Biographical

Portrait of Keith Butler

Keith Butler PCardinals

Cardinals Player Cards | Cardinals Team Audit | Cardinals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 25)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
52.3 3.65 1.28 50 2 1 0 0.5
Birth Date1-30-1989
Height6' 0"
Weight170 lbs
Age25 years, 8 months, 23 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
0.22013
0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2013 SLN 24 16 0 20.0 0.0 20.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 85 13 9 9 0 20 11 11 1 16 4.05 3.22 3.64 2.1 0.2
2014 SLN 25 2 0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 6 6 6 0 9 1 1 1 2 27.00 4.10 7.00 -0.8 -0.1
Career18022.00.022.00000009919151502912122186.143.304.081.30.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2009 CRD Rk 21 0 28.3 3.31 119 .190 .248 .339 .335 .253 .277 100 5.0 0.5 5.0 0.5
2009 JCY Rk 2 0 2.0 2.60 154 .097 .261 .336 .396 .242 .000 118 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.1
2010 BAT A- 27 0 30.7 2.80 139 .273 .243 .318 .360 .256 .378 105 9.6 1.0 9.6 1.0
2011 QUD A 12 0 15.3 3.51 118 .155 .251 .316 .363 .262 .194 95 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2011 PMB A+ 34 0 36.0 3.64 115 .195 .257 .323 .378 .250 .243 94 5.2 0.5 5.2 0.5
2012 SFD AA 53 0 58.7 4.12 107 .252 .250 .314 .370 .255 .302 98 6.9 0.7 6.9 0.7
2012 ESC Wnt 6 0 6.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .200 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 SLN MLB 16 0 20.0 3.64 109 .228 .251 .313 .386 .257 .228 98 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2013 SFD AA 13 0 13.7 2.19 152 .146 .250 .315 .378 .254 .259 106 4.3 0.5 4.3 0.5
2013 MEM AAA 20 1 27.3 3.95 114 .221 .259 .326 .391 .260 .254 94 3.3 0.3 2.7 0.3
2014 SLN MLB 2 0 2.0 7.00 23 .466 .273 .334 .422 .281 .600 99 -0.8 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1
2014 MEM AAA 9 0 10.7 1.80 162 .169 .265 .330 .409 .257 .348 93 3.8 0.4 3.8 0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2009 CRD Rk 1 1 6 21 0 28.3 18 12 34 0 46% .277 5.7 3.8 0.0 10.8 1.06 2.23 5.0 0.5
2009 JCY Rk 0 0 0 2 0 2.0 0 1 4 0 50% .000 0.0 4.5 0.0 18.0 0.50 0.00 0.7 0.1
2010 BAT A- 0 3 5 27 0 30.7 29 15 50 1 37% .378 8.5 4.4 0.3 14.7 1.43 2.93 9.6 1.0
2011 PMB A+ 1 0 12 34 0 36.0 19 18 52 1 35% .243 4.8 4.5 0.2 13.0 1.03 1.25 5.2 0.5
2011 QUD A 0 1 5 12 0 15.3 7 5 16 0 42% .194 4.1 2.9 0.0 9.4 0.78 1.17 2.1 0.2
2012 SFD AA 5 1 25 53 0 58.7 53 23 59 5 39% .302 8.1 3.5 0.8 9.1 1.30 2.76 6.9 0.7
2012 ESC Wnt 0 0 0 6 0 6.0 4 2 4 1 0% .200 6.0 3.0 1.5 6.0 1.00 1.50 0.0 0.0
2013 SFD AA 0 0 7 13 0 13.7 8 2 21 1 54% .259 5.3 1.3 0.7 13.8 0.73 0.66 4.3 0.5
2013 SLN MLB 0 0 0 16 0 20.0 13 11 16 0 26% .228 5.8 5.0 0.0 7.2 1.20 4.05 2.1 0.2
2013 MEM AAA 3 2 2 20 1 27.3 21 9 28 3 39% .254 6.9 3.0 1.0 9.2 1.10 3.62 2.7 0.3
2014 MEM AAA 1 0 0 9 0 10.7 8 2 13 0 30% .348 6.8 1.7 0.0 11.0 0.94 0.84 3.8 0.4
2014 SLN MLB 0 0 0 2 0 2.0 6 1 2 0 60% .600 27.0 4.5 0.0 9.0 3.50 27.00 -0.8 -0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 334 0.4401 0.4162 0.7194 0.6463 0.2353 0.8737 0.3864 0.2806
2014 53 0.3019 0.4340 0.6957 0.5625 0.3784 0.8889 0.5714 0.3043
Career3870.42120.41860.71620.63480.25490.87580.41170.2838

