Biographical

Portrait of Brian Duensing

Brian Duensing PCubs

Cubs Player Cards | Cubs Team Audit | Cubs Depth Chart

2017 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 34)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
7.7 4.68 1.40 6 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date2-22-1983
Height6' 0"
Weight200 lbs
Age34 years, 5 months, 30 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
0.22013
-0.32014
-0.12015
-0.22016
0.92017
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2009 MIN MLB 24 9 84.0 5 2 0 84 31 53 7 .258 105 9.0 3.3 0.8 5.7 47% .291 .245 1.37 4.17 3.64 101 4.46 95.7 0.9
2010 MIN MLB 53 13 130.7 10 3 0 122 35 78 11 .258 110 8.4 2.4 0.8 5.4 54% .272 .228 1.20 3.82 2.62 98 4.63 104.6 0.8
2011 MIN MLB 32 28 161.7 9 14 0 193 52 115 21 .263 104 10.7 2.9 1.2 6.4 45% .330 .290 1.52 4.31 5.23 104 5.61 130.3 -1.1
2012 MIN MLB 55 11 109.0 4 12 0 126 27 69 10 .262 105 10.4 2.2 0.8 5.7 48% .319 .265 1.40 3.76 5.12 102 5.13 117.5 -0.2
2013 MIN MLB 73 0 61.0 6 2 1 68 22 56 4 .267 100 10.0 3.2 0.6 8.3 43% .348 .275 1.48 3.27 3.98 92 4.37 104.6 0.2
2014 MIN MLB 62 0 54.3 3 3 0 52 20 33 6 .260 108 8.6 3.3 1.0 5.5 46% .272 .259 1.33 4.54 3.31 109 4.99 122.5 -0.3
2015 MIN MLB 55 0 48.7 4 1 1 46 21 24 5 .261 107 8.5 3.9 0.9 4.4 53% .265 .259 1.38 4.99 4.25 114 4.90 114.5 -0.1
2016 BAL MLB 14 0 13.3 1 0 0 13 3 10 2 .256 112 8.8 2.0 1.4 6.8 26% .275 .229 1.20 4.22 4.05 105 6.59 145.8 -0.2
2017 CHN MLB 51 0 50.0 0 1 0 43 10 55 5 .268 100 7.7 1.8 0.9 9.9 48% .290 .221 1.06 2.96 2.52 85 3.56 75.6 0.9
CareerMLB41961712.74238274722149371.2621059.42.80.96.248%.302.2581.364.004.021014.89112.10.8

