Biographical

Portrait of Darin Downs

Darin Downs PAstros

Astros Player Cards | Astros Team Audit | Astros Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.3 4.61 1.46 0 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date12-26-1984
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age29 years, 9 months, 25 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
2010
2011
0.42012
0.32013
-0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2012 DET 27 18 0 20.7 0.0 20.7 2 1 0 1 0 0 86 18 8 8 1 25 9 7 1 20 3.48 3.19 3.34 4.2 0.4
2013 DET 28 29 0 35.3 0.0 35.3 0 2 0 0 0 0 151 36 20 19 4 60 11 9 2 37 4.84 3.56 4.24 3.2 0.3
2014 HOU 29 45 0 34.7 0.0 34.7 2 1 0 2 0 0 148 28 22 21 2 44 19 17 3 27 5.45 4.26 5.01 -1.3 -0.1
Career92090.70.090.7440300385825048712939336844.763.744.316.00.6

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2004 BOI A- 14 13 60.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .311 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 PEO A 2 2 6.3 8.02 25 .394 .266 .345 .369 .269 .407 97 -1.1 -0.1 -1.1 -0.1
2005 BOI A- 14 13 61.7 5.05 90 .252 .252 .332 .373 .260 .302 98 5.6 0.6 5.6 0.6
2006 BOI A- 9 2 24.2 3.76 103 .209 .241 .325 .351 .265 .293 77 5.7 0.6 5.7 0.6
2006 CUB Rk 2 1 3.0 10.25 -5 .337 .275 .353 .374 .274 .364 100 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2007 DAY A+ 34 2 61.3 4.96 92 .267 .260 .332 .379 .256 .300 100 2.6 0.3 2.6 0.3
2008 DAY A+ 17 0 28.0 4.06 110 .257 .249 .327 .360 .251 .330 106 3.7 0.4 3.7 0.4
2008 VRO A+ 10 1 21.0 3.20 133 .259 .263 .337 .382 .258 .371 108 4.1 0.4 4.1 0.4
2008 TEN AA 22 0 23.3 5.20 101 .279 .262 .342 .401 .253 .378 113 2.4 0.2 3.0 0.3
2009 PCH A+ 20 19 121.7 4.15 105 .242 .254 .329 .368 .256 .307 99 10.0 1.0 10.0 1.0
2009 MNT AA 2 2 11.3 3.58 110 .306 .267 .331 .388 .268 .343 90 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2010 MNT AA 18 3 48.0 2.94 135 .229 .264 .341 .391 .267 .319 100 14.3 1.5 14.3 1.5
2010 DUR AAA 23 1 40.3 4.38 105 .272 .268 .336 .412 .257 .370 101 3.8 0.4 3.8 0.4
2011 JAX AA 22 13 76.3 5.11 97 .266 .264 .333 .393 .255 .319 103 8.5 0.9 8.5 0.9
2011 NWO AAA 10 5 35.7 2.45 152 .211 .281 .353 .432 .264 .333 96 14.5 1.4 14.2 1.4
2011 ARA Wnt 9 9 40.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .336 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 DET MLB 18 0 20.7 3.34 130 .229 .252 .319 .398 .259 .309 107 4.2 0.4 4.2 0.4
2012 TOL AAA 25 0 29.3 2.59 140 .203 .256 .326 .390 .251 .325 98 8.1 0.8 8.1 0.8
2013 DET MLB 29 0 35.3 4.24 103 .274 .251 .315 .399 .262 .330 102 3.2 0.3 3.2 0.3
2013 WMI A 1 0 1.0 1.81 159 -.003 .273 .318 .419 .267 .000 96 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2013 TOL AAA 12 0 15.7 4.42 92 .192 .254 .326 .371 .251 .205 94 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2014 HOU MLB 45 0 34.7 5.01 78 .261 .250 .313 .383 .262 .268 99 -1.3 -0.1 -1.3 -0.1
2014 CCH AA 2 2 1.7 4.43 101 .354 .288 .342 .434 .269 .750 102 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0
2014 OKL AAA 9 0 13.0 3.06 140 .282 .270 .329 .415 .265 .425 98 4.3 0.4 4.3 0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2004 BOI A- 5 3 0 14 13 60.0 55 35 61 5 0% .311 8.2 5.2 0.8 9.2 1.50 4.95 0.0 0.0
2005 BOI A- 5 4 0 14 13 61.7 61 22 63 5 48% .302 8.9 3.2 0.7 9.2 1.35 3.50 5.6 0.6
2005 PEO A 0 2 0 2 2 6.3 12 4 3 1 43% .407 17.1 5.7 1.4 4.3 2.54 18.57 -1.1 -0.1
2006 BOI A- 4 2 0 9 2 24.2 25 7 24 0 47% .293 9.3 2.6 0.0 8.9 1.32 4.83 5.7 0.6
2006 CUB Rk 1 1 0 2 1 3.0 5 1 2 1 58% .364 15.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 2.00 12.00 -0.1 -0.0
2007 DAY A+ 3 7 2 34 2 61.3 61 17 65 10 44% .300 9.0 2.5 1.5 9.5 1.27 4.11 2.6 0.3
2008 TEN AA 0 2 0 22 0 23.3 32 16 17 1 51% .378 12.4 6.2 0.4 6.6 2.06 6.57 3.0 0.3
2008 VRO A+ 0 3 0 10 1 21.0 24 9 24 1 44% .371 10.3 3.9 0.4 10.3 1.57 6.00 4.1 0.4
2008 DAY A+ 2 0 0 17 0 28.0 29 13 25 0 52% .330 9.3 4.2 0.0 8.0 1.50 2.89 3.7 0.4
2009 PCH A+ 12 4 0 20 19 121.7 117 23 111 11 57% .307 8.7 1.7 0.8 8.2 1.15 2.00 10.0 1.0
2009 MNT AA 0 2 0 2 2 11.3 13 4 9 1 39% .343 10.4 3.2 0.8 7.2 1.50 4.78 1.2 0.1
2010 DUR AAA 6 2 0 23 1 40.3 44 17 45 4 45% .370 9.8 3.8 0.9 10.0 1.51 4.47 3.8 0.4
2010 MNT AA 6 2 0 18 3 48.0 40 15 57 2 47% .319 7.5 2.8 0.4 10.7 1.15 1.69 14.3 1.5
2011 NWO AAA 3 2 0 10 5 35.7 34 8 39 1 37% .333 8.6 2.0 0.3 9.8 1.18 4.29 14.2 1.4
2011 ARA Wnt 2 3 0 9 9 40.3 46 12 25 0 0% .336 10.3 2.7 0.0 5.6 1.44 3.35 0.0 0.0
2011 JAX AA 2 5 0 22 13 76.3 87 23 48 7 52% .319 10.3 2.7 0.8 5.7 1.44 4.83 8.5 0.9
2012 DET MLB 2 1 0 18 0 20.7 18 9 20 1 45% .309 7.8 3.9 0.4 8.7 1.31 3.48 4.2 0.4
2012 TOL AAA 0 2 0 25 0 29.3 25 8 33 0 53% .325 7.7 2.5 0.0 10.1 1.12 2.15 8.1 0.8
2013 TOL AAA 0 1 0 12 0 15.7 9 6 12 0 43% .205 5.2 3.4 0.0 6.9 0.96 2.30 0.2 0.0
2013 WMI A 0 0 0 1 0 1.0 0 0 1 0 50% .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.00 0.00 0.3 0.0
2013 DET MLB 0 2 0 29 0 35.3 36 11 37 4 49% .330 9.2 2.8 1.0 9.4 1.33 4.84 3.2 0.3
2014 HOU MLB 2 1 0 45 0 34.7 28 19 27 2 45% .268 7.3 4.9 0.5 7.0 1.36 5.45 -1.3 -0.1
2014 OKL AAA 1 2 0 9 0 13.0 17 4 15 0 32% .425 11.8 2.8 0.0 10.4 1.62 5.54 4.3 0.4
2014 CCH AA 0 1 0 2 2 1.7 3 2 3 0 25% .750 16.2 10.8 0.0 16.2 3.00 5.40 0.5 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 344 0.4360 0.4477 0.7403 0.6533 0.2887 0.8469 0.5536 0.2597
2013 567 0.4162 0.4709 0.7154 0.6525 0.3414 0.8896 0.4779 0.2809
2014 525 0.4343 0.4667 0.7061 0.6579 0.3199 0.8267 0.5158 0.2939
Career14360.42760.46380.7180.65470.32090.85640.50990.2806

