Biographical

Portrait of Brian Flynn

Brian Flynn PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
12.7 4.05 1.40 9 1 1 0 0.1
Birth Date4-19-1990
Height6' 7"
Weight250 lbs
Age26 years, 4 months, 5 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2012
-0.32013
0.02014
2015
0.52016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2013 MIA MLB 4 4 18.0 0 2 0 27 13 15 4 .248 104 13.5 6.5 2.0 7.5 40% .411 .364 2.22 6.41 8.50 122 6.44 -0.3
2014 MIA MLB 2 1 7.0 0 1 0 12 3 6 0 .238 99 15.4 3.9 0.0 7.7 50% .462 .331 2.14 2.67 9.00 105 4.40 0.0
2016 KCA MLB 23 1 39.7 1 1 0 28 15 31 4 .263 101 6.4 3.4 0.9 7.0 58% .222 .230 1.08 3.98 2.72 98 4.10 0.4
CareerMLB29664.71406731528.2551029.34.31.17.252%.311.2851.524.525.011064.96-0.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2011 WMI A 13 13 67.7 7 2 0 58 23 57 3 .264 98 7.7 3.1 0.4 7.6 45% .285 .236 1.20 3.45 3.46
2012 LAK A+ 18 18 102.0 8 4 0 113 32 84 5 .249 108 10.0 2.8 0.4 7.4 46% .341 .254 1.42 3.41 3.71
2012 ERI AA 1 1 5.0 0 1 0 8 2 3 1 .268 100 14.4 3.6 1.8 5.4 42% .389 .358 2.00 5.80 9.00
2012 JAX AA 8 8 45.0 3 0 0 48 13 32 3 .257 103 9.6 2.6 0.6 6.4 47% .315 .257 1.36 3.72 3.80
2012 PDD Wnt 7 7 22.3 1 3 0 21 7 18 2 .000 8.5 2.8 0.8 7.3 0% .297 .000 1.25 4.55 3.63
2013 MIA MLB 4 4 18.0 0 2 0 27 13 15 4 .248 104 13.5 6.5 2.0 7.5 40% .411 .364 2.22 6.41 8.50
2013 JAX AA 4 4 23.0 1 1 0 18 3 25 2 .246 95 7.0 1.2 0.8 9.8 47% .298 .198 0.91 2.39 1.57
2013 NWO AAA 23 23 138.0 6 11 0 127 40 122 7 .263 88 8.3 2.6 0.5 8.0 55% .302 .240 1.21 3.42 2.80
2014 MIA MLB 2 1 7.0 0 1 0 12 3 6 0 .238 99 15.4 3.9 0.0 7.7 50% .462 .331 2.14 2.67 9.00
2014 NWO AAA 25 25 139.7 8 10 0 169 50 104 13 .268 90 10.9 3.2 0.8 6.7 47% .342 .295 1.57 4.62 4.06
2015 OMA AAA 1 0 0.7 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 .284 82 13.5 0.0 0.0 13.5 50% .500 .282 1.50 0.60 0.00
2016 KCA MLB 23 1 39.7 1 1 0 28 15 31 4 .263 101 6.4 3.4 0.9 7.0 58% .222 .230 1.08 3.98 2.72
2016 OMA AAA 9 4 23.7 2 1 0 22 12 28 1 .268 97 8.4 4.6 0.4 10.6 66% .350 .229 1.44 3.44 3.04

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 340 0.4176 0.4147 0.7305 0.6056 0.2778 0.8372 0.5636 0.2695
2014 140 0.5000 0.4500 0.9048 0.6286 0.2714 0.9318 0.8421 0.0952
2016 574 0.4530 0.4582 0.7452 0.6385 0.3089 0.8434 0.5773 0.2548
Career10540.44780.44310.76170.62660.29390.85310.60810.2383

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 KCA $
2015 KCA $
2014 MIA $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 2 dSports Pro Services1 year/$515,950 (2016)

