Biographical

Portrait of Reed Johnson

Reed Johnson RFMarlins

Marlins Player Cards | Marlins Team Audit | Marlins Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 37)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
1 .250 0 0 0 0 .243 0.0
Birth Date12-8-1976
Height5' 10"
Weight190 lbs
Age37 years, 10 months, 13 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.82010
1.32011
0.62012
-0.02013
-0.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2003 TOR 26 114 457 412 79 121 21 2 10 176 20 67 20 4 1 52 5 3 .294 .353 .427 .273 13.3 -6.4 0.7
2004 TOR 27 141 582 537 68 145 25 2 10 204 28 98 12 2 3 61 6 3 .270 .320 .380 .232 -1.4 -0.3 -0.2
2005 TOR 28 142 439 398 55 107 21 6 8 164 22 82 16 1 2 58 5 6 .269 .332 .412 .256 7.9 3.1 1.1
2006 TOR 29 134 517 461 86 147 34 2 12 221 33 81 21 1 1 49 8 2 .319 .390 .479 .284 31.9 1.8 3.3
2007 TOR 30 79 307 275 31 65 13 2 2 88 16 56 11 0 5 14 4 2 .236 .305 .320 .225 -4.8 0.4 -0.4
2008 CHN 31 109 374 333 52 101 21 0 6 140 19 68 12 5 5 50 5 6 .303 .358 .420 .273 20.7 -0.4 2.0
2009 CHN 32 65 186 165 23 42 10 2 4 68 13 27 6 1 1 22 2 1 .255 .330 .412 .265 6.4 -1.9 0.4
2010 LAN 33 102 215 202 24 53 11 2 2 74 5 50 4 2 2 15 2 2 .262 .291 .366 .251 4.1 3.1 0.8
2011 CHN 34 111 266 246 33 76 22 1 5 115 5 63 11 2 2 28 2 1 .309 .348 .467 .291 12.8 -0.9 1.3
2012 ATL 35 43 105 100 7 27 5 0 0 32 3 18 2 0 0 4 0 1 .270 .305 .320 .242 -0.2 -1.9 -0.2
2012 CHN 35 76 183 169 23 51 9 3 3 75 10 43 4 0 0 16 2 1 .302 .355 .444 .277 7.8 0.0 0.8
2013 ATL 36 74 136 123 13 30 7 1 1 42 6 32 6 0 1 11 0 0 .244 .311 .341 .233 -0.4 0.3 -0.0
2014 MIA 37 113 201 187 24 44 15 0 2 65 1 37 8 3 2 25 0 1 .235 .266 .348 .236 -0.1 -3.0 -0.3
Career13033968360851810092142365146418172213321254054129.280.336.406.25897.7-6.19.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1999 STC A- 0 217 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .278 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 HAG A 0 400 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .322 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 DUN A+ 0 158 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .373 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 TEN AA 136 624 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .345 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 DUN A+ 8 38 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 SYR AAA 44 183 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .255 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 TOR MLB 114 457 .273 .268 .333 .429 .265 .327 103 6.3 12.4 -4.2 -6.4 0.2 13.3 0.7 13.3 0.7
2003 SYR AAA 26 111 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .360 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 TOR MLB 141 582 .232 .263 .330 .425 .257 .313 107 -18.2 17.3 -3.6 -0.3 6.4 -1.4 -0.2 -1.4 -0.2
2005 TOR MLB 142 439 .256 .265 .329 .415 .261 .320 104 -2 12.6 -3.1 3.1 1.2 7.9 1.1 7.9 1.1
2006 TOR MLB 134 517 .284 .274 .340 .434 .260 .366 107 14.1 15.6 -3.7 1.8 0.0 31.9 3.3 31.9 3.3
2007 TOR MLB 79 307 .225 .269 .337 .423 .264 .290 96 -12 9.1 -2.3 0.4 1.6 -4.8 -0.4 -4.8 -0.4
2007 DUN A+ 4 14 .348 .291 .350 .427 .271 .429 106 1.4 0.4 -0.2 -0.0 0.1 1.8 0.2 1.8 0.2
2007 SYR AAA 2 9 .262 .287 .340 .422 .270 .429 76 0 0.1 0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2008 CHN MLB 109 374 .273 .263 .330 .414 .262 .360 103 5.4 10.8 0.2 -0.4 2.6 20.7 2.0 20.7 2.0