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-15 2014-09-02 15-DL 18 16 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2013-07-07 2013-08-04 15-DL 28 22 Left Shoulder Tendonitis Rotator Cuff - -
2012-04-04 2012-04-13 Minors 9 7 Left Thumb Blister - -
2009-08-18 2009-09-08 Minors 21 0 Head Fracture From Batted Ball and Concussion -
2006-07-14 2006-07-25 Minors 11 0 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 HOU $
2013 DET $494,000
2012 DET $
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$494,000
1 yrTotal$494,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 68 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Houston 3/6/14.
  • 1 year/$0.494M (2013). Re-signed by Detroit 2/18/13. Claimed by Houston off waivers from Detroit 11/1/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Signed by Detroit as a free agent 11/14/11 (minor-league contract). Contract purchased by Detroit 7/3/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Signed by Florida as a free agent 11/8/10 (minor-league contract).
  • Acquired by Tampa Bay in trade from Chicago Cubs 7/24/08.
  • Drafted by Chicago Cubs 2003 (5-133) (Santaluces HS, Lantana, Fla.). $0.225M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 2.5 2 0.2 31 4 58.7 50 18 51 5 .271 1.17 3.29 3.58 9.4 1.0
80o 2.2 1.8 0.2 28 4 52.9 49 18 46 5 .285 1.26 3.70 4.02 5.7 0.6
70o 2 1.7 0.1 26 3 48.8 47 17 42 5 .296 1.32 3.99 4.34 3.5 0.4
60o 1.8 1.6 0.1 24 3 45.4 46 17 39 5 .304 1.38 4.25 4.62 1.8 0.2
50o 1.6 1.5 0.1 22 3 42.3 45 16 36 5 .313 1.43 4.50 4.89 0.4 0.0
40o 1.5 1.4 0.1 21 3 39.2 43 15 34 5 .321 1.49 4.75 5.16 -0.8 -0.1
30o 1.3 1.3 0.1 19 3 36.0 41 15 31 4 .330 1.55 5.02 5.45 -1.9 -0.2
20o 1.1 1.2 0.1 17 2 32.4 39 14 28 4 .340 1.63 5.34 5.81 -3.0 -0.3
10o 0.9 1.1 0.1 14 2 27.5 35 13 24 4 .355 1.74 5.80 6.3 -3.9 -0.4
Weighted Mean1.61.50.122341.74316365.3111.424.464.850.60.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
5% 10% 7% 12% 25%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20153032041371772965946.3181.494.865.299.83.78.21.1-0.2
201631320463808429731046.3121.414.424.819.53.38.21.10.2
201732320473828429731046.3091.384.294.679.33.28.01.10.3
201833320473828429721046.3071.384.254.629.33.27.91.10.3
20193432045378812769946.3101.384.294.669.33.18.01.00.3
20203532042372742564946.3081.384.274.649.23.18.01.10.3
20213632039367702358846.3091.394.274.649.43.17.81.10.3
20223721037363662254746.3091.404.274.649.43.17.71.00.3
20233821035261632152746.3091.384.264.639.33.17.71.00.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
212.8out of baseball3.72.50.121

