Biographical

Portrait of Kevin Ahrens

Kevin Ahrens 3BBraves

Braves Player Cards | Braves Team Audit | Braves Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 25)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .204 5 21 24 0 .219 -0.7
Birth Date4-26-1989
Height6' 1"
Weight195 lbs
Age25 years, 5 months, 29 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.72014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2007 BLJ Rk 48 192 .240 .243 .323 .355 .246 .304 100 -4.1 5.6 0 -2.2 0.0 2.4 0.0 2.4 0.0
2008 LNS A 122 514 .256 .249 .318 .366 .258 .356 97 -2.4 14.9 0.4 -3.7 -1.0 11.1 0.8 11.1 0.8
2009 DUN A+ 105 423 .214 .253 .327 .367 .255 .258 103 -20.7 12.3 0.2 3.0 0.0 -9.7 -0.7 -9.7 -0.7
2010 LNS A 66 276 .274 .261 .341 .391 .262 .304 109 4.1 8.2 0.6 -5.8 -2.1 9.5 0.4 9.5 0.4
2010 DUN A+ 28 118 .222 .243 .310 .385 .252 .216 91 -4.8 3.4 0.2 -0.3 0.5 0.2 -0.0 0.2 -0.0
2011 DUN A+ 121 497 .258 .263 .329 .390 .257 .282 106 -1 14.9 0.9 -5.2 -3.2 13.2 0.8 13.2 0.8
2012 DUN A+ 120 477 .252 .252 .325 .369 .249 .282 107 -4.3 14.3 -0.1 2.4 -4.7 5.6 0.8 5.6 0.8
2013 NHP AA 73 265 .231 .251 .326 .385 .263 .265 106 -7.8 7.2 -2.6 1.5 0.5 -4.2 -0.3 -4.2 -0.3
2014 LYN A+ 129 536 .270 .259 .326 .380 .259 .305 99 5.6 15.7 0.3 -1.7 3.2 23.0 2.2 23.0 2.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2007 BLJ Rk 192 19 38 6 0 3 21 25 47 3 0 .230 .339 .321 .091 .240 2.4 -2.2 0.0
2008 LNS A 514 54 119 25 5 5 42 45 135 5 1 .259 .331 .367 .109 .256 11.1 -3.7 0.8
2009 DUN A+ 423 35 81 17 2 4 36 37 76 1 1 .215 .286 .302 .088 .214 -9.7 3.0 -0.7
2010 LNS A 276 30 67 12 2 8 35 21 51 2 4 .265 .321 .423 .158 .274 9.5 -5.8 0.4
2010 DUN A+ 118 12 20 6 1 1 8 7 20 1 0 .187 .239 .290 .103 .222 0.2 -0.3 -0.0
2011 DUN A+ 497 59 104 24 0 13 54 56 99 0 2 .242 .334 .389 .147 .258 13.2 -5.2 0.8
2012 DUN A+ 477 59 98 17 1 8 53 60 87 1 1 .240 .338 .345 .105 .252 5.6 2.4 0.8
2013 NHP AA 265 20 52 15 1 4 29 23 55 0 0 .218 .285 .340 .122 .231 -4.2 1.5 -0.3
2014 LYN A+ 536 68 127 41 1 7 65 48 82 1 1 .266 .336 .400 .134 .270 23.0 -1.7 2.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2010-04-07 2010-04-27 Minors 20 0 Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
Hendricks Sports

Details
  • $1.44M signing bonus
  • signed 6/15/07
  • Memorial High School, Houston 07 1-16

