Biographical

Portrait of Jeremy Hellickson

Jeremy Hellickson PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
79.3 4.21 1.25 66 5 5 0 0.6
Birth Date4-8-1987
Height6' 1"
Weight190 lbs
Age29 years, 2 months, 23 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.12012
3.22013
0.72014
1.42015
2.12016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2010 TBA MLB 10 4 36.3 32 8 33 5 .256 107 7.9 2.0 1.2 8.2 38% .267 .230 1.10 3.85 3.47 88 3.39 0.7
2011 TBA MLB 29 29 189.0 146 72 117 21 .262 99 7.0 3.4 1.0 5.6 36% .223 .233 1.15 4.47 2.95 105 3.23 4.1
2012 TBA MLB 31 31 177.0 163 59 124 25 .262 94 8.3 3.0 1.3 6.3 43% .262 .261 1.25 4.55 3.10 115 4.63 1.1
2013 TBA MLB 32 31 174.0 185 50 135 24 .268 95 9.6 2.6 1.2 7.0 41% .307 .281 1.35 4.25 5.17 104 3.44 3.2
2014 TBA MLB 13 13 63.7 71 21 54 8 .267 96 10.0 3.0 1.1 7.6 38% .321 .289 1.45 4.18 4.52 104 3.98 0.7
2015 ARI MLB 27 27 146.0 151 43 121 22 .259 99 9.3 2.7 1.4 7.5 45% .291 .283 1.33 4.47 4.62 107 4.29 1.4
2016 PHI MLB 16 16 93.7 91 24 84 16 .272 98 8.7 2.3 1.5 8.1 45% .288 .280 1.23 4.49 4.23 101 3.98 1.5
CareerMLB158151879.7839277668121.264978.62.81.26.841%.275.2661.274.403.971063.8712.7

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2010 TBA MLB 10 4 36.3 32 8 33 5 .256 107 7.9 2.0 1.2 8.2 38% .267 .230 1.10 3.85 3.47
2011 TBA MLB 29 29 189.0 146 72 117 21 .262 99 7.0 3.4 1.0 5.6 36% .223 .233 1.15 4.47 2.95
2012 TBA MLB 31 31 177.0 163 59 124 25 .262 94 8.3 3.0 1.3 6.3 43% .262 .261 1.25 4.55 3.10
2013 TBA MLB 32 31 174.0 185 50 135 24 .268 95 9.6 2.6 1.2 7.0 41% .307 .281 1.35 4.25 5.17
2014 TBA MLB 13 13 63.7 71 21 54 8 .267 96 10.0 3.0 1.1 7.6 38% .321 .289 1.45 4.18 4.52
2014 PCH A+ 2 2 8.0 9 2 6 0 .250 100 10.1 2.2 0.0 6.8 27% .346 .256 1.38 2.64 2.25
2014 MNT AA 1 1 6.0 5 0 11 0 .250 101 7.5 0.0 0.0 16.5 36% .455 .215 0.83 -0.48 1.50
2014 DUR AAA 5 5 18.7 38 5 16 1 .255 107 18.3 2.4 0.5 7.7 41% .493 .321 2.30 3.46 7.23
2015 ARI MLB 27 27 146.0 151 43 121 22 .259 99 9.3 2.7 1.4 7.5 45% .291 .283 1.33 4.47 4.62
2015 RNO AAA 1 1 6.0 6 1 4 0 .276 122 9.0 1.5 0.0 6.0 58% .316 .220 1.17 2.77 4.50
2016 PHI MLB 16 16 93.7 91 24 84 16 .272 98 8.7 2.3 1.5 8.1 45% .288 .280 1.23 4.49 4.23

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 580 0.5121 0.4759 0.7246 0.6465 0.2968 0.7813 0.5952 0.2754
2011 2673 0.4923 0.4609 0.7727 0.6360 0.2911 0.8351 0.6405 0.2273
2012 2981 0.4270 0.4488 0.7885 0.6379 0.3080 0.8732 0.6578 0.2115
2013 2885 0.4520 0.4575 0.7682 0.6495 0.2992 0.8406 0.6385 0.2318
2014 1175 0.4451 0.4468 0.7676 0.6023 0.3221 0.8540 0.6381 0.2324
2015 2446 0.4350 0.4710 0.7630 0.6541 0.3300 0.8592 0.6162 0.2370
2016 1482 0.4163 0.4615 0.7354 0.6143 0.3526 0.8522 0.5902 0.2646
Career142220.44960.45890.76720.63760.31220.84950.63230.2328

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-21 2014-07-07 15-DL 108 91 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Loose Bodies 2014-01-30 -
2014-01-30 2014-01-30 Off 0 0 Right Elbow Surgery Loose Bodies 2014-01-30 -
2013-04-15 2013-04-15 DTD 0 0 - General Medical Illness - -
2012-06-30 2012-06-30 DTD 0 0 Right Lower Leg Contusion Shin From Batted Ball - -
2012-06-15 2012-06-30 15-DL 15 14 Right Shoulder Fatigue - -
2011-03-16 2011-03-16 Camp 0 0 Right Fingers Blister Ring Finger -
2011-02-17 2011-03-11 Camp 22 0 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2009-05-06 2009-06-22 Minors 47 0 Right Shoulder Strain Rotator Cuff -
2009-04-25 2009-04-25 Minors 0 0 Left Ankle Sprain Mild -
2007-04-05 2007-04-24 Minors 19 0 Right Arm Soreness -
2004-07-15 2004-07-15 HS 0 0 Right Elbow Fracture Growth Plate -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 PHI $7,000,000
2015 ARI $4,275,000
2014 TBA $3,625,000
2013 TBA $503,000
2012 TBA $489,500
2011 TBA $418,400
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$9,310,900
2011Current$7,000,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$16,310,900
6 yrTotal$16,310,900

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 45 dBoras Corp.1 year/$7M (2016)

Details
  • 1 year/$7M (2016). Signed by Philadelphia 1/15/16 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$4.275M (2015). Signed by Arizona 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Philadelphia in trade from Arizona 11/14/15.
  • 1 year/$3.625M (2014). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonus: $25,000 for 195 innings pitched. Acquired by Arizona in trade from Tampa Bay 11/14/14.
  • 1 year/$0.503M (2013). Renewed by Tampa Bay 3/2/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4895M (2012). Renewed by Tampa Bay 3/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.4184M (2011). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 2/27/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Contract purchased by Tampa Bay 11/20/09. Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/3/10.
  • Drafted by Tampa Bay 2005 (4-118) (Hoover HS, Des Moines). $0.5M signing bonus.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 8.6 9.1 0 30 30 167.8 129 39 140 17 .260 1.00 2.74 2.98 40.7 4.4
80o 8.4 9.6 0 30 30 161.6 131 40 135 17 .271 1.06 3.05 3.32 34.7 3.8
70o 8.1 10 0 30 30 157.2 133 41 131 18 .279 1.10 3.28 3.57 30.4 3.3
60o 8 10.3 0 30 30 153.4 134 41 128 18 .286 1.14 3.48 3.78 26.9 2.9
50o 7.8 10.5 0 30 30 150.0 135 41 126 18 .292 1.17 3.66 3.98 23.6 2.6
40o 7.6 10.8 0 30 30 146.6 136 42 123 18 .298 1.21 3.85 4.19 20.1 2.2
30o 7.4 11.2 0 30 30 143.0 136 42 120 18 .305 1.25 4.05 4.4 16.7 1.8
20o 7.2 11.5 0 30 30 138.8 137 42 116 18 .313 1.29 4.29 4.66 12.6 1.4
10o 6.9 12.1 0 30 30 133.1 138 42 112 18 .324 1.36 4.62 5.03 7.0 0.8
Weighted Mean7.810.503030149.91344112518.2911.173.653.9723.72.6

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 7/1/2016 09:43 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 4.2 5.3 0 15 15 94.5 77 23 78 10 .254 1.07 3.29 3.4 13.8 1.5
80o 4.1 5.5 0 15 15 89.2 77 23 74 10 .264 1.13 3.60 3.74 10.8 1.2
70o 4 5.7 0 15 15 85.5 77 23 71 10 .272 1.17 3.83 3.98 8.7 0.9
60o 3.9 5.9 0 15 15 82.4 77 23 68 10 .278 1.21 4.02 4.19 6.9 0.7
50o 3.8 6 0 15 15 79.5 76 23 66 10 .284 1.25 4.21 4.38 5.2 0.6
40o 3.7 6.2 0 15 15 76.7 76 23 64 10 .290 1.29 4.39 4.58 3.5 0.4
30o 3.6 6.4 0 15 15 73.7 75 23 61 10 .297 1.33 4.59 4.8 1.6 0.2
20o 3.5 6.6 0 15 15 70.2 74 22 58 10 .305 1.38 4.83 5.05 -0.6 -0.1
10o 3.4 6.9 0 15 15 65.6 73 22 54 10 .315 1.45 5.16 5.41 -3.7 -0.4
Weighted Mean3.860151579.376236610.2831.244.194.375.30.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
23% 47% 15% 8% 97%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017308902626158143441291943.2911.194.134.598.22.57.41.11.1
2018318902828173154491432043.2891.174.054.508.02.57.41.01.3
2019328902727161144441332043.2891.174.084.548.02.57.41.11.2
2020337802424141124381151843.2841.154.134.597.92.47.31.11.0
2021346702121126115341021643.2921.194.164.628.22.47.31.10.8
202235560191910910131891443.2941.214.164.628.32.67.31.20.7
2023365601717999028811243.2921.194.144.608.22.57.41.10.7
20243756018181089930891443.2931.194.134.598.22.57.41.20.8
2025385501515908325731143.2941.204.164.628.32.57.31.10.6

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20173091003030191177501592743.2941.194.244.728.32.47.51.31.1
201831101103232209190571762843.2921.184.234.708.22.57.61.21.2
20193291003030190174491602743.2921.174.244.728.22.37.61.31.1
20203381002828167149421372443.2851.154.284.768.02.37.41.30.9
20213491002828170157421412443.2951.174.244.728.32.27.51.31.0
20223591003030188179481532743.3001.214.324.808.62.37.31.30.9
2023368902626156143381312243.2941.164.194.668.22.27.51.31.0
202437670191911110328951643.2971.184.274.758.42.37.71.30.6
2025388802525147137351301943.3051.173.984.428.42.18.01.21.3

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
29.529.913.317.312.910.5103

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
201529.529.913.317.312.910.5103

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 86)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Gil Meche 2008 4.19
2 92 Homer Bailey 2015 5.56
3 92 Adam Eaton 2007 6.51
4 91 Jeff Francis 2010 5.26
5 91 Kyle Lohse 2008 3.96
6 91 Sidney Ponson 2006 6.56
7 90 Luke Hochevar 2013 1.92
8 90 Randy Wolf 2006 5.88
9 90 Joel Pineiro 2008 5.39
10 89 Craig Swan 1980 4.14
11 89 Edwin Jackson 2013 5.65
12 89 Denny Neagle 1998 3.89
13 89 Vicente Padilla 2007 6.58
14 89 Nelson Briles 1973 3.58
15 89 John Tudor 1983 4.54
16 89 Livan Hernandez 2004 3.71
17 88 Mike Moore 1989 3.05
18 88 Chuck Porter 1984 4.20
19 88 John Danks 2014 4.93
20 88 Brad Penny 2007 3.25
21 88 Ryan Dempster 2006 5.64
22 88 Ian Kennedy 2014 3.81
23 88 Jason Hammel 2012 3.66
24 88 Cliff Lee 2008 2.74
25 87 Chad Billingsley 2014 0.00 DNP
26 87 Aaron Harang 2007 3.85
27 87 Larry Christenson 1983 4.66
28 87 Steve Carlton 1974 3.65
29 87 Carl Pavano 2005 5.94
30 87 Milt Pappas 1968 3.99
31 87 Wei-Yin Chen 2015 3.67
32 87 Rodrigo Lopez 2005 5.42
33 86 Nate Robertson 2007 4.96
34 86 Johnny Podres 1962 4.27 DNP
35 86 Ervin Santana 2012 5.46
36 86 Mike Witt 1990 4.77
37 86 Erik Hiljus 2002 6.90
38 86 Moose Haas 1985 4.73
39 86 Jason Jennings 2008 8.89
40 86 Don Drysdale 1966 3.75
41 86 Ron Reed 1972 4.61
42 86 Mark Redman 2003 3.87
43 86 Gene Conley 1960 4.17
44 86 John Candelaria 1983 3.32
45 86 Larry McWilliams 1983 3.74
46 86 Chris Short 1967 2.44
47 85 Tom Gorzelanny 2012 3.38
48 85 Pat Dobson 1971 3.32
49 85 Boof Bonser 2011 0.00 DNP
50 85 Paul Maholm 2011 3.99
51 85 Wandy Rodriguez 2008 4.26
52 85 Jeremy Bonderman 2012 0.00 DNP
53 85 Juan Pizarro 1966 4.97
54 85 Yovani Gallardo 2015 3.71
55 85 Jim Wright 1980 0.00 DNP
56 85 Saul Rogovin 1953 5.56
57 85 Mike Maroth 2007 7.97
58 85 Joe Hesketh 1988 3.59
59 85 Joe Blanton 2010 5.33
60 85 Kevin Correia 2010 5.52
61 85 Pedro Ramos 1964 4.95
62 85 John Patterson 2007 7.18
63 85 Dick Donovan 1957 3.10
64 85 Rick Sutcliffe 1985 3.53
65 85 Jeff Weaver 2006 6.12
66 85 Shawn Hill 2010 3.48
67 85 Mike Flanagan 1981 4.27
68 85 Don Elston 1958 3.24
69 85 Dave Bush 2009 6.61
70 84 Ken Holtzman 1975 3.68 DNP
71 84 Catfish Hunter 1975 2.94 DNP
72 84 Ted Lilly 2005 5.63
73 84 Dillon Gee 2015 6.58
74 84 Esteban Loaiza 2001 5.31
75 84 Andy Benes 1997 3.25
76 84 Carl Erskine 1956 4.44
77 84 Bud Black 1986 3.57
78 84 Alex Fernandez 1999 3.83
79 84 Duke Maas 1958 4.12
80 84 Paul Minner 1953 5.10
81 84 Anibal Sanchez 2013 2.77
82 84 Scott Baker 2011 3.34
83 84 Odalis Perez 2007 5.83
84 84 Jose Deleon 1990 4.73
85 84 Sterling Hitchcock 2000 5.21
86 84 Bill Wegman 1992 3.58
87 84 Pedro Astacio 1998 6.88
88 84 Roger Nelson 1973 4.12
89 84 Jack Harshman 1957 4.64
90 84 Mickey Lolich 1970 4.13
91 84 Gary Glover 2006 0.00 DNP
92 84 John Smiley 1994 4.48
93 84 Ken Forsch 1976 2.25
94 83 Frank Tanana 1983 3.95
95 83 Kyle Kendrick 2014 4.88
96 83 Mark Gardner 1991 4.17
97 83 Bob Welch 1986 3.63
98 83 Kelly Downs 1990 3.71
99 83 Joe Gibbon 1964 4.12
100 83 Terry Mulholland 1992 3.97

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .259 .319 .429 .272
11 vs R (Multi) .266 .320 .461 .285
18 Split (Multi) -.007 -.001 -.032 -.012
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .273 .336 .455 .285
31 vs R (2015) .257 .306 .468 .282
38 Split (2015) .016 .030 -.014 .003
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 In 2011, Jeremy Hellickson had a 2.95 ERA and won the Rookie of the Year Award. In 2015, he got beat to a 4.62 ERA and won a free breakfast burrito wrap from Taco Bell. His FIP both years was 4.47.

Hellickson's first (and only) year in the desert generated two odd, simultaneous extremes, with career-high marks in homers per nine and groundball rates. Some 44 percent of all hits he allowed were for extra bases. He simply doesn't have the stuff, or the dottable command, to work in the strike zone without getting spun around. When Hellickson was ahead in the count, batters hit .183/.185/.301. When Hellickson was behind, they hit .343/.481/.639. Everybody's better when they're ahead in the count, but for Hellickson the split is extreme: He's one of the league's best pitchers in the one situation and one of the league's worst in the other. What's clear, and disappointing, is this: He's not one of the league's best pitchers.

