Biographical

Portrait of Joel Carreno

Joel Carreno PMets

Mets Player Cards | Mets Team Audit | Mets Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
64.7 4.09 1.32 64 3 4 0 0.1
Birth Date3-7-1987
Height6' 2"
Weight255 lbs
Age27 years, 7 months, 17 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
0.32011
-0.62012
2013
0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2011 TOR 24 11 0 15.7 0.0 15.7 1 0 0 0 0 0 59 11 2 2 1 17 4 4 0 14 1.15 2.87 3.19 2.9 0.3
2012 TOR 25 11 2 22.0 9.0 13.0 0 2 0 0 0 0 97 22 15 15 7 49 14 14 0 16 6.14 7.64 8.84 -5.3 -0.6
Career22237.79.028.712000015633171786618180304.065.656.52-2.4-0.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2006 DLJ Rk 15 15 82.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .227 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 BLJ Rk 12 12 65.3 4.53 98 .239 .255 .316 .369 .257 .276 92 7.4 0.7 7.4 0.7
2008 AUB A- 15 13 76.3 4.02 109 .252 .258 .331 .370 .259 .335 98 11.5 1.2 11.5 1.2
2009 LNS A 14 14 79.7 4.92 99 .240 .257 .332 .379 .259 .302 111 7.9 0.8 7.9 0.8
2009 AUB A- 2 2 11.0 2.73 144 .170 .235 .298 .340 .243 .231 111 3.1 0.3 3.1 0.3
2009 ESC Wnt 2 0 3.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .364 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 DUN A+ 27 25 137.7 2.91 130 .270 .257 .327 .366 .264 .383 94 32.3 3.3 32.3 3.3
2010 ESC Wnt 10 1 18.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .140 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 TOR MLB 11 0 15.7 3.19 136 .193 .261 .323 .421 .266 .250 112 2.9 0.3 2.9 0.3
2011 NHP AA 24 23 134.7 4.57 89 .250 .262 .329 .403 .271 .276 87 5.1 0.5 5.1 0.5
2012 TOR MLB 11 2 22.0 8.84 8 .318 .256 .327 .416 .264 .250 104 -5.3 -0.6 -5.3 -0.6
2012 NHP AA 17 7 53.7 4.63 97 .233 .262 .335 .394 .264 .281 101 8.3 0.9 8.3 0.9
2012 LVG AAA 10 8 36.3 8.01 55 .328 .293 .358 .447 .278 .371 111 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0
2012 ESC Wnt 13 0 9.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .385 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 NHP AA 22 0 27.3 1.01 179 .152 .256 .326 .378 .263 .235 104 12.5 1.3 12.5 1.3
2013 BUF AAA 28 0 39.3 5.08 85 .230 .260 .333 .388 .258 .239 102 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2014 LVG AAA 20 7 58.7 5.31 103 .259 .276 .338 .422 .271 .343 110 6.1 0.6 5.7 0.6