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2005 ELZ Rk 12 9 50.3 4 3 0 49 16 55 4 .261 39 8.8 2.9 0.7 9.8 58% .321 .216 1.29 3.58 2.33 0 0.00 0.0
2006 BLT A 11 11 70.0 2 3 0 68 14 55 3 .000 8.7 1.8 0.4 7.1 0% .298 .000 1.17 2.93 2.96 0 0.00 0.0
2006 FTM A+ 7 7 40.2 2 5 0 47 8 33 4 .261 84 10.5 1.8 0.9 7.4 53% .330 .280 1.37 3.49 4.25 90 0.00 0.0
2006 NBR AA 10 9 49.1 1 2 0 51 18 30 6 .262 61 9.3 3.3 1.1 5.5 62% .273 .325 1.41 4.60 3.67 111 5.26 105.9
2007 NBR AA 9 9 50.7 4 1 0 47 7 38 2 .251 106 8.3 1.2 0.4 6.7 44% .285 .209 1.07 2.74 2.66 82 2.76 94.2
2007 ROC AAA 19 19 116.7 11 5 0 115 30 86 13 .260 95 8.9 2.3 1.0 6.6 50% .288 .241 1.24 4.04 3.24 94 3.93 98.2
2007 ust Wnt 2 1 6.0 0 0 0 6 0 3 0 .000 9.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0% .300 .000 1.00 2.53 1.50 0 0.00 0.0
2008 ROC AAA 25 24 138.7 5 11 0 150 34 77 16 .266 89 9.7 2.2 1.0 5.0 50% .301 .262 1.33 4.55 4.28 105 4.86 105.7
2009 MIN MLB 24 9 84.0 5 2 0 84 31 53 7 .258 105 9.0 3.3 0.8 5.7 47% .291 .245 1.37 4.17 3.64 101 4.46 95.7
2009 ROC AAA 13 13 75.3 4 6 0 87 19 44 2 .250 111 10.4 2.3 0.2 5.3 47% .335 .246 1.41 3.16 4.66 98 4.78 105.7
2010 MIN MLB 53 13 130.7 10 3 0 122 35 78 11 .258 110 8.4 2.4 0.8 5.4 54% .272 .228 1.20 3.82 2.62 98 4.63 104.6
2011 MIN MLB 32 28 161.7 9 14 0 193 52 115 21 .263 104 10.7 2.9 1.2 6.4 45% .330 .290 1.52 4.31 5.23 104 5.61 130.3
2012 MIN MLB 55 11 109.0 4 12 0 126 27 69 10 .262 105 10.4 2.2 0.8 5.7 48% .319 .265 1.40 3.76 5.12 102 5.13 117.5
2013 MIN MLB 73 0 61.0 6 2 1 68 22 56 4 .267 100 10.0 3.2 0.6 8.3 43% .348 .275 1.48 3.27 3.98 92 4.37 104.6
2014 MIN MLB 62 0 54.3 3 3 0 52 20 33 6 .260 108 8.6 3.3 1.0 5.5 46% .272 .259 1.33 4.54 3.31 109 4.99 122.5
2015 MIN MLB 55 0 48.7 4 1 1 46 21 24 5 .261 107 8.5 3.9 0.9 4.4 53% .265 .259 1.38 4.99 4.25 114 4.90 114.5
2016 BAL MLB 14 0 13.3 1 0 0 13 3 10 2 .256 112 8.8 2.0 1.4 6.8 26% .275 .229 1.20 4.22 4.05 105 6.59 145.8
2016 BOW AA 3 0 7.0 0 0 0 5 1 7 0 .249 6.4 1.3 0.0 9.0 53% .263 .206 0.86 2.21 1.29 93 3.79 99.2
2016 NOR AAA 3 0 3.0 0 0 0 4 0 6 0 .271 12.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 29% .571 .249 1.33 -0.83 0.00 81 2.29 86.9
2016 OMA AAA 12 0 20.3 1 0 2 16 5 19 0 .272 7.1 2.2 0.0 8.4 50% .276 .205 1.03 2.59 3.10 96 3.78 98.6
2016 ORI Rk 2 0 2.0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 .251 9.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 60% .400 .177 1.00 1.30 0.00 96 3.66 101.2
2017 CHN MLB 51 0 50.0 0 1 0 43 10 55 5 .268 100 7.7 1.8 0.9 9.9 48% .290 .221 1.06 2.96 2.52 85 3.56 75.6
2017 IOW AAA 2 0 3.0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 .259 3.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 100% .200 .095 0.33 0.40 0.00 78 2.85 54.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 1315 0.4913 0.4745 0.8125 0.6161 0.3378 0.8769 0.6991 0.1875
2010 1865 0.5271 0.4509 0.8121 0.5880 0.2982 0.8962 0.6274 0.1879
2011 2651 0.4957 0.4572 0.8069 0.6294 0.2880 0.8561 0.7013 0.1931
2012 1694 0.5148 0.4776 0.8171 0.6273 0.3187 0.8885 0.6679 0.1829
2013 980 0.4867 0.4806 0.7601 0.6436 0.3260 0.8632 0.5671 0.2399
2014 862 0.4988 0.4780 0.8131 0.6581 0.2986 0.8763 0.6744 0.1869
2015 763 0.4548 0.4744 0.8177 0.6715 0.3101 0.8970 0.6744 0.1823
2016 205 0.5171 0.4829 0.7980 0.6604 0.2929 0.9000 0.5517 0.2020
2017 798 0.4323 0.4511 0.7333 0.6232 0.3201 0.8465 0.5655 0.2667
Career111330.49580.46620.80160.62710.30830.87530.65540.1984

