Biographical

Portrait of Elian Herrera

Elian Herrera 2BBrewers

Brewers Player Cards | Brewers Team Audit | Brewers Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .246 3 29 19 8 .241 0.3
Birth Date2-1-1985
Height5' 10"
Weight195 lbs
Age29 years, 8 months, 21 days
BatsB
ThrowsR
2010
2011
0.72012
-0.12013
0.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 LAN 27 67 214 187 26 47 10 1 1 62 23 50 2 0 2 17 4 2 .251 .340 .332 .256 6.4 -0.0 0.7
2013 LAN 28 4 8 8 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .132 -0.9 -0.2 -0.1
2014 MIL 29 69 140 135 14 37 7 1 0 46 3 36 0 1 1 5 4 1 .274 .288 .341 .235 0.2 1.3 0.2
Career1403623304086172111026882132283.261.318.333.2455.71.00.7

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2006 DGR Rk 36 137 .243 .245 .322 .331 .247 .361 97 -1.6 2.6 -0.1 3.8 0.6 2.2 0.6 2.2 0.6
2007 GRL A 9 40 .166 .232 .311 .340 .248 .231 92 -3.8 1.1 -0.1 0.6 1.2 -1.7 -0.1 -1.7 -0.1
2007 SBR A+ 11 35 .183 .271 .339 .427 .258 .300 104 -3.1 1.1 0 1.5 -0.2 -2.1 -0.1 -2.1 -0.1
2007 OGD Rk 50 212 .278 .269 .341 .407 .265 .352 102 4.3 6.7 -0.5 2.3 1.2 13.1 1.4 13.1 1.4
2008 SBR A+ 4 6 .132 .250 .298 .400 .252 .333 92 -0.8 0.2 0 0.1 -0.0 -0.8 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1
2008 OGD Rk 33 144 .314 .265 .341 .428 .267 .364 107 9.1 4.6 -0.5 -4.3 0.8 13.7 0.9 13.7 0.9
2009 GRL A 13 42 .202 .256 .333 .379 .258 .323 107 -2.5 1.2 0 -0.3 0.4 -0.8 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1
2009 SBR A+ 99 431 .269 .274 .343 .425 .269 .373 98 4.1 12.5 -2.8 0.3 3.8 21.4 2.2 21.4 2.2
2010 CHT AA 97 365 .266 .264 .338 .396 .265 .315 99 2.5 10.5 -0.2 -2.4 -0.5 13.1 1.1 13.1 1.1
2010 ABQ AAA 25 59 .236 .261 .335 .404 .257 .282 111 -1.6 1.8 -0.2 1.3 -0.2 0.3 0.1 -0.9 0.0
2011 CHT AA 116 449 .255 .263 .335 .400 .252 .367 116 -2.2 13.2 1.6 3.2 6.5 20.2 2.4 20.2 2.4
2011 AGU Wnt 38 151 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .367 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 LAN MLB 67 214 .256 .253 .314 .401 .260 .338 93 -0.9 5.9 -0.2 -0.0 1.6 6.4 0.7 6.4 0.7
2012 ABQ AAA 64 297 .292 .280 .343 .436 .272 .400 115 10.8 8.8 1.3 -5.0 0.3 21.3 1.6 21.3 1.6
2012 AGU Wnt 23 111 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 LAN MLB 4 8 .132 .235 .307 .384 .248 .333 95 -1 0.2 0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1
2013 ABQ AAA 108 476 .254 .266 .336 .409 .268 .330 109 -3.3 13.6 -0.4 2.3 2.7 13.5 1.6 13.5 1.6
2014 MIL MLB 69 140 .235 .249 .310 .376 .258 .370 101 -3.3 3.6 0.1 1.3 -0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
2014 NAS AAA 33 124 .276 .265 .327 .418 .262 .365 92 2.3 3.7 0.1 -2.0 0.5 6.1 0.4 6.1 0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2006 DGR Rk 137 19 36 4 0 1 17 19 17 2 3 .327 .415 .391 .064 .243 2.2 3.8 0.6
2007 GRL A 40 3 6 2 0 0 3 1 10 3 1 .167 .250 .222 .056 .166 -1.7 0.6 -0.1
2007 SBR A+ 35 3 6 2 0 0 4 2 12 1 2 .200 .235 .267 .067 .183 -2.1 1.5 -0.1
2007 OGD Rk 212 28 51 10 3 1 27 25 39 3 3 .282 .379 .387 .105 .278 13.1 2.3 1.4
2008 SBR A+ 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .000 .132 -0.8 0.1 -0.1
2008 OGD Rk 144 28 37 12 1 5 27 16 32 5 0 .298 .385 .532 .234 .314 13.7 -4.3 0.9
2009 GRL A 42 6 10 0 0 0 2 1 9 1 2 .250 .268 .250 .000 .202 -0.8 -0.3 -0.1
2009 SBR A+ 431 64 113 18 5 4 35 35 95 42 5 .290 .352 .393 .103 .269 21.4 0.3 2.2
2010 CHT AA 365 44 77 11 4 2 38 47 71 31 10 .258 .354 .341 .084 .266 13.1 -2.4 1.1
2010 ABQ AAA 59 8 11 0 1 0 8 10 9 1 1 .229 .362 .271 .042 .236 -0.9 1.3 0.0
2011 AGU Wnt 151 25 41 7 2 1 8 15 23 5 3 .311 .383 .417 .106 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 CHT AA 449 69 105 17 6 3 35 58 103 33 11 .278 .370 .378 .101 .255 20.2 3.2 2.4
2012 AGU Wnt 111 13 24 7 0 0 13 13 15 2 2 .255 .343 .330 .074 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 ABQ AAA 297 50 93 20 10 3 40 17 47 11 7 .341 .381 .520 .179 .292 21.3 -5.0 1.6
2012 LAN MLB 214 26 47 10 1 1 17 23 50 4 2 .251 .340 .332 .080 .256 6.4 -0.0 0.7
2013 ABQ AAA 476 69 115 13 1 7 43 48 76 16 3 .282 .367 .370 .088 .254 13.5 2.3 1.6
2013 LAN MLB 8 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .000 .132 -0.9 -0.2 -0.1
2014 NAS AAA 124 21 35 9 2 0 9 8 19 5 1 .304 .350 .417 .113 .276 6.1 -2.0 0.4
2014 MIL MLB 140 14 37 7 1 0 5 3 36 4 1 .274 .288 .341 .067 .235 0.2 1.3 0.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 844 0.5438 0.4496 0.7942 0.6057 0.2623 0.8633 0.6040 0.2058
2013 33 0.5455 0.3939 0.7692 0.6111 0.1333 0.8182 0.5000 0.1538
2014 510 0.5039 0.5216 0.7744 0.6770 0.3636 0.8621 0.6087 0.2218
Career13870.52920.47470.78630.6320.29650.86180.60330.2104