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 91 Brian Slocum 2010 0.00 DNP
2 89 Chris Smith 2010 5.40
3 89 John Ennis 2009 0.00 DNP
4 88 Ramon A. Ramirez 2012 0.00 DNP
5 88 Dirk Hayhurst 2010 0.00 DNP
6 88 Buddy Carlyle 2007 5.64
7 87 Steven Jackson 2011 0.00 DNP
8 87 T.J. Beam 2010 0.00 DNP
9 87 Eric Stults 2009 4.86
10 87 Mike Burns 2008 0.00 DNP
11 86 Colby Lewis 2009 0.00 DNP
12 86 Brent Leach 2012 0.00 DNP
13 86 Rocky Cherry 2009 0.00 DNP
14 86 Greg Burke 2012 0.00 DNP
15 86 Romulo Sanchez 2013 0.00 DNP
16 86 Bill Murphy 2010 0.00 DNP
17 86 Travis Phelps 2007 0.00 DNP
18 86 Mike Gosling 2010 0.00 DNP
19 85 Justin Hampson 2009 0.00 DNP
20 85 Robert Ray 2013 0.00 DNP
21 85 Andrew Sisco 2012 0.00 DNP
22 85 Everett Teaford 2013 0.00
23 85 Dan Meyer 2011 0.00 DNP
24 85 Jarrett Grube 2011 0.00 DNP
25 84 Pedro Viola 2012 0.00 DNP
26 84 Daniel Davidson 2010 0.00 DNP
27 84 Fu-Te Ni 2012 0.00 DNP
28 84 Brian Baker 2012 0.00 DNP
29 84 Anastacio Martinez 2008 0.00 DNP
30 84 Billy Buckner 2013 4.67
31 84 Marcus McBeth 2010 0.00 DNP
32 84 Steve Bray 2010 0.00 DNP
33 83 Fernando Rodriguez 2013 0.00 DNP
34 83 Zach Jackson 2012 0.00 DNP
35 83 Carlos Muniz 2010 0.00 DNP
36 83 Steve Watkins 2008 0.00 DNP
37 83 Billy Traber 2009 14.73
38 83 Francisco Felix 2013 0.00 DNP
39 83 Jon Huber 2011 0.00 DNP
40 83 Kurt Birkins 2010 0.00 DNP
41 82 Hector Ambriz 2013 6.94
42 82 Matt Yourkin 2011 0.00 DNP
43 82 Joe Bisenius 2012 0.00 DNP
44 82 Matt Childers 2008 0.00 DNP
45 82 Scott Richmond 2009 5.84
46 82 Matt Daley 2011 10.50
47 82 Matt Smith 2008 0.00 DNP
48 82 Edwin Moreno 2010 0.00 DNP
49 82 Scot Drucker 2011 0.00 DNP
50 82 Adalberto Mendez 2011 0.00 DNP
51 81 Casey Daigle 2010 11.32
52 81 Jose Lugo 2013 0.00 DNP
53 81 Matt Palmer 2008 9.24
54 81 Esmailin Caridad 2013 0.00 DNP
55 81 A.J. Murray 2011 0.00 DNP
56 81 Steven Shell 2012 0.00 DNP
57 81 Justin Lehr 2007 0.00 DNP
58 81 Jose Valdez 2012 3.00
59 81 Greg Aquino 2007 5.79
60 81 J.D. Martin 2012 0.00 DNP
61 81 Jason Anderson 2008 0.00 DNP
62 81 Dewon Day 2010 0.00 DNP
63 81 Jason Waddell 2010 0.00 DNP
64 81 Jailen Peguero 2010 0.00 DNP
65 81 Justin Thomas 2013 0.00 DNP
66 81 Travis Hughes 2007 0.00 DNP
67 81 Anthony Lerew 2012 0.00 DNP
68 81 J.D. Durbin 2011 0.00 DNP
69 81 Andrew Dobies 2012 0.00 DNP
70 81 Jeff Bajenaru 2007 0.00 DNP
71 80 Andy Van Hekken 2009 0.00 DNP
72 80 Ryan Meaux 2008 0.00 DNP
73 80 Jack Egbert 2012 0.00
74 80 Juan Cedeno 2013 0.00 DNP
75 80 Josh Hancock 2007 4.26
76 80 Thomas Diamond 2012 0.00 DNP
77 80 Kyle Denney 2007 0.00 DNP
78 80 Eric Hull 2009 0.00 DNP
79 80 Oneli Perez 2012 0.00 DNP
80 80 Kei Igawa 2009 0.00 DNP
81 80 Chris Seddon 2013 0.00 DNP
82 80 Jack Cassel 2010 0.00 DNP
83 80 Eric Hacker 2012 5.59
84 80 Mike Hinckley 2012 0.00 DNP
85 80 Blake Hawksworth 2012 0.00 DNP
86 80 Tyler Yates 2007 6.00
87 80 Jorge Campillo 2008 4.20
88 80 Jairo Asencio 2012 5.13
89 80 Kevin Gregg 2007 3.64
90 80 Zack Segovia 2012 0.00 DNP
91 80 Philip Humber 2012 6.53
92 80 Clay Rapada 2010 4.00
93 80 Roman Colon 2009 4.83
94 80 Matt Maloney 2013 0.00 DNP
95 80 Jim Paduch 2012 0.00 DNP
96 80 Jeremy Johnson 2012 0.00 DNP
97 79 Heath Phillips 2011 0.00 DNP
98 79 Victor Moreno 2008 0.00 DNP
99 79 Geno Espineli 2012 0.00 DNP
100 79 Jose Capellan 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .209 .259 .319 .210
11 vs R (Multi) .303 .382 .503 .299
18 Split (Multi) -.094 -.123 -.184 -.089
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.026 -.032 -.063 -.030
30 vs L (2013) .219 .265 .359 .227
31 vs R (2013) .306 .378 .514 .299
38 Split (2013) -.087 -.113 -.155 -.072
39 LgAvg (2013) -.025 -.031 -.062 -.029

