Biographical

Portrait of Chris Archer

Chris Archer PRays

Rays Player Cards | Rays Team Audit | Rays Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 25)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
145.7 4.02 1.39 131 9 9 0 0.8
Birth Date9-26-1988
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lbs
Age26 years, 0 months, 26 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
0.12012
0.72013
2.82014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2012 TBA 23 6 4 29.3 23.7 5.7 1 3 0 0 2 0 122 23 17 15 3 34 13 13 1 36 4.60 3.35 4.70 1.2 0.1
2013 TBA 24 23 23 128.7 128.7 0.0 9 7 0 0 12 1 525 107 49 46 15 174 38 36 8 101 3.22 4.09 4.42 6.3 0.7
2014 TBA 25 32 32 194.7 194.7 0.0 10 9 0 0 20 0 822 177 85 72 12 245 72 71 8 173 3.33 3.42 4.08 19.0 2.0
Career6159352.7347.05.7201900341146930715113330453123120173103.393.664.2526.52.8

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2006 BNC Rk 1 0 1.2 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .250 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 IND Rk 7 6 19.1 5.80 80 .275 .248 .338 .345 .267 .291 101 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0
2007 LKC A 1 0 4.0 4.89 81 .360 .265 .344 .417 .287 .417 83 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2007 IND Rk 12 11 52.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .333 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 LKC A 27 27 115.3 5.79 71 .274 .256 .331 .378 .260 .279 100 2.0 0.2 2.0 0.2
2009 PEO A 27 26 109.0 4.03 112 .228 .254 .332 .365 .258 .288 103 20.4 2.1 20.4 2.1
2010 DAY A+ 15 14 72.3 3.53 106 .234 .259 .335 .371 .269 .288 84 7.3 0.7 7.3 0.7
2010 TEN AA 13 13 70.0 4.67 99 .236 .256 .329 .378 .259 .275 103 7.6 0.8 9.2 0.9
2011 MNT AA 25 25 134.3 4.99 102 .269 .268 .343 .407 .258 .318 106 13.8 1.4 13.8 1.4
2011 DUR AAA 2 2 13.0 3.14 132 .208 .244 .309 .389 .243 .297 95 3.0 0.3 3.0 0.3
2012 TBA MLB 6 4 29.3 4.70 92 .228 .258 .311 .415 .256 .290 98 1.8 0.2 1.2 0.1
2012 DUR AAA 25 25 128.0 4.16 115 .223 .258 .329 .388 .254 .293 104 19.2 1.9 19.2 1.9
2013 TBA MLB 23 23 128.7 4.42 91 .247 .258 .321 .409 .268 .253 94 6.3 0.7 6.3 0.7
2013 DUR AAA 10 10 50.0 5.03 95 .252 .257 .327 .391 .257 .312 105 4.5 0.5 4.5 0.5
2014 TBA MLB 32 32 194.7 4.08 101 .251 .258 .318 .403 .266 .296 99 17.6 1.9 19.0 2.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2006 IND Rk 0 3 0 7 6 19.1 17 17 21 1 54% .291 8.0 8.0 0.5 9.9 1.78 7.54 0.5 0.0
2006 BNC Rk 0 0 0 1 0 1.2 2 1 1 1 0% .250 15.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 2.50 15.00 0.0 0.0
2007 LKC A 0 0 0 1 0 4.0 5 3 5 0 50% .417 11.2 6.8 0.0 11.2 2.00 9.00 -0.1 -0.0
2007 IND Rk 1 7 0 12 11 52.7 56 21 48 4 0% .333 9.6 3.6 0.7 8.2 1.46 5.64 0.0 0.0
2008 LKC A 4 8 0 27 27 115.3 92 84 106 8 55% .279 7.2 6.6 0.6 8.3 1.53 4.29 2.0 0.2
2009 PEO A 6 4 0 27 26 109.0 78 66 119 0 56% .288 6.4 5.4 0.0 9.8 1.32 2.81 20.4 2.1
2010 TEN AA 8 2 0 13 13 70.0 48 39 67 2 56% .275 6.2 5.0 0.3 8.6 1.24 1.80 9.2 0.9
2010 DAY A+ 7 1 0 15 14 72.3 54 26 82 4 49% .288 6.7 3.2 0.5 10.2 1.11 2.86 7.3 0.7
2011 DUR AAA 1 0 0 2 2 13.0 11 6 12 0 49% .297 7.6 4.2 0.0 8.3 1.31 0.69 3.0 0.3
2011 MNT AA 8 7 0 25 25 134.3 136 80 118 11 47% .318 9.1 5.4 0.7 7.9 1.61 4.42 13.8 1.4
2012 DUR AAA 7 9 0 25 25 128.0 99 62 139 6 49% .293 7.0 4.4 0.4 9.8 1.26 3.66 19.2 1.9
2012 TBA MLB 1 3 0 6 4 29.3 23 13 36 3 44% .290 7.1 4.0 0.9 11.0 1.23 4.60 1.2 0.1
2013 DUR AAA 5 3 0 10 10 50.0 50 23 52 6 57% .312 9.0 4.1 1.1 9.4 1.46 3.96 4.5 0.5
2013 TBA MLB 9 7 0 23 23 128.7 107 38 101 15 47% .253 7.5 2.7 1.0 7.1 1.13 3.22 6.3 0.7
2014 TBA MLB 10 9 0 32 32 194.7 177 72 173 12 48% .296 8.2 3.3 0.6 8.0 1.28 3.33 19.0 2.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 490 0.4347 0.4000 0.7602 0.5775 0.2635 0.8618 0.5890 0.2398
2013 2095 0.4721 0.4597 0.8017 0.6320 0.3056 0.8752 0.6657 0.1983
2014 3155 0.4827 0.4342 0.7839 0.5936 0.2855 0.8872 0.5837 0.2146
Career57400.47470.44060.78840.60620.2910.88070.61410.2108

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-08-08 2013-08-13 DTD 5 3 Right Forearm Tightness - -
2012-07-08 2012-07-22 Minors 14 0 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2008-04-23 2008-04-30 Minors 7 0 Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2020 TBA $1,750,000
2019 TBA $7,666,666
2018 TBA $6,416,666
2017 TBA $4,916,667
2016 TBA $2,916,667
2015 TBA $1,166,667
2014 TBA $666,667
2013 TBA $
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$0
2011Current$666,667
2 yrPvs + Cur$666,667
6 yrFuture$24,833,333