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 515 53 113 22 1 11 52 53 117 0 0 .246 .324 .369 .260 9.0 3B -1, 1B -2 0.7
80o 492 48 102 20 1 10 47 48 115 0 0 .232 .306 .346 .246 1.9 3B 0, 1B -2 0.0
70o 476 45 94 18 1 9 44 45 113 0 0 .221 .293 .330 .236 -2.9 3B 0, 1B -1 -0.5
60o 463 42 88 17 1 8 42 42 112 0 0 .212 .283 .317 .227 -6.7 3B 0, 1B -1 -0.9
50o 450 39 83 16 1 8 39 39 110 0 0 .204 .272 .304 .219 -10.0 3B 0, 1B -1 -1.3
40o 437 37 77 15 1 7 37 36 109 0 0 .195 .262 .291 .211 -13.2 3B 0, 1B -1 -1.6
30o 424 34 72 14 1 7 35 34 107 0 0 .186 .251 .278 .202 -16.4 3B 0, 1B -1 -2.0
20o 408 31 65 13 0 6 32 31 105 0 0 .176 .238 .263 .192 -19.7 3B 0, 1B -1 -2.3
10o 385 28 56 11 0 5 29 27 101 0 0 .162 .221 .242 .177 -23.9 3B 0, 1B -1 -2.8
Weighted Mean45640861718414011100.207.277.310.223-8.53B 0, 1B -1-1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20152625026459052322600.204.276.313.221-1.2-10.0-0.7-1.114.9-23.1-1.2
20162725026469052322610.206.278.312.222-1.2-9.6-0.7-1.214.9-22.6-1.2
20172825026469052323590.208.281.319.225-1.0-7.9-0.7-1.314.9-20.9-1.2
201829604641112111256561430.206.282.316.225-1.5-10.8-1.6-3.214.9-20.9-2.8
201930614641122211255591470.203.280.310.222-1.7-12.5-1.6-3.514.9-22.4-2.9
202031621651122111257601490.203.281.312.223-1.7-12.4-1.7-3.714.9-21.9-2.9
202132620661132111256621500.205.285.312.225-1.6-11.4-1.6-3.914.9-20.9-2.9
202233640671152111357621560.201.279.306.220-1.9-14.7-1.8-4.214.9-23.7-3.0
202334617641132211155581540.206.279.311.222-1.8-13.5-1.6-4.214.9-22.7-2.9

