Biographical

Portrait of Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan LFCardinals

Cardinals Player Cards | Cardinals Team Audit | Cardinals Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years PA AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP
5 1317 .257 .348 .458 .276 4.2
Birth Date5-5-1981
Height6' 5"
Weight210 lbs
BatsL
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2005 SLN 24 9 10 10 2 2 1 0 1 6 0 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 .200 .200 .600 .235 0.0 -0.0 -0.0
2006 SLN 25 90 314 280 60 82 11 3 22 165 30 69 2 2 0 43 0 0 .293 .363 .589 .320 29.9 0.4 3.0
2007 SLN 26 127 432 375 51 97 20 0 21 180 55 123 1 1 0 70 2 1 .259 .354 .480 .280 20.6 -2.9 1.7
2008 SLN 27 76 257 222 26 55 8 0 6 81 34 52 0 1 0 27 2 1 .248 .346 .365 .251 0.4 0.3 0.1
2009 SLN 28 87 304 260 25 59 15 2 5 93 41 67 0 3 0 32 0 1 .227 .329 .358 .249 1.8 -7.5 -0.6
Career389131711471642955555552516031637017543.257.348.458.27652.7-9.74.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1999 JCY Rk 0 227 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .278 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 PEO A 0 492 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .323 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 PEO A 80 337 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .341 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 POT A+ 49 180 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .227 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 PEO A 129 544 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .328 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 PMB A+ 121 476 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .343 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 TEN AA 10 25 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .222 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 TEN AA 120 455 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .347 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SLN MLB 9 10 .235 .261 .330 .406 .253 .250 102 -0.3 0.3 0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0
2005 MEM AAA 128 500 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .304 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 SLN MLB 90 314 .320 .264 .328 .432 .263 .314 94 21.1 9.5 -2.8 0.4 0.5 29.9 3.0 29.9 3.0
2006 MEM AAA 52 206 .282 .263 .338 .401 .262 .347 99 4.7 5.9 -2.1 -4.7 0.5 4.7 -0.0 4.7 -0.0
2007 SLN MLB 127 432 .280 .265 .331 .423 .258 .328 101 9.5 12.8 -3.2 -2.9 1.4 20.6 1.7 20.6 1.7
2008 SLN MLB 76 257 .251 .266 .332 .428 .264 .297 96 -2.5 7.4 -2.5 0.3 -1.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.1
2008 MEM AAA 7 30 .185 .280 .356 .455 .259 .200 125 -2.5 0.9 -0.2 -0.1 0.3 -1.7 -0.2 -1.7 -0.2
2009 SLN MLB 87 304 .249 .260 .334 .419 .265 .283 93 -3.6 8.7 -2.3 -7.5 -0.6 1.8 -0.6 1.8 -0.6
2009 PAW AAA 27 94 .199 .258 .323 .399 .247 .222 100 -6.2 2.7 -0.9 -0.1 -0.3 -4.4 -0.4 -4.4 -0.4
2010 SYR AAA 82 296 .200 .261 .330 .403 .254 .230 101 -20 9.0 -4.7 2.6 -1.3 -17.3 -1.4 -17.3 -1.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1999 JCY Rk 227 23 43 8 1 6 34 25 62 3 1 .214 .304 .353 .139 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 PEO A 492 52 115 34 0 8 57 36 111 1 2 .256 .319 .384 .129 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 POT A+ 180 12 30 6 0 3 16 10 47 4 4 .179 .228 .268 .089 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 PEO A 337 44 91 23 2 13 59 36 55 13 3 .306 .387 .529 .222 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 PEO A 544 58 132 25 4 16 75 44 118 5 5 .271 .340 .437 .166 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 PMB A+ 476 26 108 20 0 2 42 44 115 4 4 .254 .325 .315 .061 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 TEN AA 25 1 5 1 0 1 3 0 6 0 0 .200 .200 .360 .160 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 TEN AA 455 57 112 23 0 16 65 64 94 8 4 .289 .394 .473 .183 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SLN MLB 10 2 2 1 0 1 3 0 5 0 0 .200 .200 .600 .400 .235 0.0 -0.0 -0.0
2005 MEM AAA 500 57 114 21 2 21 73 63 104 1 3 .265 .361 .469 .204 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 MEM AAA 206 23 49 11 0 7 31 25 53 1 2 .271 .359 .448 .177 .282 4.7 -4.7 -0.0
2006 SLN MLB 314 60 82 11 3 22 43 30 69 0 0 .293 .363 .589 .296 .320 29.9 0.4 3.0
2007 SLN MLB 432 51 97 20 0 21 70 55 123 2 1 .259 .354 .480 .221 .280 20.6 -2.9 1.7
2008 MEM AAA 30 5 4 2 0 0 3 4 5 0 0 .160 .300 .240 .080 .185 -1.7 -0.1 -0.2
2008 SLN MLB 257 26 55 8 0 6 27 34 52 2 1 .248 .346 .365 .117 .251 0.4 0.3 0.1
2009 SLN MLB 304 25 59 15 2 5 32 41 67 0 1 .227 .329 .358 .131 .249 1.8 -7.5 -0.6
2009 PAW AAA 94 8 16 3 0 2 10 7 20 0 0 .188 .258 .294 .106 .199 -4.4 -0.1 -0.4
2010 SYR AAA 296 25 50 8 0 7 27 31 68 4 5 .191 .276 .302 .111 .200 -17.3 2.6 -1.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 980 0.4592 0.4439 0.7701 0.6822 0.2415 0.8795 0.5078 0.2299
2009 1164 0.4313 0.4253 0.7576 0.6096 0.2855 0.8791 0.5608 0.2424
Career21440.44410.43380.76330.64280.26540.87930.53660.2367