8 yrTotal$25,500,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 156 dRelativity Baseball6 years/$25.5M (2014-19), 2020-21 option

Details
  • 6 years/$25.5M (2014-19), plus 2020-21 club options. Signed extension with Tampa Bay 4/2/14, replacing 1-year deal for $0.5112M signed 3/2/14. $1M signing bonus. 14:$0.5M, 15:$1M, 16:$2.75M, 17:$4.75M, 18:$6.25M, 19:$7.5M, 20:$9M club option ($1.75M buyout), 21:$11M club option ($0.25M buyout). If Archer does not qualify for arbitration as a Super Two after the 2015 season, guarantee is reduced to $20M, with salaries of $1M in 2016, $3M in 2017, $4.75M in 2018, $7M in 2019. At signing, largest contract for player with less than 1 year of Major League service.
  • 1 year (2013). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/2/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/3/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Chicago Cubs 11/19/10. Acquired by Tampa Bay in trade from Chicago Cubs 1/7/11.
  • Acquired by Chicago Cubs in trade from Cleveland 12/31/08 (DeRosa deal).
  • Drafted by Cleveland 2006 (5-161) (Clayton HS, N.C.).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 10.7 8.4 0 29 29 183.9 146 71 162 17 .256 1.18 3.07 3.34 29.8 3.0
80o 10.4 8.9 0 29 29 177.4 148 72 157 18 .267 1.24 3.41 3.7 22.1 2.3
70o 10.1 9.3 0 29 29 172.8 150 73 152 18 .274 1.29 3.66 3.97 16.6 1.7
60o 9.9 9.6 0 29 29 168.9 152 74 149 18 .281 1.34 3.87 4.21 11.7 1.2
50o 9.7 10 0 29 29 165.3 153 75 146 18 .287 1.38 4.07 4.43 7.4 0.8
40o 9.5 10.3 0 29 29 161.7 154 75 143 19 .293 1.42 4.28 4.65 3.2 0.3
30o 9.3 10.7 0 29 29 158.0 155 76 139 19 .299 1.46 4.50 4.89 -1.3 -0.1
20o 9 11.1 0 29 29 153.6 157 76 136 19 .307 1.52 4.76 5.17 -6.3 -0.6
10o 8.7 11.7 0 29 29 147.7 158 77 130 19 .318 1.60 5.13 5.57 -13.2 -1.4
Weighted Mean9.79.902929165.41527414618.2861.374.054.417.80.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
28% 59% 16% 24% 87%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152610902929177158631721948.2881.253.543.858.03.28.81.02.0
2016279902727160147631471948.2891.323.934.278.33.68.31.11.0
2017288702222127116501221448.2901.303.774.108.23.58.61.01.1
2018297702121125114471151448.2871.293.774.108.23.48.31.01.0
2019307702020118108431111448.2881.283.764.098.23.38.41.11.0
2020317601919111103401031348.2901.293.804.138.43.28.41.10.9
20213266017171009437921248.2901.313.884.218.43.38.31.10.7
2022335501515908433821148.2901.303.854.188.43.38.21.10.7
202334440131376722769948.2911.303.894.238.53.28.11.10.5

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
4.720.47.28.576.347.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Jake Arrieta 2011 5.28
2 90 Ian Kennedy 2010 4.04
3 90 Tyson Ross 2012 6.87
4 88 Josh Outman 2010 0.00 DNP
5 87 Travis Wood 2012 4.62
6 87 Franklin Morales 2011 4.08
7 87 Wade Davis 2011 4.70
8 86 Alex Cobb 2013 2.89
9 85 Kyle Weiland 2012 6.62
10 85 Joe Kelly 2013 3.05
11 85 A.J. Griffin 2013 4.05
12 84 Andrew Cashner 2012 4.47
13 84 Michael Kirkman 2012 4.33
14 84 Renyel Pinto 2008 4.45
15 84 Kyle Drabek 2013 7.71
16 83 Mark Rogers 2011 0.00 DNP
17 83 Vin Mazzaro 2012 5.93
18 83 James McDonald 2010 4.02
19 83 Lance Lynn 2012 3.89
20 83 Ivan Nova 2012 5.23
21 83 Denny Bautista 2008 5.22
22 82 Eric Surkamp 2013 23.62
23 82 Jeremy Hellickson 2012 3.46
24 82 Zach McAllister 2013 4.35
25 82 Justin Wilson 2013 2.08
26 82 Anthony Bass 2013 5.57
27 82 Garrett Richards 2013 4.59
28 82 Fabio Castro 2010 0.00 DNP
29 81 Casey Coleman 2013 0.00 DNP
30 81 Chris Tillman 2013 3.79
31 81 Clay Buchholz 2010 2.85
32 81 Dana Eveland 2009 7.98
33 81 Nathan Adcock 2013 0.00 DNP
34 81 Kevin Mulvey 2010 6.00
35 81 Ryan Tucker 2012 0.00 DNP
36 81 Dan Cortes 2012 0.00 DNP
37 81 Jeanmar Gomez 2013 3.90
38 81 Frankie De La Cruz 2009 5.40
39 80 Homer Bailey 2011 4.64
40 80 Charlie Haeger 2009 3.32
41 80 D.J. Mitchell 2012 3.86
42 80 Justin Germano 2008 6.39
43 80 Cesar Jimenez 2010 0.00 DNP
44 80 Josh Rupe 2008 5.14
45 80 Macay McBride 2008 0.00 DNP
46 80 Edinson Volquez 2009 4.53
47 79 Jeremy Jeffress 2013 0.87
48 79 Blake Wood 2011 3.88
49 79 Enrique Gonzalez 2008 10.80
50 79 Juan Gutierrez 2009 4.06
51 79 Ryan Cook 2012 2.21
52 79 Francisco Liriano 2009 6.12
53 79 Adam Warren 2013 3.39
54 79 Marc Rzepczynski 2011 3.92
55 79 Hector Santiago 2013 4.17
56 79 Mitchell Boggs 2009 4.34
57 79 Sean O'Sullivan 2013 4.32
58 79 Rafael Dolis 2013 3.60
59 79 Ricky Romero 2010 4.20
60 79 Scott Barnes 2013 7.27
61 79 Manny Parra 2008 4.93
62 79 Alex Torres 2013 1.86
63 78 Ubaldo Jimenez 2009 3.59
64 78 Carlos Rosa 2010 4.50
65 78 Eric Berger 2011 0.00 DNP
66 78 Josh Johnson 2009 3.32
