7
80o 608 80 137 31 3 22 82 80 122 10 4 .266 .366 .467 .304 35.1 LF 1 3.9
70o 596 76 132 30 3 21 78 76 122 9 4 .258 .357 .453 .296 29.9 LF 1 3.3
60o 586 73 127 29 3 20 76 73 121 9 4 .251 .349 .441 .290 25.7 LF 1 2.9
50o 576 71 123 28 3 20 73 70 121 9 4 .245 .341 .430 .283 21.8 LF 1 2.4
40o 566 68 117 26 3 19 70 68 120 8 4 .239 .334 .419 .277 18.1 LF 1 2.0
30o 556 65 112 25 3 18 68 65 119 8 3 .232 .326 .408 .271 14.2 LF 1 1.6
20o 544 62 106 24 2 17 65 62 118 8 3 .225 .317 .394 .263 9.8 LF 1 1.1
10o 527 58 98 22 2 16 60 57 117 7 3 .214 .304 .376 .252 4.1 LF 1 0.5
Weighted Mean5787112328320737112194.246.343.432.28522.6LF 12.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
4% 43% 1% 4% 95%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201530583771213021972731278.243.344.425.2792.825.3-0.7-0.314.911.40.6
201631598751152821768761387.225.329.389.2631.815.8-0.7-0.314.91.90.6
201732627801263022074781457.233.333.404.2692.118.9-0.8-0.414.95.10.7
201833620781222911871771406.229.330.392.2641.816.1-0.8-0.414.92.40.6
201934618801242722074771404.234.335.406.2712.320.1-0.8-0.414.96.30.6
202035630791232921871801403.227.331.388.2631.815.6-0.8-0.414.91.90.7
202136616741192721666721371.223.319.371.2541.210.5-0.6-0.514.9-3.40.6
202237632731192721565711440.215.307.354.2440.64.4-0.4-0.514.9-9.60.7
202338630721172621563721420.212.305.347.2400.32.4-0.3-0.514.9-11.80.7

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
44.551.342.143.632.122.6213.6