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2006 DLJ Rk 8 3 0 15 15 82.0 48 28 86 2 0% .227 5.3 3.1 0.2 9.4 0.93 1.54 0.0 0.0
2007 BLJ Rk 6 4 0 12 12 65.3 60 13 64 4 41% .276 8.3 1.8 0.6 8.8 1.12 2.62 7.4 0.7
2008 AUB A- 5 5 0 15 13 76.3 74 19 85 6 44% .335 8.7 2.2 0.7 10.0 1.22 3.42 11.5 1.2
2009 ESC Wnt 0 0 0 2 0 3.3 4 1 2 0 0% .364 10.9 2.7 0.0 5.5 1.52 2.73 0.0 0.0
2009 LNS A 2 4 0 14 14 79.7 76 29 62 5 44% .302 8.6 3.3 0.6 7.0 1.32 3.61 7.9 0.8
2009 AUB A- 1 0 0 2 2 11.0 6 3 12 0 65% .231 4.9 2.5 0.0 9.8 0.82 0.82 3.1 0.3
2010 ESC Wnt 1 1 0 10 1 18.0 8 5 17 2 0% .140 4.0 2.5 1.0 8.5 0.72 2.50 0.0 0.0
2010 DUN A+ 9 6 0 27 25 137.7 147 30 173 8 44% .383 9.6 2.0 0.5 11.3 1.29 3.73 32.3 3.3
2011 TOR MLB 1 0 0 11 0 15.7 11 4 14 1 54% .250 6.3 2.3 0.6 8.0 0.96 1.15 2.9 0.3
2011 NHP AA 7 9 0 24 23 134.7 100 68 152 12 38% .276 6.7 4.5 0.8 10.2 1.25 3.41 5.1 0.5
2012 NHP AA 2 4 0 17 7 53.7 43 19 58 4 41% .281 7.2 3.2 0.7 9.7 1.16 3.86 8.3 0.9
2012 ESC Wnt 0 2 3 13 0 9.0 11 3 11 1 0% .385 11.0 3.0 1.0 11.0 1.56 10.00 0.0 0.0
2012 TOR MLB 0 2 0 11 2 22.0 22 14 16 7 40% .250 9.0 5.7 2.9 6.5 1.64 6.14 -5.3 -0.6
2012 LVG AAA 2 5 0 10 8 36.3 50 27 30 7 43% .371 12.4 6.7 1.7 7.4 2.12 8.92 -0.0 -0.0
2013 NHP AA 2 1 7 22 0 27.3 12 8 44 0 45% .235 4.0 2.6 0.0 14.5 0.73 1.65 12.5 1.3
2013 BUF AAA 4 2 1 28 0 39.3 27 16 46 5 38% .239 6.2 3.7 1.1 10.5 1.09 2.97 -0.1 -0.0
2014 LVG AAA 2 4 0 20 7 58.7 66 23 49 7 41% .343 10.1 3.5 1.1 7.5 1.52 4.76 5.7 0.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 221 0.4615 0.3982 0.7614 0.5392 0.2773 0.8364 0.6364 0.2386
2012 386 0.5363 0.4130 0.7862 0.6039 0.1899 0.8080 0.7059 0.2138
Career6070.50910.40760.77720.58030.22170.81830.68060.2228

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-26 2014-09-05 Minors 71 0 - Not Disclosed -
2012-12-02 2013-01-15 WIN 44 0 - Face Surgery Facial Fractures Batted Ball 2012-12-04 -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 NYN $
2013 TOR $
2012 TOR $481,700
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$481,700
1 yrTotal$481,700

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 92 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Signed by NY Mets as a free agent 11/8/13 (minor-league contract)
  • 1 year (2013). Re-signed by Toronto (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$0.4817M (2012). Re-signed by Toronto 3/12. DFA by Toronto 11/19/12. DFA by Toronto 11/20/12. Sent outright to Triple-A 11/30/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Toronto 11/19/10.
  • Signed by Toronto 2004 as amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 4.3 4.1 0.2 27 12 82.9 60 31 82 8 .264 1.09 2.94 3.2 14.2 1.5
80o 3.8 4 0.2 25 11 76.5 59 30 76 8 .277 1.17 3.33 3.62 9.0 0.9
70o 3.5 3.9 0.1 23 10 72.0 59 30 71 8 .287 1.23 3.61 3.93 5.7 0.6
60o 3.2 3.8 0.1 22 10 68.2 58 29 67 8 .296 1.28 3.86 4.2 3.1 0.3
50o 3 3.7 0.1 21 9 64.7 57 29 64 8 .304 1.33 4.09 4.45 1.0 0.1
40o 2.7 3.6 0.1 20 9 61.3 56 28 61 8 .312 1.38 4.33 4.7 -0.8 -0.1
30o 2.5 3.5 0.1 19 8 57.7 55 28 57 7 .321 1.43 4.58 4.98 -2.6 -0.3
20o 2.2 3.4 0.1 17 8 53.6 53 27 53 7 .331 1.50 4.89 5.31 -4.4 -0.5
10o 1.9 3.2 0.1 16 7 48.1 51 26 48 7 .345 1.59 5.32 5.78 -6.4 -0.7
Weighted Mean33.70.121964.15628638.3021.314.064.421.20.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
23% 28% 11% 21% 44%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015288605418158136601551841.3001.243.684.007.73.48.81.01.3
2016297604916143124561411741.3021.263.874.207.83.58.91.10.9
2017306504715135118521321541.3031.263.814.157.93.58.81.00.9
2018316504314126109471221441.3011.243.734.067.83.48.71.01.0
2019326504113118104431121341.3001.243.704.037.93.38.51.01.0
202033540381311297401071341.3011.233.673.987.83.28.61.01.0
202134540361210592371011241.3011.223.673.997.93.28.61.00.9
2022355403411978534941141.3011.223.643.967.93.18.71.00.9
2023364403110907931871041.3011.223.633.947.93.18.71.00.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
3.68.30.123.53.517.6