67 78 Antonio Bastardo 2011 2.64
68 78 Felipe Paulino 2009 6.63
69 78 Trevor Bell 2012 0.00 DNP
70 78 Joe Gardner 2013 0.00 DNP
71 78 Wade Miley 2012 3.65
72 78 Henry Rodriguez 2012 6.14
73 78 Chris Heston 2013 0.00 DNP
74 78 Jon Meloan 2010 0.00 DNP
75 77 Michael Bowden 2012 2.95
76 77 Juan Morillo 2009 22.50
77 77 Jake McGee 2012 2.11
78 77 Jordan Walden 2013 3.64
79 77 Junichi Tazawa 2011 6.00
80 77 Josh Lindblom 2012 3.93
81 77 Bobby Parnell 2010 3.34
82 77 J.J. Hoover 2013 3.00
83 77 Juan Nicasio 2012 5.74
84 77 Rich Harden 2007 2.45
85 77 Scott Elbert 2011 2.43
86 77 Vance Worley 2013 7.95
87 77 Connor Graham 2011 0.00 DNP
88 77 Andre Rienzo 2013 5.46
89 77 Daniel Hudson 2012 7.35
90 76 Rob Scahill 2012 1.04
91 76 Elvin Ramirez 2013 0.00 DNP
92 76 Zach Jackson 2008 5.86
93 76 Tommy Hanson 2012 4.90
94 76 Sean Gallagher 2011 0.00 DNP
95 76 Andy Oliver 2013 0.00 DNP
96 76 Dillon Gee 2011 4.76
97 76 Anibal Sanchez 2009 4.08
98 76 Jon Lester 2009 3.54
99 76 Zach Phillips 2012 6.00
100 76 Gavin Floyd 2008 4.67

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .263 .337 .472 .301
11 vs R (Multi) .174 .233 .219 .176
18 Split (Multi) .089 .104 .253 .125
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .261 .329 .471 .299
31 vs R (2013) .176 .237 .218 .178
38 Split (2013) .085 .092 .254 .121
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Archer cultivates a high-polish, valedictorian persona (and a Yoda-like Twitter feed) that belies a highly animated, heart-on-sleeve mound presence. This split personality suits his pitching, which can be coolly dazzling one minute, coltish and wild the next. In Triple-A last season, Archer again showed his top-shelf stuff—a fastball that reaches 98, a vicious slider, and a developing changeup—while continuing to produce an unsustainable walk rate, although his control improved as the year went on. Archer's six big-league appearances were promising, and he's likely to be first in line for a call-up from Triple-A this year if a starter goes down—or, perhaps, a reliever. Some think he's better suited to the bullpen, but his changeup improved in 2012, and the Rays will probably give Archer every chance to succeed as a starter.
2012 The highest-rated prospect to come over in the Garza deal saw his season scarred by continual problems throwing strikes as he walked 80 batters in just 134 innings. Archer is in his third organization despite never throwing a pitch at the major league level and while his power arsenal is very enticing, it is still unclear whether his future is garnering wins in a rotation or saves out of the bullpen. Only by the strictest legal definition does he throw a change-up, but the lack of an effective off-speed pitch as well as the inconsistency with his control is pointing him toward the bullpen. The organizational pitching depth will permit him the time in the minors to help the club finalize on that decision.
2011 In his second season in the organization since coming over from the Tribe in the DeRosa deal, Archer provided a reminder that sometimes it's the throw-ins who make a trade worthwhile. The lanky North Carolinian was one of last year's massive breakout performers, handily winning the system's pitcher of the year award by exploiting and improving his talent. Already the owner of a plus sinker, he added velocity (reliably touching 96-97) and mastered his plus slider, propelling him from wild and interesting to purely overpowering. Despite clean mechanics, command is still an area for improvement, but he's shown fine aptitude, ending talk of an eventual move to the bullpen. In the winter, he pitched for Team USA, beating Bartolo Colon in a Pan-Am qualifier in October.
2010 Sent over from the Tribe as part of the Mark DeRosa haul, Archer took a big step forward in 2009 and could be a real steal. A projectable right-hander armed with a heavy fastball that Midwest League hitters continually pounded into the ground, Archer's clearly big-league stuff helped him increase his strikeouts and decline to allow a home run all season. His sky-high walk rate shows that control is still a major problem, although he did improve on his 2008 Sally League numbers. The continuation of that trend will determine whether his eventual destination is the bullpen, but either way, Archer has the kind of stuff you can easily picture in Cubbie blue.

BP Articles

Chris Archer is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