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2010-07-12 2010-09-07 Minors 57 0 Not Disclosed -
2008-07-22 2008-09-29 60-DL 69 61 Neck Surgery Prosthetic Cervical Disc 2008-08-04
2008-04-02 2008-04-05 DTD 3 3 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2008-03-06 2008-03-11 Camp 5 0 Upper Back Soreness -
2007-09-16 2007-10-01 DTD 15 15 Surgery Sports Hernia 2007-09-20
2007-09-10 2007-09-15 DTD 5 5 Groin Hernia -
2007-05-28 2007-06-05 DTD 8 7 Left Knee Infection and Bursitis -
2007-04-26 2007-04-26 DTD 0 0 Head Laceration Falling Down Stairs -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2009 SLN $825,000
2008 SLN $439,000
2007 SLN $400,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$1,664,000
3 yrTotal$1,664,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 80 d1 year (2010)

Details
  • 1 year (2010). Signed by Washington as a free agent 1/19/10 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$0.825M (2009). Re-signed by St. Louis 1/19/08 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Boston in trade from St. Louis 7/22/09 (Red Sox to pay $13.5M still due Julio Lugo in 2009 and 2010). Released by Boston 8/20/09.
  • 1 year/$0.439M (2008). Re-signed by St. Louis 3/4/08.
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2007). Re-signed 2/07.
  • 1 year (2006). Re-signed 2/06.
  • 1 year (2005). Contract purchased 9/05.
  • Drafted 1999 (1s-46).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
Weighted Mean???????????.000.000.000.0000.0?0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2010 Acquired from the Cards for Julio Lugo, Chris Duncan went straight to Triple-A due to a total lack of production dating back to the April, and was eventually released. After major neck surgery the previous winter, he could be done.
2009 Duncan ended the 2007 season on the DL after surgery to repair a sports hernia, foreshadowing what came last year. Back and neck pain during spring training grew severe enough to leave his left arm and hand numb. Eventually, Duncan was diagnosed with a herniated cervical disk in his neck, a potentially career-threatening injury—Larry Walker hung up his spikes partly because of a related problem. Duncan had surgery in early August to replace the disk with a steel prosthetic, a relatively new procedure that avoids the limited range of motion which results from fusing the disks. The surgery went well, and Duncan was cleared to begin rehab over the winter. He should be ready to compete for the left-field job in camp.
2008 Duncan's numbers might have looked better had he not gutted out an infected knee in June. After aggravating the problem on May 26, he picked up a double, a homer, and 14 strikeouts against no walks in 28 at-bats over the next three weeks. Once healthy again, he was one of the team's best hitters, going .269/.388/.492 from June 14 until a sports hernia ended his season in September. A big guy who is a bit awkward, Duncan may need to move to the AL and DH to remain a regular, though to his credit, he's improved to "acceptable" in left field.
2007 Is Chris Duncan the single worst defensive outfielder in modern memory? One usually needs to go to the stockyards to witness his brand of advanced butchery. The misplaced first baseman`s one true destiny is obvious: Lefty-mashing designated hitter, and there`s no time like the present to get him moving toward that end. As awkward as it might be to deal the pitching coach`s son, his trade value is probably as high as it will ever get--there is nothing in his minor league record to suggest that he`s really a .290 hitter. Having said all that, he was a shot in the arm when St. Louis desperately needed it.
2006 Facing an uphill battle worthy of Sisyphus to unseat Albert Pujols at first base, Dave Duncan`s kid has switched to the outfield. He`s got some positives, including a bit of power and the ability to make pitchers throw strikes. He`s also young enough to learn to play acceptable outfield defense. He`ll start the season back in Triple-A, but if injuries bite the Cardinals outfield, he could wind up with some real playing time in St. Louis.
2005 Coming into last season, Duncan hadn't shown much power above the low-A Midwest League, but he broke out in '04 at Double-A Tennessee. The power is still sub-optimal by first base standards, but the 64 walks are praiseworthy. He'll need to consolidate the gains he made last season and find a power spike somewhere along the way if he's ever to be a regular at the highest level.