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Darin Downs showed how fungible relievers can be. After 10 years and 16 stops in the minors, he emerged as a 27-year-old to give the Tigers 21 quality bullpen innings, but donít be surprised if heís back down for year 11 and stop 17 in 2013.

BP Articles

Darin Downs is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 9, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-09
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsDaniel Rathman2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsChris Mosch2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsNick Bacarella2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Crain So Good Coulda Swore You Went to CollegeMike Gianella2014-01-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Crain So Good Coulda Swore You Went to CollegeR.J. Anderson2014-01-02
The Week in Quotes: December 26-January 1Morris Greenberg2014-01-02
The Week in Quotes: December 26-January 1Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-01-02
The Week in Quotes: December 26-January 1Nick Bacarella2014-01-02
The Week in Quotes: December 26-January 1Chris Mosch2014-01-02
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Tigers at AthleticsSam Miller2013-10-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 11, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-11
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 5, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 28, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-28
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 24, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 23, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-23
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 8, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Meet the Detroit TigerrorsDaniel Rathman2013-06-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessBullpen Report: What Have You Done for Me Lately?Mike Gianella2013-06-20
The Lineup Card: Seven Moves that Helped LCS TeamsBaseball Prospectus2012-10-18
What You Need to Know: Monday, September 24Daniel Rathman2012-09-24


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Darin Downs has thrown 1,436 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2014, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Slider (86mph), Fourseam Fastball (91mph) and Sinker (90mph), also mixing in a Change (85mph) and Curve (74mph).