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Francisco Cruceta 2009 0.00 DNP
2 90 Dustin Richardson 2011 0.00 DNP
3 89 Bill Murphy 2008 0.00 DNP
4 89 Corey Kluber 2013 4.09
5 87 Tony Watson 2012 3.54
6 87 Guillermo Moscoso 2011 4.15
7 87 Chris Narveson 2009 4.21
8 87 Philip Humber 2010 4.15
9 87 Wilkin De La Rosa 2012 0.00 DNP
10 87 Austin Hyatt 2013 0.00 DNP
11 86 George Kontos 2012 3.09
12 86 Donnie Veal 2012 2.08
13 85 Thomas Diamond 2010 6.83
14 85 Alan Horne 2010 0.00 DNP
15 85 Marco Estrada 2011 4.37
16 85 Dan Meyer 2009 3.70
17 85 Troy Cate 2008 0.00 DNP
18 85 Mike Dunn 2012 6.34
19 85 Kyler Newby 2012 0.00 DNP
20 85 Arnie Munoz 2009 0.00 DNP
21 85 Hector Ambriz 2011 0.00 DNP
22 85 Justin Thomas 2011 0.00 DNP
23 84 Travis Blackley 2010 0.00 DNP
24 84 Deunte Heath 2013 11.74
25 84 Jhonny Nunez 2013 0.00 DNP
26 84 Yohan Pino 2011 0.00 DNP
27 84 Radhames Liz 2010 0.00 DNP
28 84 Travis Chick 2011 0.00 DNP
29 84 Mark Serrano 2013 0.00 DNP
30 84 Andrew Carpenter 2012 5.00
31 84 Alfredo Simon 2008 6.92
32 84 B.J. Rosenberg 2013 4.58
33 84 Jarod Plummer 2011 0.00 DNP
34 84 Travis Webb 2012 0.00 DNP
35 84 Matt Fox 2010 4.91
36 84 Eammon Portice 2012 0.00 DNP
37 83 Matt Klinker 2012 0.00 DNP
38 83 Nick Pereira 2010 0.00 DNP
39 83 Adam Bostick 2010 0.00 DNP
40 83 Anthony Carter 2013 0.00 DNP
41 83 Marcos Mateo 2011 4.30
42 83 Steven Wright 2012 0.00 DNP
43 83 Bobby Bramhall 2013 0.00 DNP
44 83 Mike Nannini 2008 0.00 DNP
45 83 Eric Berger 2013 0.00 DNP
46 83 P.J. Walters 2012 5.98
47 83 Chad Reineke 2009 7.20
48 83 Sam LeCure 2011 3.82
49 83 Cole McCurry 2013 0.00 DNP
50 83 Anthony Varvaro 2012 5.94
51 82 Adam Ottavino 2013 3.10
52 82 Rob Musgrave 2013 0.00 DNP
53 82 Bobby Brownlie 2008 0.00 DNP
54 82 Eric Hurley 2013 0.00 DNP
55 82 Daniel McCutchen 2010 6.38
56 82 Andy Graham 2011 0.00 DNP
57 82 John Stephens 2007 0.00 DNP
58 82 Felix Diaz 2008 0.00 DNP
59 82 Fernando Rodriguez 2011 4.13
60 82 Luis Ramirez 2009 0.00 DNP
61 82 Jared Wells 2009 0.00 DNP
62 82 Brian Slocum 2008 27.00
63 81 Matt Buschmann 2011 0.00 DNP
64 81 Steven Hammond 2009 0.00 DNP
65 81 Jonah Bayliss 2008 0.00 DNP
66 81 Jon Huber 2009 0.00 DNP
67 81 Esmailin Caridad 2011 0.00 DNP
68 81 Clayton Mortensen 2012 3.21
69 81 Pedro Figueroa 2013 12.00
70 81 Tom Koehler 2013 4.53
71 81 Adam Johnson 2007 0.00 DNP
72 81 Matt Maloney 2011 10.12
73 81 Steven Jackson 2009 4.19
74 81 Ramon A. Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
75 81 Darin Downs 2012 3.48
76 81 Charlie Furbush 2013 4.57
77 81 Matt Peterson 2009 0.00 DNP
78 81 Paul Kometani 2010 0.00 DNP
79 81 Ryan Pope 2013 0.00 DNP
80 81 Ryan Ketchner 2009 0.00 DNP
81 81 Marco Albano 2011 0.00 DNP
82 81 Chad Beck 2012 6.89
83 81 Kevin Hart 2010 0.00 DNP
84 81 D.J. Houlton 2007 4.50
85 81 Cesar Valdez 2012 0.00 DNP