Details
  • 1 year/$515,950 (2016). Re-signed by Kansas City 2/28/16.
  • 1 year/$508,450 (2015). Re-signed by Kansas City 2/25/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Miami 3/1/14. Acquired by Kansas City in trade from Miami 11/28/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Contract selected by Miami 9/3/13.
  • Acquired by Miami in trade from Detroit 7/23/12 (Anibal Sanchez deal).
  • Drafted by Detroit 2011 (7-227) (Wichita State). $0.125M signing bonus.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 1.9 1.2 0 27 2 52.0 46 16 37 4 .270 1.19 3.33 3.62 5.4 0.6
80o 1.8 1.2 0 27 2 46.4 44 15 33 4 .284 1.27 3.70 4.02 3.8 0.4
70o 1.8 1.2 0 27 2 42.4 42 14 30 4 .294 1.34 3.97 4.32 2.6 0.3
60o 1.8 1.2 0 27 2 39.1 41 14 28 3 .302 1.39 4.21 4.58 1.5 0.2
50o 1.7 1.2 0 27 2 36.1 39 13 25 3 .310 1.44 4.43 4.82 0.6 0.1
40o 1.7 1.2 0 27 2 33.2 37 13 23 3 .318 1.50 4.66 5.07 -0.4 -0.0
30o 1.7 1.2 0 27 2 30.1 35 12 21 3 .326 1.56 4.91 5.34 -1.4 -0.2
20o 1.6 1.2 0 27 2 26.6 32 11 19 3 .336 1.63 5.20 5.65 -2.6 -0.3
10o 1.6 1.2 0 27 2 21.9 28 10 15 2 .350 1.74 5.62 6.11 -4.3 -0.5
Weighted Mean1.81.2027235.53813253.3081.434.414.790.70.1

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 8/24/2016 11:14 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0.6 0.6 0 12 0 27.3 23 8 20 2 .263 1.15 3.08 3.34 1.8 0.2
80o 0.6 0.6 0 12 0 22.1 20 7 16 2 .276 1.23 3.42 3.7 1.3 0.1
70o 0.6 0.6 0 12 0 18.5 18 6 13 1 .286 1.29 3.65 3.96 1.0 0.1
60o 0.6 0.6 0 12 0 15.5 15 6 11 1 .294 1.35 3.86 4.19 0.6 0.1
50o 0.6 0.6 0 12 0 12.8 13 5 9 1 .302 1.40 4.05 4.4 0.4 0.0
40o 0.6 0.6 0 12 0 10.1 11 4 7 1 .310 1.45 4.25 4.62 0.0 0.0
30o 0.6 0.6 0 12 0 7.4 8 3 5 1 .318 1.51 4.46 4.86 -0.3 -0.0
20o 0.6 0.6 0 12 0 4.2 5 2 3 0 .328 1.58 4.71 5.14 -0.7 -0.1
Weighted Mean0.60.6012012.112491.3001.394.034.380.40.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
13% 21% 19% 33% 47%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172732139353562039547.3061.434.114.519.53.46.60.80.2
20182832145362652345747.3041.434.204.619.53.46.61.00.2
20192932148367712449747.3071.434.114.529.63.26.60.90.2
20203032143360642243647.3061.444.194.609.73.36.50.90.2
20213121134246501734547.3101.454.194.609.73.36.61.00.1
20223221136249521836547.3061.444.164.579.63.36.70.90.1
20233321134246501734547.3061.454.214.629.73.36.61.00.1
20243421131243461531547.3061.414.184.599.63.16.41.00.1
20253521130241441530447.3061.454.204.619.73.36.60.90.1

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172731055059532449647.2791.313.914.308.13.77.50.90.3
20182831054057512247647.2761.283.964.358.13.57.40.90.2
20192931052056512047547.2841.283.774.148.23.27.60.80.4
20203031054058522250647.2801.283.994.388.13.47.80.90.2
2021311001902019818247.3001.373.964.358.73.78.20.90.1
20223221044047431841647.2851.304.124.538.23.47.91.10.1
20233321042044401737547.2761.294.014.418.13.57.51.00.2
20243411027029261124347.2811.293.994.388.23.57.50.90.1
20253511026028261123347.2831.344.164.578.53.67.51.00.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
10.24.81.20.53.84.520.5