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-04-21 2013-04-25 DTD 4 3 - General Medical Illness - -
2012-07-05 2012-07-15 DTD 10 6 Left Lower Leg Contusion Batted Ball - -
2011-09-04 2011-09-14 DTD 10 9 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2010-04-13 2010-04-16 DTD 3 2 General Medical Illness GI -
2010-03-01 2010-03-01 Camp 0 0 Left Foot Contusion Batted Ball Off Heel -
2004-02-20 2004-05-30 Coll 100 0 Left Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2004-03-31

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 CHN $2,000,000
2016 KCA $
2015 MIN $2,700,000
2014 MIN $2,000,000
2013 MIN $1,300,000
2012 MIN $515,000
2011 MIN $462,500
2010 MIN $417,500
2009 MIN $400,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$7,795,000
2017Current$2,000,000
8 yrPvs + Cur$9,795,000
8 yrTotal$9,795,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
7 y 55 dCAA Sports1 year/$2M (2017)

Details
  • 1 year/$2M (2017). Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 12/2/16.
  • 1 year (2016). Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 2/18/16 (minor-league contract). Salary of $2M in majors. Released by Kansas City after exercising opt-out clause 3/28/16. Re-signed by Kansas City as a free agent 4/1/16 (minor-league contract). May opt out of contract 5/15/16 if not on Major League roster. Exercised right to opt out of contract 5/15/16. Signed by Baltimore as a free agent 5/23/16 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Baltimore 6/2/16.
  • 1 year/$2.7M (2015). Re-signed by Minnesota 1/24/15 (avoided arbitration, $3.1M-$2.4M).
  • 1 year/$2M (2014). Re-signed by Minnesota 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$1.3M (2013). Re-signed by Minnesota 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.515M (2012). Re-signed by Minnesota 3/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.4625M (2011). Re-signed by Minnesota 3/11. Sent outright to Triple-A by Minnesota 10/20/11.
  • 1 year/$0.4175M (2010). Re-signed by Minnesota 3/7/10.
  • 1 year (2009). Contract purchased by Minnesota 11/19/08. Re-signed by Minnesota 3/8/09. Recalled 7/3/09.
  • Drafted by Minnesota 2005 (3-84) (Nebraska). $0.4M signing bonus.

2017 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.1 1.8 0 38 0 56.7 50 19 39 7 .255 1.21 4.12 4.15 2.8 0.3
80o 2 1.8 0 38 0 50.8 48 18 35 6 .269 1.30 4.52 4.57 1.0 0.1
70o 2 1.9 0 38 0 46.6 46 17 32 6 .279 1.37 4.82 4.87 -0.2 -0.0
60o 2 1.9 0 38 0 43.2 45 17 30 6 .288 1.43 5.08 5.14 -1.4 -0.2
50o 1.9 1.9 0 38 0 40.0 43 16 28 6 .296 1.49 5.33 5.39 -2.4 -0.3
40o 1.9 2 0 38 0 36.9 41 16 26 6 .304 1.55 5.59 5.64 -3.5 -0.4
30o 1.9 2 0 38 0 33.7 39 15 23 5 .313 1.61 5.86 5.92 -4.7 -0.5
20o 1.8 2 0 38 0 30.0 37 14 21 5 .323 1.69 6.19 6.25 -6.1 -0.7
10o 1.8 2.1 0 38 0 25.1 33 12 18 4 .337 1.81 6.65 6.72 -8.0 -0.9
Weighted Mean1.91.9038039.44216276.2941.475.305.35-2.3-0.2