2009 CHN MLB 65 186 .265 .265 .333 .414 .264 .281 98 1 5.3 0.1 -1.9 -0.1 6.4 0.4 6.4 0.4
2009 PEO A 3 8 .296 .246 .317 .383 .244 .333 101 0.3 0.2 0 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.1
2010 LAN MLB 102 215 .251 .260 .335 .405 .272 .336 88 -2 5.9 -1.3 3.1 1.5 4.1 0.8 4.1 0.8
2010 SBR A+ 2 6 .565 .274 .343 .419 .266 .500 88 2 0.2 0 0.0 0.2 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2011 CHN MLB 111 266 .291 .248 .313 .383 .254 .394 102 8 7.2 -1.3 -0.9 0.4 12.8 1.3 12.8 1.3
2011 IOW AAA 3 9 .187 .300 .351 .439 .255 .000 101 -0.8 0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1
2012 ATL MLB 43 105 .242 .247 .310 .385 .256 .329 96 -1.9 2.9 -0.4 -1.9 -1.4 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2
2012 CHN MLB 76 183 .277 .258 .319 .404 .261 .390 100 3.1 5.0 -0.6 0.0 0.3 7.8 0.8 7.8 0.8
2013 ATL MLB 74 136 .233 .257 .316 .403 .263 .322 101 -3.5 3.6 -0.4 0.3 0.2 -0.4 -0.0 -0.4 -0.0
2014 MIA MLB 113 201 .236 .246 .309 .368 .257 .278 96 -4.6 5.2 -0.9 -3.0 0.8 -0.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1999 STC A- 217 24 46 8 2 2 23 24 31 5 5 .241 .332 .335 .094 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 DUN A+ 158 26 42 9 2 4 28 14 27 3 2 .316 .424 .504 .188 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 HAG A 400 66 94 24 5 8 70 62 49 14 2 .290 .425 .469 .179 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 TEN AA 624 104 174 29 4 13 74 45 79 42 12 .314 .381 .451 .137 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 SYR AAA 183 27 37 8 3 2 10 12 23 1 4 .233 .313 .358 .126 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 DUN A+ 38 7 9 3 0 0 6 3 3 0 1 .273 .368 .364 .091 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 SYR AAA 111 14 33 4 1 2 16 3 13 3 1 .327 .376 .446 .119 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 TOR MLB 457 79 121 21 2 10 52 20 67 5 3 .294 .353 .427 .133 .273 13.3 -6.4 0.7
2004 TOR MLB 582 68 145 25 2 10 61 28 98 6 3 .270 .320 .380 .110 .232 -1.4 -0.3 -0.2
2005 TOR MLB 439 55 107 21 6 8 58 22 82 5 6 .269 .332 .412 .143 .256 7.9 3.1 1.1
2006 TOR MLB 517 86 147 34 2 12 49 33 81 8 2 .319 .390 .479 .161 .284 31.9 1.8 3.3
2007 DUN A+ 14 1 4 1 0 1 1 2 4 0 0 .333 .429 .667 .333 .348 1.8 -0.0 0.2
2007 TOR MLB 307 31 65 13 2 2 14 16 56 4 2 .236 .305 .320 .084 .225 -4.8 0.4 -0.4
2007 SYR AAA 9 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 .375 .444 .375 .000 .262 0.1 0.1 0.0
2008 CHN MLB 374 52 101 21 0 6 50 19 68 5 6 .303 .358 .420 .117 .273 20.7 -0.4 2.0
2009 PEO A 8 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .333 .500 .333 .000 .296 0.7 0.4 0.1
2009 CHN MLB 186 23 42 10 2 4 22 13 27 2 1 .255 .330 .412 .158 .265 6.4 -1.9 0.4
2010 SBR A+ 6 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .667 .167 .565 2.1 0.0 0.2
2010 LAN MLB 215 24 53 11 2 2 15 5 50 2 2 .262 .291 .366 .104 .251 4.1 3.1 0.8
2011 IOW AAA 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 .000 .333 .000 .000 .187 -0.7 0.1 -0.1
2011 CHN MLB 266 33 76 22 1 5 28 5 63 2 1 .309 .348 .467 .159 .291 12.8 -0.9 1.3
2012 ATL MLB 105 7 27 5 0 0 4 3 18 0 1 .270 .305 .320 .050 .242 -0.2 -1.9 -0.2
2012 CHN MLB 183 23 51 9 3 3 16 10 43 2 1 .302 .355 .444 .142 .277 7.8 0.0 0.8