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 75)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 87 Seth Smith 2012 .281
2 84 Shin-Soo Choo 2012 .293
3 82 Carlos Quentin 2012 .317
4 81 Alex Gordon 2013 .277
5 81 Gabe Gross 2009 .240
6 81 Andre Ethier 2011 .296
7 80 Brad Hawpe 2008 .297
8 80 Josh Willingham 2008 .297
9 80 Nick Swisher 2010 .291
10 80 Jeremy Hermida 2013 .000 DNP
11 79 Jason Kubel 2011 .269
12 79 Lance Berkman 2005 .312
13 79 Ryan Church 2008 .277
14 79 Michael Cuddyer 2008 .257
15 79 Jack Clark 1985 .317
16 78 Vladimir Guerrero 2004 .315
17 78 David Justice 1995 .296
18 78 Juan Rivera 2008 .244
19 78 Roger Maris 1964 .305
20 78 Gary Sheffield 1998 .332
21 78 Oscar Gamble 1979 .371
22 78 Dan Johnson 2009 .000 DNP
23 78 Xavier Nady 2008 .289
24 77 Austin Kearns 2009 .226
25 77 Ben Francisco 2011 .270
26 77 Chase Utley 2008 .312
27 77 Chris Duncan 2010 .000 DNP
28 76 Billy Williams 1967 .308
29 76 David Murphy 2011 .250
30 76 Grady Sizemore 2012 .000 DNP
31 76 Milton Bradley 2007 .332
32 76 Merv Rettenmund 1972 .252
33 76 Rusty Staub 1973 .288
34 76 Bobby Murcer 1975 .303
35 76 Nate Schierholtz 2013 .274
36 76 Carl Yastrzemski 1969 .298
37 76 J.D. Drew 2005 .330
38 75 Will Venable 2012 .278
39 75 Ben Zobrist 2010 .259
40 75 Bobby Bonilla 1992 .287
41 75 Geovany Soto 2012 .229
42 75 Al Kaline 1964 .308
43 75 Bobby Abreu 2003 .310
44 75 Vic Wertz 1954 .271
45 75 Jayson Werth 2008 .299
46 75 Ryan Raburn 2010 .272
47 74 Brian Giles 2000 .328
48 74 Chase Headley 2013 .278
49 74 Larry Walker 1996 .249
50 74 Frank Robinson 1965 .323
51 74 Nolan Reimold 2013 .226
52 74 Sixto Lezcano 1983 .261
53 74 David Freese 2012 .290
54 74 Ryan Garko 2010 .094
55 74 Steve Kemp 1984 .289
56 74 Chris Young 2013 .247
57 74 Dave Winfield 1981 .307
58 73 Rocky Colavito 1963 .293
59 73 Tim Salmon 1998 .331
60 73 Gaby Sanchez 2013 .290
61 73 Fred Lynn 1981 .244
62 73 Jed Lowrie 2013 .291
63 73 Josh Hamilton 2010 .336
64 73 Nick Markakis 2013 .255
65 73 Ken Singleton 1976 .303
66 73 Chris Iannetta 2012 .268
67 73 Garrett Atkins 2009 .230
68 73 Scott Hairston 2009 .272
69 73 Todd Helton 2003 .334
70 73 Corey Hart 2011 .300
71 73 Ryan Spilborghs 2009 .242
72 73 Adam Lind 2013 .301
73 72 Nate McLouth 2011 .256
74 72 Fred Lewis 2010 .254
75 72 Edwin Encarnacion 2012 .324
76 72 Miguel Montero 2013 .240
77 72 Curtis Granderson 2010 .271
78 72 Justin Morneau 2010 .347
79 72 Eric Chavez 2007 .264
80 72 Wilson Betemit 2011 .273
81 72 Kevin Youkilis 2008 .318
82 71 Tony Oliva 1968 .325
83 71 Alex Rios 2010 .261
84 71 Ron Santo 1969 .312
85 71 Kelly Johnson 2011 .253
86 71 Chipper Jones 2001 .351
87 71 Jose Bautista 2010 .321
88 71 Jeff Bagwell 1997 .341
89 71 Bob Allison 1964 .338
90 71 Gary Roenicke 1984 .271
91 71 Andre Thornton 1979 .289
92 71 Rickey Henderson 1988 .310
93 71 Chris Dickerson 2011 .262
94 71 Norm Cash 1964 .297
95 70 Victor Martinez 2008 .240
96 70 Reggie Smith 1974 .325
97 70 Brian McCann 2013 .288
98 70 Jesus Guzman 2013 .240
99 70 Eddie Mathews 1961 .336
100 70 Chris Shelton 2009 .216

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .188 .249 .323 .215
11 vs R (Multi) .254 .352 .455 .300
18 Split (Multi) .066 .103 .132 .085
19 LgAvg (Multi) .027 .038 .071 .034
30 vs L (2013) .164 .190 .309 .184
31 vs R (2013) .246 .348 .436 .298
38 Split (2013) .082 .158 .127 .114
39 LgAvg (2013) .026 .037 .071 .034