BP Articles

Chris Duncan is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
The BP Wayback Machine: Winter Meetings ReviewJoe Sheehan2013-12-10
The BP Wayback Machine: Game LastJoe Sheehan2013-10-22
The BP Wayback Machine: Hatching CardinalsBryan Smith2013-08-23
The Lineup Card: Six Contract Incentives that Should HappenBaseball Prospectus2013-01-30
The Week in Quotes: April 11-17Alex Carnevale2011-04-18
The Column to Be Named Later: Birds of a FeatherMarc Normandin2011-02-04
This article requires BP Premium accessChanging Speeds: The Golden GenerationKen Funck2010-08-19
Fantasy Beat: Fantasy RoundtableMarc Normandin2010-05-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Depth Chart/PFM Update, Part 2Clay Davenport2010-03-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Put Up Your Dukes?Christina Kahrl2010-03-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTeam Health Reports: St. Louis Cardinals Will Carroll2010-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Capital Offenses?Christina Kahrl2010-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Why Not Two Pitchers?Russell A. Carleton2010-02-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Senior CircuitryChristina Kahrl2010-01-27
This article requires BP Premium accessSo You Need: OBPChristina Kahrl2009-11-30
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Midweek UpdateJohn Perrotto2009-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Additions of a Minor NatureChristina Kahrl2009-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: AL West RoundupChristina Kahrl2009-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Arms RaceJay Jaffe2009-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMovin' On Up: Deadline Day Winners and LosersClay Davenport2009-08-03
The Week in Quotes: July 20-26Alex Carnevale2009-07-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Buddy, Can You Spare a LaRoche?Marc Normandin2009-07-24
Prospectus Hit List: Halladay to HollidayJay Jaffe2009-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Duncan for Donuts?Christina Kahrl2009-07-23
This article requires BP Premium accessSecond-Half Prescriptions: NLBaseball Prospectus2009-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction of the Day: The DeRosa DealChristina Kahrl2009-06-29
Prospectus Idol Entry: Game Story: Cardinals at Mets, June 25Tim Kniker2009-06-28
Prospectus Idol Entry: LaRussa's ChoicesBrian Cartwright2009-06-28
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: NL Central RoundupChristina Kahrl2009-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Conquering the CubsJay Jaffe2009-06-17
Prospectus Idol Entry: Fantasy Tip: Be Dr. FrankensteinMatthew Knight2009-05-31
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Cinco do Samplo, NLJay Jaffe2009-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Midweek Med ReportWill Carroll2009-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Down, Out?Will Carroll2009-05-05
Prospectus Today: Taking WingJoe Sheehan2009-05-04
Prospectus Hit and Run: Pair Up in ThreesJay Jaffe2009-04-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: NL Roster RoundupChristina Kahrl2009-04-16
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Cardinal CreativityJohn Perrotto2009-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: The Middle ThirdJoe Sheehan2009-04-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTeam Health Reports: St. Louis CardinalsBrad Wochomurka2009-03-10
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Hot Stove Preview: NL CentralChristina Kahrl2008-11-18
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Wednesday's Games to WatchMarc Normandin2008-08-20
UTK Wrap: East FeastWill Carroll2008-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Dealing with DelaysWill Carroll2008-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Golddiggers and Going For ItChristina Kahrl2008-07-23
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Two-Week WatchJohn Perrotto2008-07-17
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Tuesday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-06-24
Prospectus Preview: Thursday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessCan Of Corn: Mock Blockbuster, Part IIIDayn Perry2008-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Instant GratificationWill Carroll2008-06-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: Friday's Games to WatchCaleb Peiffer2008-05-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessEvery Given Sunday: To New Challenges and Old FriendsJohn Perrotto2008-04-27
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Ten Pack for HatersKevin Goldstein2008-04-16
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Word GamesWill Carroll2008-04-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Fantasy Draft DayMarc Normandin2008-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, NL CentralKevin Goldstein2008-03-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTeam Health Reports: St. Louis CardinalsWill Carroll2008-03-04
This article requires BP Premium accessSchrodinger's Bat: Wrapping it UpDan Fox2008-02-14
Spring Training Preview: NL CentralJoe Sheehan2008-02-11
This article requires BP Premium accessSchrodinger's Bat: Back to the Drawing BoardDan Fox2008-01-31
This article requires BP Premium accessSchrodinger's Bat: The Issue of the Day, and Ranging into the OutfieldDan Fox2007-12-20
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Fast and FuriousWill Carroll2007-05-30
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The Week in Quotes: February 26-March 5Alex Carnevale2007-03-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPositional Health Reports: Left FieldersWill Carroll2007-02-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Winter Meetings ReviewJoe Sheehan2006-12-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Game LastJoe Sheehan2006-10-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: September 1-7Christina Kahrl2005-09-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Wests, etc.Christina Kahrl2005-03-25