2017 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 8/20/2017 12:11 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0.4 0.3 0 7 0 22.2 18 7 17 2 .252 1.13 3.61 3.72 0.9 0.1
80o 0.4 0.3 0 7 0 17.0 15 6 13 2 .267 1.22 4.00 4.12 0.5 0.1
70o 0.4 0.3 0 7 0 13.4 13 5 10 2 .277 1.29 4.28 4.41 0.3 0.0
60o 0.4 0.3 0 7 0 10.4 10 4 8 1 .285 1.34 4.52 4.66 0.1 0.0
50o 0.4 0.4 0 7 0 7.7 8 3 6 1 .294 1.40 4.75 4.9 -0.1 -0.0
40o 0.4 0.4 0 7 0 5.0 5 2 4 1 .302 1.45 4.99 5.15 -0.3 -0.0
30o 0.4 0.4 0 7 0 2.3 3 1 2 0 .311 1.52 5.24 5.41 -0.5 -0.1
Weighted Mean0.40.40707.07351.2921.384.724.87-0.1-0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
18% 29% 24% 8% 70%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2017 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20183521033035351325445.3021.374.535.249.03.36.41.0-0.0
20193610027029301022445.3101.404.895.669.43.16.91.3-0.2
20203721037039381329545.3021.324.415.108.83.06.71.20.0
20213821041044451429645.3011.354.905.679.32.96.01.2-0.3
20223910030032331322445.3111.444.805.569.33.76.21.1-0.2
20234010028030321114445.2931.455.336.179.73.34.21.2-0.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 84)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Nick Masset 2016 0.00 DNP
2 90 Aaron Fultz 2008 0.00 DNP
3 89 Peter Moylan 2013 6.46
4 88 Danys Baez 2012 0.00 DNP
5 88 Joe Beimel 2011 6.04
6 88 Dennys Reyes 2011 10.80
7 88 Joe Thatcher 2016 0.00 DNP
8 88 J.C. Romero 2010 4.42
9 87 Matt Lindstrom 2014 6.09
10 87 Shawn Camp 2010 3.36
11 87 Matt Guerrier 2013 4.64
12 87 Pedro Feliciano 2011 0.00 DNP
13 87 Scott Schoeneweis 2008 3.65
14 87 Randy Flores 2010 3.48
15 87 Jeff Parrett 1996 3.53
16 87 Fernando Rodney 2011 5.06
17 87 Mike Lincoln 2009 8.22
18 86 Luis Ayala 2012 3.36
19 86 Chad Qualls 2013 2.61
20 86 Jim Brower 2007 18.90
21 86 Jose Veras 2015 0.00 DNP
22 85 Aaron Heilman 2013 0.00 DNP
23 85 Jose Alvarez 1990 0.00 DNP
24 85 Jay Witasick 2007 5.46
25 85 Todd Coffey 2015 0.00 DNP
26 85 David Riske 2011 0.00 DNP
27 85 Scott Proctor 2011 7.59
28 84 Kiko Calero 2009 1.95
29 84 Charlie Hough 1982 4.38
30 84 Brian Boehringer 2003 5.49
31 84 Brandon Lyon 2014 0.00 DNP
32 84 Dave Giusti 1974 3.58
33 84 Kerry Wood 2011 4.24
34 84 Jason Motte 2016 5.87
35 84 Will Ohman 2012 6.41
36 84 Javier Lopez 2012 3.25
37 84 Dustin Hermanson 2007 0.00 DNP