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Joyce came roaring out of the gate in 2012, with a 986 OPS and five homers in April. His productivity declined every month after that, though, until a slight uptick in September. It's tempting to assume that Joyce's fade was the effect of five different minor injuries and illnesses that nagged at him all season. He suffered a similar injury-related dropoff in 2011. If he can stay healthy, Joyce could finally put together a full season of the elite performance that earned him an All-Star bid in 2011. But he'll probably also need to improve his production against lefties—a career-long weakness for him—otherwise he could find himself in a platoon role that would limit his at-bats and, consequently, his flickering star potential.
2012 Joyce sat against left-handed pitching until late in the season but still had a career season and made the All-Star team. Joyce's isolated power (ISO) against right-handed pitching in 2011 was higher than that of Ian Kinsler, Aramis Ramirez, Jay Bruce, Alex Gordon, or Nick Swisher. His All-Star selection hinged in large part on the run from late April to early June when he hit .409/.464/.782 in 125 plate appearances, and during which he hit 10 of his 19 home runs. An old shoulder issue flared up in early June, lingered for the rest of the summer, and he hit .225/.302/.381 the rest of the way. Defensively, his numbers took a hit in right field in 2011 and a few analysts within the Rays' blogosphere have made a case for Joyce to move to first base. The idea has traction given the organization's outfield depth and the void at first base.
2011 Acquired from the Tigers in the Edwin Jackson trade after a solid rookie season, Joyce spent 2009 honing his plate discipline and approach against lefties at Durham. He entered 2010 looking to claim a good chunk of playing time in right field, but an elbow strain and minor-league options kept him on the farm until late June. Despite a slow start, he provided much more punch and patience than fellow right fielders Ben Zobrist and Gabe Kapler; among players with 200 PA against righties, his .263 isolated power (ISO) against pitchers of that handedness ranked ninth in the AL, and his walk rate ranked fourth among AL batters with at least 200 PA overall. He went just 2-for-25 against lefties, though it's hard to believe that he couldn't outhit Gabe Kapler's weak line against southpaws after batting .250/.315/.474 against them at Durham in 2009. In any event, he'll occupy at least the long half of the right field platoon and could pick up a good bit of the production slack left by the dearly departed Crawford and Peña.
2010 Joyce burst on the major-league scene with nine homers in his first 94 at-bats in 2008, but tailed off after that, then was acquired by the outfield-laden Rays in a deal for Edwin Jackson last December. With Gabe Gross, Gabe Kapler, and (honorary) Gabe Zobrist all putting in claims on time in right field, the Tampa native—who grew up rooting for the Devil Rays, poor lamb—was forced to spend nearly the entire season at Durham despite his likely superiority to Gross, who wound up among the game's least productive right fielders. Joyce's time shooting Bull wasn't entirely wasted; his strikeout and walk rates improved markedly, and he hit .250/.315/.474 with five homers in 130 Durham PAs against lefties, compared to .217/.308/.348 with one homer in 52 PA the year before. The Rays love his strong arm and defensive ability, and are excited to have six years of him under club control, so expect him to assume the long half of the right-field platoon at the least.
2009 Joyce got off to a huge start at Triple-A, and an equally huge introduction to the majors, earning a player of the week award in July and slugging nine home runs in his first 94 at-bats. It was a bit downhill from there, as pitchers found ways to exploit the numerous holes in his swing and he hit just .243/.351/.392 in the second half. He still showed enough to be worth Edwin Jackson in a post-season trade, as he moves to the hometown team he rooted for as a kid. He's not without skills, as the power is real, he has a good approach, and he's a very good outfielder with a cannon for an arm, but the strikeouts will likely be an issue throughout his career, and he needs a platoon partner against lefties.
2008 Joyce didn't get his batting average over .200 last year until mid-June, but once he did, he hit .304 with gap power the rest of the way. He'll probably never be enough of a hitter to play every day, but he's left-handed, has a little bit of juice in his bat, and is an outstanding defensive player. Those ingredients could be enough for a decade or so of bench play.