2015 Bone spurs discovered in his right elbow wiped out the first half of the season for Hellickson. When he returned, he was inconsistent at best and struggled with pitch efficiency. When he is on, the former Rookie of the Year blends a low-90s fastball with a low-80s changeup and a curveball in the mid-70s. The change of speeds keeps hitters off-balance, resulting in weak aerial contact. At his worst, he loses command, leaving pitches up in the zone and over the fence. (The shift from Tampa Bay to Arizona isn't going to help on this front.) The secondary offerings—particularly the changeup—are very effective, but are often negated by a poor performance from the fastball. The crux of those issues seems to be poor command to his glove side. Still, Hellickson is on the right side of 30 with two years of team control remaining, which is why the Diamondbacks gave up a couple of prospects of moderate value to acquire him.
2014 Hellickson became the poster boy for regression following two years in which his runs-allowed stats outperformed his core components. Those rates were much better last season but the runs piled up in bunches. Many were comfortable writing off 2013 as haunted by luck dragons and the strand man, but two tangible demons were actually behind the perceived bad fortune: selection and location. Hellickson's fastball is average, but also the most important piece of his arsenal. A well-commanded heater allows his plus changeup and solid curveball to play up even more. Far too often last season he left pitches out over the plate and used his arsenal out of sequence. These flaws are correctable and do not require lucky charms.
2013 Hellickson followed up his Rookie of the Year 2011 with a similar 2012. In both seasons he led all pitchers in undershooting his SIERA projection, prompting a Fangraphs columnist to throw up his hands and complain that "his underlying metrics offer no hints whatsoever as to how the heck he has done what he has." Hellickson's extreme infield-popup tendencies in 2011 regressed in 2012, the Rays defense was worse, and his slightly higher strikeout rate didn't make up the difference. So how'd he do it? Here's a hint: Hellickson's 82.7 percent strand rate led major-league starters. That may not have been a fluke: His LOB percentage placed second in 2011. Closer scrutiny suggests that Hellickson’s mechanics improve when he pitches from the stretch. If his strand rate stays high in 2013, we may have to stop calling him lucky and accept Hellickson as a clutch pitcher and therefore a legitimate statistical outlier.  
2012 The Rays cleared the rotation spot for him by trading away Matt Garza, and Hellickson did not disappoint, parlaying solid surface stats into the American League Rookie of the Year award. Despite a stellar ERA, his skills were a bit of a disappointment: his walk rate was 3.4 (per nine innings) and his strikeout rate was below 6.0. Hellickson had a significant gap between his ERA and FIP (1.52 runs) in part due to two factors. Normally, doom is forecast for any pitcher with a low strikeout rate, high fly-ball rate, and fortunate BABIP. But 25 percent of Hellickson's fly balls never left the infield, and the Rays' team BABIP was .265 in 2011, leading all of baseball for the third time in four seasons. Hellickson's chances of repeating this level of success with his current skills are slim, and he must improve against left-handed batters, but keep on an eye on whether his infield flies are a legitimate skill or a one-time wonder.
2011 Hellickson was left to languish in the International League well after the point when organizations with less pitching depth would have added him to their rotations. Fortunately, he used his time well, adding a two-seamer and a cut fastball to an arsenal that already included a four-seamer that can touch 95 and a changeup that's considered his best pitch. He showed outstanding command, missed bats, and got ground balls, and when the injury bug bit the Rays' rotation in August, he impressed in a four-start audition (2.05 ERA, 25/4 K/BB in 26.1 IP). Concerns about his innings total forced him to the bullpen in September, where he was knocked around. The Rays will have to make a move to open a rotation spot for Hellickson, and it's likely that they'll do that while shedding one of their more expensive starters.
2010 Hellickson is the next top prospect headed for the Rays' rotation, following David Price and Wade Davis, and some scouts prefer him to the latter after a breakout 2009. Despite losing seven weeks to an early-season shoulder sprain, Hellickson rebounded from a mediocre late-'08 showing, dominating hitters at both Double- and Triple-A thanks to improved command of both his 90-93 mph fastball and a late-fading change-up. He generated the second-highest rate of swings and misses in the International League, and drew raves for his ability to mix his pitches. Just as importantly, the consistency with which he worked down in the zone helped pare his home run rate. The Rays have no opening in their rotation at the moment, but Hellickson could see time there in 2010 if the injury bug bites.
2009 Hellickson has exemplary command of very good stuff, including a 91-94 mph fastball, a strong curveball, and a deceptive change, but he can be accused of throwing too many strikes. Just 20 walks in 152 innings is nice and all, but at some point you have to throw a chase pitch. Unless you're a scientist ala Greg Maddux, hitters are going to hit you when they know that whatever you throw will be in the zone. It's hard to force a guy to throw fewer strikes—it goes against everything a pitcher is usually told—but it will be the key between Hellickson ending up in the back of someone's rotation or as just an unsolvable riddle.
2008 Hellickson took an extra year to make his full-season debut, as his home state of Iowa isn't exactly known for producing polished talent, but he turned out to be just that in 2007, showing outstanding command and control of a low-90s fastball that is currently his bread and butter pitch (both his curveball and changeup are more usable than good). Between that and his size, it's hard to see future stardom in him, but only an injury will keep him from getting to the big leagues.
2007 For the second year in a row, a Devil Ray led the NY-Penn League in strikeouts. This year it was Jeremy Hellickson, who had notably good command as well. Unfortunately, he had neither the size nor stuff of Wade Davis, who preceded him.