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-14 - Minors - - Right Elbow Sprain Ulnar Collateral Ligament - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 SLN $
2013 SLN $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 55 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by St. Louis 3/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Contract purchased by St. Louis 11/20/12. Re-signed by St. Louis 3/13.
  • Drafted by St. Louis 2009 (24-729) (Wabash Valley CC, Ill.).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 0 0 0 0 0 39.6 28 13 36 3 .259 1.03 2.64 2.87 0.0 0.0
80o 0 0 0 0 0 33.5 26 12 31 3 .275 1.12 3.03 3.3 0.0 0.0
70o 0 0 0 0 0 29.3 24 11 27 3 .287 1.18 3.32 3.61 0.0 0.0
60o 0 0 0 0 0 25.7 22 10 24 2 .297 1.24 3.57 3.88 0.0 0.0
50o 0 0 0 0 0 22.5 20 9 21 2 .307 1.29 3.81 4.14 0.0 0.0
40o 0 0 0 0 0 19.4 18 8 18 2 .316 1.35 4.05 4.4 0.0 0.0
30o 0 0 0 0 0 16.1 16 7 15 2 .327 1.41 4.31 4.69 0.0 0.0
20o 0 0 0 0 0 12.4 13 6 11 1 .339 1.49 4.62 5.03 0.0 0.0
10o 0 0 0 0 0 7.4 8 4 7 1 .355 1.60 5.07 5.51 0.0 0.0
Weighted Mean0000021.6199202.3041.283.774.10.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
24% 28% 17% 32% 47%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152631056059502159539.3021.203.423.727.63.29.00.80.9
20162731058061512163539.3041.173.213.497.53.19.20.71.1
20172831060064532263639.3031.183.243.527.53.18.90.81.1
20182931061065542265639.3021.183.203.487.53.19.00.81.1
20193031060064542163639.3071.183.283.577.63.08.90.81.0
20203131057060511959539.3051.173.243.537.62.88.80.81.0
20213231055058481958539.3031.163.153.427.53.09.10.81.0
20223331051054461753539.3031.163.193.477.62.88.80.80.9
20233431049052441650539.3031.163.223.507.72.88.70.90.9