BP Articles

Matt Joyce is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThey Hold No Quarter: OutfieldersBP Fantasy Staff2014-09-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 18, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 10, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 26, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 18Jeff Quinton2014-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 17Jeff Quinton2014-07-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 16Jeff Quinton2014-07-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, SellersMike Gianella2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The A's Get Rick-RolledChris Mosch2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/30Daniel Rathman2014-06-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wheeler Hooks the FishChris Mosch2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wheeler Hooks the FishDaniel Rathman2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsDaniel Rathman2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsChris Mosch2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsNick Bacarella2014-06-18
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 6/16Ben Lindbergh2014-06-06
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 6/16Chris Mosch2014-06-06
Overthinking It: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 5/30Ben Lindbergh2014-05-30
Overthinking It: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 5/30Chris Mosch2014-05-30
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 5/23Ben Lindbergh2014-05-23
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 5/23Chris Mosch2014-05-23
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 5/16Chris Mosch2014-05-16
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 5/16Ben Lindbergh2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Tuesday's Late Lead ChangesDaniel Rathman2014-05-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Escape From New York, Starring Ike DavisR.J. Anderson2014-04-21
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week ThreeJeff Quinton2014-04-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: You Must Learn ControlDaniel Rathman2014-04-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week TwoJeff Quinton2014-04-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week OneJeff Quinton2014-03-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Two Deep-League Lessons From the PreseasonBen Carsley2014-03-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTale of the Tape: Evan Longoria vs. David WrightAlex Kantecki2014-02-13
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Fantasy Team Preview: Tampa Bay RaysCraig Goldstein2013-12-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Mixed-League Hitter ValuationMike Gianella2013-12-10
Internet Baseball Awards: American League Top RookieNick Bacarella2013-11-11
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Fantasy Mailbag: Getting the Best DealBP Fantasy Staff2013-07-12
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Pebble Hunting: The Batting Order EvolutionSam Miller2013-06-05
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Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 6/1Ben Lindbergh2013-06-01
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 28Larry Granillo2013-04-29
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My American League PortfolioPaul Sporer2013-04-10
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 3Larry Granillo2013-04-04
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-04
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 4, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-04
BP Unfiltered: My Tout Wars TeamJason Collette2013-03-25
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Collateral Damage: 2012 Year-End Injury Summary: AL EastCorey Dawkins2012-11-16
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for October 1Larry Granillo2012-10-02
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The Week in Quotes: September 10-16Jonah Birenbaum2012-09-17
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Pebble Hunting: The Best Pitches Thrown This Week (Yu Darvish Edition)Sam Miller2012-08-31
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Tater Trot Tracker: The Weekend's Trot TimesLarry Granillo2012-06-11
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 22Larry Granillo2011-08-23
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One-Hoppers: DJ3K: "I Don't Think You Can Script It Any Better"Jay Jaffe2011-07-09
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All-Star Selections: Staff Picks for 2011Baseball Prospectus2011-07-01
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Divide and Conquer, AL East: Deep-sixedBen Kabak2011-05-18
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)20 team dynasty league and my only SS are Cozart and Rutledge. Should I trade Joc Pederson and Matt Joyce for Jean Segura?
(BigMac25 from Montreal)
No. I agree that shortstop is an issue on your roster, but Joc Pederson is too much for Segura. Segura will have the steals. He needs to prove he can actually keep the baseball off the ground, if he's going to be anything more than a slap hitter w/ a solid-average glove at shortstop. I thought he'd bounce back from his poor second half in 2013. I've been disappointed.

To be clear, I still like Segura well-enough in dynasty leagues. Pederson is just too much to give. (J.P. Breen)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Matt Joyce and Andy Dirks were benched during the play-offs last year. Are they washed up or were they just in a temporary funk?
(hotstatrat from Toronto, O.)
I don't think they're washed. Same with Daniel Nava. Each is a useful player; they were just caught in bad spells at the wrong time. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-07-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)You said that you like John Danks ROS. In my 16 tm h2h league I offered Matt Joyce for John Danks straight up, and am waiting for a response. Is this enough to snag him you think? Is Danks worth my "flier guys" like Josh Rutledge, Carlos Quentin, or Ichiro? Is Joyce more valuable than any of the above mentioned bench guys? Thanks
(George from SD)
It should be. I'd rather deal Rutledge or Ichiro for him, but that might not be enough. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)Matt Joyce owns May. Who owns June?
(JomTones from CwoTents)
Pujols has the highest active career OPS in June at 1.051. Put me down for Weeks waking up as well (Jason Collette)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)If Myers absolutely tears it up this spring do you think he still gets sent down due to cost saving considerations?
(cal guy from stuck in cal)
I think it would take a combination of an enormous spring and a couple of injuries for Wil Myers to make the Rays on Opening Day, both because of the Super Two and free-agent clock elements, and because Andrew Friedman indicated last week that he thinks Myers still has adjustments to make in the upper minors.