2013 ATL MLB 136 13 30 7 1 1 11 6 32 0 0 .244 .311 .341 .098 .233 -0.4 0.3 -0.0
2014 MIA MLB 201 24 44 15 0 2 25 1 37 0 1 .235 .266 .348 .112 .236 -0.1 -3.0 -0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1365 0.5048 0.4644 0.8057 0.5907 0.3343 0.8771 0.6770 0.1912
2009 627 0.4944 0.5024 0.8286 0.6290 0.3785 0.9385 0.6500 0.1714
2010 689 0.5283 0.5422 0.7802 0.6566 0.4123 0.8703 0.6194 0.2198
2011 984 0.5285 0.5025 0.8036 0.5635 0.4332 0.9283 0.6219 0.1903
2012 1099 0.5305 0.5250 0.7660 0.6312 0.4050 0.8207 0.6699 0.2288
2013 489 0.4928 0.5174 0.7549 0.6266 0.4113 0.8477 0.6176 0.2451
2014 699 0.4721 0.5608 0.7781 0.6394 0.4905 0.8768 0.6630 0.2194
Career59520.51030.51060.79010.6140.40210.87840.65050.207

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-07-29 2013-09-10 15-DL 43 38 Left Lower Leg Inflammation Achilles Tendonitis - -
2011-06-11 2011-06-11 On-Alr 0 0 Head Contusion HBP -
2011-05-26 2011-06-15 15-DL 20 19 Back Spasms -
2010-07-09 2010-08-04 15-DL 26 21 Low Back Spasms -
2009-07-30 2009-09-21 15-DL 53 49 Left Foot Fracture Foul Ball -
2009-06-21 2009-07-06 15-DL 15 15 Low Back Spasms -
2008-06-18 2008-07-03 15-DL 15 14 Low Back Spasms -
2007-04-12 2007-07-06 60-DL 85 76 Low Back Surgery Herniated Disc 2007-04-17
2007-03-01 2007-03-08 Camp 7 0 Low Back Spasms -
2006-09-28 2006-10-01 DTD 3 3 Right Lower Leg Stress Fracture Shin -
2006-02-24 2006-03-12 Camp 16 0 Elbow Soreness -
2002-04-06 2002-06-08 Minors 63 0 Right Wrist - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 MIA $1,000,000
2013 ATL $1,600,000
2012 CHN $1,150,000
2011 CHN $900,000
2010 LAN $800,000
2009 CHN $3,000,000
2008 CHN $1,300,000
2007 TOR $3,075,000
2006 TOR $1,425,000
2005 TOR $342,000
2004 TOR $318,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
10 yrPrevious$13,910,000
2011Current$1,000,000
11 yrPvs + Cur$14,910,000
11 yrTotal$14,910,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
10 y 145 dWasserman Media Group1 year/$1M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Signed by Miami as a free agent 1/31/14 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1M in majors. Contract selected by Miami 3/30/14.
  • 1 year/$1.75M (2013), plus 2014 club option. Re-signed by Atlanta as a free agent 12/6/12. 13:$1.6M, 14:$1.6M club option, $0.15M buyout. May earn additional $0.15M in performance bonuses. Atlanta declined 2014 option 11/4/13.
  • 1 year/$1.15M (2012). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 12/21/11. Acquired by Atlanta in trade from Chicago Cubs 7/31/12.
  • 1 year/$0.9M (2011). Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 1/12/11 (minor-league contract). $0.9M salary in majors. Contract purchased by Chicago Cubs 4/1/11.
  • 1 year/$0.8M (2010). Signed by LA Dodgers as a free agent 2/2/10. $0.25M in performance bonuses.
  • 1 year/$3M (2009). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 12/12/08 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonuses based on starts, PAs.
  • 1 year/$3.275M (2008). Re-signed by Toronto 1/2/08 (avoided arbitration). $0.75M guaranteed. Performance and award bonuses. Released by Toronto 3/25/08. Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 3/25/08 (1 year/$1.3M).
  • 1 year/$3.075M (2007). Re-signed by Toronto 2/07 (avoided arbitration, $3.6M-$2.5M). $0.225M in performance bonuses based on PAs.
