Biographical

Portrait of Brian Goodwin

Brian Goodwin CFNationals

Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .232 5 30 22 6 .247 0.2
Birth Date11-2-1990
Height6' 0"
Weight200 lbs
Age23 years, 11 months, 20 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2012 HAG A 58 266 .342 .256 .337 .385 .267 .357 106 23.9 7.8 0.5 2.6 0.4 31.5 3.4 31.5 3.4
2012 HAR AA 42 186 .245 .259 .327 .383 .260 .288 104 -2.9 5.1 0.5 -5.3 0.0 4.8 -0.1 4.8 -0.1
2012 SRR Wnt 20 94 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .302 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 HAR AA 122 533 .286 .257 .329 .393 .269 .321 97 14.1 14.5 1.1 -0.7 2.0 31.9 3.4 31.9 3.4
2014 SYR AAA 81 329 .255 .263 .329 .397 .254 .320 99 -1.7 9.9 -0.1 0.1 0.1 10.4 1.0 10.4 1.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 HAG A 266 47 70 18 1 9 38 43 39 15 4 .324 .438 .542 .218 .342 31.5 2.6 3.4
2012 HAR AA 186 17 37 8 1 5 14 18 50 3 3 .223 .306 .373 .151 .245 4.8 -5.3 -0.1
2012 SRR Wnt 94 16 19 6 2 3 6 12 25 2 1 .237 .340 .475 .237 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 HAR AA 533 82 115 19 11 10 40 66 121 19 11 .252 .355 .407 .155 .286 31.9 -0.7 3.4
2014 SYR AAA 329 31 60 10 4 4 32 50 95 6 4 .219 .342 .328 .109 .255 10.4 0.1 1.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-07-02 2014-09-06 Minors 66 0 - Not Disclosed -
2012-04-10 2012-05-18 Minors 38 32 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 317 44 77 14 2 8 33 35 73 10 4 .277 .360 .442 .288 17.1 CF -3 1.5
80o 294 39 67 12 2 7 29 31 70 8 4 .261 .342 .416 .274 11.7 CF -3 1.0
70o 278 35 61 11 2 6 26 28 67 8 3 .249 .328 .397 .263 8.2 CF -3 0.6
60o 263 33 57 10 2 6 24 26 65 7 3 .240 .317 .381 .254 5.5 CF -2 0.3
50o 250 30 51 9 2 5 22 24 63 6 3 .231 .306 .366 .245 3.2 CF -2 0.1
40o 237 28 47 8 2 5 20 22 60 6 3 .222 .296 .351 .237 1.1 CF -2 -0.1
30o 222 25 42 8 1 4 18 19 58 5 2 .213 .284 .335 .228 -0.9 CF -2 -0.3
20o 206 23 38 7 1 4 16 17 54 5 2 .202 .271 .317 .217 -2.9 CF -2 -0.5
10o 183 19 30 5 1 3 13 14 49 4 2 .187 .252 .293 .202 -5.2 CF -2 -0.7
Weighted Mean2573154102523256473.235.312.373.2494.3CF -20.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 15% 4% 10% 37%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201524275305410252626717.223.302.342.2400.13.90.11.014.9-12.2-2.6
2016256237112825513636415917.232.315.365.2550.914.20.22.014.9-2.9-5.8
2017266067012422413626315316.234.316.366.2550.914.00.21.814.9-3.0-5.7
2018276397413125414656816117.233.319.365.2550.813.7-0.11.714.9-2.8-6.0
2019286187112723513636415515.233.316.365.2540.712.5-0.21.514.9-3.8-5.8
202029612661262559566216814.234.316.348.2490.49.3-0.41.314.9-6.5-5.7
2021306057012323314626313913.231.316.363.2530.610.7-0.91.114.9-4.4-5.7
2022316327312924315656314412.230.312.363.2510.49.5-1.11.014.9-5.3-5.9
2023326237112623314636214411.230.311.360.2500.38.3-1.20.814.9-6.2-5.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
4.62.31918.46.65.454.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 82)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 93 Trayvon Robinson 2011 .225
2 91 Aaron Hicks 2013 .237
3 90 Austin Jackson 2010 .261
4 90 Dexter Fowler 2009 .266
5 89 Xavier Paul 2008 .000 DNP
6 89 Jordan Danks 2010 .000 DNP
7 88 Evan Chambers 2012 .000 DNP
8 87 Robbie Grossman 2013 .259
9 87 Brett Eibner 2012 .000 DNP
10 87 Chris Young 2007 .256
11 86 Ryan Kalish 2011 .000 DNP
12 86 Bryan Petersen 2009 .000 DNP
13 86 Desmond Jennings 2010 .221
14 86 Elijah Dukes 2007 .245
15 85 Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2011 .000 DNP
16 85 Christopher Grayson 2013 .000 DNP
17 85 Chad Huffman 2008 .000 DNP
18 85 Chris Pettit 2008 .000 DNP
19 84 Aaron Cunningham 2009 .178
20 84 Gary Brown 2012 .000 DNP
21 84 Jai Miller 2008 -.015
22 83 Alex Hassan 2011 .000 DNP
23 83 Rene Tosoni 2010 .000 DNP
24 83 Thomas Pham 2011 .000 DNP
25 83 George Springer 2013 .000 DNP