Matt Joyce should be able to hold down the fort in left field, especially with a slew of platoon options available to Joe Maddon. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-09-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rays have a large amount of money coming off the books after this season and the most important keys to the offseason are keeping David Price's salary from going too high(extension, perhaps?) and possibly locking up Matt Joyce long-term. Rays have prospects to possibly make trades for a C, 1B and SS(3 needs) but could just as well spend money in free agency. What do you consider to be the better plan of action for the Rays?>
(jlarsen from chicago)
Thank you for your question, jlarsen from my hometown of Chicago. The Rays have done a great job stocking their system as a result of their talented front office and excellent scouting director, RJ Harrison. They have some tough decisions, but those are fun to have, because options are fun to explore and there is strength in having options. Joe Madden is exceptional, and he consistently keeps the Rays among the upper echelon. Without knowing their budget for 2013, it would be difficult to have an opinion on their best move, because the baseball decisions are also influenced by their budget, like every club. I would not want to be playing them right now. (Dan Evans)
2011-08-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of career do you see Matt Joyce having? Do you think at his peak he can put up similar numbers (incl. OBP) as JD Drew?
(DS from LA)
He will never be the defender Drew is/was, but the rest of that comp works for me. Joyce has been given small pockets of chances against lefties but the fact he has to sit against lefties at times for a well-below replacement level guy like Elliot Johnson makes no sense. The Rays are not contending right now so I do not see why the club does not put Joyce out there as much as possible and let him sink or swim against lefties because it is still better than what an org soldier like Johnson would do. An outside theory floated by my colleague at DRaysBay, Heath Baywood, is moving Joyce to first base if the team cannot find a FA solution this off-season or cannot trade for someone. (Jason Collette)
2011-06-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Matt Joyce worth keeping for the year or should I trade him now and try to get a quality starting pitcher out of him? What type of pitcher could I get?
(Tim from Bronx)
Joyce is producing at a level well beyond his 90th percentile PECOTA projection, and there's nowhere to go but down. He's capable of being a productive corner outfielder, but it's a reach to think he's going to evolve into a star.

As to who you could get, i have no idea your league, format, or the tendencies of your other owners. Best I can say is make him available and see who bites. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)AL Keeper 5x5, I'm in first place with a lot of seeming overachievers -- Matt Joyce, Avila, Bedard, Pineda, but I have those players at good prices. How to decide who to keep, who to deal, and how to value them?
(jmercan from NJ)
I'm buying into Avila least and would likely attempt to keep Joyce and Pineda since you have them at good prices unless you get a really great offer. Bedard is good but is a perpetual injury risk, so if you get a good deal, take it while his value is high. Avila I'd attempt to trade too, though I'm not giving him away. (Derek Carty)
2011-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you buying or selling Matt Joyce?
(jmoore from Detroit)
Depends on who I'm talking to. Two days ago I was trying to buy Joyce in the CardRunners Expert League (AL-only) but wasn't successful. Unless you're in a league with a bunch of fish, you're not going to trade Joyce for a top-shelf player, but because of the endowment effect, his owners likely aren't trading him either. I like Joyce and buy into him aside from the AVG, so if you can get him for a reasonable price, do it. If you own him, ride it out, because he's a good one. (Derek Carty)
2011-05-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Wow, Matt Joyce. I always him to get a real shot, but I was expecting more of a .260, 25 HR type of guy. What's your thought on where he ends up numbers-wise?
(Rob from Alaska)
I'm a big Matt Joyce fan. Joyce got off to a bit of a slow start on the home run front, but lately he seems to launch one every other game. I think 20-to-25 home runs is a fair estimate, especially if he gets a little more time versus lefties. He may not hit them well, but I think he can steal a homer or two off them. (R.J. Anderson)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)Would you be playing Matt Joyce over Desmond Jennings if you had an offense in desperate need of a spark? What am I missing here? I know he was hurt, but a .965 OPS in June suggests that striking while the iron is hot may be in order here.
(Jim Humdingding from Sphinx Park, CO)
I would take Jennings over Joyce any day of the week and twice on Sundays. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)wher do you see sean rodriguez fitting in tampa?
(mjk415 from elmhurst,ill)
The Rays seem to be bursting at the seams with talent right now. Joe Maddon has some interesting options when it comes to where Ben Zobrist plays, and who that leaves in the mix. If Zobrist is a second baseman, Rodriguez and Reid Brignac probably compete for the final utility spot and the Matt Joyce/Gabe Kapler platoon goes off as planned. If Zobrist is a right fielder, Rodriguez has a shot at winning the second base job.