38 84 Bill Campbell 1983 4.86
39 83 Mike DeJean 2005 4.76
40 83 Matt Belisle 2014 4.87
41 83 Joel Peralta 2010 2.20
42 83 Curtis Leskanic 2002 0.00 DNP
43 83 Todd Jones 2002 4.70
44 83 Jon Rauch 2013 7.56
45 83 Felix Rodriguez 2007 0.00 DNP
46 83 Esteban Yan 2009 0.00 DNP
47 83 Josias Manzanillo 2002 7.62
48 83 Fred Gladding 1970 5.07
49 83 Jason Frasor 2012 4.12
50 83 Braden Looper 2009 5.69
51 83 Jared Burton 2015 0.00 DNP
52 82 Justin Speier 2008 5.56
53 82 Scott Downs 2010 2.79
54 82 Chad Durbin 2012 3.69
55 82 Dave Veres 2001 3.97
56 82 Kerry Ligtenberg 2005 13.97
57 82 Jason Christiansen 2004 5.25
58 82 Gary Lavelle 1983 3.41
59 82 Casey Janssen 2016 0.00 DNP
60 82 John Franco 1995 2.96
61 82 Guillermo Mota 2008 4.42
62 82 Terry Forster 1986 3.95
63 82 Jean Machi 2016 0.00 DNP
64 82 George Sherrill 2011 3.00
65 82 Joey Eischen 2004 5.40
66 81 Michael Gonzalez 2012 3.53
67 81 Scot Shields 2010 6.07
68 81 Tyler Walker 2010 4.08
69 81 Justin Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
70 81 Ron Mahay 2005 7.07
71 81 Jesse Orosco 1991 4.14
72 81 Mike MacDougal 2011 2.53
73 81 Greg Harris 1990 4.39
74 81 Hideki Okajima 2010 4.70
75 81 Doug Corbett 1987 7.83
76 81 Keith Comstock 1990 3.54
77 81 Darren Hall 1999 0.00 DNP
78 81 Valerio De Los Santos 2007 0.00 DNP
79 81 Luis Vizcaino 2009 4.11
80 80 Juan Cruz 2013 0.00 DNP
81 80 Tom Martin 2004 3.97
82 80 Santiago Casilla 2015 2.95
83 80 Danny Cox 1994 1.45
84 80 Jerry Spradlin 2001 0.00 DNP
85 80 Kevin Gregg 2012 5.36
86 80 Jamey Wright 2009 5.92
87 80 John Bale 2008 4.39
88 80 Jeremy Affeldt 2013 3.74
89 80 Bobby Tiefenauer 1964 4.24
90 80 Dale Murray 1984 5.70
91 80 Gregg Olson 2001 8.76
92 80 Tony Fossas 1992 3.34
93 80 Alfredo Simon 2015 5.40
94 80 Brad Ziegler 2014 4.03
95 80 Dick Tidrow 1981 5.42
96 80 Mike Fetters 1999 6.97
97 80 Doug Brocail 2001 0.00 DNP
98 80 Scott Linebrink 2011 3.64
99 80 Oliver Perez 2016 5.17
100 80 B.J. Ryan 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .252 .315 .369 .251
11 vs R (Multi) .270 .336 .441 .261
18 Split (Multi) -.018 -.021 -.072 -.010
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.020 -.022 -.064 -.025
30 vs L (2016) .190 .190 .429 .207
31 vs R (2016) .290 .353 .419 .243
38 Split (2016) -.100 -.162 .009 -.036
39 LgAvg (2016) -.022 -.023 -.071 -.028