BP Articles

Jeremy Hellickson is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 12Greg Wellemeyer2016-06-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week NineGreg Wellemeyer2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week NineJ.J. Jansons2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week NineGeorge Bissell2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessUpdating the Tiers: Starting PitchersMike Gianella2016-05-25
What You Need to Know: You Could Wake Up Tomorrow to the Phillies in First PlaceDemetrius Bell2016-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessThe View From Behind The Backstop: We Do Write About 3s (A Lot)Jeffrey Paternostro2016-05-09
What You Need to Know: Nomar Mazara Makes Five Of Us Look SmartDaniel Rathman2016-05-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week FiveGreg Wellemeyer2016-04-29
Expert FAAB Review: Week TwoMike Gianella2016-04-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week TwoGreg Wellemeyer2016-04-08
Prospectus Feature: Something Like A Hit List!Matt Sussman2016-04-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Endgame TargetsBret Sayre2016-03-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPlaying Time Battles: National League EastGreg Wellemeyer2016-03-23
Winter Is Leaving: Philadelphia PhilliesMichael Baumann2016-03-14
Pebble Hunting: What It Means To Have The Best Farm System In Baseball, Part 4Sam Miller2016-03-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2016-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: Starting Pitchers on the Ocean's FloorWilson Karaman2016-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Adjuster: Starting PitchersWilson Karaman2016-02-26
Winter Is Leaving: Tampa Bay RaysBryan Grosnick2016-02-23
Fifth Column: PECOTA Picks Philies to Win NL EastMichael Baumann2016-02-23
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Winter League RisersMark Anderson2016-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of December 16-17Wilson Karaman2015-12-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Appel RevisionChristopher Crawford2015-12-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Appel RevisionRian Watt2015-12-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Polo!R.J. Anderson2015-11-16
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Polo!Christopher Crawford2015-11-16
Rumor Roundup: Is Yovani Gallardo Worth the 13th Pick?Daniel Rathman2015-11-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of November 13-15Mark Anderson2015-11-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Player Valuation: A Practical ApplicationMike Gianella2015-11-05
Expert League Recap: Tout Wars NLMike Gianella2015-10-05
Expert FAAB Review: Week 26Mike Gianella2015-09-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 21Keith Cromer2015-08-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 21J.J. Jansons2015-08-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWeekly Wrap: August 14, 2015Craig Goldstein2015-08-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 20Wilson Karaman2015-08-14
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Expert FAAB Review: Week 19Mike Gianella2015-08-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Sixty Percent of a Red Sox RotationAndrew Koo2014-12-15
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This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Tampa Bay Rays Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-12-03
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Transaction Analysis: Maddon Leaves the Rays Where the Sun Don't ShineR.J. Anderson2014-10-27
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 2, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: 13th EditionBret Sayre2014-07-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Spring FlingsR.J. Anderson2014-03-07
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Pebble Hunting: The Best GIFs of the 2014 Baseball SeasonSam Miller2014-03-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
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The Week in Quotes: February 10-16Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-02-17
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The Week in Quotes: January 13-20Morris Greenberg2014-01-21
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: What is a Minor League Pick Worth?Mike Gianella2014-01-06
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Four Preview: Cardinals at DodgersBret Sayre2013-10-15
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Searching for Strikeouts: Postseason Rookie StartersBen Carsley2013-10-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 28, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 25Mike Gianella2013-09-19
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25Paul Sporer2013-09-13
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part OneMike Gianella2013-09-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Pittsburgh Pirates: No Longer a Losing TeamDaniel Rathman2013-09-04
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Fantasy Beat: Weekly #streameroftheday UpdateBret Sayre2013-06-01
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Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 4/12Ben Lindbergh2013-04-12
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Legit ContendersAdam Sobsey2013-03-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Other Pitcher the Royals GotR.J. Anderson2013-02-26
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BP Unfiltered: Which WAR(P) Are You? Sam Miller2012-12-14
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On the Beat: AL Shopping ListsJohn Perrotto2012-11-21
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Overthinking It: What Happens When Starters Get SickBen Lindbergh2012-08-10
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 15Larry Granillo2011-06-16
Prospectus Hit List: AL: The Colon Train Chugs AlongTommy Bennett2011-06-06
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #8Craig Brown2011-05-20
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Prospectus Hit List: It's 1998 All Over AgainTommy Bennett2011-05-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: The Road to Hellickson Is Paved With Good IntentionsMarc Normandin2011-04-18
BP Unfiltered: Pitching ABCs with Wade DavisDavid Laurila2011-04-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #2Craig Brown2011-04-08
Future Shock Blog: Top 101 Cheat SheetKevin Goldstein2011-04-07
BP Unfiltered: For Amusement Only 4/6John Perrotto2011-04-06
Pre-Season Predictions: Staff Picks for 2011Baseball Prospectus2011-03-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Down the Rabbit HoleMarc Normandin2011-03-30
Prospectus Hit List: AL Pre-Season Hit ListTommy Bennett2011-03-28
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Fantasy Beat: BP Scoresheet Early Draft PrepRob McQuown2011-02-07
Transaction Analysis: The PunishedChristina Kahrl2011-01-25
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-10-19 19:00:00 (link to chat)In your Tout Wars season. If you made 1 draft mistake, what was it? And if you made 1 in season mistake, what was it?
(JoelNick11 from Indiana)
My big auction mistake was purchasing Ryu for $11, not because of the injury news (which was positive the morning of the auction) but because it hindered me later and kept me away from pitchers like DeSclafani, who I liked, and other cheap pitchers who would have been better to speculate on than the $11 Ryu. It also kept me from buying some slightly more expensive fliers on the hitters side. Based on when I purchased him, the timing was bad.