The fact that he can play the outfield as well as the other infield positions certainly works in his favor if he goes the utility route.

Oh, and an aside to a reader whom I'll leave unidentified: the surest way for me to ignore any question you ever ask in a chat until the end of time is to complain about the pace of things in my chat. I'm not Keith Law firing off two-syllable answers, though I'll gladly give you one: GET BENT. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Carl Crawford gets dealt before the deadline this year, paving the way for Jennings? Or do you see an outfield of Crawford, Jennings and Upton heading into August?
(tommybones from brooklyn)
I think it all depends upon where the Rays are in the standings. Crawford is obviously more likely to get dealt if they're out of it.

That said, it's going to be *very* interesting to see what happens, because there's a line of thinking that says they keep Crawford and trade Upton at the point when his value is on the rise again. Remember, they've also got to figure out where Ben Zobrist fits, and Matt Joyce... suffice it to say that they've got an enviable amount of depth and flexibility. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-01-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)So if you're Andrew Friedman, and you have Zorilla, Bartlett, Brignac, Sean Rodriguez, and Matt Joyce all scrapping it out for 3 spots (RF, 2B, SS). Who do you play where, who do you put on the bench, and who do you put in AAA? Where are they being assigned on your fantasy lists?
(Stephanie from DC)
Zorilla at 2nd, Bartlett at SS for now, replace him with Brignac if necessary, Rodriguez in Z's old gig when he used to back up Aki (with occasional ABs elsewhere) and Joyce in RF. (Marc Normandin)
2009-10-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)Could you rate Dave Dombrowski's job performance since the day after the '08 season ended? Thanks.
(lemppi from Ankeny, IA)
The cutoff favors him, since it avoids getting into so many multi-year mistakes as far as big conracts signed before then. Edwin Jackson proved to be a bit of a steal, kicking sand in the face of a stathead community that was falling all over itself to anoint Matt Joyce as the Anointed One. I also tend to be charitable when a GM is willing to reinforce a bid for the brass ring; yes, Washburn and Huff didn't deliver, but Washburn was a good choice. I would have rather seen the Tigers go after and get a quality offensive addition, but that's easier to say than to conjure up, especially when the farm system isn't replete with trade-worthy bits. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-10-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do the Rays do, Matt Joyce/Sean Rodriguez/Reid Brignac all have spent more than enough time in AAA and really have nothing to prove. Do the Rays assume that Jason Bartlett's 2009 is nothing more than a "fluke" and shouldn't be expect from here on out?
(jlarsen from chicago)
I assume you think that Zobrist will be a 2B, Jake? I'm loathe to offer the Rays any advice, but like the Angels a couple years back, they're going to need to turn minor league talent into major league talent via trade. There's a point where "best available" stops being so good on a talent level, especially with a real issue of payroll and bullpen. (Will Carroll)
2009-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will the Rays get a nice advantage in the Wild Card race based upon the quality of September callups they can make (Wade Davis, Matt Joyce, maybe Jeremy Hellickson)?
(achaik from ME)
Nah. It's nice to have those guys, but no September call-ups play enough to make that big a difference, or at least not predictably so. (And anybody can go .390/.460/.710 for a month.) (Joe Sheehan)
2009-08-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey, Marc! Big fan, with a serious question! Who do you see having a brighter future, Reddick or Matt Joyce?
(Suttree from DRays bay)
I know Joyce has solid defense and a lot of potential with his bat. Reddick is setup the other way, with better D than hitting. Both look like pretty good bets to stick in an outfield for awhile though, and I know Rays fans are really excited about Joyce's ability. (Marc Normandin)
2009-04-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)In your Kazmir article, you mention the possibility of adding a CF so that Upton can make the move to RF. What would this mean for Matt Joyce? Is his future as a DH?
(aclaykearney from St. Pete, FL)
Matt Joyce isn't a player who drives decision-making, so what happens to him is something of a tertiary concern. He's a platoon outfielder in the Choo class, someone who can help a team if he gets to play, but no star potential. (Joe Sheehan)


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