Biographical

Portrait of Mike Papi

Mike Papi DH  

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2017 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .211 7 26 28 1 .233 -0.1
Birth Date9-19-1992
Height6' 2"
Weight190 lbs
Age24 years, 6 months, 8 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2013
2014
2015
2016
-0.12017
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2014 LKC A 39 166 .232 .251 .313 .364 .256 .204 103 -4.9 4.7 -1.8 -2.2 0.7 -1.3 -0.4 -1.3 -0.4
2014 MHV A- 2 9 .160 .266 .365 .371 .283 .222 110 -0.9 0.3 -0.1 1.3 0.5 -0.3 0.1 -0.3 0.1
2015 LYN A+ 127 506 .272 .254 .319 .368 .258 .316 106 5.9 13.6 -4.2 -5.9 -3.6 11.7 0.6 11.7 0.6
2016 LYN A+ 40 173 .295 .254 .327 .379 .260 .280 102 6.4 4.9 -2 -3.6 -0.9 8.5 0.5 8.5 0.5
2016 AKR AA 78 306 .279 .259 .324 .387 .259 .282 103 5.8 8.2 -2.9 7.8 -2.2 9.0 1.8 9.0 1.8

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2014 MHV A- 9 2 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 .222 .222 .222 .000 .160 -0.3 1.3 0.1
2014 LKC A 166 21 24 4 0 3 15 26 32 2 0 .178 .305 .274 .096 .232 -1.3 -2.2 -0.4
2015 LYN A+ 506 53 98 34 2 4 45 81 118 6 7 .236 .362 .356 .120 .272 11.7 -5.9 0.6
2016 AKR AA 306 33 59 16 2 8 40 41 72 4 0 .228 .340 .398 .170 .279 9.0 7.8 1.8
2016 LYN A+ 173 22 33 9 0 7 18 30 42 0 1 .236 .370 .450 .214 .295 8.5 -3.6 0.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT CSAA_CHANCES CSAA_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2017 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 317 41 66 17 0 10 40 49 83 1 0 .257 .374 .447 .279 12.3 LF 2, RF -3 1.2
80o 294 36 58 15 0 9 35 43 79 1 0 .241 .355 .419 .264 7.1 LF 2, RF -3 0.6
70o 277 33 53 14 0 8 32 39 76 1 0 .230 .341 .399 .253 3.7 LF 2, RF -3 0.3
60o 263 30 50 13 0 8 29 36 74 1 0 .220 .328 .382 .244 1.1 LF 2, RF -2 0.0
50o 250 28 44 11 0 7 27 33 71 1 0 .211 .317 .366 .236 -1.1 LF 1, RF -2 -0.2
40o 237 25 40 10 0 6 25 30 69 1 0 .203 .306 .351 .228 -3.1 LF 1, RF -2 -0.4
30o 223 23 37 9 0 6 22 27 66 0 0 .193 .294 .335 .219 -5.0 LF 1, RF -2 -0.6
20o 206 20 32 8 0 5 20 24 62 0 0 .183 .280 .316 .208 -6.8 LF 1, RF -2 -0.8
10o 183 17 27 7 0 4 17 20 57 0 0 .168 .260 .291 .193 -8.8 LF 1, RF -2 -1.0
Weighted Mean2562946120728347310.216.323.374.240-0.1LF 1, RF -2-0.1