86 81 Francisco Rosario 2008 0.00 DNP
87 80 Davis Romero 2010 0.00 DNP
88 80 Mark Holliman 2011 0.00 DNP
89 80 Oneli Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
90 80 Ryan Edell 2011 0.00 DNP
91 80 Shane Komine 2008 0.00 DNP
92 80 Chris Smith 2008 7.85
93 80 Humberto Sanchez 2010 0.00 DNP
94 80 Brad Mills 2012 0.00
95 80 Kyle Bloom 2010 0.00 DNP
96 80 John Ely 2013 0.00 DNP
97 80 Jeremy Horst 2013 6.58
98 80 Ryan Mullins 2011 0.00 DNP
99 80 Nick Schmidt 2013 0.00 DNP
100 80 Alberto Bastardo 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 Carreno was one of several pitchers to take a turn at filling the void at the back of the Blue Jays rotation last year, making a pair of unimpressive starts. He relies on a heavy, low-90s fastball and inconsistent secondary pitches to get batters to swing and miss, and his control has declined since reaching Double-A in 2011. The Mets signed him as a minor-league free agent after the season.
2012 He is old for his level and he walks too many batters. He doesn’t get much recognition on top prospect lists. But wait until you see the breaking ball. It’s a late-breaker that clocks in at about 80 mph and tails away from lefties. With an off-speed option like his, you can hardly blame Carreno for throwing it too often. But his breaking ball, like most, requires a fastball to set it up as an out pitch, and Carreno’s fastball is not a finished product. He’s on the bubble between the bullpen and the rotation, but he should be a useful piece of the staff in 2012.
2011 If you're 23 and stuck in A-ball, the way to get attention is to miss bats. Joel Carreno took three or four steps forward in 2010 en route to the Dunedin single-season strikeout record—his gem was a 15-strikeout game in July. If he keeps it up, Carreno and his plus slider could move up quickly.

BP Articles

Joel Carreno is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: A Pain in the HipCorey Dawkins2013-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: A Pain in the HipStephani Bee2013-01-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 13Paul Sporer2012-06-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Texas and Toronto Dig Deep for Rotation HelpR.J. Anderson2012-06-18
Transaction Analysis: Junior Circuit JumbleChristina Kahrl2011-03-18
Transaction Analysis: AL East and Rangers Transaction LedgerChristina Kahrl2010-12-01
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 21Kevin Goldstein2010-07-22


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Joel Carreno threw 592 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2012, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2012, he relied primarily on his Slider (81mph) and Fourseam Fastball (92mph), also mixing in a Sinker (92mph) and Change (85mph).