  • 1 year/$1.425M (2006). Re-signed 12/05 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.342M (2005)
  • 1 year/$0.318M (2004).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 514 51 139 30 4 4 48 24 105 4 2 .296 .348 .405 .287 25.3 RF 0, CF -3 2.5
80o 492 47 127 27 4 4 44 22 104 4 2 .280 .331 .384 .273 17.6 RF 0, CF -3 1.7
70o 476 44 117 25 3 4 41 21 102 3 2 .269 .318 .368 .262 12.4 RF 0, CF -3 1.1
60o 463 41 110 24 3 3 39 19 101 3 2 .260 .308 .355 .254 8.2 RF 0, CF -3 0.7
50o 450 39 103 22 3 3 37 18 99 3 2 .251 .298 .343 .246 4.5 RF 0, CF -3 0.3
40o 437 37 98 21 3 3 35 17 98 3 2 .242 .288 .331 .238 1.0 RF 0, CF -3 -0.1
30o 424 35 92 20 3 3 33 16 97 3 2 .233 .278 .318 .229 -2.5 RF 0, CF -3 -0.5
20o 408 32 84 18 2 3 31 15 95 2 1 .222 .265 .303 .219 -6.4 RF 0, CF -3 -0.9
10o 386 28 74 16 2 2 28 13 92 2 1 .207 .248 .282 .205 -11.2 RF 0, CF -3 -1.4
Weighted Mean456401072333381910032.255.303.349.2506.3RF 0, CF -30.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
3% 19% 11% 18% 79%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20153825021531111179581.225.270.289.2150.0-1.1-0.2-0.60.4-0.71.1
20194225020501010169620.218.263.273.202-0.6-6.4-0.1-0.84.3-9.91.1
20214425020491010169630.212.260.266.198-0.2-3.0-0.1-0.91.4-3.41.1
20224525020491010169640.210.257.263.196-2.5-24.1-0.1-0.914.9-38.11.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
65.4450.40.520.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 76)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 91 Lee Lacy 1985 .273
2 86 Al Smith 1965 .000 DNP
3 85 Jose Cruz 1985 .282
4 84 Paul O'Neill 2000 .256
5 83 Dave Winfield 1989 .000 DNP
6 83 Hank Bauer 1960 .248
7 83 George Hendrick 1987 .226
8 82 Andre Dawson 1992 .282
9 82 Ben Oglivie 1986 .266
10 81 Randy Winn 2011 .000 DNP
11 80 Minnie Minoso 1963 .234
12 80 Garret Anderson 2009 .243
13 80 Lou Brock 1976 .271
14 79 Carl Furillo 1959 .241
15 79 Lou Piniella 1981 .278
16 79 Brian Jordan 2004 .206
17 78 John Vander Wal 2003 .272
18 78 Matt Stairs 2005 .282
19 78 Bob Watson 1983 .300
20 78 Gary Redus 1994 .210
21 78 Robin Yount 1993 .249
22 77 Gene Woodling 1960 .313
23 77 Lonnie Smith 1993 .308
24 77 David Justice 2003 .000 DNP
25 77 Bobby Bonilla 2000 .266
26 77 Bill Nicholson 1952 .340
27 77 Frank Thomas 1966 .023
28 77 Hal McRae 1983 .295
29 76 Will Clark 2001 .000 DNP
30 76 Dante Bichette 2001 .266
31 76 Bob Elliott 1954 .000 DNP
32 76 Ryne Sandberg 1997 .244
33 76 Dusty Baker 1986 .239
34 76 Bob Cerv 1962 .213
35 76 Ken Griffey 1987 .270
36 76 Don Baylor 1986 .281
37 76 Ken Boyer 1968 .292
38 76 Walker Cooper 1952 .247
39 75 Carlton Fisk 1985 .290
40 75 Ivan Rodriguez 2009 .224
41 75 Gil Hodges 1961 .258
42 75 Monte Irvin 1956 .287
43 75 Ellis Burks 2002 .310
44 75 Al Oliver 1984 .255
45 75 Ron Cey 1985 .254
46 75 Rich Aurilia 2009 .190
47 75 Mickey Vernon 1955 .299
48 75 Jim Rice 1990 .000 DNP
49 75 Fred McGriff 2001 .313
50 75 Fred Lynn 1989 .264
51 75 George Foster 1986 .262
52 75 Elston Howard 1966 .259
53 74 Doug Decinces 1988 .000 DNP
54 74 Pedro Guerrero 1993 .000 DNP
55 74 Larry Walker 2004 .333
56 74 Roberto Clemente 1972 .321
57 74 Duke Snider 1964 .247
58 74 Melvin Mora 2009 .230
59 74 Orlando Cepeda 1975 .000 DNP
60 74 Jim Eisenreich 1996 .315
61 74 Harold Baines 1996 .304
62 74 Jim Hickman 1974 .256
63 74 Paul Molitor 1994 .312
64 74 Ronnie Belliard 2012 .000 DNP
65 74 Brady Anderson 2001 .228
66 74 Enos Slaughter 1953 .312
67 73 Steve Finley 2002 .293
68 73 Jay Bell 2003 .204
69 73 Tom Paciorek 1984 .252
70 73 Milt Thompson 1996 .149
71 73 Cliff Johnson 1985 .275
72 73 Felipe Alou 1972 .280
73 73 Charlie Maxwell 1964 -.195
74 73 Reggie Sanders 2005 .303
75 73 Mike Easler 1988 .000 DNP
76 73 Andy Pafko 1958 .245
77 73 Mark DeRosa 2012 .203
78 73 Cecil Cooper 1987 .240
79 73 Keith Hernandez 1991 .000 DNP
80 73 Craig Biggio 2003 .269
81 73 Jeff Kent 2005 .303
82 73 Davey Lopes 1982 .251
83 73 Dwight Evans 1989 .311
84 73 Sid Gordon 1955 .253
85 73 Juan Beniquez 1987 .235
86 73 Joe Randa 2007 .000 DNP
87 73 Eduardo Perez 2007 .000 DNP
88 73 Jose Valentin 2007 .237
89 72 Chili Davis 1997 .296
90 72 Al Kaline 1972 .314
91 72 Graig Nettles 1982 .263
92 72 Richie Hebner 1985 .211
93 72 Woodie Held 1969 .229
94 72 Mike Stanley 2000 .267
95 72 Matt Williams 2003 .264
96 72 Ron Gant 2002 .283
97 72 Moises Alou 2004 .313
98 72 Jason Michaels 2013 .000 DNP
99 72 Roy Sievers 1964 .225
100 72 Eric Davis 1999 .270