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
201510.24.81.20.53.84.520.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 87)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Cesar Ramos 2010 11.88
2 91 Carlos Hernandez 2013 0.00 DNP
3 91 Ben Jukich 2009 0.00 DNP
4 91 Dan Houston 2013 0.00 DNP
5 90 Chris Rusin 2013 4.07
6 90 Jared Hughes 2012 3.57
7 89 David Hale 2014 3.92
8 89 Anthony Ortega 2012 0.00 DNP
9 89 Omar Poveda 2014 0.00 DNP
10 89 Duane Below 2012 4.86
11 89 Jack Egbert 2009 27.00
12 89 Jake Brigham 2014 0.00 DNP
13 89 David Pauley 2009 0.00 DNP
14 88 Logan Darnell 2015 0.00 DNP
15 88 Alex Wilson 2013 5.20
16 88 Joe Martinez 2009 8.10
17 88 Wynn Pelzer 2012 0.00 DNP
18 88 Lance Broadway 2010 0.00 DNP
19 88 P.J. Walters 2011 7.20
20 88 Roberto Hernandez 2007 3.27
21 88 Luis Mendoza 2010 22.50
22 88 Matt Buschmann 2010 0.00 DNP
23 88 Robert Ray 2010 2.45
24 88 Charlie Leesman 2013 8.22
25 88 Matt Packer 2014 0.00 DNP
26 87 Heath Phillips 2008 0.00 DNP
27 87 Pat Misch 2008 5.85
28 87 Chris Carpenter 2012 9.00
29 87 Jay Voss 2013 0.00 DNP
30 87 Adam Warren 2014 3.09
31 87 Brett Lorin 2013 0.00 DNP
32 87 Yohan Flande 2012 0.00 DNP
33 87 Simon Castro 2014 0.00 DNP
34 87 Tom Mastny 2007 4.68
35 87 Ryan Mullins 2010 0.00 DNP
36 87 David Martinez 2014 5.14
37 87 Graham Godfrey 2011 5.04
38 87 Erik Davis 2013 3.12
39 87 Taylor Stanton 2014 0.00 DNP
40 87 Rudy Owens 2014 7.94
41 87 Kyle Heckathorn 2014 0.00 DNP
42 86 Brandon Moore 2012 0.00 DNP
43 86 Frank Herrmann 2010 4.43
44 86 Xavier Cedeno 2013 8.76
45 86 Jake Petricka 2014 3.08
46 86 Randy Boone 2011 0.00 DNP
47 86 Chris Heston 2014 5.06
48 86 Blake Treinen 2014 3.02
49 86 Richard Zagone 2013 0.00 DNP
50 86 Tim Crabbe 2014 0.00 DNP
51 86 Rob Scahill 2013 5.13
52 86 Andrew Werner 2013 0.00 DNP
53 86 Cesar Valdez 2011 0.00 DNP
54 86 Bryan Evans 2013 0.00 DNP
55 86 Amaury Rivas 2012 0.00 DNP
56 86 Scott Barnes 2014 0.00 DNP
57 85 Daniel Rosenbaum 2014 0.00 DNP
58 85 Eric Berger 2012 0.00 DNP
59 85 Brian Duensing 2009 3.96
60 85 Douglas Arguello 2011 0.00 DNP
61 85 Keith Weiser 2011 0.00 DNP
62 85 Daniel Moskos 2012 0.00 DNP
63 85 Kevin Mulvey 2011 0.00 DNP
64 85 Jacob Brown 2013 0.00 DNP
65 85 Mike Bolsinger 2014 6.19
66 85 Jorge Reyes 2014 0.00 DNP
67 85 Collin McHugh 2013 10.04
68 85 Zach Jackson 2009 10.38
69 85 Matt Klinker 2011 0.00 DNP
70 85 Brad Meyers 2012 0.00 DNP
71 85 Lenny DiNardo 2006 8.08
72 85 Joe Saunders 2007 4.70
73 85 Dallas Beeler 2015 10.80
74 85 Alan Horne 2009 0.00 DNP
75 85 Thad Weber 2011 0.00 DNP
76 85 Richard Bleier 2013 0.00 DNP
77 85 Blake Hawksworth 2009 2.25
78 85 Chris Seddon 2010 5.64
79 85 Matt Grace 2015 5.82
80 85 Brandon Dickson 2011 3.24
81 85 James Simmons 2013 0.00 DNP
82 85 Corey Kluber 2012 6.29
83 85 Sean West 2012 0.00 DNP
84 85 David Kopp 2012 0.00 DNP
85 85 Kyle Gibson 2014 4.57
86 85 Taylor Hill 2015 3.75
87 85 Doug Mathis 2009 3.59
88 85 Jeff Manship 2011 8.10
89 85 Carlton Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
90 85 Bryan Morris 2013 3.46
91 85 Davis Romero 2009 0.00 DNP
92 84 Scott Diamond 2013 5.98
93 84 Matt Maloney 2010 3.05
94 84 Mike Ballard 2010 0.00 DNP
95 84 Mike Kickham 2015 0.00 DNP
96 84 Carlos Fisher 2009 4.30
97 84 Zachary Neal 2015 0.00 DNP
98 84 Dylan Owen 2013 0.00 DNP
99 84 Lucas Harrell 2011 6.00
100 84 Wes Roemer 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Disappointment descended on Brian Flynn when he missed the year with a torn lat muscle after nearly breaking camp with the big club; the Royals will still need to sort out whether his sinker-slider mix works best at the back of the rotation or in middle relief.
2015 How about that Anibal Sanchez trade for the Marlins? With Jacob Turner released to the Cubs and Rob Brantly turning into a pumpkin, Flynn was Miami's last best hope to salvage something out of that debacle of a deal. Something, it turns out, was Aaron Crow, an arb-eligible reliever with a strikeout rate around five per nine last year. How about that freakin' Anibal Sanchez trade?

