Biographical

Portrait of Brandon Downes

Brandon Downes CFRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .201 7 28 22 6 .207 -0.2
Birth Date9-29-1992
Height6' 3"
Weight195 lbs
Age23 years, 11 months, 30 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.02016
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2014 IDA Rk 41 188 .301 .279 .343 .423 .000 .383 109 8.4 6.9 0.6 0.0 0.2 17.1 1.6 17.1 1.6
2015 LEX A 106 437 .277 .254 .320 .366 .000 .316 102 7.4 12.0 0 10.1 1.5 20.9 3.3 20.9 3.3
2015 WIL A+ 1 1 -.017 .282 .357 .324 .000 .000 93 -0.3 0.0 0 -0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0
2016 WIL A+ 130 538 .260 .255 .325 .380 .259 .323 98 -0.2 15.4 -2.7 1.6 -1.0 11.5 1.3 11.5 1.3
2016 OMA AAA 5 14 .295 .264 .314 .379 .245 .500 101 0.5 0.4 0 0.9 0.1 1.0 0.2 1.0 0.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2014 IDA Rk 188 31 52 13 4 3 23 10 41 6 4 .308 .358 .485 .178 .301 17.1 0.0 1.6
2015 WIL A+ 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.017 -0.2 -0.0 -0.0
2015 LEX A 437 52 98 29 3 14 59 31 115 19 7 .251 .312 .448 .197 .277 20.9 10.1 3.3
2016 OMA AAA 14 3 4 2 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 .308 .357 .462 .154 .295 1.0 0.9 0.2
2016 WIL A+ 538 56 110 34 3 12 66 41 170 19 6 .230 .302 .389 .159 .260 11.5 1.6 1.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT CSAA_CHANCES CSAA_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 326 40 76 17 2 11 38 18 99 9 4 .251 .297 .428 .256 7.1 CF 3, RF 1 1.2
80o 300 35 64 14 2 9 33 16 94 8 3 .234 .278 .397 .239 1.7 CF 3, RF 1 0.6
70o 281 31 57 13 1 8 29 14 89 7 3 .221 .264 .376 .227 -1.7 CF 3, RF 0 0.2
60o 265 28 51 11 1 7 27 13 86 6 3 .211 .252 .358 .217 -4.2 CF 3, RF 0 -0.1
50o 250 26 47 10 1 7 24 11 82 6 3 .201 .241 .341 .208 -6.3 CF 2, RF 0 -0.4
40o 235 23 42 9 1 6 22 10 78 5 2 .191 .230 .324 .198 -8.1 CF 2, RF 0 -0.6
30o 219 21 37 8 1 5 20 9 74 4 2 .181 .218 .306 .188 -9.7 CF 2, RF 0 -0.8
20o 200 18 31 7 1 4 17 8 69 4 2 .169 .204 .285 .176 -11.2 CF 2, RF 0 -1.0
10o 174 15 26 6 1 4 14 6 62 3 1 .152 .185 .256 .159 -12.6 CF 2, RF 0 -1.2
Weighted Mean2582749111726128463.206.247.350.213-5.2CF 2, RF 0-0.2

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/27/2016 12:00 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 526 63 120 33 3 16 60 29 173 14 6 .248 .299 .427 .263 14.6 CF 3, LF 0 2.1
80o 500 57 106 29 2 14 54 26 169 13 6 .231 .280 .398 .246 5.7 CF 3, LF 0 1.1
70o 481 53 98 27 2 13 50 24 165 12 5 .219 .266 .377 .234 -0.1 CF 3, LF 0 0.5
60o 465 49 90 25 2 12 46 22 163 11 5 .209 .254 .359 .224 -4.8 CF 3, LF 0 0.0
50o 450 46 84 23 2 11 43 20 160 10 5 .200 .243 .342 .214 -8.9 CF 3, LF 0 -0.5
40o 435 43 77 21 2 10 40 19 157 9 4 .190 .232 .326 .204 -12.7 CF 3, LF 0 -0.9
30o 419 39 70 19 2 9 37 17 153 8 4 .180 .221 .309 .194 -16.4 CF 3, LF 0 -1.4
20o 400 36 62 17 1 8 33 15 149 7 3 .168 .207 .288 .182 -20.4 CF 2, LF 0 -1.8
10o 374 31 54 15 1 7 29 13 143 6 3 .152 .188 .260 .165 -25.2 CF 2, LF 0 -2.4
Weighted Mean4584888242124521161105.205.250.352.219-6.6CF 3, LF 0-0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
1% 4% 5% 7% 9%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201724503539724215562516311.210.257.368.2210.1-5.40.90.212.5-19.06.3
201825474509222214522515411.211.262.366.2240.2-4.20.90.011.7-16.96.0
201926461508920214522515311.212.263.371.2250.2-3.60.8-0.111.4-15.75.8
20202741544801821346221379.209.259.366.2220.0-4.90.6-0.210.3-15.65.2
20212840043781821245221318.210.262.367.2240.1-4.30.4-0.39.9-14.35.0
20222937940721621142201247.208.258.361.220-0.1-5.40.3-0.49.4-14.64.8
20233038541731621142211277.208.260.360.221-0.1-5.70.1-0.59.5-14.84.9
20243137740721621141211246.208.260.360.221-0.1-5.80.0-0.69.3-14.54.7
20253236338701521139201195.207.258.357.219-0.2-6.3-0.1-0.79.0-14.54.6