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 MIL $
2013 LAN $
2012 LAN $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 108 d1 year/$0.5M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5M (2014). Re-signed by Milwaukee 3/14.
  • 1 year/$0.4925M (2013). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/13. Claimed by Milwaukee off waivers from LA Dodgers 11/4/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Contract purchased by LA Dodgers 5/14/12.
  • Signed by LA Dodgers 2006 as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 513 62 132 21 4 7 49 46 102 19 7 .294 .361 .410 .283 27.6 2B 1, 3B -2 2.8
80o 491 57 122 20 4 7 45 42 100 18 6 .278 .343 .388 .269 19.9 2B 1, 3B -2 2.0
70o 476 53 113 18 4 6 42 39 99 16 6 .267 .331 .372 .259 14.7 2B 1, 3B -2 1.4
60o 462 50 107 17 4 6 40 37 98 15 5 .257 .320 .358 .251 10.5 2B 1, 3B -2 1.0
50o 450 48 100 16 3 6 38 35 97 15 5 .248 .310 .346 .243 6.8 2B 1, 3B -2 0.6
40o 438 45 94 15 3 5 36 33 96 14 5 .239 .300 .333 .235 3.3 2B 1, 3B -2 0.2
30o 424 42 88 14 3 5 34 30 94 13 4 .230 .289 .320 .226 -0.3 2B 1, 3B -2 -0.2
20o 409 39 81 13 3 4 31 28 92 12 4 .219 .276 .304 .217 -4.2 2B 1, 3B -1 -0.6
10o 387 35 72 12 2 4 28 25 90 10 4 .204 .258 .283 .203 -9.1 2B 1, 3B -1 -1.1
Weighted Mean456491031736393697155.252.314.351.2478.52B 1, 3B -20.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
3% 8% 7% 13% 24%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20153025026538232122558.236.308.320.2390.33.80.71.014.9-12.8-0.8
20163128530619232425668.240.314.326.2410.55.50.71.014.9-11.2-0.9
201732365377011232933879.220.297.300.227-0.4-2.60.81.214.9-19.6-1.2
201833611591141735455514715.210.285.279.221-0.7-4.91.21.914.9-23.0-1.9
201934607611201836485414413.224.298.301.228-0.4-1.40.91.714.9-18.9-1.9
202035600611221837495114211.227.299.310.231-0.2-0.20.61.514.9-17.2-1.9
20213662162122183649531519.221.293.299.226-0.6-3.70.41.414.9-20.5-2.0
20223762663123183750521517.221.292.301.225-0.7-4.20.31.214.9-20.7-2.0
20233862661120173648531546.216.287.289.220-1.0-7.40.31.114.9-23.7-2.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball1.1out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball1.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 77)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 84 Joe Inglett 2007 .552
2 84 Bernie Castro 2009 .000 DNP
3 83 Paco Figueroa 2012 .000 DNP
4 83 Edgar Gonzalez 2007 .000 DNP
5 83 Luis Maza 2009 .000 DNP
6 83 Hernan Iribarren 2013 .000 DNP
7 81 Anderson Hernandez 2012 .000 DNP
8 81 Joe Thurston 2009 .232
9 81 Andrew Beattie 2007 .000 DNP
10 81 Cesar Crespo 2008 .000 DNP
11 81 Alejandro Machado 2011 .000 DNP
12 81 Drew Sutton 2012 .253
13 80 Sergio Garcia 2009 .000 DNP
14 80 Andy Green 2007 .000 DNP
15 79 Drew Meyer 2011 .000 DNP
16 79 Jemel Spearman 2010 .000 DNP
17 78 Luis Bolivar 2010 .000 DNP
18 78 Brian Barden 2010 .187
19 78 Jesus Merchan 2010 .000 DNP
20 78 Glenn Williams 2007 .000 DNP
21 78 Andy Cannizaro 2008 .016