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
5.210.49.66.38.410.339.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Greg Holland 2011 1.95
2 90 Justin Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
3 90 Drew Hayes 2013 0.00 DNP
4 90 Cory Burns 2013 3.18
5 89 Cory Gearrin 2011 7.85
6 89 Chia-Jen Lo 2011 0.00 DNP
7 89 Josh Ellis 2010 0.00 DNP
8 88 Ty'Relle Harris 2012 0.00 DNP
9 88 David Davidson 2009 45.00
10 88 Mark Worrell 2008 6.35
11 88 Sammy Gervacio 2010 12.27
12 88 Blake Parker 2010 0.00 DNP
13 88 Preston Claiborne 2013 4.29
14 87 Joe Paterson 2011 2.91
15 87 Mark Melancon 2010 5.48
16 87 Kam Mickolio 2009 2.63
17 87 Sam Demel 2011 4.56
18 87 Erik Hamren 2012 0.00 DNP
19 86 Cody Eppley 2011 8.00
20 86 Fernando Hernandez 2010 0.00 DNP
21 86 Jose De La Torre 2011 0.00 DNP
22 86 C.C. Lee 2012 0.00 DNP
23 86 Hunter Jones 2009 9.24
24 86 David Carpenter 2013 108.00
25 86 Michael Morrison 2013 0.00 DNP
26 86 Louis Coleman 2011 3.02
27 86 Matt Daly 2012 0.00 DNP
28 85 Edgmer Escalona 2012 6.45
29 85 Michael Kohn 2011 7.30
30 85 Kevin Whelan 2009 0.00 DNP
31 85 Dumas Garcia 2009 0.00 DNP
32 85 Corey Young 2012 0.00 DNP
33 85 Cole St. Clair 2012 0.00 DNP
34 85 Jose Ceda 2012 0.00 DNP
35 85 Rocky Roquet 2008 0.00 DNP
36 85 Taylor Thompson 2012 0.00 DNP
37 85 Lester Oliveros 2013 0.00 DNP
38 85 Danny Farquhar 2012 0.00 DNP
39 85 Steve Edlefsen 2010 0.00 DNP
40 85 Jared Gayhart 2012 0.00 DNP
41 85 Ryan Reid 2010 0.00 DNP
42 85 Michael Nix 2008 0.00 DNP
43 85 Mickey Storey 2011 0.00 DNP
44 85 Ryan Kussmaul 2012 0.00 DNP
45 85 Osiris Matos 2010 0.00 DNP
46 84 Wilfrido Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
47 84 Sam Freeman 2012 5.85
48 84 Matt Rusch 2008 0.00 DNP
49 84 Josh Edgin 2012 4.91
50 84 Beau Jones 2012 0.00 DNP
51 84 Adalberto Flores 2012 0.00 DNP
52 84 Rob Delaney 2010 9.00
53 84 Aaron Loup 2013 3.12
54 84 Vic Black 2013 3.71
55 84 Warner Madrigal 2009 9.95
56 84 Erik Stiller 2010 0.00 DNP
57 84 Daniel Meszaros 2011 0.00 DNP
58 84 Alexis Lara 2012 0.00 DNP
59 84 Ramon Geronimo 2009 0.00 DNP
60 84 Robbie Weinhardt 2011 10.80
61 84 Jon Meloan 2010 0.00 DNP
62 84 Jonathan Albaladejo 2008 3.95
63 84 Jeremy Berg 2012 0.00 DNP
64 84 Chris Rearick 2013 0.00 DNP
65 84 Andrew Carignan 2012 4.66
66 83 Coty Woods 2013 0.00 DNP
67 83 Steve Cishek 2011 2.96
68 83 Brett Bochy 2013 0.00 DNP
69 83 Kyle Bellamy 2013 0.00 DNP
70 83 R.J. Swindle 2009 16.20
71 83 Mike Zagurski 2008 0.00 DNP
72 83 Rob Bryson 2013 0.00 DNP
73 83 Marquis Fleming 2012 0.00 DNP
74 83 Chris Resop 2008 5.89
75 83 Pedro Strop 2010 10.12
76 83 Scott Maine 2010 2.77
77 83 Josh Judy 2011 7.07
78 83 Luke Gregerson 2009 3.36
79 83 Nick Vincent 2012 1.71
80 83 Hector Santiago 2013 4.17
81 83 Daniel Stange 2011 0.00 DNP
82 83 Garrett Parcell 2010 0.00 DNP
83 83 Luis Perdomo 2009 5.40
84 83 A.J. Ramos 2012 3.86
85 83 Blaine Hardy 2012 0.00 DNP
86 83 Josh Fields 2011 0.00 DNP
87 83 Steven Ames 2013 4.50
88 83 Justin De Fratus 2013 4.24
89 82 Alan Farina 2012 0.00 DNP
90 82 Jim Hoey 2008 0.00 DNP
91 82 Mike Piazza 2012 0.00 DNP
92 82 Eric Eadington 2013 0.00 DNP
93 82 Robert Manuel 2009 0.00
94 82 Jose Guzman 2013 0.00 DNP
95 82 Cory Wade 2008 2.78
96 82 Aidan Lucas 2013 0.00 DNP
97 82 Barret Browning 2010 0.00 DNP
98 82 Oneli Perez 2008 0.00 DNP
99 82 Brett Butts 2011 0.00 DNP
100 82 Jose Mijares 2010 4.13

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .212 .333 .303 .246
11 vs R (Multi) .154 .261 .256 .211
18 Split (Multi) .058 .072 .047 .036
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .212 .333 .303 .246
31 vs R (2013) .154 .261 .256 .211
38 Split (2013) .058 .072 .047 .036
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Keith Butler continued to rack up the strikeouts with his low-90s fastball and sharp slider and forced his way onto the 40-man; a closer in Double-A, his stuff may well work in a set-up role in St. Louis.

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Keith Butler has thrown 551 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (87mph), Curve (74mph) and Fourseam Fastball (90mph), also mixing in a Change (77mph).