Biographical

Portrait of Carson Smith

Carson Smith PMariners

Mariners Player Cards | Mariners Team Audit | Mariners Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
43.7 3.36 1.29 49 2 1 2 0.5
Birth Date10-19-1989
Height6' 6"
Weight215 lbs
Age25 years, 0 months, 5 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.72014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2014 SEA 24 9 0 8.3 0.0 8.3 1 0 0 0 0 0 29 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 0 10 0.00 1.84 1.86 1.4 0.2
Career908.30.08.31000002920002330100.001.841.861.40.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 HDS A+ 49 0 62.0 3.53 144 .228 .270 .336 .423 .274 .327 116 20.7 2.1 20.7 2.1
2012 PER Wnt 11 0 15.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .303 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 WTN AA 44 0 50.0 2.23 146 .194 .251 .325 .373 .260 .294 101 14.2 1.5 14.2 1.5
2014 SEA MLB 9 0 8.3 1.86 151 .105 .255 .322 .405 .276 .125 91 1.4 0.2 1.4 0.2
2014 TAC AAA 39 0 43.0 3.49 125 .216 .281 .347 .437 .271 .352 90 9.0 0.9 9.0 0.9

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 PER Wnt 1 1 0 11 0 15.0 11 4 18 1 0% .303 6.6 2.4 0.6 10.8 1.00 2.40 0.0 0.0
2012 HDS A+ 5 1 15 49 0 62.0 54 28 77 2 61% .327 7.8 4.1 0.3 11.2 1.32 2.90 20.7 2.1
2013 WTN AA 1 3 15 44 0 50.0 33 17 71 1 72% .294 5.9 3.1 0.2 12.8 1.00 1.80 14.2 1.5
2014 TAC AAA 1 3 10 39 0 43.0 44 13 45 1 70% .352 9.2 2.7 0.2 9.4 1.33 2.93 9.0 0.9
2014 SEA MLB 1 0 0 9 0 8.3 2 3 10 0 81% .125 2.2 3.2 0.0 10.8 0.60 0.00 1.4 0.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 114 0.5702 0.3860 0.7727 0.5538 0.1633 0.8611 0.3750 0.2273
Career1140.57020.3860.77270.55380.16330.86110.3750.2273