The Lineup Card: Awards We Wish We Could Give OutBaseball Prospectus2014-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 29, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 10, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 24Wilson Karaman2014-09-05
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 3, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 22, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 20, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 19, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-19
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21Wilson Karaman2014-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 13, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Morris Greenberg2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Sam Miller2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 8, 2014Andrew Koo2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 4, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Great Big David Price TradePaul Sporer2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Great Big David Price TradeCraig Goldstein2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Great Big David Price TradeJ.P. Breen2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Great Big David Price TradeJordan Gorosh2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Great Big David Price TradeJeff Quinton2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Great Big David Price TradeR.J. Anderson2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Great Big David Price TradeSam Miller2014-08-01
The Week in Quotes: July 21-27, 2014Morris Greenberg2014-07-28
The Week in Quotes: July 21-27, 2014Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-07-28
The Week in Quotes: July 21-27, 2014Nick Bacarella2014-07-28
The Week in Quotes: July 21-27, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-28
The Week in Quotes: July 14-20, 2014Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-07-21
The Week in Quotes: July 14-20, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-21
The Week in Quotes: July 14-20, 2014Nick Bacarella2014-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 7/7Daniel Rathman2014-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 14Wilson Karaman2014-06-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 13Bret Sayre2014-06-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 13Mike Gianella2014-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wheeler Hooks the FishDaniel Rathman2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Wheeler Hooks the FishChris Mosch2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13Wilson Karaman2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: The Wisdom of Pinch-Hitting with PitchersZachary Levine2014-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/9Daniel Rathman2014-06-09
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: A Modern-Day Greg Maddux?Chris Mosch2014-06-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Ideal Dynasty-Style Mock DraftCraig Goldstein2014-06-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Ideal Dynasty-Style Mock DraftBen Carsley2014-06-03
Daily League Strategy: Going Big at First BasePaul Sporer2014-06-03
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/30Sam Miller2014-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 10Wilson Karaman2014-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week EightMike Gianella2014-05-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week EightBret Sayre2014-05-22
The Lineup Card: 10 Dominant Early-Season RelieversBaseball Prospectus2014-05-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part TwoCraig Goldstein2014-05-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part TwoBen Carsley2014-05-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Growing the PieJeff Quinton2014-05-14
The Week in Quotes: May 5-11Morris Greenberg2014-05-12
The Week in Quotes: May 5-11Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-05-12
The Week in Quotes: May 5-11Nick Bacarella2014-05-12
The Week in Quotes: May 5-11Chris Mosch2014-05-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: AL East U25 ListsCraig Goldstein2014-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: AL East U25 ListsBen Carsley2014-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week SixWilson Karaman2014-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Jose Abreu's Amazing MonthDaniel Rathman2014-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Starting Pitcher Four-PackDoug Thorburn2014-04-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week ThreeWilson Karaman2014-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: You Must Learn ControlDaniel Rathman2014-04-09
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The New Class of Shift CandidateDaniel Rathman2014-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Nathan Eovaldi and the Jarrod Saltalamacchia EffectR.J. Anderson2014-04-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Derek Norris Finds the Opposite FieldDaniel Rathman2014-04-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Archer de TriompheR.J. Anderson2014-04-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMy Model Portfolio: Clayton Kershaw Leads the WayCraig Goldstein2014-03-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: American League Post-ProspectsBen Carsley2014-03-20
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Nick Bacarella2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Chris Mosch2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Morris Greenberg2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: March 10-16Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-03-17
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
LABR Recap: Part One: AL-Only AuctionMike Gianella2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2014-02-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: Starting PitchersMike Gianella2014-02-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMock Auction Analysis: AL- and NL-Only Mike Gianella2014-02-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Choosing the Brave LifeR.J. Anderson2014-02-17
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Tampa Bay Rays Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-12-20
Fantasy Team Preview: Tampa Bay RaysCraig Goldstein2013-12-20
The Week in Quotes: November 4-11Andrew Koo2013-11-11
The Week in Quotes: November 4-11Nick Bacarella2013-11-11
The Week in Quotes: November 4-11Chris Mosch2013-11-11
Internet Baseball Awards: American League Top RookieNick Bacarella2013-11-11
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Four Recap: Red Sox 3, Rays 1Zachary Levine2013-10-09
The Week in Quotes: September 30-October 6Nick Bacarella2013-10-08
The Week in Quotes: September 30-October 6Chris Mosch2013-10-08
The Week in Quotes: September 30-October 6Andrew Koo2013-10-08
The Week in Quotes: September 30-October 6Satchel Price2013-10-08
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Four Preview: Red Sox at RaysBret Sayre2013-10-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Searching for Strikeouts: Postseason Rookie StartersBen Carsley2013-10-07
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-05-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is this just a long hangover from Chris Archer's terrible September or has he been figured out by big league hitting?
(louman777 from STM CT)
I'm starting to wonder just how cut out Archer is for a starting role long-term. He's got the slider, but he would make for a nasty end-game reliever. (Bret Sayre)
2014-04-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Chris Archer back to being a potential #2?
(Juan Pedro from Maitland, FL)
Yes. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins this trade Aramis Ramirez, Nate Eovaldi and Tyler Skaggs for Eric Hosmer Doug Fister and Chris Archer?
(Jason from Uranus)
Is this real? The Hosmer/Fister/Archer side, all day errday. I guess there's some cause to hesitate in redraft leagues, but even then, give me Door No. 2 (Ben Carsley)
2014-04-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)For a pitcher like Chris Archer with two + pitches, is having a third average more important or is something like fastball command even important-er?
(Hustlin Pedroia from Burbs)
Nice use of important-er. Well played.

I'd always rather take quality over quantity, so I'd rather have my plus fastball play up to be even better by pairing it with plus command. Sometimes additional average pitches or below average pitches just get in the way. Why throw a crappy pitch when you can keep throwing your good ones? It's not always that simple, but if I have to break it down, I'd rather have two great pitches than a full average arsenal. (Jeff Moore)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty forever Keeper (W,K,ERA,WHIP). Who do you want: Shelby Miller or Chris Archer? Is it even close?
(bb10kbb10k from Erie, PA)
Gimme Miller, and it's not particularly close. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-03 19:30:00 (link to chat)Is Chris Archer a starter or a reliever?
(Judge Owens from Baltimore)
Put the Rays game on MLB.tv and you tell me (Craig Goldstein)
2014-03-19 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is Anibal Sanchez's recent shoulder trouble enough to keep Chris Archer over him in a 12 team keeper H2H league?
(Joe from Oakland)
Not right now. Sanchez has been battling his shoulder for years, it's built into his value. (Bret Sayre)
2014-04-04 12:00:00 (link to chat)All the teasing about it, from Spring Training and anonymous AL Scout praise and not one change-up. Well, here's to possibly 8 years of waiting and watching...for Chris Archer and his change-up. #swoon
(jlarsen from Chicagoland)
this was a surprise, not one changeup from Archer in his 2014 debut. It's gonna be really hard for him to make it with two pitches, as good as those are. My suspicion is he wasn't feeling sharp--as reflected by his fastball command--and his confidence with the changeup is shaky. Put those together and we get a 0 changeup day. I would've expected more progress by now, but we'll see next time. (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chris Archer working hard on change-up, Jake Odorizzi learning how to throw Alex Cobb's split-finger change-up, Nate Karns improving on his change-up and Jake McGee adding a change-up w/ a possibility of a curveball to his repertoire. Which one of these guys will benefit most from adding the pitch that some people are obsessed/fixated/fascinated with? If Odorizzi does indeed learn and hone "The Thing"(split-change), would this take him from a bottom-of-rotation to a 2/3 guy because he'll finally have an out-pitch?
(jlarsen from Chicagoland Area)
a killer changeup can move the needle, sure. But some times a guy is just hoping to get a half-way decent one. In theory any big league pitcher who 'learns awesome new pitch' is going to get better, change cutter knucklecurve etc, but it feels to me like Odorizzi and Archer are going to benefit the most, since they are already potential quality starters and this could put them over the top. Karns could be helped out by having a better chance to stick in the rotation, but that's not as shiny as having a chacne to be a front-line guy. (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you see out of Chris Archer this year? Top 30 SP possible?
(rparker1983 from Lake Titicaca)
It's *possible*. He's awesome. I do worry about some injury indicators tied to his velo and slider usage. (Paul Sporer)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who will have a better year in AL H-H league? Ervin Santana, Ubaldo Jimenez, or Chris Archer. (both FA would be eligible in our league even if they're in NL). Also, salaries are equal, who would you rather have Greinke or Joe Mauer?
(redsoxin2004 from Columbia, CT)
Archer, Greinke. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)In regards to Chris Archer, has the control really improved that much or should we see regression in 2014?
(Jeff from KC)
In the starts I saw last year -- both in Triple-A and Tampa -- I saw progress. Some things clicked for him last year and the control of the fastball and slider were both significantly improved. Whether that growth holds this year remains to be seen. Control can come and go in young pitchers, but I would expect at least some of the progress to be sustained this year. (Mark Anderson)
2013-10-28 18:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Mike, From a fantasy perspective keep 2 of the following: Chris Archer, Trevor Rosenthal, and Danny Salazar
(JasonPennini from Denver)
Hi Jason.

Tough question to answer without knowing what Rosenthal's role is going to be next year. Assuming he is closing, I would go with Archer and Rosenthal. Salazar is an exciting talent, but given the limitations on his pitch counts this year, I'm less confident in him in what will be his first full season. I always lean toward Rays pitchers given the organization's strong track record, and it's not like Archer struggled in his rookie campaign either. Take Archer and go with Rosenthal in the hopes that he's closing. If he isn't closing, he's the rare middle reliever who - even in a standard mixed league - will have some value. (Mike Gianella)
2013-11-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see a possible #2 SP in Chris Archer?
(Greg from Durham)
Potential is there, absolutely. (Nick J. Faleris)
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is the upside of Chris Archer in 2014?
(vampires from burton mi)
I love Archer. He's not a finished product, but I can see him finding comfort in the middle of a ML rotation in 2014 and stepping forward after that. He has a very high ceiling. (Jason Parks)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)You once said you were #smitten with Chris Archer's NC-17 stuff. No that he's having some success in TB, how do you see his future? Still potential #2?
(Ben from Durham)
He still has work to do, but my love for Archer remains strong and true, and one of these days when he's a number two starter, the world will rejoice and I'll light an extra candle for him during #BathNight. (Jason Parks)
2013-09-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Did Chris Archer throw any change-ups tod....oh, nevermind. In all seriousness, can you explain the weirdness going on w/ Chris Archer & Alex Cobb? They have pretty much the same ERA, but Cobb(who doesn't have the explosive repertoire of Archer) has more Ks and Archer(who can be a "nibbler") has a lower WHIP. Also, if you were Andrew Friedman and had the opportunity to sign 1 of these 2 pitchers to a long-term deal...which would be your choice?
(jlarsen from Chicagoland)
Cobb has some deception working in his favor and his splitter > Archer's change. Making me pick one, eh? I'll go Archer on the upside. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-09-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Since all my workers are distracted from working by your chat today, who will now be the top Rays prospect given the graduation of Wil Myers, Chris Archer, and injuries to Taylor Guerreri and Hak-Ju Lee?
(Da Boss from Bossland)
Good question. As you mentioned, graduations and injuries have killed them at the top. Of course, that's a good thing with the graduations, as Myers and Archer have played a key role (along with other guys like Torres) in the Rays contending this season. It might still be Lee. Jesse Hahn is up there if they can keep him healthy. He's not going to be no. 1 in their system this offseason, but Ryne Stanek was a great value pick with upside, I thought, and he's absolutely one to watch. (Jason Cole)
2013-08-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)With Taylor Guerreri down with TJ, Hak-Ju Lee also hurt most of the year, who is now the new Rays number 1 prospect?
(Mike from Tampa)
Well, I will preface this by saying the graduations of Wil Myers and Chris Archer have been very positive this year. Odorizzi has contributed just a bit as well. But it's no doubt a system in transition right now with the graduations and now injuries. I'd have to think about it a little longer on the no. 1 prospect. Ryne Stanek wasn't exactly the model of consistency at Arkansas this past spring, but he can flash the pure stuff to at least be in that discussion once he gets going. (Jason Cole)
2013-08-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Did Chris Archer throw any change-ups today?? lol
(jlarsen from Chicago, IL)
:-| (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-07-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Chris Archer's recent run of better command/control as simple as using the 4-seam fastball more than the 2-seamer?
(CWinslow from TVPD)
Yes, I had noticed that and Jason Collette agreed that he had moved away from it since he was having trouble keeping it in the zone. But the other, perhaps more exciting news, is his changeup. It's getting nasty. He doesn't even need a plus change with his fastball and ridiculous slider, but if it does turn out that way .... oh boy. When he was sent to Tampa in the Garza deal, I felt the Cubs gave up a wild arm who had a long shot of bottling his potential. Either that long shot is coming in or I underestimated his ability to develop. Tampa got it right. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-07-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Has Chris Archer proven his worth to remain in Tampa long term? Will be grow into somethin special or solid back end rotation guy?
(Marvin from Boston)
as I noted in another question, I think he's getting close to something special. He's had it in him, but now he's realizing that potential. May he still fall short? Yup, but I'm not doubting him like I used to. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-07-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Dan Haren worthy of a buy low offer? I'm near the top of the league and could get him for Chris Archer. The points league counts Wins and QS, so being on Washington helps, but Archer clearly has the edge in upside.
(RotoLando from Cloud City)
I don't think Chris Archer is a buy-low price. I love Haren, but that's full price for the kind of risk you're assuming. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)Could you please post more articles like the one you did last year on that Chris Archer game versus Texas. I believe you were laid up following surgery...
(dbrosene from San Mateo, CA)
I will absolutely produce more of those articles. I love sitting on my couch, drinking and watching MLB.tv and "scouting" as I go along. Those are a lot of fun. (Jason Parks)
2013-04-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)Who gets the call up first? Wil Myers or Chris Archer?
(Annoyned Fan from TPA)
I'd say Myers because it's easier to see his path. The Super Two deadline is about five weeks away, which seems like the big thing holding him back. With Archer the Rays need to suffer an injury or send a pitcher packing. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-04-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)Why is Chris Archer getting so much more love than his teammate Jake Odorizzi? Odorizzi is younger and pitching better at the same level. Sure, Archer has that slider, but when it comes to getting that next rotation spot, shouldn't results matter? And age vs level? It's not like Odorizzi is a scrub.
(Apats from Parts Unknown)
Odorizzi is a solid prospect as well, no doubt. We're not talking about polished versus raw here, though, since Odorizzi needs to work on his command as well. It's hard to draw conclusions based solely on minor-league stats, especially with pitchers. If Archer is working on his changeup and command and pitching worse than he would otherwise how much do you hold that against him? I don't know the answer, just throwing it out there. (That Durham rotation also features a resurgent Alex Torres and a reworked Alex Colome.) (R.J. Anderson)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)How would you value Kimbrel in keeper league? to be specific, would you rather have Kimbrel($3) or Chris Archer($1) + Zach Wheeler($1) + N Castellano ($1)?
(jimcal from Seattle)
He's valuable, but he's also still just a closer. I like the thought of packaging him for value elsewhere, and those are three very good prospects. I'd do that. (Bret Sayre)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Just offered Chris Archer and Nolan Arenado for Cingrani in a keeper league where I am rebuilding from scratch. Thoughts?