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2017 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201825291365313193238851.212.319.373.236-0.3-1.5-0.6-1.47.6-7.1-1.1
201926305375614193341881.212.320.371.236-0.3-1.8-0.7-1.67.9-7.5-1.2
202027267334812082935770.212.319.372.236-0.3-1.7-0.6-1.46.9-6.6-1.0
202128264334812083035760.215.322.381.239-0.2-1.0-0.7-1.56.8-5.6-1.0
202229251314411072833720.213.320.373.236-0.3-1.8-0.7-1.56.5-6.1-1.0
202330243304411072732690.216.323.377.238-0.2-1.2-0.6-1.56.3-5.4-0.9
202431256324612072834730.215.322.375.237-0.3-1.6-0.7-1.76.6-5.9-1.0
202532214263810062328620.211.318.369.235-0.3-2.0-0.6-1.45.5-5.5-0.8
20263320325379062227590.213.320.371.236-0.3-1.7-0.5-1.45.3-5.0-0.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 93 Cole Gillespie 2008 .000 DNP
2 91 Anthony Garcia 2016 .000 DNP
3 91 Brandon Meredith 2014 .000 DNP
4 91 Jared Keel 2009 .000 DNP
5 90 Nate Tenbrink 2011 .000 DNP
6 89 John Tolisano 2013 .000 DNP
7 89 Brian Pointer 2016 .000 DNP
8 88 Marvin Lowrance 2009 .000 DNP
9 88 Jaycob Brugman 2016 .000 DNP
10 87 Jabari Henry 2015 .000 DNP
11 87 Chad Huffman 2009 .000 DNP
12 86 Shawn Payne 2014 .000 DNP
13 86 Shane Peterson 2012 .000 DNP
14 86 Ben Copeland 2008 .000 DNP
15 85 Tyler Collins 2014 .231
16 85 Khris Davis 2012 .000 DNP
17 85 Reid Fronk 2011 .000 DNP
18 85 Justin Maffei 2016 .000 DNP
19 85 Stefan Sabol 2016 .000 DNP
20 85 Marcus Knecht 2014 .000 DNP
21 84 Jeremy Baltz 2015 .000 DNP
22 84 Victor Cruzado 2016 .000 DNP
23 84 Sawyer Carroll 2010 .000 DNP
24 84 Jeff Malm 2015 .000 DNP
25 84 Aaron Luna 2011 .000 DNP
26 83 Chris Lubanski 2009 .000 DNP
27 83 Eric Fryer 2010 .000 DNP
28 83 John Whittleman 2011 .000 DNP
29 83 Jake Smolinski 2013 .000 DNP
30 83 Bryan Petersen 2010 .088
31 83 Rafael Fernandez 2013 .000 DNP
32 83 Deangelo Mack 2011 .000 DNP
33 83 Thomas Neal 2012 .169
34 83 Zeke DeVoss 2015 .000 DNP
35 82 Bijan Rademacher 2015 .000 DNP
36 82 Alex Glenn 2015 .000 DNP
37 82 Mark Payton 2016 .000 DNP
38 82 Allan Dykstra 2011 .000 DNP
39 82 Francisco Sosa 2014 .000 DNP
40 82 Dan Brewer 2012 .000 DNP
41 82 Viosergy Rosa 2014 .000 DNP
42 82 Marc Krauss 2012 .000 DNP
43 82 Dario Pizzano 2015 .000 DNP
44 82 Evan Chambers 2013 .000 DNP
45 82 Michael Burgess 2013 .000 DNP
46 82 Robbie Grossman 2014 .258
47 82 Christopher Grayson 2014 .000 DNP
48 82 Jared Hoying 2013 .000 DNP
49 82 Alex Hassan 2012 .000 DNP
50 82 Jaff Decker 2014 -.002
51 82 Cory Vaughn 2013 .000 DNP
52 82 Joseph Jackson 2016 .000 DNP
53 82 Ross Wilson 2013 .000 DNP
54 81 Tyler Austin 2016 .261
55 81 Tim Smith 2010 .000 DNP
56 81 Torsten Boss 2015 .000 DNP
57 81 Jordan Parraz 2009 .000 DNP
58 81 Jake Goebbert 2012 .000 DNP
59 81 Ramon Flores 2016 .214
60 81 Conrad Gregor 2016 .000 DNP
61 81 Jeremy Synan 2011 .000 DNP
62 81 Travis Jones 2010 .000 DNP
63 81 Kyle Gaedele 2014 .000 DNP
64 81 Daryl Jones 2011 .000 DNP
65 81 Colin Walsh 2014 .000 DNP
66 81 Cameron Seitzer 2014 .000 DNP
67 81 JaDamion Williams 2015 .000 DNP
68 81 Johermyn Chavez 2013 .000 DNP
69 80 James Ramsey 2014 .000 DNP
70 80 David Espinosa 2006 .000 DNP
71 80 Stephen Parker 2012 .000 DNP
72 80 Daniel Paolini 2014 .000 DNP
73 80 Lucas Duda 2010 .259
74 80 Brenden Webb 2014 .000 DNP
75 80 Chris Pettit 2009 .161
76 80 Blake Tekotte 2011 .204
77 80 Steve Moss 2008 .000 DNP
78 80 Brian Goodwin 2015 .000 DNP
79 80 Colin Curtis 2009 .000 DNP
80 80 Kila Ka'aihue 2008 .278
81 80 Jacob Skole 2016 .000 DNP
82 80 Andrew Clark 2012 .000 DNP
83 80 Kole Calhoun 2012 .183
84 80 Niko Goodrum 2016 .000 DNP
85 80 Sebastian Elizalde 2016 .000 DNP
86 80 Karexon Sanchez 2012 .000 DNP
87 80 Mitch Haniger 2015 .000 DNP
88 80 Preston Tucker 2015 .261
89 80 Jonathan Still 2009 .000 DNP
90 80 Mark Canha 2013 .000 DNP
91 80 Travis Shaw 2014 .000 DNP
92 80 Austin Gallagher 2013 .000 DNP
93 80 Austin Wilson 2016 .000 DNP
94 80 Logan Vick 2015 .000 DNP
95 80 Wade Hinkle 2014 .000 DNP
96 80 Matthew Duffy 2013 .000 DNP
97 80 Mike McGee 2013 .000 DNP
98 80 Kevin Keyes 2013 .000 DNP
99 80 Justin Huber 2007 .070
100 80 Max Muncy 2015 .245