It didn't hurt me, but trading Addison Russell and Jeremy Hellickson for Shelby Miller was awful, particularly because I was gunning for wins. Never trade for pitcher wins. It almost never works out. (Tout Wars Champ Mike Gianella)
2015-09-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)You mentioned Davies ..... what is it you like about him?
(Beats from Bydre)
A number of things: his athleticism, his command, his changeup, and his pitchability. He understands how to change speeds and keep batters off balance, and so on. He's pitcher's pitcher type, and I'm a sucker for those. That doesn't mean I have zero reservations—he's short and thin, which is a dangerous combination—but my hope is his athleticism allows him to manage the workload that comes with being a big-league starter. I get a young Jeremy Hellickson vibe when I watch Davies. I think that about sums it up. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Jeremy Hellickson once he comes off the DL?
(Jayson from Tampa)
Blah. I'm mostly apathetic. The profile isn't overly attractive. I'll be interested to see what his velocity is like when he returns. He's a fly-ball, home-run prone pitcher without the requisite strikeouts. He'll always walk a fine line. When he can consistently induce weak contact and limit his BABIP, he'll find success. When he doesn't, he'll get bombed like he did in 2013. It's just not anything I'm going to get excited about. (J.P. Breen)
2014-05-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)I've noticed that several of the Rays starters pitch from what looks like a modified version of the stretch (David Price, Alex Cobb, etc.) Is this an org. thing and do you agree with teaching it? #teamstretch
(Snake Odorizzi from Arizona)
I definitely like the idea of having a windup that is much more similar to the stretch, requiring the pitcher to master a single delivery rather than two (or more). Staying with the Rays, Jeremy Hellickson is an interesting case example, as he was much better in 2012 when he typically used a regular leg lift from the stretch (his stretch delivery was actually better than his windup), but then he started using the slide step all the time with runners on base last season. It will be interesting to see what Tampa does with Helix when he returns, as he is an excellent candidate to throw from his regular stretch (ie no slide step) at all times, regardless of the baserunner situation.

On the jukebox: The Clash, "London's Burning" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Can Jeremy Hellickson be fixed ? Can Henderson Alvarez keep it going ?
(tbwhite from San Diego)
Helix can certainly be fixed, and it starts by killing the slide step. He used to throw in the slide step every once in awhile to keep runners honest, but last season he invoked the slide step every friggin' pitch with a runner on base.

An interesting element for Alvarez was that he scrapped the change-up last season, a pitch that had been roped in previous years. His excellent command of raw 93-95 mph velocity with good sink is the main ingredient to his success, with a solid slider that gives hitters another look.It will be interesting to see what he brings to the table in 2014. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)As part of my off season studying, I was hoping you could narrow my field of pitchers to look at. After the top 36 pitchers, what pitchers have mph difference greater than ten between their fastball and changeup pitch? Breaking pitches, I want to include the other off speed pitches in a later question after I have done some studying on my own. Thanks for clarity as always Doug. I love your work.
(allangustafson from Fun Diego)
Players that come to mind: Jeremy Hellickson, Randall Delgado, Jarrod Parker, Scott Kazmir (Doug Thorburn)
2013-09-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Doug - To both the good and the bad, which pitcher's results this year most flew in the face of his mechanics? Thanks
(R.A. Wagman from Thornhhill)
The good - Probably Greg Holland, who I discussed last week in Raising Aces. His mechanics absolutely do not support such a low walk rate, and he is surviving on pure fastball velocity and sheer movement on the slider.

The bad - Jeremy Hellickson. I really like his delivery overall, and prior to this season he had shown exceptional repetition of mechanical timing, such that Jose Molina could set up outside the borders of the strike zone and expect Helix to hit the location. Most frustrating is that Hellickson has changed his approach with runners on, invoking a slide step on every pitch from the stretch. He used to mix in the occasional slide step from the stretch, but most of his pitches with runners on base were actually better than the windup because he increased his momentum while maintaining a big leg kick, giving him a deeper release point. But his release is very shallow when uses the slide step, and the massive timing difference from windup to stretch has tarnished his repetition this season. The Rays are smart organization, so here's hoping that they can get him to revert back to what worked for the past few seasons.

On the jukebox: Ozzy Osbourne, "Mr. Crowley" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-08-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)What has gone wrong with Jeremy Hellickson? Dead arm? The Luck Dragon finally getting his revenge on Jeremy's gross misuse of his powers? Location problems?
(jlarsen from Chicago, IL)
haven't looked at the location (lazy) but I don't think his arm is dead. For one thing, his change up is firmer. And his FB was down at the beginning of the year and hasn't declined. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-08-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Jeremy Hellickson continues to falter in his next couple of starts, do you think Rays may give newly-crowned IL MVP JD Martin a start or 2 in September?
(jlarsen from chicago, IL)
only if they feel like he gives them a better shot (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-07-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)In 10 team mixed league, 5x5, should I pick up Jeremy Hellickson and drop Mike Leake? Also does your wife know the password to your phone? If not, does she ask you what are you hiding like mine does?
(Turtle from Lake Flourish)
In a 10 team mixed league 5 x 5 you should not ever have a pitcher like Hellickson or Leake clogging up your roster.