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .304 .344 .421 .263
11 vs R (Multi) .248 .313 .360 .246
18 Split (Multi) -.057 -.031 -.061 -.017
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .291 .328 .345 .218
31 vs R (2013) .206 .299 .338 .236
38 Split (2013) -.085 -.029 -.007 .018
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Acquired to replace Diaz, Johnson stumbled, though the Braves still re-signed him to a one-year deal with a club option for 2014. There are plenty of aspects of Johnson’s game to dislike—for example, that he strikes out too much given his walk rate and power production—but teams love having him around. He can play each outfield spot, though he's a bit stretched in center, and he has a superb clubhouse reputation.
2012 Johnson has been the backup quarterback in Chicago three of the past four years, unduly loved by fans. In 2011, he enhanced his legend, actually hitting right-handed pitching for a change (.312/.361/.468). That he did this on the strength of a .394 overall BABIP (.410 vs. RHP) won't escape the notice of the new regime in Chicago, and there's a good chance Johnson won't return. Regardless of his low earned-to-received love quotient from the fans, Johnson has been a very useful player—he has hit left-handed pitching with authority (.311/.369/.464 for his career), and when his back isn't acting up, he's been a good corner outfielder who can cover center field in a pinch.
2011 On paper, Johnson seemed like an ideal fourth outfielder for the Dodgers, one with the ability to play left field better than Manny Ramirez, crush lefties to cover for Andre Ethier's inability to do the same, and spot in center when necessary, all for the low price of $800,000. Alas, it didn't work out well. A lack of at-bats exacerbated Johnson's hacktastic tendencies, and the lower-back woes that have plagued his career wiped out most of his July; he hit just .213/.250/.333 after the All-Star break. Johnson did hit southpaws (.301/.324/.466) but curled into a fetal position against righties in about equal time. Johnson's versatility has value, as does his ability to hit left-handers, but given averages of .214/.268/.306 against right-handers over the last two seasons, Johnson presents a tool of overly limited application for today's pitching-clogged rosters.
2010 Johnson continued his career-long assault on the sinister, pounding lefties to the tune of .324/.403/.500 last year, but he missed two months with a broken foot, during which time the Cubs grew intimate with cheaper date Sam Fuld, who is younger, faster, and better defensively. Johnson’s got that gritty/gutty thing going for him, what with the high knee socks and wall-banging outfield demeanor, and runs almost well enough to keep from being a major liability in center. A free agent bound for a pay cut, he’ll be some other city’s blue-collar favorite in 2010.
2009 It's a reflection of odd local standards that Johnson was seen as a speed player and a center fielder when the Cubs picked him up. It would have been swell if true, but Johnson's not fast (those eight bags swiped in '06 were a career high), nor can he really play center all that well. Perhaps after the Corey Patterson experience, people were only too quick to play make-believe, but luckily Edmonds landed in their laps. Like Fontenot, if pressed into full-time play Johnson becomes a problem, but he's adequate in a role where he sees lefties more often than not.
2008 A herniated disk in the season's second week ruined Johnson's year. He was vocal about demanding playing time when he returned in July, then backed up his argument by hitting .232/.302/.307 with two steals through the end of season. He's a fourth outfielder, a good one, and should return to that role this year.
2007 Johnson`s BABIP jumped from .321 in 2005 to .367 in 2006, which accounts for almost the all of the increase in his offensive output. Though BABIP doesn`t have the same importance for hitters that it does for pitchers, it can still indicate a lucky season, and Johnson simply hit it where they weren`t more often than he usually does. Johnson`s a perfect fourth outfielder because he plays good defense and his contact-hitting ability lends itself well to pinch hitting, but the impression created by his 2006 campaign is unrealistic. The sooner the Jays give his job to Adam Lind, the better their pennant chances will be.
