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Niko Spezial PNationals

Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
33.3 6.28 1.79 19 1 0 1 -0.7
Birth Date11-1-1990
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lbs
Age23 years, 11 months, 21 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.72014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2013 AUB A- 3 0 3.3 3.17 122 .335 .247 .316 .344 .258 .455 101 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1
2013 NAT Rk 12 0 15.7 3.47 125 .223 .229 .305 .320 .237 .256 104 3.4 0.3 3.4 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2013 AUB A- 0 0 0 3 0 3.3 5 3 4 0 55% .455 13.5 8.1 0.0 10.8 2.40 5.40 0.6 0.1
2013 NAT Rk 1 0 1 12 0 15.7 11 5 17 1 30% .256 6.3 2.9 0.6 9.8 1.02 2.87 3.4 0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 2.1 0.8 1.7 43 0 54.3 49 26 31 6 .274 1.38 4.65 5.06 -2.2 -0.2
80o 1.7 0.6 1.4 37 0 46.7 46 24 26 5 .292 1.51 5.17 5.62 -4.6 -0.5
70o 1.5 0.5 1.2 33 0 41.5 44 23 23 5 .306 1.61 5.56 6.05 -5.9 -0.6
60o 1.3 0.4 1 29 0 37.1 41 21 21 5 .317 1.69 5.91 6.42 -6.7 -0.7
50o 1.2 0.3 0.9 26 0 33.2 39 20 19 4 .328 1.78 6.24 6.78 -7.2 -0.7
40o 1 0.2 0.7 23 0 29.4 36 19 17 4 .340 1.86 6.57 7.14 -7.4 -0.8
30o 0.8 0.2 0.6 20 0 25.5 33 17 15 4 .351 1.96 6.94 7.55 -7.5 -0.8
20o 0.7 0.1 0.5 17 0 21.1 29 15 12 3 .366 2.08 7.39 8.03 -7.2 -0.7
10o 0.5 0.1 0.3 12 0 15.2 23 12 9 3 .385 2.25 8.04 8.74 -6.2 -0.6
Weighted Mean1.10.30.825032.13719184.3251.756.176.71-6.7-0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152421132041421931542.3191.494.795.219.24.26.81.1-0.1
20162511130038381628442.3081.414.615.018.93.86.60.9-0.0
20172611131039391728442.3141.454.725.139.14.06.50.9-0.1
20182721131039401729442.3161.464.715.119.23.96.70.9-0.1
20192821131039401729442.3161.454.675.089.23.96.60.9-0.1
20202921132040411730542.3141.444.574.969.13.86.71.1-0.0
20213021132041411731542.3121.414.474.869.03.76.81.10.0
20223111130038391527442.3111.424.554.959.23.66.40.90.0
20233210127035361423442.3111.444.685.099.33.66.01.0-0.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
1.90.10.50.90.80.64.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 93)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Matt Shelton 2012 0.00 DNP
2 98 Joan Montero 2012 0.00 DNP
3 97 Cole Johnson 2012 0.00 DNP
4 97 David Goforth 2012 0.00 DNP
5 97 Joan Belliard 2012 0.00 DNP
6 97 Theron Geith 2012 0.00 DNP
7 97 Nick Pugliese 2009 0.00 DNP
8 97 Cody Fassold 2012 0.00 DNP
9 96 Franklin Noel 2012 0.00 DNP
10 96 Steven Gruver 2012 0.00 DNP
11 96 Wilson Matos 2011 0.00 DNP
12 96 Heath Wyatt 2012 0.00 DNP
13 96 Kenny Faulk 2010 0.00 DNP
14 96 Drew Hayes 2011 0.00 DNP
15 96 Edward Santos 2013 0.00 DNP
16 96 Ryan O'Shea 2009 0.00 DNP
17 95 Ashur Tolliver 2011 0.00 DNP
18 95 Mitch Herold 2009 0.00 DNP
19 95 Justin Fitzgerald 2009 0.00 DNP