My phone doesn't have a password. My phone is the most mockable phone. My phone probably has Snake on it. (Sam Miller)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Jason. Just wondering what was going on with Jeremy Hellickson. I was counting on him getting a bunch of Innings (my fantasy league has innings pitched as a category) and a low ERA. Is it just a lack of command from compared to his former self, or is there more at play? There was criticism from Maddon that his late game approach has been different, especially in his last start against the O's with those back to back to back to back change-ups. Do you think he can upright the ship soon? Thanks, and enjoy the work you do on BP and the Process Report!
(Mark from Winter Garden, FL)
Hellickson is having trouble locating his pitches. It is something I wrote about over the weekend here - http://theprocessreport.wordpress.com/2013/05/18/jeremy-hellickson-struggles-with-command/ . He has a 1.29 WHIP and a 5.82 ERA - that's a big disconnect. I see a guy that is hanging secondary pitches and struggling with fastball command right now, and I don't like it. (Jason Collette)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)Jeremy Hellickson. What's the deal bro? Are his days of outperforming his sabermeters over, or is it mechanical? It pains me to watch this.
(PhilumciousPhil from OHIO)
I've yet to see a game where he's had all 3 of his pitches together. The curveball has not been good most of the season although it has looked better since the 1st in the game being played now. Buy low; he could have a 3.25 ERA the rest of the way. (Jason Collette)
2013-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hellickson had himself a day today, but might not be enough for Tampa. Is this the year his K-stuff really lines up with his MiLB history?
(Darnell from Scranton)
Thanks for joining us, Darnell. I don't know about the strikeouts, but Jeremy Hellickson entered today with a 3.15 ERA in 413 IP for his career. Flaws inherent in ERA notwithstanding, he's been a pretty successful pitcher so far. (Geoff Young)
2013-01-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)Do you think this is what Jeremy Hellickson is? Or is there still room for growth?
(Jake from Kalamazoo)
There hasn't been a lot of projection in Hellickson's game for quite some time, so expecting some at this stage wouldn't make much sense to me. I think he's largely maxed out developmentally, but he's pretty damn good as it stands right now. (Mark Anderson)
2012-12-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)What else is going on with the Rays? Are the negotiations with Washington for Michael Morse and Danny Espinosa for Jeremy Hellickson still a possibility?
(Steve G. from Athens, OH)
They were as of last night, Steve G., so I think that something along those lines remains a possibility. Talks might heat up if/when the Nationals find common ground with Adam LaRoche.

There are a bunch of questions about the Rays, namely Hellickson and Shields, in the queue, so I'll use this as a sort of catchall answer. CBS Sports' Jon Heyman wrote this morning that with Zack Greinke representing the only elite free agent starting pitcher, and with the bidding on Greinke reportedly sky-high, the Rays are increasingly tempted to cash in on one of their starters. I don't think Tampa Bay will move Price, but at this point, either Hellickson or Shields seems a good bet to go. If nothing comes to fruition with the Nats, another possibility might be a deal with the Twins for Josh Willingham, though it's not yet clear if Minnesota is inclined to move him. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-11-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Where do you see James Shields pitching in 2013?
(baseballjunkie from cali)
Hello again, baseballjunkie. The Angels and Twins seem like possible trade partners, now that the Dodgers have seemingly moved on, but I wouldn't be entirely surprised to see the Rays hang on to Shields for the first half of the season, before reevaluating their situation. There were some rumblings last week that Jeremy Hellickson was the hotter commodity on the trade market, though I'm sure the Rays will be more averse to moving him given the difference in service time. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-03-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)Everyone is all excited about Jeremy Hellickson, Matt Moore, and the rest of the young pitchers in Tampa Bay, but let's flip that coin and think negatively for a moment: Hellickson didn't punch out hitters last year, Davis hasn't developed as expected, etc. Are you concerned at all about this, or is it just part of their development curve in a tough AL East?
(Marc from Internet)
I’m more concerned with Davis than Hellickson.

Everyone knows about Hellickson’s shaky peripherals and shiny earned run average, and every local writer seems to be waging war with BABIP. Here’s the three things you (and they) may not know:

1) Hellickson’s walk rate was inflated by eight intentional passes.
2) PITCHf/x data shows that Hellickson missed a ton of bats within the zone, yet held a strikeout rate lower than the other non-knuckleballers with similar whiff rates.
3) He got infield flies by the bushel.

Will all of that continue? Hard to say, but I’m confident he’ll be fine.

Davis is more of an enigma to me. He has command issues and he lacked an outpitch for most of last season. He also didn’t have his best velocity until he went on the disabled list. He has not developed into the physical power pitcher we all thought he would become, but he did seem to develop confidence in using his curveball against righties as the year went on, and if he can improve on his cutter—in place of a changeup—he could become an okay middle-of-the-rotation starter.

It doesn't help that both of those guys have had to grow up in the AL East. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-01-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)You gave us your breakout/surprise pitcher for this season. Give us some SP you think will regress this season
(CharlieWerner from York, PA)
The simple answer is the list of SP with the lowest BABIP last year. Now, if you've followed me for any length of time, you know I don't believe that DIPS is necessarily anywhere close to gospel truth. But if you want to go to Vegas and make bets, you'll pick a lot more winners than losers if you just go with DIPS.

So Jeremy Hellickson, say. Yeah, some of it's Rays defense and some of it's his changeup. But starting pitchers of any stripe, even in front of a good defense, don't regularly put up a BABIP lower than .270 or so. (Mike Fast)
2011-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are the reasons against starting Matt Moore over Jeff Nieman down the stretch?
(JDanger from chicago)
Because Niemann hasn't pitched badly - Wade Davis and Jeremy Hellickson have higher FIPs, by the way - and because Moore is nearing his innings cap. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-09-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Would Rick Porcello, at age 22, fall into the same category that you just put Jeremy Hellickson in? I.E. with his stuff he needs time to learn, even after 3 seasons? Thanks.
(lemppi from Iowa)
That's a fascinating way to look at things, and while I'm not totally convinced, I think it's possible to think you are onto something. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-10-12 12:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think the rookie crop of 2011 will measure up to the high standard of 2010? If not, will there still be game-changing rookies to take note of?
(David from New York)
I don't think they will, but that's only because the bar was set so high this year between Heyward, Posey, Stanton and Bumgarner. Santana and Strasburg also burned brightly, if briefly.