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-08 2014-08-17 Minors 9 0 - Not Disclosed -
2014-06-09 2014-06-16 Minors 7 0 - Not Disclosed -
2014-04-21 2014-05-17 Minors 26 0 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 SEA $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Seattle 9/1/14.
  • Drafted by Seattle 2011 (8-241) (Texas State). $0.215M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3 1.4 2.8 53 0 64.3 43 21 72 4 .250 0.99 2.12 2.3 17.7 1.8
80o 2.6 1.2 2.4 47 0 57.0 42 20 64 4 .268 1.09 2.53 2.75 12.5 1.3
70o 2.3 1.1 2.1 43 0 51.9 40 20 58 4 .281 1.16 2.83 3.08 9.3 0.9
60o 2.1 0.9 1.9 40 0 47.7 39 19 54 4 .293 1.23 3.10 3.37 6.9 0.7
50o 1.9 0.8 1.7 36 0 43.8 38 19 49 4 .303 1.29 3.36 3.65 4.8 0.5
40o 1.7 0.7 1.5 33 0 40.1 36 18 45 3 .313 1.35 3.61 3.93 3.1 0.3
30o 1.5 0.6 1.3 30 0 36.2 35 17 41 3 .324 1.43 3.90 4.24 1.5 0.1
20o 1.3 0.5 1.1 26 0 31.8 32 16 36 3 .337 1.51 4.23 4.6 -0.1 -0.0
10o 1 0.4 0.9 22 0 25.9 28 14 29 3 .356 1.64 4.72 5.13 -1.6 -0.2
Weighted Mean1.90.81.736042.93718483.3001.273.313.65.00.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152531248058512265456.3081.253.213.497.93.410.00.61.0
20162631352062522172556.2951.172.853.107.53.010.40.71.4
20172731354065532473556.2911.182.823.067.33.310.10.71.5
20182831356068572276556.2981.172.813.067.62.910.10.71.5
20192931354065572172556.3031.192.973.237.92.99.90.71.3
20203031354065562172556.3011.182.923.187.82.910.00.71.4
20213131351062531968556.3001.172.923.177.72.89.90.71.3
20223231249059511864556.3001.182.913.167.82.89.80.81.2
20233321246055481761556.3001.172.913.167.82.89.90.81.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
2.94.311.76.59.95.535.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 90 Danny Farquhar 2011 18.00
2 89 Chia-Jen Lo 2010 0.00 DNP
3 89 Sam Demel 2010 6.57
4 89 Casey Weathers 2009 0.00 DNP
5 89 Matt Gorgen 2011 0.00 DNP
6 89 Ryan Reid 2009 0.00 DNP
7 87 Kevin Quackenbush 2013 0.00 DNP
8 87 Robbie Weinhardt 2010 7.06
9 87 Cory Burns 2012 5.50
10 87 Joe Paterson 2010 0.00 DNP
11 86 Daniel Herrera 2009 4.52
12 86 Heath Hembree 2013 0.00
13 86 David Robertson 2009 3.92
14 85 Mark Melancon 2009 4.41
15 85 Jason Stoffel 2013 0.00 DNP
16 85 Chase Whitley 2013 0.00 DNP
17 84 Keith Butler 2013 4.05
18 84 David Carpenter 2012 4.76
19 84 Kevin Whelan 2008 0.00 DNP
20 84 Andrew Carignan 2011 5.68
21 83 Arnold Leon 2013 0.00 DNP
22 83 David Cales 2012 0.00 DNP
23 83 Shawn Tolleson 2012 4.54
24 83 Ty'Relle Harris 2011 0.00 DNP
25 83 Ryan Rodebaugh 2013 0.00 DNP
26 83 Tanner Scheppers 2011 0.00 DNP
27 83 Cody Allen 2013 2.82
28 83 David Davidson 2008 0.00 DNP
29 82 Christopher Manno 2013 0.00 DNP
30 82 C.C. Lee 2011 0.00 DNP
31 82 Michael Morrison 2012 0.00 DNP
32 82 Rob Wooten 2010 0.00 DNP
33 81 Corey Young 2011 0.00 DNP
34 81 Jeremy Berg 2011 0.00 DNP
35 81 Hunter Jones 2008 0.00 DNP
36 81 Kevin Munson 2013 0.00 DNP
37 81 Kanekoa Texeira 2010 5.28
38 81 Eduardo Sanchez 2013 5.68
39 81 Jon Meloan 2009 1.08
40 81 Brian Moran 2013 0.00 DNP
41 81 Jeff Stevens 2008 0.00 DNP
42 80 Logan Bawcom 2013 0.00 DNP
43 80 Jhan Marinez 2013 0.00 DNP
44 80 Matt Daly 2011 0.00 DNP
45 80 Zachary Quate 2012 0.00 DNP
46 80 Francisco Samuel 2011 0.00 DNP
47 80 Scott Nestor 2009 0.00 DNP
48 80 Tyler Burgoon 2013 0.00 DNP
49 80 Rex Brothers 2012 4.39
50 80 Johan Yan 2013 0.00 DNP
51 79 Mickey Storey 2010 0.00 DNP
52 79 Jerry Blevins 2008 3.35
53 79 Daniel Schlereth 2010 3.38
54 79 Jared Lansford 2011 0.00 DNP
55 79 Paul Smyth 2011 0.00 DNP
56 79 Zach Putnam 2012 0.00
57 79 Chris Scholl 2012 0.00 DNP
58 79 Steven Ames 2012 0.00 DNP
59 79 Matthew Hauser 2012 0.00 DNP
60 79 Emiliano Fruto 2008 0.00 DNP
61 79 Waldis Joaquin 2011 4.26
62 79 Phillippe Aumont 2013 5.12
63 79 Omar Aguilar 2009 0.00 DNP
64 79 Osiris Matos 2009 10.50
65 79 Josh Judy 2010 0.00 DNP
66 78 Josh Spence 2012 4.35
67 78 Beau Jones 2011 0.00 DNP
68 78 Sammy Gervacio 2009 2.14
69 78 Brandon Beachy 2011 3.94
70 78 Brandon Sisk 2010 0.00 DNP
71 78 Kam Mickolio 2008 5.87
72 78 Fernando Hernandez 2009 0.00 DNP
73 78 Jared Gayhart 2011 0.00 DNP
74 78 Kyle McClellan 2008 4.40
75 78 Brett Bochy 2012 0.00 DNP
76 78 Kyler Newby 2009 0.00 DNP
77 78 Daniel Tillman 2013 0.00 DNP
78 78 Patrick Keating 2011 0.00 DNP
79 77 Rob Bryson 2012 0.00 DNP
80 77 Andrew Taylor 2011 0.00 DNP
81 77 Wilfrido Perez 2009 0.00 DNP
82 77 Rob Delaney 2009 0.00 DNP
83 77 Drew Hayes 2012 0.00 DNP
84 77 Miles Mikolas 2013 0.00
85 77 Billy Bullock 2012 0.00 DNP
86 76 Evan Scribner 2010 0.00 DNP
87 76 Luke Gregerson 2008 0.00 DNP
88 76 Alexis Lara 2011 0.00 DNP
89 76 Cory Gearrin 2010 0.00 DNP
90 76 Matt Nevarez 2011 0.00 DNP
91 76 Josh Fields 2010 0.00 DNP
92 76 Matt Elliot 2008 0.00 DNP
93 76 Tyler Knigge 2013 0.00 DNP
94 76 Branden Pinder 2013 0.00 DNP
95 76 Hector Santiago 2012 3.33
96 76 Eddie Kunz 2010 0.00 DNP
97 76 Greg Miller 2009 0.00 DNP
98 76 Phil McCormick 2013 0.00 DNP
99 76 Coty Woods 2012 0.00 DNP
100 76 Bryce Stowell 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).

BP Articles

Carson Smith is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Relief Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Seattle Mariners Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-11-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL Recap for Games of October 25-26Jeff Moore2013-10-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: Arizona Fall League PreviewBP Prospect Staff2013-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: Arizona Fall League PreviewJason Parks2013-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessScouting the Southern League: Mississippi and JacksonJason Cole2013-05-01


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Carson Smith has thrown 361 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, Spring Training and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (94mph) and Slider (85mph), also mixing in a Change (89mph). He also rarely throws a Fourseam Fastball (94mph).