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2017 Due to publishing agreements, the 2017 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2017 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2016 Papi is the off-brand Michael Conforto and the Hydrox to Kyle Schwarber's Oreo. He's the same type of college “bat-first” player as the aforementioned no-position 2014 draftees/2015 breakouts: He has a quest to have a bat in his hand. Without that, it's like Kryptonite and Superman. Unfortunately, while Lynchburg is no friend to power hitters (it ranks in the top quartile of MiLB ballparks that suppress homers), a good 2015 showing for the bat-only Papi would have included more than four dingers. There's still hope, as he's incredibly patient and his swing is short to the ball and covers a lot of plate. But unless he can take another step forward, Little Papi's career will be marked by unflattering comparisons to his draft-class peers.
2015 Cleveland selected Papi, who sadly is not terribly Big by ballplayer standards, with a competitive balance pick in 2014. He had a big bat as a Virginia Cavalier and has the raw tools to carry the success over to his professional career: good bat speed and a compact swing coupled with some pull-side power. Papi is not a gifted athlete, so the defense leaves something to be desired in the outfield. In particular, he's basically a left fielder only because his arm isn't suited for right. (He's nowhere near fast enough to handle center. And yes, we know Nick Swisher has played center in the major leagues.) Still, a left field home will be kinder to his offensive package than first base.

BP Articles

Mike Papi is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of September 9-11, 2016Christopher Crawford2016-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 15-17Christopher Crawford2016-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWho to Watch: Carolina LeagueAdam McInturff2016-04-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 8-10Christopher Crawford2016-04-11
2016 Prospects: Cleveland Indians Top 10 ProspectsChristopher Crawford2016-01-15
2016 Prospects: Cleveland Indians Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-01-15
This article requires BP Premium accessField Generals: The Fall WindowIan Frazer2015-09-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 11thJeff Moore2015-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: July 13, 2015BP Prospect Staff2015-07-13
This article requires BP Premium accessField Generals: Managing Across the UniverseIan Frazer2015-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: April 27, 2015BP Prospect Staff2015-04-27
This article requires BP Premium accessRubbing Mud: So You Want to Trade Your Draft PickMatthew Trueblood2015-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 16, 2015Jeff Moore2015-04-17
This article requires BP Premium accessLeague Preview Series: Carolina LeagueJordan Gorosh2015-03-27
2015 Prospects: 2015 Organizational RankingsMark Anderson2015-02-17
2015 Prospects: 2015 Organizational RankingsBP Prospect Staff2015-02-17
2015 Prospects: 2015 Organizational RankingsJeff Moore2015-02-17
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Cleveland Indians Top 10 ProspectsChris Mellen2015-01-14
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Cleveland Indians Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-01-14
Eyewitness Accounts: July 23, 2014Chris Mellen2014-07-23
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: July 21, 2014Jason Parks2014-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: July 21, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-07-21


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-11-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Bradley Zimmer was listed by Chris Crawford as one of the 10 biggest prospect fallers in 2016. He essentially lamented his inability to hit lefties, and his increased strikeout rate. The Tribe isn't short on young outfielders. Do you still think Zimmer has a better shot as a major league regular than Naquin, Yandy Diaz, Mike Papi and Greg Allen or do any of those guys now excite you more?
(Truganini from CO)
Naquin has done it in the majors, and that means a lot for a guy who has always had the tools but was never putting it together at the same time in the minors. I might take Naquin, but that would be a tough call and require some thought.

Zimmer's still well ahead of the other three. (Jarrett Seidler)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.