But there will still be plenty of great rookies. Jesus Montero will make his debut, Desmond Jennings and Jeremy Hellickson will be full-time players, and Kyle Drabek will probably spend considerable time in the majors. And that's just the AL East! (Tommy Bennett)
2010-10-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see the Rays trading a starter to make room for Jeremy Hellickson, or perhaps shifting one to the bullpen? Which pitcher would you try to trade?
(Kevin from Right here)
That makes sense and I suspect Matt Garza could be the one as the Rays look to cut the payroll. (John Perrotto)
2010-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Tommy, thanks for the chat today. Any word on an ETA for Desmond Jennings and Jeremy Hellickson in Tampa? Thanks.
(will0911 from VT)
They're both blocked pretty well (by Carl Crawford and Wade Davis, basically). On most other teams they'd both already be on the major league roster. I think this is the year when Tampa will actually make a decent-sized deadline move, so let's just wait a little longer and see if there isn't room at the inn in two weeks. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-07-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of package could the Nats get from the Rays for A. Dunn?
(mwyche from Silver Spring)
From Mike Rizzo's perspective, it would be Desmond Jennings, Jeremy Hellickson and maybe B.J. Upton. Sounds to me like he wants the moon. I don't have a good answer for this, honestly, not having a KG-like encyclopedic knowledge of the Rays's sytem, but if I were the Rays, I wouldn't give up any top prospects. And I say that as a guy who adores Adam Dunn -- but I'd rather bank on their own guys hitting better down the stretch than give up something really valuable for Dunn. (Ken Funck)
2010-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Please rank the following in the order in which you think they will make their big league debuts: Mike Moustakas; Pedro Alvarez; Logan Morrison; Freddie Freeman; Madison Bumgarner; Jeremy Hellickson. Does anyone in this group make a significant fantasy impact in 2010?
(Chillin' from Waiver Wire)
I'm not terribly good at this kind of thing, but what the heck:

Alvarez, Moustakas, Hellickson, Morrison, Bumgarner, Freeman

I think the first three will see at least a sprinkling of big league time this year. The others I'm not so sure about. (Tommy Bennett)
2009-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will the Rays get a nice advantage in the Wild Card race based upon the quality of September callups they can make (Wade Davis, Matt Joyce, maybe Jeremy Hellickson)?
(achaik from ME)
Nah. It's nice to have those guys, but no September call-ups play enough to make that big a difference, or at least not predictably so. (And anybody can go .390/.460/.710 for a month.) (Joe Sheehan)
2009-05-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)I notice that you gave Daryl Jones four stars but he didn't make the top 100. Did he just miss the cut? Were there other four star guys that didn't make it?
(Ben F from California)
Yes, he just missed. Yes, I'd probably put him in it now. Seriously people, is there some organized movement to pick ONE guy in each of my chats and bombard me with questions about him. Is Daryl Jones the new Jeremy Hellickson who was the new Tyler Clippard? (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-02-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)A wise sage wrote: "... fills the strike zone with an effective three-pitch mix; a low-90s fastball that has good carry through the zone, a curveball that’s a plus offering due to his ability to locate the pitch, and a changeup that features good deception. The advanced secondary offerings make him equally effective against both lefties and righties, and he attacks hitters without fear... is credited with a mature, intellectual approach to the game that defies his youth." If I substituted Jeremy Hellickson for the actual player, where would I be wrong?
(Pedro Cerrano is my President from Cleveland, OH)
You wouldn't be necessarily wrong, but you wouldn't be telling the whole story, which includes some real bouts with consistency, an undersized frame, and to steal re-mix my favorite line from Amadeus, a guy who can be accused of "too many strikes." I like him plenty, just not that much. Hellickson was one of those guys that generated an email jihad to my inbox, so at least his fans are organized. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of Nick Barnese so far? Based on his success so far, could be have the potential of Jake McGee (pre-injury)and Jeremy Hellickson?
(Mike from Florida)
No, but that doesn't mean I don't like him. He's just not the some kind of power arm that McGee is, and while he has very good command and control, it's not elite like Hellickson's. That said, I really do like him plenty. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-06-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)David Price, Jeremy Hellickson, Jake McGee and Wade Davis....do the Montgomery Biscuits have one of the best 1-4 rotations in the minor leagues right now?
(jlarsen from DRays Bay)
That's a question better suited for our prospect maven, Kevin Goldstein, but you've got to like that rotation a whole lot. If they were hocky players, they'd be able to put the biscuit in the basket. (John Perrotto)
2008-05-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)Jeremy Hellickson or Trevor Cahill? Which pitcher would you pick?
(Mike from Utica)
While Hellickson's numbers are surreal, I'll take Cahill, understanding that I'm also a bit biased. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-05-05 12:30:00 (link to chat)What do you think of Jeremy Hellickson's excellent start this year?
(Mike from Utica)
As fantastically shocking as the numbers are, it surprises me very little that Jeremy has been able to succeed in six starts. He's, in a sense, the pitcher's version of Travis Snider -- it's possible to be so polished that normal development patterns just don't fit. I would like Tampa to consider moving Hellickson up very soon, because it's clear he's just too polished for this level. Yes, if you leave him he'll regress to the FSL mean a bit, but why not challenge him rather than to simply let him regress. Hellickson has worked so hard the last few years on his strength (which has resulted in a velocity uptick), in his endurance and on his breaking ball, and they are paying dividends. Simply, it's time to move him up, and it was probably time before his first start. (Bryan Smith)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Jeremy Hellickson has thrown 14,379 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2010 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and the MLB Postseason. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (91mph) and Change (81mph), also mixing in a Curve (77mph), Sinker (91mph) and Cutter (85mph). He also rarely throws a Slider (82mph).