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201724250264814172712886.205.255.361.222-0.6-7.70.4-0.415.2-23.02.2
20182539742762121143221409.208.265.365.228-0.1-4.00.6-0.715.3-19.23.5
2019265766411129318663520914.212.273.382.2350.60.10.9-1.215.3-14.95.0
2020275656010832316633420613.208.267.374.2320.3-2.10.7-1.415.3-16.74.9
2021285335710328215583419012.211.272.366.2310.1-3.50.4-1.415.3-17.84.7
20222941840752211041201518.193.242.333.212-0.9-11.90.2-1.212.1-23.03.7
2023304424378192942261608.196.253.324.209-1.4-16.90.2-1.415.3-31.03.9

Upside By Year

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PEAK 5
0.26.664.11.24.322.3

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20150.22.52.4out of baseballout of baseball1.47.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 88)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 96 Sean Ratliff 2010 .000 DNP
2 95 Travis Taijeron 2012 .000 DNP
3 93 Aaron Altherr 2014 .006
4 92 Matthew Cerione 2011 .000 DNP
5 91 Collin Cowgill 2009 .000 DNP
6 91 Ben Guez 2010 .000 DNP
7 91 Jai Miller 2008 -.015
8 90 Michael Taylor 2014 .235
9 90 Michael Crouse 2014 .000 DNP
10 90 Chandler Laurent 2011 .000 DNP
11 89 Ryan Patterson 2006 .000 DNP
12 89 Daniel Adamson 2011 .000 DNP
13 89 Angel Morales 2013 .000 DNP
14 89 Thomas Pham 2011 .000 DNP
15 89 Jared Mitchell 2012 .000 DNP
16 89 Connor Harrell 2014 .000 DNP
17 89 Daniel Fields 2014 .000 DNP
18 89 Bryan Petersen 2009 .000 DNP
19 89 Javier Herrera 2008 .000 DNP
20 88 Denny Almonte 2012 .000 DNP
21 88 Neil Medchill 2010 .000 DNP
22 88 Brandon Short 2012 .000 DNP
23 88 Dusty Robinson 2013 .000 DNP
24 88 Stephen McQuail 2012 .000 DNP
25 88 Janelfry Zorrilla 2014 .000 DNP
26 88 Collin DeLome 2009 .000 DNP
27 88 Chris Colton 2006 .000 DNP
28 88 Mickey Hall 2008 .000 DNP
29 88 Robby Hefflinger 2013 .000 DNP
30 88 Raul Reyes 2010 .000 DNP
31 88 Drew Locke 2006 .000 DNP
32 88 Jacob Butler 2006 .000 DNP
33 88 Victor Ferrante 2008 .000 DNP
34 88 J.R. Higley 2011 .000 DNP
35 88 Jon Mark Owings 2008 .000 DNP
36 87 Travis Witherspoon 2012 .000 DNP
37 87 Wander Ramos 2013 .000 DNP
38 87 Yeicok Calderon 2015 .000 DNP
39 87 Tyler Henson 2011 .000 DNP
40 87 Ryan Royster 2010 .000 DNP
41 87 Blake Smith 2011 .000 DNP
42 87 Kevin Clark 2009 .000 DNP
43 87 Zachary Cone 2013 .000 DNP
44 87 Ryan Frith 2006 .000 DNP
45 87 Quincy Latimore 2012 .000 DNP
46 87 Jeremy Moore 2010 .000 DNP
47 87 Kyle Conley 2010 .000 DNP
48 87 Conor Bierfeldt 2014 .000 DNP
49 87 Juan Crousset 2013 .000 DNP
50 87 Brandon Jacobs 2014 .000 DNP
51 86 Casper Wells 2008 .000 DNP
52 86 Brady Shoemaker 2010 .000 DNP
53 86 Alejandro Selen 2012 .000 DNP
54 86 Jonathan Garcia 2015 .000 DNP
55 86 Virgil Hill 2013 .000 DNP
56 86 Melky Mesa 2010 .000 DNP
57 86 Jason Place 2011 .000 DNP
58 86 Angel Castillo 2012 .000 DNP
59 86 Trayce Thompson 2014 .000 DNP
60 86 Scott Schebler 2014 .000 DNP
61 86 Nick Akins 2011 .000 DNP
62 86 Nicholas Longmire 2012 .000 DNP
63 86 Jordan Danks 2010 .000 DNP
64 86 Brett Carroll 2006 .000 DNP
65 86 Victor Roache 2015 .000 DNP
66 86 Cole Garner 2008 .000 DNP
67 86 Benjamin McMahan 2013 .000 DNP
68 86 Tyler Marincov 2015 .000 DNP
69 86 Andrew Ray 2014 .000 DNP
70 86 Keon Broxton 2013 .000 DNP
71 86 Dylan Johnston 2010 .000 DNP
72 86 Tyler Johnson 2009 .000 DNP
73 85 Ronnie Welty 2011 .000 DNP
74 85 Daniel Rockett 2014 .000 DNP
75 85 Carlos Guzman 2009 .000 DNP
76 85 Matthew Spencer 2009 .000 DNP
77 85 Matt Joyce 2008 .285
78 85 Kyle Jensen 2011 .000 DNP
79 85 Steve Murphy 2007 .000 DNP
80 85 Steven Bumbry 2011 .000 DNP
81 85 Slade Heathcott 2014 .000 DNP
82 85 Tyler Naquin 2014 .000 DNP
83 85 Francisco Plasencia 2007 .000 DNP
84 85 Julio Morban 2015 .000 DNP
85 85 Michael Fish 2014 .000 DNP
86 85 Michael Ratterree 2014 .000 DNP
87 85 John Thomas 2014 .000 DNP
88 85 Brett Eibner 2012 .000 DNP
89 85 Nelson Perez 2011 .000 DNP
90 85 Kevin Keyes 2012 .000 DNP
91 85 Mark Shorey 2008 .000 DNP
92 85 Dwight Britton 2011 .000 DNP
93 85 Joseph Winker 2013 .000 DNP
94 85 Christopher Grayson 2013 .000 DNP
95 85 James Baldwin 2015 .000 DNP
96 85 Justin Nelson 2006 .000 DNP
97 85 Matt Esquivel 2006 .000 DNP
98 85 Joseph Dunigan 2009 .000 DNP
99 85 Xavier Paul 2008 .000 DNP
100 85 Edgardo Baez 2009 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