22 78 Nathan Haynes 2009 .000 DNP
23 77 Steve Tolleson 2013 .000 DNP
24 77 Ivan Ochoa 2012 .000 DNP
25 77 Tommy Manzella 2012 .000 DNP
26 77 Michael Martinez 2012 .169
27 77 Esteban German 2007 .253
28 77 Chris Denorfia 2010 .299
29 76 Ed Lucas 2011 .000 DNP
30 76 Will Rhymes 2012 .226
31 76 Anthony Seratelli 2012 .000 DNP
32 76 Mike Rouse 2009 .000 DNP
33 76 Chris Roberson 2009 .000 DNP
34 76 Tomas De La Rosa 2007 .000 DNP
35 76 Kenny Kelly 2008 .000 DNP
36 76 Doug Bernier 2009 .000 DNP
37 76 Ruben Gotay 2012 .000 DNP
38 76 Charles Thomas 2008 .000 DNP
39 76 Jason Bourgeois 2011 .246
40 76 Kory Casto 2011 .000 DNP
41 76 Daniel Ortmeier 2010 .000 DNP
42 76 Rich Thompson 2008 .000 DNP
43 76 Jason Ellison 2007 .211
44 76 Chris Basak 2008 .000 DNP
45 75 Buck Coats 2011 .000 DNP
46 75 Josh Rabe 2008 .000 DNP
47 75 Robert Andino 2013 .186
48 75 Jose Constanza 2013 .178
49 75 Rashad Eldridge 2011 .000 DNP
50 75 John Gall 2007 .063
51 75 Ryan Klosterman 2011 .000 DNP
52 75 Jason Alfaro 2007 .000 DNP
53 75 Matt Tolbert 2011 .189
54 75 Darnell McDonald 2008 .000 DNP
55 75 Justin Christian 2009 .000 DNP
56 75 Russ Adams 2010 .000 DNP
57 75 Tommy Murphy 2009 .000 DNP
58 75 Ronnie Merrill 2008 .000 DNP
59 75 Diory Hernandez 2013 .000 DNP
60 75 Jeff Salazar 2010 .000 DNP
61 75 Josh Labandeira 2008 .000 DNP
62 75 Kevin Thompson 2009 .000 DNP
63 75 Jerry Owens 2010 .000 DNP
64 75 Luke Allen 2008 .000 DNP
65 75 Brian Dinkelman 2013 .000 DNP
66 75 Ray Olmedo 2010 .000 DNP
67 75 Neil Sellers 2011 .000 DNP
68 75 Mike Vento 2007 .000 DNP
69 75 Adam Shabala 2007 .000 DNP
70 75 T.J. Bohn 2009 .000 DNP
71 75 Gookie Dawkins 2008 .000 DNP
72 75 Mike McCoy 2010 .193
73 75 Ryan Roberts 2010 .212
74 75 Kevin Howard 2010 .000 DNP
75 75 Callix Crabbe 2012 .000 DNP
76 75 Eric Bruntlett 2007 .230
77 74 Craig Gentry 2013 .293
78 74 Adam Stern 2009 .000 DNP
79 74 Fernando Perez 2012 .000 DNP
80 74 Jeff Duncan 2008 .000 DNP
81 74 Kevin Reese 2007 .000 DNP
82 74 Casey Benjamin 2010 .000 DNP
83 74 Ryan Rohlinger 2013 .000 DNP
84 74 Victor Mendez 2009 .000 DNP
85 74 Omar Quintanilla 2011 .109
86 74 Elliot Johnson 2013 .208
87 74 Craig Stansberry 2011 .000 DNP
88 74 Jeff Bannon 2009 .000 DNP
89 74 Blake Davis 2013 .000 DNP
90 74 Skyler Stromsmoe 2013 .000 DNP
91 74 Chris Aguila 2008 .160
92 73 Juan Ciriaco 2013 .000 DNP
93 73 Rico Washington 2007 .000 DNP
94 73 Ben Copeland 2013 .000 DNP
95 73 Tommy Watkins 2009 .000 DNP
96 73 Josh Barfield 2012 .000 DNP
97 73 Drew T Anderson 2010 .000 DNP
98 73 Matt Miller 2012 .000 DNP
99 73 Todd Donovan 2008 .000 DNP
100 73 Anthony Jackson 2013 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .270 .341 .405 .297
11 vs R (Multi) .240 .329 .279 .217
18 Split (Multi) -.030 -.013 -.126 -.080
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.007 .000 .004 .002
30 vs L (2013) .333 .333 .333 .253
31 vs R (2013) .200 .200 .200 .056
38 Split (2013) -.133 -.133 -.133 -.197
39 LgAvg (2013) -.008 -.001 .005 .003