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2010-02-17 16:00:00 (link to chat)It seems clear from most of the Nationals blogs that The Constituency is no longer patient, and Mike Rizzo's honeymoon is already over. I have been pretty happy with the moves the Nats made this off-season, but I have to agree that too much depends on the health of folks like Chien-Ming Wang, Scott Olsen and even Chris Duncan. The Nats will be better this year, because they can't help but be. However, is the view of the Nats' offseason more charitable at BP or anywhere else outside of Nats fans' disgruntled little world?
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
The kinds of things the Nationals need to do to improve their team just can't be done in a single offseason. To evaluate them on that basis almost isn't fair. I feel the same way about Rizzo. I have a hard time identifying actual things he's done that are that bad. I don't love the Pudge signing and Wang is probably done (but it's a nice gamble). They have to focus on the draft and on international scouting. There's no other path to .500. (I'll hold off on a discussion of Adam Dunn for the next question.) (Tommy Bennett)
2008-11-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Christina's roundup of the NL Central yesterday suggested that Chris Duncan's neck injury could be career-ending. That's the worst prognosis for it that I've read anywhere. Are you hearing anything on that one?
(Bill from New Mexico)
Its a good description. I'd say "career threatening" and I think that's the phrase doctors have used. (Will Carroll)
2008-05-05 12:30:00 (link to chat)ASU's Ike Davis: Chris Duncan 2.0?
(Mike from Philly)
I know where you're coming from, but I think you have to give Davis some credit for clearly being more athletic than Duncan, and he has that arm from the outfield that Duncan doesn't. Offensively, I could see that being a decent comp, without knowing Davis' specific LHP/RHP splits. (Bryan Smith)
2008-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'm thinking of trading Chris Duncan for Nick Johnson in an NL-only league. Thoughts on Johnson so far? Any hope he stays healthy in his walk year?
(mymrbig from NOLA)
They're all walk years for Nick Johnson. I'd make that deal...Duncan could see his PT chipped at in St. Louis. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-01-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of the Cardinals offering Chris Duncan, Anthony Reyes and your choice of Wellemeyer, Thompson or Jiminez for Tom Gorzelany?
(Jack from (Charleston, WV))
As much as I really, really like Gorzelanny, that's too much to give up. But then I can't shake the anticipation I have of seeing the Cards line up a trio of lefty-hitting howitzers in their outfield at some point: Rick Ankiel, Duncan, and Colby Rasmus. That's just a fun bunch to have at your disposal. (Christina Kahrl)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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