26 83 Joe Benson 2011 .225
27 83 Jackie Bradley 2013 .236
28 83 Marvin Lowrance 2008 .000 DNP
29 82 Miguel Velazquez 2011 .000 DNP
30 82 Rainel Rosario 2012 .000 DNP
31 82 Jordan Schafer 2010 .000 DNP
32 82 Cory Vaughn 2012 .000 DNP
33 82 Richie Robnett 2007 .000 DNP
34 82 Michael Choice 2013 .294
35 82 Caleb Gindl 2012 .000 DNP
36 82 Kevin Rivers 2012 .000 DNP
37 82 Brandon Meredith 2013 .000 DNP
38 82 John Tolisano 2012 .000 DNP
39 82 Chris Lubanski 2008 .000 DNP
40 81 Xavier Avery 2013 .000 DNP
41 81 Jarrett Parker 2012 .000 DNP
42 81 Ryan Sweeney 2008 .270
43 81 Felix Pie 2008 .220
44 81 Angel Morales 2013 .000 DNP
45 81 Nolan Reimold 2007 .000 DNP
46 81 Michael Burgess 2012 .000 DNP
47 81 Tim Fedroff 2010 .000 DNP
48 81 Khris Davis 2011 .000 DNP
49 81 Brett Jackson 2012 .245
50 81 Brandon Short 2012 .000 DNP
51 81 Thomas Neal 2011 .000 DNP
52 81 Kyle Parker 2013 .000 DNP
53 80 Zoilo Almonte 2012 .000 DNP
54 80 L.J. Hoes 2013 .257
55 80 Sean Henry 2009 .000 DNP
56 80 Kellen Kulbacki 2009 .000 DNP
57 80 Matthew Szczur 2013 .000 DNP
58 80 Darrell Ceciliani 2013 .000 DNP
59 80 Clay Fuller 2010 .000 DNP
60 80 Johermyn Chavez 2012 .000 DNP
61 80 Lars Anderson 2011 .014
62 80 Trevor Crowe 2007 .000 DNP
63 80 Daniel Carroll 2012 .000 DNP
64 80 Vince Belnome 2011 .000 DNP
65 80 Daniel Dorn 2008 .000 DNP
66 80 Marcus Knecht 2013 .000 DNP
67 79 Erik Komatsu 2011 .000 DNP
68 79 Javier Herrera 2008 .000 DNP
69 79 Shawn Payne 2013 .000 DNP
70 79 Michael Taylor 2009 .000 DNP
71 79 Dan Brewer 2011 .000 DNP
72 79 Michael Saunders 2010 .244
73 79 Edgardo Baez 2009 .000 DNP
74 79 Ezequiel Carrera 2010 .000 DNP
75 79 Travis Jones 2009 .000 DNP
76 79 Ian Stewart 2008 .269
77 79 Daniel Paolini 2013 .000 DNP
78 79 Marc Krauss 2011 .000 DNP
79 79 Wladimir Balentien 2008 .204
80 79 Tyler Saladino 2013 .000 DNP
81 79 Moises Sierra 2012 .222
82 79 Chris McGuiness 2011 .000 DNP
83 79 Andy LaRoche 2007 .246
84 79 Steven Selsky 2013 .000 DNP
85 79 Daryl Jones 2010 .000 DNP
86 79 Lance Ray 2013 .000 DNP
87 78 Matt Antonelli 2008 .233
88 78 Shane Peterson 2011 .000 DNP
89 78 Andrew Lambo 2012 .000 DNP
90 78 Adam Duvall 2012 .000 DNP
91 78 Peter Bourjos 2010 .221
92 78 J.D. Martinez 2011 .258
93 78 Domonic Brown 2011 .284
94 78 Jared Keel 2008 .000 DNP
95 78 Sean Rodriguez 2008 .203
96 78 Adam Eaton 2012 .292
97 78 James Jones 2012 .000 DNP
98 78 Matt Curry 2012 .000 DNP
99 78 Jonathan Rodriguez 2013 .000 DNP
100 78 Wes Bankston 2007 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 The 2011 first-round pick tore up Hagerstown until mid-July, when the Nationals challenged him with a level-skipping promotion to Double-A. The stats fell back to earth, but scouts were impressed with how Goodwin handled the failure. Undeterred by stumbling to the finish line of the regular season, Goodwin went down to Arizona and mashed the ball in the Fall League, with 11 of his 19 hits going for extra bases. He then shined brightest in the AFL All-Star Game, clubbing a home run and double with all eyes on him. This five-tool stud gives the Nationals yet another future outfielder, though he's still a few years off.
2012 Expensive lottery ticket, but the upside is definitely there. Goodwin was a late pick out of high school in the 2009 draft. He decided to go to college, where he busted his butt on the field to work his way up to a sandwich pick. He signed for just over $3.5 million, considerably more than he'd have gotten as an afterthought in 2009. That improvement, combined with the very high ratings he gets from scouts for his physical tools, is what the Nats are betting on. The odds are somewhat against him—the minors are littered with the remains of toolsy prospects, but one scout points out that all Goodwin has ever done is produce, even while dealing with transition from high school to North Carolina to a JC baseball farm in Florida, so he's talented and adaptable.

BP Articles

Brian Goodwin is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Progress Report: Prospect EditionBen Carsley2014-06-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Progress Report: Prospect EditionCraig Goldstein2014-06-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneCraig Goldstein2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneBen Carsley2014-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 2-4Jeff Moore2014-05-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL East U25 ListsBen Carsley2014-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL East U25 ListsCraig Goldstein2014-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Notes from Five LeaguesJeff Moore2014-04-16
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Notes from Five LeaguesAl Skorupa2014-04-16
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Notes from Five LeaguesEthan Purser2014-04-16
PECOTA Takes on Prospects: Introduction: I Now Pronounce You Scout and StatAndrew Koo2014-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: The Revolving Door RankingsZachary Levine2014-04-03
BP Top 101 Prospects: Opening Day AssignmentsRon Shah2014-04-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Prospect Proximity RankingsR.J. Anderson2014-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL EastDavid Rawnsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL EastTodd Gold2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL EastPatrick Ebert2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Washington Nationals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Washington NationalsCraig Goldstein2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersBen Murphy2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersJared Weiss2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 120 OutfieldersBret Sayre2014-02-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Outfield ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-19
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 5-7Baseball Prospectus2014-01-31
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedMauricio Rubio2014-01-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL Recap for Games of November 6Jeff Moore2013-11-07
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL Recap for Games of November 4Jeff Moore2013-11-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL Recap for Games of October 21Jeff Moore2013-10-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 27Zach Mortimer2013-08-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 20Zach Mortimer2013-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 31stChris Rodriguez2013-08-01
Pebble Hunting: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade For, Jake PeavySam Miller2013-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Sunday, July 28Zach Mortimer2013-07-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 50 Fantasy Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, June 11Zach Mortimer2013-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 10-12Zach Mortimer2013-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 10Zach Mortimer2013-04-11
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Washington Nationals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-03-28
Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part One: 1-50Josh Shepardson2013-03-07
Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part One: 1-50Bret Sayre2013-03-07
BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2013-02-26
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-25
The Lineup Card: 11 Favorite Off-Season MovesBaseball Prospectus2013-02-20
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Fun with 2013 PECOTA ComparablesSam Miller2013-02-13
BP Unfiltered: Daily Draft Video: Weekend Flashback (Zunino vs Hultzen)Nick J. Faleris2012-12-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: Three Days in the Desert, Part 2Geoff Young2012-11-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of November 2-4Jason Martinez2012-11-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Push: Notes from the Arizona Fall LeagueJason Churchill2012-11-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of November 1Jason Martinez2012-11-02


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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