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2003, Herrera toiled in the minors for nine years without landing on the major-league radar, but versatility, a hot start at Albuquerque and Mark Ellis's injury propelled him to the Dodgers in mid-May. He started hot (.305/.407/.390 in 124 PA through June 17) before pitchers caught up to him, but hit .183/.247/.256 the rest of the way while bouncing around the diamond and back to Triple-A a couple of times. Decent on-base skills—particularly against lefties—and the ability to play second, third, and all three outfield positions with competence make him a reasonable choice as a utilityman, though redundant in the presence of Hairston.

BP Articles

Elian Herrera is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Pebble Hunting: You Lie!Sam Miller2014-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 4, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Five Hours and CountingChris Mosch2014-06-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week NineBret Sayre2014-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week NineMike Gianella2014-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Ben Revere's RideChris Mosch2014-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 26, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 26, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 21, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-21
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 11, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-11
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 8th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-08
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 1, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-01
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Dearth of Infield DepthWill Woods2013-03-22
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: A Pain in the ArmDaniel Rathman2013-03-01
Resident Fantasy Genius: A Summer Success StoryDerek Carty2012-08-16
Overthinking It: Measuring the Movement at This Year's DeadlineBen Lindbergh2012-08-07
What You Need to Know: Monday, July 30Daniel Rathman2012-07-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Getting Aggressive With 10 Weeks To GoDerek Carty2012-07-23
What You Need to Know: Friday, June 22Daniel Rathman2012-06-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: First, Third, and DH for 6/12/12Michael Street2012-06-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Adding Injury to InjuriesDerek Carty2012-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Alex CastellanosKevin Goldstein2012-05-31


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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