Biographical

Portrait of Josh Collmenter

Josh Collmenter PD-backs

D-backs Player Cards | D-backs Team Audit | D-backs Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 28)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
5.7 3.67 1.23 4 0 1 0 0.1
Birth Date2-7-1986
Height6' 4"
Weight235 lbs
Age28 years, 8 months, 18 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
1.62011
1.02012
1.82013
1.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2011 ARI 25 31 24 154.3 140.3 14.0 10 10 0 0 15 0 621 137 61 58 17 216 28 26 5 100 3.38 3.77 4.00 15.4 1.6
2012 ARI 26 28 11 90.3 56.3 34.0 5 3 0 0 3 0 375 92 39 37 13 151 22 20 0 80 3.69 3.97 4.50 9.1 1.0
2013 ARI 27 49 0 92.0 0.0 92.0 5 5 0 1 1 0 384 79 34 32 8 118 33 25 2 85 3.13 3.44 3.00 16.2 1.8
2014 ARI 28 33 28 179.3 170.3 9.0 11 9 1 0 14 0 719 163 75 69 18 256 39 37 4 115 3.46 3.84 4.47 8.5 1.0
Career14163516.0367.0149.0312711330209947120919656741122108113803.423.774.0649.35.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2011 ARI MLB 31 24 154.3 4.00 104 .236 .252 .310 .388 .256 .255 100 15.3 1.6 15.4 1.6
2011 RNO AAA 1 1 6.0 4.78 117 .185 .294 .349 .446 .259 .091 109 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2012 ARI MLB 28 11 90.3 4.50 100 .255 .251 .308 .388 .253 .304 104 8.5 0.9 9.1 1.0
2012 DIA Rk 3 3 8.0 1.76 164 .138 .269 .353 .370 .278 .294 92 4.3 0.4 4.3 0.4
2013 ARI MLB 49 0 92.0 3.00 128 .238 .250 .309 .385 .254 .277 104 17.2 1.9 16.2 1.8
2014 ARI MLB 33 28 179.3 4.47 93 .244 .249 .306 .375 .255 .267 104 8.9 1.0 8.5 1.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2011 ARI MLB 10 10 0 31 24 154.3 137 28 100 17 35% .255 8.0 1.6 1.0 5.8 1.07 3.38 15.4 1.6
2011 RNO AAA 1 0 0 1 1 6.0 2 2 7 1 17% .091 3.0 3.0 1.5 10.5 0.67 1.50 1.2 0.1
2012 ARI MLB 5 3 0 28 11 90.3 92 22 80 13 40% .304 9.2 2.2 1.3 8.0 1.26 3.69 9.1 1.0
2012 DIA Rk 0 0 0 3 3 8.0 5 0 11 0 59% .294 5.6 0.0 0.0 12.4 0.62 0.00 4.3 0.4
2013 ARI MLB 5 5 0 49 0 92.0 79 33 85 8 36% .277 7.7 3.2 0.8 8.3 1.22 3.13 16.2 1.8
2014 ARI MLB 11 9 1 33 28 179.3 163 39 115 18 41% .267 8.2 2.0 0.9 5.8 1.13 3.46 8.5 1.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 2424 0.5219 0.4876 0.8339 0.6427 0.3167 0.8708 0.7520 0.1661
2012 1491 0.5211 0.4752 0.8150 0.6422 0.2927 0.8517 0.7273 0.1836
2013 1526 0.5105 0.4984 0.7776 0.6855 0.3025 0.8352 0.6416 0.2211
2014 2693 0.5006 0.4682 0.8276 0.6469 0.2877 0.8807 0.7080 0.1684
Career81340.51260.48090.81780.6520.30.86390.71220.1804

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-08-09 2012-09-01 15-DL 23 22 - General Medical Other Ulcers - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 ARI $
2016 ARI $
2015 ARI $1,450,000
2014 ARI $975,000
2013 ARI $504,000
2012 ARI $486,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$990,000
2011Current$975,000
3 yrPvs + Cur$1,965,000
1 yrFuture$1,450,000
4 yrTotal$3,415,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 0 dSparta Group2 years/$2.425M (2014-15), options