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2017 Due to publishing agreements, the 2017 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2017 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2016 "LOOGY" is used as a neutral descriptor these days, but back when it was mostly derisive, it would have applied nicely to Brian Duensing.
2015 Speaking of which, Duensing should be lauded for earning the organization's Community Service Award last year for his charitable endeavors off the field, but needs to temper the extreme generosity he also shows to right-handed batters. Last season was the latest chapter in Duensing's slow, inexorable devolution from starter to swingman to middle-man to LOOGY, as the longtime Twin dominated lefty batters, holding them to a .242/.282/.305 line. Righties, however, sprinted to the plate to get in their hacks, pounding him to the tune of .264/.352/.491 and walking nearly as often as they struck out. Duensing obviously needs to be spotted carefully to provide value in a big-league bullpen, and with his walk and strikeout rates moving dangerously close to one another, he may soon struggle to stay in The Show in any role.
2014 Duensing is a veteran lefty swingman whose fastball works in the low 90s and last year struck out nearly a batter per inning, which in the local lexicon makes him a “fireballer.” His peripherals were once indistinguishable from the rest of Lake Wobegon’s staff, where all the pitchers are good-looking and all contact rates are above average, but last year the home nine used him entirely in relief. The bump in Duensing’s strikeout rate came partially from his stuff playing up in shorter bursts, but mostly from avoiding the righty bats that have long tortured him. Spotted carefully, Duensing can be a reliable lefty bullpen arm, but his days in the rotation should be over.
2013 The Twins' 2013 rotation is about as open as they come, but several years of data suggest that Duensing's career as a starting pitcher should probably be over. As a reliever in 2012, Duensing faced 231 batters and put up a 3.44 ERA, with only one home run allowed; as a starter, he faced 241 batters and put up a 6.92 ERA, surrendering nine homers. In his career, Duensing has thrown about 2.5 times as many innings as a starter than as a reliever, but has given up six times as many homers. The starting thing just isn't working. He can be exceptionally useful as a set-up man, having held left-handed hitters to a 560 career OPS (678 in 2012) while getting torched by righties to the tune of an 830 OPS (808 in 2012).
2012 After shuttling between bullpen and rotation during his first two seasons, Duensing was anointed as a starter early in the spring of 2011. To that point, he had put up a sterling 2.93 ERA in 22 starts, with a .288 BABIP masking a not-so-sterling 3.96 FIP—a performance comparable to what he'd done in the bullpen. Alas, Duensing's 2011 was a nightmare, as his performance against righties collapsed from .277/.336/.411 in 2009-2010 to .330/.387/.560, with both his BABIP and home run rate against them ballooning (from .294 to .357 on the former, and from 2.6 to 3.8 percent on the latter). Blame some on the Twins' substandard infield defense and bad luck on fly balls, but some is lack of stuff to take down righties. The Twins plan to move Duensing back to the bullpen, but with so many starters on thin ice, he could get another shot.
2011 Last season, Duensing proved that he was more than just a Quad-A pitcher with the ceiling of a spot starter or long reliever. He moved into the rotation when injuries struck in late July and pitched as well as any Twins starter down the stretch, albeit with the aid of a low BABIP. Regardless of any help he may have had along the way, the team went 9-4 in his 13 starts, although he looked helpless in the decisive third game of the ALDS against the Yankees. Duensing doesn’t have overwhelming stuff, featuring a fastball that averages 91 mph to go with a slider, curveball, and changeup, but he throws strikes and never gets rattled. He won't be an ace, but he has proven that he can belongs in a major-league rotation.
2010 Duensing was seen as an organizational lefty coming into the year, but he joined the Twins for good in July, replaced Francisco Liriano in the rotation at the end of August, and more than held his own in both roles. Like most young arms raised in the Twins' system, Duensing is far from overpowering, but his fastball has enough velocity to set up his changeup, which is a true plus offering; he also mixes in both a curveball and a slider. There's not much of a ceiling here, but he's earned a right to compete for a back-end rotation job this spring.
2009 The Twins are like Chrysler in the K-Car era, mass-producing a style-less but functional model that's just good enough to keep them in business—although the one thing Twins pitching prospects don't get is Ks. Duensing is another off the assembly line, with standard-feature good control and let-'em-hit-it styling. He varies slightly from his fellow Twin Pitchers™ in that he's not an extreme fly-ball pitcher, but his ceiling is still back-end starter or middle relief.
2008 The Twins mass-produce command pitchers who have ten percent less stuff than would get anyone particularly excited about them. Loosely speaking, Duensing is what you get if make Blackburn throw lefty and give him a slider. A Nebraska product, Duensing has had more consistent success through the system than Blackburn, but right now the two are essentially even. If teams still used swingmen, platooning the pair in the fifth-starter slot would be a neat tactic that would break both into the majors effectively while giving the Twins a small competitive edge. Anybody remember when managers showed initiative?
2007 Southpaw Brian Duensing moved from Low-A to Double-A in one year, but as a 23 year old, he probably belonged in Double-A in the first place. That said, he`s a command and control lefty who depends on changing speeds, the kind of pitcher who has a hard time succeeding in the big leagues.