Brandon Downes is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 20-22Christopher Crawford2016-05-23
2016 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-01-26
2016 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsChristopher Crawford2016-01-26
This article requires BP Premium accessLeague Preview Series: Carolina LeagueJordan Gorosh2015-03-27
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsNick J. Faleris2015-01-26
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-01-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: College World Series PreviewKendall Rogers2014-06-13
Scouting the Draft: 2014 Draft Favorites By RoundNick J. Faleris2014-06-11
This article requires BP Premium accessScouting the Draft: 2014 Draft: Center Fielders to KnowNick J. Faleris2014-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: 2014 MLB Draft Rankings: Nos. 101-200Allan Simpson2014-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessDraft Ten Pack: Scouting Jeff Hoffman and the University of VirginiaNick J. Faleris2014-02-25


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you like prospect Derek Fisher?
(Wilson from Ocean)
Not really, though my last live look at him was in Omaha in 2014. Fisher was supposed to be the best prospect on a loaded team, but nothing really jumped out at me. His teammate, Brandon Downes, however, gave me the vapors, and Downes is still in A-ball, waiting for the hit tool to show up, so really I only answered this question to talk about Brandon Downes I guess. (Michael Baumann)
2015-04-06 20:15:00 (link to chat)Based on pure stuff alone, where would a healthy Jeff Hoffman rank among pitching prospects? I personally see him the closest to Giolito in the minors. Both have potential plus-plus fastball and curveballs along with a potential plus change.
(Matt from Cambridge )
I've only seen Hoffman live once, but that's not really what I saw from him (granted it was February last year, and so he might not have been at full speed quite yet). I would say it was a 60 fastball with a chance for more, 60 curveball (inconsistently though) and he flashed some really nice changes I'd put at 55 but was also quite firm (KCR 7th rounder Brandon Downes tagged one for a homer). And that's when they were good. Is there room to grow? You bet. But I probably would have him, completely healthy, in the 30-40 range. It's hard to separate that from his health though! (Craig Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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