20 95 David Colvin 2012 0.00 DNP
21 95 Seth Garrison 2009 0.00 DNP
22 95 Hamilton Bennett 2011 0.00 DNP
23 95 Jeremy Berg 2010 0.00 DNP
24 95 Joel De La Cruz 2012 0.00 DNP
25 95 Zach Thornton 2011 0.00 DNP
26 95 James Nygren 2012 0.00 DNP
27 94 Daniel Vasquez 2009 0.00 DNP
28 94 Aidan Lucas 2011 0.00 DNP
29 94 Francis Cabrera 2010 0.00 DNP
30 94 Grant Dayton 2011 0.00 DNP
31 94 Casey Baron 2008 0.00 DNP
32 94 Andrew Laughter 2008 0.00 DNP
33 94 Michael Powers 2009 0.00 DNP
34 94 Andrew Ferguson 2012 0.00 DNP
35 94 David Mixon 2008 0.00 DNP
36 94 Steve Edlefsen 2008 0.00 DNP
37 94 Pat Doyle 2011 0.00 DNP
38 94 Jamie Walczak 2010 0.00 DNP
39 94 Leuris Gomez 2010 0.00 DNP
40 93 Ronny Marte 2009 0.00 DNP
41 93 Austin Adams 2010 0.00 DNP
42 93 Willy Paredes 2012 0.00 DNP
43 93 Nicholas Avila 2012 0.00 DNP
44 93 Ryan Dennick 2010 0.00 DNP
45 93 Mike Piazza 2010 0.00 DNP
46 93 Jorge De Leon 2011 0.00 DNP
47 93 Wanel Vasquez 2010 0.00 DNP
48 93 Erik Turgeon 2010 0.00 DNP
49 93 Yoffri Martinez 2009 0.00 DNP
50 92 Shawn Tolleson 2011 0.00 DNP
51 92 Travis Henke 2012 0.00 DNP
52 92 Rinku Singh 2012 0.00 DNP
53 92 Alex Sogard 2011 0.00 DNP
54 92 Mike McGuire 2009 0.00 DNP
55 92 Francisco Mendoza 2011 0.00 DNP
56 92 Joe Esposito 2008 0.00 DNP
57 92 Pedro Vidal 2011 0.00 DNP
58 92 Wade Korpi 2009 0.00 DNP
59 92 Jared Potts 2009 0.00 DNP
60 92 Kevin Nabors 2009 0.00 DNP
61 92 Josue Selenes 2009 0.00 DNP
62 92 Ryne Harper 2012 0.00 DNP
63 92 Roy Merritt 2009 0.00 DNP
64 92 Yonata Ortega 2010 0.00 DNP
65 92 Jesus Pirela 2012 0.00 DNP
66 91 Greg Wilborn 2010 0.00 DNP
67 91 Josh Wilkie 2008 0.00 DNP
68 91 Blake Parker 2008 0.00 DNP
69 91 Daniel Cooper 2010 0.00 DNP
70 91 Austin Hubbard 2011 0.00 DNP
71 91 Garrett Parcell 2008 0.00 DNP
72 91 Drew Bowlin 2010 0.00 DNP
73 91 Deivis Mavarez 2010 0.00 DNP
74 91 Stephen Clyne 2008 0.00 DNP
75 91 Ryan Demmin 2011 0.00 DNP
76 91 Brant Rustich 2008 0.00 DNP
77 91 Luis De La Cruz 2012 0.00 DNP
78 91 Terry Doyle 2009 0.00 DNP
79 91 Carlos Arias 2009 0.00 DNP
80 91 Jordan Ellis 2009 0.00 DNP
81 91 Cody Eppley 2009 0.00 DNP
82 91 Taylor Rogers 2010 0.00 DNP
83 91 Erik Crichton 2008 0.00 DNP
84 91 Brooks Pinckard 2012 0.00 DNP
85 91 Caleb Thielbar 2010 0.00 DNP
86 91 Jason Buursma 2009 0.00 DNP
87 91 Cameron Selik 2011 0.00 DNP
88 90 Felix Pena 2013 0.00 DNP
89 90 Brett Bordes 2007 0.00 DNP
90 90 Stephen Shackleford 2012 0.00 DNP
91 90 Patrick Keating 2010 0.00 DNP
92 90 Jonathan Arias 2011 0.00 DNP
93 90 Keith Hessler 2012 0.00 DNP
94 90 T.J. Chism 2012 0.00 DNP
95 90 Josh Satow 2009 0.00 DNP
96 90 Tyler Clark 2012 0.00 DNP
97 90 Adam Mills 2008 0.00 DNP
98 90 Robert Coello 2008 0.00 DNP
99 90 Danny Rondon 2010 0.00 DNP
100 90 Jeffrey Kaplan 2009 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

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