Details
  • 2 years/$2.425M (2014-15), plus 2016-17 options. Signed extension with Arizona 1/15/14. $0.1M signing bonus. 14:$0.925M, 15:$1.4M, 16:$1.825M club option, 17:$2M mutual option (price is $2.25M if club exercises 2017 option, $0.15M buyout if club declines).
  • 1 year/$0.504M (2013). Re-signed by Arizona 3/2/13.
  • 1 year/$0.486M (2012). Renewed by Arizona 3/3/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Arizona 11/19/10. Re-signed 3/11/11.
  • Drafted by Arizona 2007 (15-463) (Central Michigan).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.4 1.8 0 49 2 77.2 55 19 65 6 .250 0.96 2.18 2.37 17.3 1.8
80o 3.3 1.7 0 49 2 71.4 54 19 60 6 .263 1.03 2.49 2.7 14.8 1.5
70o 3.3 1.7 0 49 2 67.3 54 19 56 6 .272 1.08 2.71 2.95 12.9 1.3
60o 3.2 1.7 0 49 2 63.9 53 18 53 6 .281 1.12 2.91 3.16 11.3 1.2
50o 3.2 1.7 0 49 2 60.7 52 18 51 6 .288 1.16 3.09 3.36 9.8 1.0
40o 3.2 1.7 0 49 2 57.6 51 18 48 6 .296 1.20 3.27 3.56 8.3 0.8
30o 3.1 1.7 0 49 2 54.3 50 18 46 6 .304 1.25 3.47 3.78 6.6 0.7
20o 3.1 1.7 0 49 2 50.6 49 17 42 5 .314 1.31 3.71 4.03 4.8 0.5
10o 3 1.6 0 49 2 45.5 47 16 38 5 .327 1.39 4.04 4.4 2.1 0.2
Weighted Mean3.21.7049260.25118506.2861.153.073.349.91.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
20% 42% 24% 33% 81%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152952071389802677940.3011.203.373.678.12.67.80.91.3
20163042065281702470840.2911.173.253.537.82.77.80.91.4
20173142064279682167840.2911.132.973.237.82.47.70.91.6
20183242061275672165740.2971.173.193.478.02.57.80.81.3
20193342055268601958740.2931.163.183.467.92.57.60.91.2
20203432052264571854740.2951.183.263.558.12.57.61.01.1
20213532047258521649640.2951.173.223.508.02.57.60.91.0
20223631044255491546640.2971.173.203.488.12.57.61.00.9
20233731040149441342540.2981.163.213.498.02.47.70.90.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
14.112.16.87.58.85.849.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Randy Wells 2011 5.05
2 91 Joe Saunders 2009 4.94
3 87 Jeff Niemann 2011 4.32
4 87 Doug Fister 2012 4.06
5 86 Phil Coke 2011 5.30
6 86 Alfredo Aceves 2011 2.92
7 85 Burke Badenhop 2011 4.10
8 85 Jeff Samardzija 2013 4.59
9 84 Darrell Rasner 2009 0.00 DNP
10 84 Matt Belisle 2008 8.19
11 84 Sean Burnett 2011 3.81
12 83 Josh Outman 2013 4.50
13 83 Shawn Hill 2009 5.25
14 83 Jim Johnson 2011 2.97
15 83 Andrew Bailey 2012 7.04
16 83 Dana Eveland 2012 5.29
17 82 Jeremy Sowers 2011 0.00 DNP
18 82 Clayton Richard 2012 4.49
19 82 Jose Capellan 2009 0.00 DNP
20 81 Brian Duensing 2011 5.62
21 81 Mike Fiers 2013 8.06
22 81 Wil Ledezma 2009 11.12
23 81 Tom Gorzelanny 2011 4.29
24 81 Sergio Mitre 2009 7.66
25 80 Nick Blackburn 2010 5.65
26 80 Dustin McGowan 2010 0.00 DNP
27 80 Aaron Heilman 2007 3.77
28 80 Brandon McCarthy 2012 3.57
29 80 Lenny DiNardo 2008 7.83
30 80 Joe Blanton 2009 4.10
31 80 Justin Germano 2011 5.68
32 80 Cory Luebke 2013 0.00 DNP
33 80 Angel Guzman 2010 0.00 DNP
34 79 Clay Hensley 2008 6.23
35 79 John Maine 2009 4.65
36 79 Cha Seung Baek 2008 4.91
37 79 Zach Miner 2010 0.00 DNP
38 79 Juan Gutierrez 2012 0.00 DNP
39 79 Robinson Tejeda 2010 4.13
40 79 Sean Marshall 2011 2.50
41 78 Pat Misch 2010 4.78
42 78 Gavin Floyd 2011 4.51
43 78 Erik Bedard 2007 3.26
44 78 Nick Masset 2010 3.64
45 78 Kason Gabbard 2010 0.00 DNP
46 78 J.A. Happ 2011 5.93
47 78 Brian Wolfe 2009 8.80
48 78 Charlie Morton 2012 5.36
49 78 Noah Lowry 2009 0.00 DNP
50 77 David Purcey 2010 4.24
51 77 Micah Owings 2011 3.86
52 77 Armando Galarraga 2010 4.68
53 77 Dave Bush 2008 4.48
54 77 Chad Qualls 2007 3.16
55 77 Chris Resop 2011 4.39
56 77 Brian Burres 2009 17.05
57 77 Edinson Volquez 2012 4.34
58 77 Matt Morris 2003 3.97
59 77 Wesley Wright 2013 4.02
60 76 Mitch Talbot 2012 0.00 DNP
61 76 Frank Sullivan 1958 4.06
62 76 Garrett Olson 2012 108.00
63 76 Gary Peters 1965 3.88
64 76 Ricky Romero 2013 11.05
65 76 John Lackey 2007 3.50
66 76 Dallas Braden 2012 0.00 DNP
67 76 Esmerling Vasquez 2012 5.68
68 76 Andrew Miller 2013 3.82
69 76 Graham Godfrey 2013 0.00 DNP
70 76 Dontrelle Willis 2010 5.62
71 76 Jose Rijo 1993 2.66
72 76 Steve Rogers 1978 2.63
73 76 Roy Halladay 2005 2.48
74 76 Dean Chance 1969 3.97
75 76 Joel Hanrahan 2010 3.62
76 75 Kevin Appier 1996 3.71
77 75 Jason Davis 2008 6.35
78 75 Rafael Perez 2010 3.39
79 75 Ronald Belisario 2011 0.00 DNP
80 75 Denny Bautista 2011 0.00 DNP
81 75 Casey Janssen 2010 3.80
82 75 Frankie De La Cruz 2012 0.00 DNP
83 75 Tim Hudson 2004 3.91
84 75 Mark Buehrle 2007 3.85
85 75 Clay Buchholz 2013 1.91
86 75 Jesse Litsch 2013 0.00 DNP
87 75 John Koronka 2009 13.50
88 75 Dustin Nippert 2009 4.00
89 75 Luis Perez 2013 5.40
90 75 Anibal Sanchez 2012 4.37
91 75 Adam Wainwright 2010 2.66
92 75 J.D. Martin 2011 0.00 DNP
93 75 Neal Cotts 2008 4.54
94 75 Carlos Fisher 2011 5.62
95 75 Jason Hirsh 2010 0.00 DNP
96 75 Vida Blue 1978 3.03
97 75 Frank Herrmann 2012 2.33
98 75 Burt Hooton 1978 2.82
99 75 Cory Wade 2011 2.27
100 75 Jim O'Toole 1965 6.98

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .269 .327 .389 .254
11 vs R (Multi) .220 .277 .365 .229
18 Split (Multi) .049 .050 .025 .024
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .250 .327 .333 .238
31 vs R (2013) .220 .288 .354 .234
38 Split (2013) .030 .038 -.021 .004
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 The deception that buoyed Collmenter's rookie season was less convincing the second time around. After a handful of ugly April starts the right-hander with the extreme over-the-top delivery was jettisoned to the bullpen. Batters have teed off on Collmenter the second time through the order, a factor that plagued him during his breakout rookie campaign. An arsenal that is predicated on changing speeds was more effective in short stints last season, when batters lacked the opportunity to make adjustments. Collmenter's modest fastball comes tumbling down from a high arm slot, with a trajectory that minimizes the number of throws that miss wide of the zone, though his additional downhill plane fails to produce the desired groundball effect.
2012 First, the good news: A year after posting a near-6.00 ERA in the PCL, Collmenter spent all but one start of his season in the majors, finishing with a better-than-average ERA and the third-highest WARP among rookie pitchers. That—plus the successful showing in the Arizona Fall League that preceded it—would’ve qualified as a successful debut for any player, let alone one who wasn’t well-regarded by prospect hounds, didn’t make the Opening Day roster, and started out in the bullpen once he did get called up. The bad news is that Collmenter is essentially the same pitcher who struggled in Triple-A, which means he’s not the safest bet to repeat his first-season heroics. Collmenter has a quirky delivery with an unorthodox release point, the sort of skill that beats hitters like gangbusters the first time they see it but lacks the staying power of, say, a 90-mph fastball (his barely averaged 87). Only Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee had better walk rates among NL pitchers with at least 150 innings, but that stinginess with free passes was out of character for Collmenter, and he’ll be in trouble if his control regresses. A mustache can take you only so far.
2011 A former 15th-round pick, Josh Collmenter pitched at three minor-league levels last season and saw his peripherals worsen at each stop, to the point that he might project as a fifth starter in the big leagues... But probably not.
2010 Joshua Collmenter lacks upside having just completed a year in High-A as a 23-year-old, but he averages over a whiff per frame and keeps the ball in the yard.

BP Articles

Josh Collmenter is referenced in the following articles.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-08-06 16:30:00 (link to chat)Which two baseball player active or not would you like to see participate in a bowling competition?
(J-Peso from New Jersey)
Chad Bradford would probably dominate. Josh Collmenter would be fun to watch bowl if forced to bowl from his ridiculously high arm slot. (Cespedes Family BBQ)
2013-02-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)Does Fiers lack of velocity not scare you off at all? Reminds me a little bit of the flukey Josh Collmenter season.
(Dave from Milwaukee)
I'm not scared off. He works the zone well and changes speeds effectively. Collmenter had a horrible April last year but was very effective after that. (Jason Collette)
2012-04-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)do you expect Bauer to get called up by June 1st or sooner?
(Pablo from NJ)
The walks are a concern with Trevor Bauer, because they spike his pitch count early and prevent him from going deep into games. He has the stuff to miss bats in the majors right now, and I would not be surprised if he could already outpitch Josh Collmenter, but it's worth giving him some time in Double-A to work on the control. I do think we'll either see Bauer or his teammate Tyler Skaggs by June 1. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)When do we see Bauer hit the bigs?
(Jquinton82 from NY)
Second favorite Jeff Mathis story is when I accidentally submitted that three times.

I hate to just assume this for every top prospect, but I assume he's up in late June like the rest of 'em. And Wade Miley gets the starts when Joe Saunders or Josh Collmenter goes down early. (Sam Miller)
2012-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)NL only. Who has a better season Chad Billingsley, Kyle Lohse, Clayton Richard, Josh Collmenter? Looking to find a late round value.
(will.I.ain't from Holding pattern)
Billingsley, for upside and floor. (Sam Miller)
2012-02-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)How long can Josh Collmenter's deceptive delivery be effective? Is his pure stuff below average?
(Adam from LA)
I expect a significant regression in 2012. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-02-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Be nice to Josh Collmenter. It's his birthday. Speaking of deception, what about Edwin Carl ? Could he ever make it to the big leagues ?
(Jordan from DC)
Whatever. I once had a divorce hearing on my birthday. Carl is awfully fun to watch, but I don't think it's going to work unless he does something else with his fastball in terms of maybe cutting it. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-01-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Besides a deception guy like Josh Collmenter, are there other types of pitchers that are more likely to have immediate success in the majors but can't sustain it? Is there a certain type of pitch that can be more effective early in a career, but figured out after awhile?
(JR from New Hampshire)
Really any kind of trick guy. Deception, best pitch is a changeup, etc. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-09-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Based on pure stuff/dominance/command (whatever strikes you), which pitchers are you most looking forward to watching this postseason?
(Lucas Apostoleris from Amherst, MA)
Kenley Jansen is the guy that has piqued my interest most recently, but I'll have all offseason to look at him, I suppose.

Of the pitchers who look playoff-bound, Craig Kimbrel is just amazing. I'm curious about Verlander's BABIP this year. Doug Fister is an interesting story. I've wanted to look at Alexi Ogando's switch to the rotation. Koji Uehara fascinates me, with his splitter and high flyball/popup rate. Josh Collmenter and Ian Kennedy are interesting.

Of course there's no way I'll end up analyzing all or even most of those guys, but those are a few names who grab my attention. (Mike Fast)
2011-07-21 16:00:00 (link to chat)Thank you for the chat, Jason. Please rank the folowing SPs for the rest of the season (head-to-head, standard 5x5 cats): Colby Lewis, Jeff Niemann, Carlos Carrasco, and Josh Collmenter.
(Dennis from LA)
Lewis, Carrasco, Niemann, Collmenter (can't stay this lucky) (Jason Collette)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Josh Collmenter has thrown 8,376 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2010 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason, Spring Training and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Cutter (87mph) and Change (79mph), also mixing in a Curve (73mph).