For Flynn's acquiring team, there's still upside here, despite the pitcher taking a step back in his repeat performance at New Orleans last season. A tall lefty with questionable mechanics, he struggles with release points and, as a result, his control. His once-impressive fastball looks like it is stalling out or, worse, losing a few ticks from his high-water mark a few seasons back in the minors. But he comes to the table with four solid offerings, which makes him a candidate to stay in the rotation, rather than land in the no-man's-land of middle relief.

2014 After another strong season, this time mostly at Triple-A, Flynn reached the major-league level in September. Unfortunately, his four rough starts were a setback as much as a breakthrough. The big lefty still struggles to find a consistent release point, and has more control than command at this point. The fastball that routinely touched the mid-90s in previous seasons only cleared 94 mph three times in Miami. For an organization that prioritizes thrift, Flynn is valuable as a back-end rotation option who can eat a lot of innings, provided you don't mind a bit of mess.
2013 Selected by the Tigers in the 11th round of the 2011 draft and shipped to the Marlins in the Sanchez-Infante trade, the towering southpaw found a repeatable set of mechanics last year and saw his fastball tick up into the mid-90s. Flynn’s off-speed offerings remain a work in progress, but if he can maintain the strides he took in 2012, he’ll project as a back-end starter or setup man. Refinements to his changeup and slider, on the other hand, could turn Flynn into a middle-of-the-rotation horse. His plus makeup bolsters the glass-half-full outlook on his future.
2012 The Tigers acted on their power-lefty obsession by taking man-mountain Brian Flynn in last year's draft, and were rewarded with a minor league debut that featured impressive command of his mid-90s heat.

BP Articles

Brian Flynn is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
Team Chemistry: What's Average For Pitchers?John Choiniere2016-08-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 18Scooter Hotz2016-08-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 17Scooter Hotz2016-07-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 16Greg Wellemeyer2016-07-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 14Scooter Hotz2016-07-06
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: Starting Pitching Depth, RankedJeff Long2016-03-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Philly Games FrancoR.J. Anderson2015-05-18
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsNick J. Faleris2015-01-26
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-01-26
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Reliever ReceiversBret Sayre2014-12-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Reliever ReceiversR.J. Anderson2014-12-01
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Miami Marlins Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-11-05
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Miami Marlins Top 10 ProspectsChris Mellen2014-11-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 15Jeff Moore2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, April 8Jeff Moore2014-04-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFive to Watch: National League ProspectsBret Sayre2014-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Spring FlingsR.J. Anderson2014-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Prospect Proximity RankingsR.J. Anderson2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Miami Marlins Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Miami MarlinsPaul Sporer2014-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 23, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-23
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 18, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-18
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 13, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-13
This article requires BP Premium accessCovering the Call-Ups, Part One: The PitchersBen Carsley2013-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessCovering the Call-Ups, Part One: The PitchersCraig Goldstein2013-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessCovering the Call-Ups, Part One: The PitchersJason Cole2013-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessCovering the Call-Ups, Part One: The PitchersJeff Moore2013-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 5, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-05
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Pittsburgh Pirates: No Longer a Losing TeamDaniel Rathman2013-09-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-03


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Brian Flynn has thrown 1,203 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, Spring Training and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph), Sinker (93mph) and Slider (86mph). He also rarely throws a Change (85mph) and Curve (77mph).