2006 Though generally considered a platoon player, Johnson hit almost exactly as well against righties (.262/.329/.408) as he did against lefties (.279/.335/.418) last year, mitigating much of the reason he`s in the lineup in the first place. He still plays good defense, but with his offense short of being particularly good in any department, Johnson shouldn`t have a near-everyday role on a team that thinks it`s in contention.
2005 The classic case of a fourth outfielder who plays too much on a bad team. A Catalanotto/Johnson platoon in left field might be a bit above league average—more so if this is one of Cat's .330 years—because Johnson is adequate against lefties. When Johnson and Alexis Rios flank Vernon Wells, the Jays sport a great defensive outfield.

BP Articles

Reed Johnson is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 17, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 16, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-16
The Week in Quotes: September 8-14Chris Mosch2014-09-15
The Week in Quotes: September 8-14Nick Bacarella2014-09-15
The Week in Quotes: September 8-14Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 12, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-12
The Week in Quotes: September 2-8, 2014Nick Bacarella2014-09-09
The Week in Quotes: September 2-8, 2014Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-09-09
The Week in Quotes: September 2-8, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 22Ben Carsley2014-09-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 23Jeff Quinton2014-09-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 22Jeff Quinton2014-08-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 21Jeff Quinton2014-08-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 31, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 29, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 18Jeff Quinton2014-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 13Ben Carsley2014-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wheeler Hooks the FishDaniel Rathman2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wheeler Hooks the FishChris Mosch2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/16Daniel Rathman2014-06-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 10Jeff Quinton2014-06-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftJared Weiss2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftBen Murphy2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftIan Lefkowitz2014-05-29
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The Lineup Card: Ten Late-Offseason Moves That Made a Difference Baseball Prospectus2014-01-22
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2012-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Daniel. Juan Francisco has been tearing it up in the DWL. His power is undeniable. Do you think he is the starting 3B on opening day for the Braves? And if he is, what kind of counting stats can I expect from him?
(Rob from VA)
Thanks for coming, Rob. Francisco's power is definitely real, but his plate discipline and glovework are concerns. I doubt there will be another significant infield addition coming from Frank Wren, so it's down to Francisco and Prado, with Reed Johnson the most likely option in left field if they go with Prado at third. If he gets the everyday nod, I'll throw out a ballpark line of .250 AVG, 22 HR, 70 RBI, 70 R, and a steal or two when the opponent's battery isn't paying attention, but he'll probably be a more valuable fantasy commodity than real-life contributor. (Daniel Rathman)
2011-07-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any ideas as to whom the Cubs might actually move and for what? I think Ramirez is staying and getting a 2-3 year extension.
(Justin from Tinley Park)
Reed Johnson, They'd love to more Soriano, Fukudome. Maybe Ramirez if it's the perfect situation in August. Still like Marlon Byrd could be a nice pickup for a team. $6.5 mil for next year not horrible. Could be better, but...As for the Cubs deals with the devil. Yeah, ownership had say in it. But Hendry can't be divorced from things like multi year deals to John Grabow either (Mike Ferrin)
2011-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Tyler Colvin? He is a very controversial player amongst Cub fans.
(Matt from Chicago)
I think he can be a useful piece, but I wouldn't overexpose him as an every day player. He's never going to have a high OBP, he's always going to strike out a lot, but power is power, especially from the left side. If I'm the Cubs, I carry him as a 4th outfielder (remember, Soriano, Byrd, and Fukudome are all 32 or older) and bench bat, and then also carry a 5th guy who's righty and can play defense, like a Reed Johnson type. (Mike Petriello)
2010-02-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Steve--Wondering if you ever check out nomaas.org, and if you read through their interview with Brian Cashman? Some interesting comments, especially regarding the Randy Winn decision.
(Juanito from Memphis)
I did read it, and it was a very good interview, maybe slightly overscripted (that is, less give and take than might have been ideal), but I don't want to take away from what was a very good get and some very thoughtful questions. Cashman's rationale for signing Winn, that Reed Johnson's injury history disqualified him, that he needed reliability from his reserves, was well stated. I'm still not sure that Winn is the correct choice given that he's sliding down the other side of the mountain, but I can respect the thought process that went into it. (Steven Goldman)
2010-01-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Xavier Nady any kind of positive for the Cubs? Sad that adding a 4th outfielder is possibly the triumphant move of the off-season.
(Leroy Brown from Downtown)
That's if he can stay healthy, a big if, but at least he's potentially an upgrade on Reed Johnson. And the latter part... wasn't that what we could say about signing Marlon Byrd? I suppose there's the loudly trumpeted Pyrrhic victory of making Milton Bradley go away, but Carlos Silva's going to make people miss Al Nipper. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-01-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)I know it's almost obscene to be this angsty over a backup OF, but your thoughts on Randy Winn over Reed Johnson? I don't think some alternatives (Johnson or Baldelli) were explicitly mentioned in your terrific TA piece.
(Eli from Brooklyn)
It's just a couple of million on an initial suggestion for a reserve for a team that probably spends more than that on lunches on the season. Reed Johnson's many things, but just because he shows a bit of leg sartorially, he's not a center fielder, and he doesn't run, walk, or hit for power; when he spanks enough singles against southpaws, he resembles a valuable outfielder, but even then, his career ISO vs. LHPs is .150; he's no Gary Roenicke. Baldelli's someone with fatigue and availability issues. I wouldn't call any of them great choices; landing on Winn at least involves the one who might be healthy and able to be a defensive asset at three positions, and some use as a pinch-runner. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-01-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)John, thanks for the chat. With Hinske departing, what will the Yank's bench look like? If Hairrston and Hoffman are the OF's, is there room there for a lefty masher like a Gomes or Garko as a bat off the bench option? Will they carry Pena and Hairrston or just Hairrston?
(dtisch30 from Philly)
They seem most interested in signing Reed Johnson. Haven't heard them mentioned in regards to Gomes or Garko. (John Perrotto)
2009-12-29 15:00:00 (link to chat)So who would be your Yankee Left Fielder in 2010? Gardner? Freeagent such as Johnson, Nady, or Gomes (please god say no!), Damon? DeRosa? holliday? It seems that with all of their moves they have a pretty gaping hole in their lineup.
(jschmeagol from hyattsville, me)
I like Gardner batting ninth, and then seeing where the season takes you. His SB/SB% and defense in left will carry a .270/.330/.350 line. Reed Johnson would be an excellent fit for the Yankees, assuming they're willing to treat Granderson like the platoon player he is. Of the available second- and third-tier options, he fits the best. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-12-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)At this point, Jason Pridie is the Twins' extra outfielder. If they sign someone, who would be a good fit? I'm hoping it's not Darin Erstad, who has Gardenhire written all over him.
(russadams from Baffin Bay)
I'd be more afraid of Podsednik (on a self-avenging deal aimed at his former employers, a la Joe Crede), or Reed Johnson as a right-handed bat they could use all three outfield positions, and an overly imaginative reputation for speed and value in center. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-12-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)The Padres seem interested in Reed Johnson, and I can't for the life of me figure out why. It seems to me that they should be making serious inquiries on Felix Pie. Would a guy like Correia - just resigned to a reasonable deal for a fourth starter - be enough to get Pie? Too much?
(dcoonce from bloomington indiana)
Pie would be cool, but the last thing the Orioles need is a veteran fourth starter. They already have Jeremy Guthrie, and he might be squeezed out of that rotation by 2011. Reed Johnson's sort of like baseball's answer to apple pie: everybody's supposed to love him. It doesn't matter if you prefer key lime or I preferred pecan (when I could eat pie), everyone's supposed to like the scrappy white guy whose speed is a function of how much sox he shows. No, I don't get it either. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-02-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Christina, I'm a long-time fan of your work but a first-time emailer. Do you see Fukudome bouncing back for the Cubs? I like the idea of his arm in center, if/when Bradley is healthy. Reed Johnson just doesn't do it for me as an everyday CF. Thanks!
(MoJo from Washington, DC)
Hi MoJo, glad for the compliment, so many thanks. Yeah, there's something specifically Cubby cuddly about how Reed Johnson was taken to be a speed guy and a regular center fielder, two things he most obviously is not. I'm less excited about Fukudome in center than resigned to it, because there's nothing else to be done with him. It says something about how nova his star has gone that I think he's got to be the favorite over guys like Johnson and Joey Gathright. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-07-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Edmonds goes down do the Cubs turn to Pie, trade for a CF, or gauge Lofton?
(JMan from Chicago)
I just don't think Lofton's a doable proposition, not simply because he can't play center, but because reports on his expectations for what he should get seem to make the chances of adding him improbable for most teams, not just the Cubs. I'm guessing we see way too much Reed Johnson, with Pie spotting a couple of times per week. And within such a scenario, there would be a very real likelihood that they'd make a waivers deal in August for a veteran outfielder (like Winn or Dave Roberts), but only if that's available to them. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Given that Theriot's performance has likely entrenched him in the starting lineup, and Ronny Cedeno's performance seemingly has him getting the lion-share of middle infield spot starts, what is Mike Fontenot's use now? Does he have any value in a trade? He seems like he could possibly bring the offensive value of Mark Derosa if he got the playing time. Also, what does Rich Hill have to do in order to return to the majors? Change teams?
(mlapointe from chicago)
Fontenot's getting starts at second with DeRosa moving out to left in the positional wheel that Piniella has been employing whenever his roster's Soriano-free, and it works pretty nicely. Add in that it means that he's got a bench player kept sharp with a goodly amount of playing time, and it makes for a better stabbity to go after the opposition with when he's back to pinch-hitting. And if Theriot or Cedeno or DeRosa goes down, it's a happier thing to be the team that still has Fontenot. He'd make for a mediocre regular, and while that might make him wealthy, I think it's more useful to keep him on this roster, especially as the lefty alternative to the righty-hitting Reed Johnson off of the bench.

Hill... it's a gut-wrenching thing to see a guy's control just go away like that. I'd trade for him, but I'm not sure the Cubs can afford to trust him until he gives Iowa a good month or so. It's interesting that Will brought up the Cubs in today's lead article about dealing for Sabathia--I would think that Hill would make a pretty important piece in such a swap, although it would be a bit risky to have both Cliff Lee and Hill in the same rotation. That would be sort of a southpaw roller-coaster ride that would require splatter shielding to protect bystanders. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-05-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rumor has it the Cubs are thinking about moving Fukudome to CF and playing Micah Hoffpaiur in RF against right handers, then shifting Fukudome back over and playing Reed Johnson in CF against southpaws. Don't get me wrong, I like Hoffpaiur, but is this really a better decision than just cutting Jim Edmonds and putting Pie back into the platoon role in CF?
(Rob from Bloomington, IL)
Of course not, although I'd note that Pie is sucking wind down at Iowa. (Nate Silver)
2008-05-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)How does the Cubs signing of Edmonds (with Pie and Murton in the minors) change their HitList ranking going forward? Methinks the offense, particularly with some guys playing over their heads, will slump.
(TomH from soggy southern MD)
I'm starting with a Cubs question because they're the topic of that Sun piece. I'm not a big fan of the Edmonds signing -- to say nothing of the team keeping Pie and Murton in the minors -- but I think its impact on their Hit List position will be negligible. The Cubs have been getting above-average production at every position save for centerfield, so it's not like adding Edmonds' bat can really foul things up. And as bad as the reviews of his defense have been, the numbers say Reed Johnson, who's been getting the bulk of the time out there, has been atrocious (88 Rate2).

The bottom line is that the Cubs will cool down a bit, but they're a team to reckon with. PECOTA had them at 93 wins, the #2 spot in the NL behind the Mets, and the top spot in the NL Central. They've only got a two game cushion in the division but their run differential is by far the best. I don't see anyone else threatening their shot at the postseason. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Why is Reed Johnson starting against a right-hander today?
(Eric J from Norman OK)
Lou loves him, and is just in like with Pie. This will probably end when Johnson's body pushes him to the DL, but for now... (Joe Sheehan)
2008-03-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)How do you think Reed Johnson fits with the Cubs?
(Johnny from Champaign, IL)
For better or for worse, he's actually a better spare part to have in this particular outfield than Matt Murton, but that's because Murton's just not much of an outfielder, and is especially stretched for right, even if Murton has much more offensive up-side. That, plus Johnson's more of a contact hitter, and that tends to get treated with more respect in a reserve role than Murton's more broad-based offensive skills. So, it's a weird proposition, in that Murton's more valuable and someone you'd rather have in the abstract, but in terms of bench-building, Johnson is probably the better bit part. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-03-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)CK, I didn't realize the Cubs signed Reed Johnson until this chat... is it wrong that I'm somewhat giddy about that little piece of depth?
(Rob in WI from Madison)
No, it means you're probably a person after my own heart, and there's nothing wrong with that whatsoever. ;) (Christina Kahrl)
2008-02-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)If Toronto got Bonds would there be a trade market for Reed Johnson or Lyle Overbay, and can Bonds play first?
(dogtothedog from Toronto)
He's never, not once, played first base, and didn't like the idea of learning while in SF.

I can't emphasize this enough: Bonds can play left field. He's below-average out there with a bad arm, but far from the worst in baseball. He also played 120 games a year out there for the Giants. He doesn't have to DH full time; he can play left 60-70 times and DH the rest. (Joe Sheehan)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-10-15 17:00:002009 NLCS Game One (Phillies/Dodgers)In Chicago, the subjects of those arguments are Reed Johnson and Podzilla. (Christina Kahrl)
 

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