BP Articles

Brian Duensing is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Transaction Analysis: Avila Trades Avila (and Wilson)Emmett Rosenbaum2017-08-01
Transaction Analysis: Avila Trades Avila (and Wilson)Eric Roseberry2017-08-01
Transaction Analysis: Avila Trades Avila (and Wilson)Zack Moser2017-08-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 17Scooter Hotz2017-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessRubbing Mud: So You're Dead Set on Fixing the CubsMatthew Trueblood2017-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 12Scooter Hotz2017-06-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 10Scooter Hotz2017-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFlu-Like Symptoms: Extreme Makeover: National League EditionRob Mains2017-03-27
Transaction Analysis: Daddy Long Legs Hops From Chicago to St. LouisMatthew Trueblood2016-12-10
Transaction Analysis: Nationals Nab NorrisJared Wyllys2016-12-05
Transaction Analysis: Nationals Nab NorrisMatthew Trueblood2016-12-05
Playoff Prospectus: Blue Jays Knock Out OriolesMatthew Trueblood2016-10-05
What You Need to Know: Nothing Left to Do But WinAshley Varela2016-06-13
Transaction Analysis: Only The LoneyJeffrey Paternostro2016-06-01
Transaction Analysis: Only The LoneyBryan Grosnick2016-06-01
Rumor Roundup: The Two Most Exciting Fifth Starters NamedDaniel Rathman2016-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cardinals Clinch; Cardinals Are Doomed?Daniel Rathman2015-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 29, 2015Chris Mosch2015-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Topsy-Turvy CentralIan Frazer2015-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cueto Fries the FriarsChris Mosch2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cueto Fries the FriarsMorris Greenberg2014-05-16
The Lineup Card: 11 Spring Training Performances We Sort of Believe InBaseball Prospectus2014-03-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersBen Murphy2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersJared Weiss2014-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Braves Get Left-Handed ReliefBen Lindbergh2013-07-30
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 7/14Ben Lindbergh2013-07-15
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: Who'll Stop the Run?Jason Wojciechowski2013-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Have the Twins Learned to Love the Strikeout?Ben Lindbergh2013-01-15
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2012-01-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the Twins' organizational phobia against strikeout pitchers?
(PepeShady from St Paul)
On the whole, it doesn't help them. But they do a very good job of making the most of what they do, so I can't fault them on that account. I like guys like Brian Duensing, or going back farther, Brad Radke, but they always live on the edge between success and getting pummeled. It's a tough way to make a long career. (Mike Fast)
2011-09-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)One last question and I know it may be early for this one... Any hitters or pitchers you like a breakout candidates next year?
(Jquinton82 from NY)
Hm, I like the look of Jerome Williams in a small sample this year. I think Fister and McCarthy may be the real deal, though they're not exactly breakout candidates any more. I like Brian Duensing coming into this season, and still do.

Dave Robertson and Kenley Jansen are two names that will surprise no one, but they could end up in bigger roles. In that vein, Greg Holland for the Royals, Vinnie Pestano for the Indians. And in the this-guys-stuff-intrigues-me-but-his-wildness-scares-me category, plus he has a cool name: Fautino de los Santos. (Mike Fast)
2011-05-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)What numbers do you expect from Hosmer for the balance of the season? Does he move into elite 1B territory as soon as next year? Also, tell me anything worth hearing about my Twins.
(Patrick from DE)
The PECOTA projection was for .272/.326/.439, but PECOTA isn't told about his struggles with eyesight in 2009, so I expect better. I am hopeful for elite 1B territory at some point. Hmm, next year...as a Royals fan it's incredibly tempting to say yes. I'm not sure the evidence is there yet, though, if I try to be objective. I really want to say yes, though.

Something worth hearing about your Twins? Ouch. Let's see...Jeremy Greenhouse found Carl Pavano had the straightest fastball in the Hardball Times Annual last fall...no wait, that's probably not the kind of thing you wanted to hear.

How 'bout this: I really like Brian Duensing. He seems to be an under-the-radar guy who has decent stuff and good control. I like Scott Baker, too. (Mike Fast)
2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)OK, so this Brian Duensing thing is just a mirage, right? It wasn't a great outing last night, but a tough enough matchup that I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.
(ChuckR from Addison, IL)
The ERA is definitely a mirage, but he had very low walk rates in the minors that allowed him to get away with the below-average whiff rate. As long as he has his control he's league average or a little better, but his ERA should be two runs higher than it is right now. (Marc Normandin)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Brian Duensing has thrown 11,497 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2017, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2017, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph) and Slider (82mph), also mixing in a Sinker (92mph), Change (85mph) and Curve (73mph).