(Joe from Seattle)
Leave the chat right now and hit accept. I give you permission to go. (Bret Sayre)
2013-04-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)Chris Archer or Trevor Bauer for this season? (long term?)
(rsambrook from Vancouver)
Gosh, I guess I take Archer because I don't have the stomach to gamble on Bauer. Clearly (it seems to me) Bauer more likely to win a Cy Young, make the HOF, etc. (Sam Miller)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty league trade, my lineup: Arencibia, Frazier(1b), Espinosa(2b), Miggy(3b), Rutledge(SS), Cuddyer(OF), Melky(OF), Marte(OF), De Aza(OF), Moustakas(DH), Samardzija(SP), Lester(SP), Morrow(SP), Volquez(SP), Bauer(SP). I am looking to acquire a #1SP and this trade has been proposed to me: Felix Hernandez, Wil Myers and Billy Hamilton. Should I stand pat??? I also have Profar, Olt, Taveras and Zunino along with Dylan Bundy, Kevin Gausman, Chris Archer and Kyle Zimmer waiting on the bench. Pull the trigger....I an torn.
(MerleDixon from Fantasy prison)
So you give those two for Felix? It's completely fair and fits your desires for a #1. Try to give one of the SP prospects instead of Hamilton, but if s/he says no, then I'd do the proposed deal. (Paul Sporer)
2013-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Outside of sifting through rumors, it seems that Rays fans are split between Chris Archer and Alex Cobb. Alex Cobb has consistency, a higher "floor" and MLB track-record. Archer, on the other hand, has a higher ceiling, better "stuff" but is inconsistent throughout majority of career. Archer made improvements to his command and has improved his change-up enough to where it's an avg pitch and not irrelevant anymore. If you had to decide between the 2, who would you choose?
(jlarsen from waukegan)
Nice "problem" to have for the Rays, eh? Why make a decision before you have to in my opinion. They are both going to contribute to the Rays in 2013, and they'll need both to climb back into the postseason. Plus, different answers for short term and long term. (Dan Evans)
2012-12-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chris Archer a top 100 guy in your opinion?
(JJ from Tampa)
Easily. Top 50 guy for me. (Jason Parks)
2012-12-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Early predictions: which Starting Pitchers do you feel make for some good fantasy sleepers next year? Thanks for the chat.
(Paul from St. Louis)
You're welcome, Paul; thank you for stopping by. I'll toss a few names out there off the top of my head: Chris Archer (if he lands a spot in the Rays rotation), Brett Anderson, Mike Minor, and Homer Bailey. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-10-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hello, old friend! James Shields, Jeff Niemann, Alex Torres, Cesar Ramos, Alex Cobb, Wade Davis or Chris Archer all likely not going to remain with the team past Winter Meetings, let alone Spring Training. How do the Rays better their roster, knowing there's a huge logjam of pitching and there's room for improvement offensively. James Shields kicked it up a notch after the deadline, but can the Rays withstand another horrible 1st half from him again?
(jlarsen from chicago)
I don’t think Archer is going anywhere. Part of his problem was philosophical—he pitched off his slider more than he should. He seemed to solve those after getting a taste in the big leagues and realizing his fastball plays against the big boys. Otherwise, he doesn’t fit the profile of someone they’d part with at this juncture in his career.

I do see Tampa Bay trading pitching. If you want a name I’d say Nick Hundley. San Diego has enough catching, in the majors and in the minors, to move him for value. He’d fit nicely on Tampa Bay’s roster. I don’t have a good feel for what the market at first base or DH will be like (if they don’t bring back Luke Scott). Logan Morrison’s name might pop up if Miami is tired of him. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-10-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Favorite prospects?
(Lil' Sebastian from The Barn)
The last time I answered a variation of this question I believe I said Kolten Wong and Chris Archer. I'd still say those two are tops. (R.J. Anderson)
2010-10-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you like Cashner as a starter or a power reliever? I think his talent would be wasted caddying for Marmol , indefinitely.
(Matt from Chicago)
I'd leave him in the relief role for now, while keeping an eye towards whether or not a mid-season or deadline deal opens up a slot in the rotation. But even then, Chris Archer and The Other Chris Carpenter aren't that far off from arriving. The Cubs don't just have a stack of outfielders to sort through, their pitching situation is also very crowded. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of both Cub arms Trey McNutt and Chris Archer? Ceilings?
(Sean from Boston)
Huge, HUGE McNutt fan. I saw him twice before the promotion and he was up to 96 (some have had him higher than that) with a really good slider. The control comes and goes, but that's one helluva arm. Great find for the Cubs there. (Kevin Goldstein)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Chris Archer has thrown 5,645 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and the MLB Postseason. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (96mph), Slider (87mph) and Fourseam Fastball (96mph), also mixing in a Change (87mph).