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
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Comparable Players (Similarity Index 87)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 98 Steven Liddle 2013 .000 DNP
2 96 Roman Pena 2012 .000 DNP
3 95 Clay Harris 2008 .000 DNP
4 94 Addison Maruszak 2012 .000 DNP
5 94 Jake Blalock 2009 .000 DNP
6 94 Mike Butia 2008 .000 DNP
7 93 Justin Howard 2013 .000 DNP
8 93 Mike Paulk 2009 .000 DNP
9 93 Cesar Nicolas 2007 .000 DNP
10 93 Brett Newsome 2012 .000 DNP
11 93 Jake Opitz 2012 .000 DNP
12 92 Mark Ori 2009 .000 DNP
13 91 Hunter Mense 2010 .000 DNP
14 91 Michael Flacco 2012 .000 DNP
15 91 Nathan Hanson 2012 .000 DNP
16 91 Michael Jones 2010 .000 DNP
17 91 Michael Ferris 2008 .000 DNP
18 91 Ron Bourquin 2010 .000 DNP
19 90 Eddie Prasch 2011 .000 DNP
20 90 John Urick 2007 .000 DNP
21 90 Casey Stevenson 2013 .000 DNP
22 90 Greg Creek 2008 .000 DNP
23 90 Logan Parker 2010 .000 DNP
24 89 Miguel Velazquez 2013 .000 DNP
25 89 Roberto Lopez 2011 .000 DNP
26 89 Drew Hedman 2012 .000 DNP
27 89 Robbie Widlansky 2010 .000 DNP
28 89 Jared Bolden 2012 .000 DNP
29 88 Anthony Seratelli 2008 .000 DNP
30 88 Jim Gallagher 2011 .000 DNP
31 88 Whitney Robbins 2010 .000 DNP
32 88 A.J. Van Slyke 2009 .000 DNP
33 88 Luke Murton 2011 .000 DNP
34 87 Kevin Mahoney 2012 .000 DNP
35 87 Johan Limonta 2009 .000 DNP
36 87 Bill Rhinehart 2010 .000 DNP
37 87 Rodney Choy Foo 2007 .000 DNP
38 87 Efren Navarro 2011 .181
39 87 Kevin Smith 2009 .000 DNP
40 87 Jeff Kindel 2008 .000 DNP
41 86 Chris Carlson 2009 .000 DNP
42 86 Rawley Bishop 2011 .000 DNP
43 86 Wilver Perez 2009 .000 DNP
44 86 Scott Savastano 2011 .000 DNP
45 86 James Cesario 2011 .000 DNP
46 86 Mike McCuistion 2007 .000 DNP
47 86 Geoffrey Klein 2013 .000 DNP
48 85 Joe Bonfe 2013 .000 DNP
49 85 Will Smith 2007 .000 DNP
50 85 Drew Toussaint 2008 .000 DNP
51 85 Kyle Phillips 2009 .217
52 85 Issmael Salas 2008 .000 DNP
53 85 Jason Delaney 2008 .000 DNP
54 85 Stephen King 2013 .000 DNP
55 85 Greg Dowling 2009 .000 DNP
56 84 Brad McElroy 2011 .000 DNP
57 84 Stephen Head 2009 .000 DNP
58 84 Jonathan Hee 2011 .000 DNP
59 84 Kent Sakamoto 2009 .000 DNP
60 84 Brett Pill 2010 .000 DNP
61 84 Michael Carlin 2007 .000 DNP
62 84 Steven Caseres 2012 .000 DNP
63 84 Ozzie Lewis 2011 .000 DNP
64 84 Shane Justis 2008 .000 DNP
65 84 James Van Ostrand 2010 .000 DNP
66 84 Chris Errecart 2010 .000 DNP
67 84 Daryl Jones 2012 .000 DNP
68 84 Anthony Aliotti 2013 .000 DNP
69 83 Emerson Frostad 2008 .000 DNP
70 83 Ryan Crew 2009 .000 DNP
71 83 Drew Locke 2008 .000 DNP
72 83 Jason Rogers 2013 .000 DNP
73 83 Tim Brown 2008 .000 DNP
74 83 Julian Benavidez 2007 .000 DNP
75 83 Seth Johnston 2008 .000 DNP
76 83 Josh Mazzola 2011 .000 DNP
77 83 Jason Bourgeois 2007 .000 DNP
78 83 Daniel Berg 2010 .000 DNP
79 83 Nicholas Baligod 2013 .000 DNP
80 83 Kyle Day 2012 .000 DNP
81 83 Ryan Khoury 2009 .000 DNP
82 83 David Nicholson 2008 .000 DNP
83 83 Bryan Byrne 2009 .000 DNP
84 83 Michael Spina 2012 .000 DNP
85 83 Ole Sheldon 2008 .000 DNP
86 83 Lou Montanez 2007 .000 DNP
87 83 Jeremy Barnes 2012 .000 DNP
88 82 Craig Cooper 2010 .000 DNP
89 82 Rashad Eldridge 2007 .000 DNP
90 82 Adam Pavkovich 2007 .000 DNP
91 82 Colin Curtis 2010 .192
92 82 Vince Sinisi 2007 .000 DNP
93 82 Billy Nowlin 2012 .000 DNP
94 82 Anthony Scelfo 2012 .000 DNP
95 82 Blake Lalli 2008 .000 DNP
96 82 Jarred Ball 2008 .000 DNP
97 82 David Rubinstein 2012 .000 DNP
98 82 Donnie Webb 2011 .000 DNP
99 82 Steven Tinoco 2013 .000 DNP
100 82 Jerad Head 2008 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 After spending parts of four seasons at High-A Dunedin, former first-round pick Kevin Ahrens has officially earned the “bust” tag.
2010 Drafted with the compensation pick the Jays received from Texas for Frank Catalanotto in 2007, Kevin Ahrens is a strong-armed third baseman who went from “isn’t hitting” to “can’t hit” in his High-A debut last year.
2009 The 16th overall pick in the 2007 amateur draft, high school shortstop Kevin Ahrens has shifted to third, but has yet to begin to hit and is beginning to look like he was significantly over-drafted.
2008 Ahrens rose up draft boards throughout the spring, and by the time the draft rolled around, he was generally seen as the top high-school player in Texas. Drafted as a shortstop, he's already been moved to third base, which will work just fine as Ahrens is a switch-hitter with plus power from both sides and a great arm. Ignore the poor numbers in his pro debut; another powerful switch-hitting third baseman named Chipper Jones hit .229/.321/.271 in his Gulf Coast League debut.

BP Articles

Kevin Ahrens is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Redemption?Christina Kahrl2009-08-19
Future Shock: Blue Jays Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2009-03-12
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: Dick ScottDavid Laurila2008-12-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL Two Steps BackKevin Goldstein2008-09-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL East NotebookKevin Goldstein2008-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2008-04-07
Future Shock: State of the Systems, AL EastKevin Goldstein2008-03-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Blue Jays Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2008-01-08


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2009-02-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of "breakout" do you expect from Justin Jackson? Also, do you think Kevin Ahrens will step up his game at all?
(Bill from Toronto)
I'm far more optimistic on Jackson, Ahrens was just one of those guys where you'd go to the game and sit with scouts and they'd turn to you at some point and say, "really? he was first round?" I could see Jackson turning into this .260 hitter with a lot of walks, plus defense and speed. Kinda a unique old-school shortstop. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-04-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)The Lansing Lugnuts have an interesting team loaded with players from the Jays '07 draft, any guys that really impress you?
(Bill from Toronto)
TONS. I like Kevin Ahrens, I LOVE Justin Jackson and I think Yoherman Chavez is underrated. The future of the Jays really does reside in Lansing right now. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC