Biographical

Portrait of Michael Kelly

Michael Kelly PPadres

Padres Player Cards | Padres Team Audit | Padres Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
51.3 6.23 1.81 32 1 3 0 -1.1
Birth Date9-6-1992
Height6' 4"
Weight185 lbs
Age22 years, 1 months, 19 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-1.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 FTW A 7 0 14.3 5.72 78 .343 .253 .317 .370 .258 .419 101 -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1
2012 PDR Rk 13 6 44.3 7.11 72 .307 .259 .338 .369 .266 .361 102 6.6 0.6 6.6 0.6
2013 FTW A 15 0 18.0 5.13 96 .276 .253 .324 .382 .261 .308 107 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.1
2013 EUG A- 18 0 38.3 6.07 53 .317 .255 .332 .365 .272 .321 95 -4.3 -0.5 -4.3 -0.5
2014 EUG A- 15 14 73.3 4.79 92 .238 .256 .332 .368 .267 .283 94 7.5 0.8 7.5 0.8

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 FTW A 0 2 0 7 0 14.3 18 18 14 0 60% .419 11.3 11.3 0.0 8.8 2.51 7.53 -0.7 -0.1
2012 PDR Rk 0 5 0 13 6 44.3 54 25 37 2 53% .361 11.0 5.1 0.4 7.5 1.78 7.11 6.6 0.6
2013 EUG A- 1 1 0 18 0 38.3 36 35 33 2 62% .321 8.5 8.2 0.5 7.7 1.85 6.10 -4.3 -0.5
2013 FTW A 2 1 0 15 0 18.0 17 12 16 1 45% .308 8.5 6.0 0.5 8.0 1.61 5.00 0.9 0.1
2014 EUG A- 7 5 0 15 14 73.3 59 25 71 5 51% .283 7.2 3.1 0.6 8.7 1.15 4.05 7.5 0.8

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 1.7 0.6 1.4 34 0 73.6 63 40 46 7 .266 1.40 4.59 4.99 -4.9 -0.5
80o 1.4 0.5 1.2 30 0 65.6 61 39 41 7 .284 1.53 5.11 5.56 -8.4 -0.9
70o 1.3 0.4 1 28 0 60.0 59 38 37 7 .297 1.63 5.50 5.98 -10.4 -1.1
60o 1.2 0.3 0.9 25 0 55.3 58 37 35 7 .308 1.71 5.85 6.35 -11.7 -1.2
50o 1 0.3 0.8 24 0 51.1 56 36 32 6 .319 1.80 6.17 6.71 -12.7 -1.3
40o 0.9 0.2 0.7 22 0 47.1 54 35 29 6 .330 1.88 6.51 7.08 -13.5 -1.4
30o 0.8 0.2 0.6 20 0 42.8 52 33 27 6 .341 1.98 6.88 7.48 -14.0 -1.4
20o 0.7 0.1 0.5 17 0 38.0 49 31 24 6 .355 2.10 7.33 7.97 -14.2 -1.4
10o 0.6 0.1 0.4 15 0 31.7 44 28 20 5 .375 2.27 7.98 8.67 -14.0 -1.4
Weighted Mean10.30.823050.25435316.3161.776.116.65-12.2-1.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152210116036342228449.3031.575.245.708.65.67.11.0-0.3
20162310118040392133549.3121.514.825.238.84.87.51.1-0.1
20172410121045412435449.3001.464.424.818.34.87.10.80.1
20182510119041382132449.3051.454.554.958.44.67.10.90.0
20192610118040382131449.3031.484.584.988.54.77.00.9-0.0
20202710119040382032449.3031.444.524.918.54.57.10.90.0
20212810119041392032449.3031.444.434.828.64.47.00.90.1
20222910119042392032449.3001.424.354.738.44.36.90.90.1
20233010119041382031449.3001.434.394.788.44.46.90.90.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.816.20.31.82.314.6

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 89)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Alexis Paredes 2013 0.00 DNP
2 92 Johnny Hellweg 2010 0.00 DNP
3 92 Blake Hassebrock 2011 0.00 DNP
4 91 Genison Reyes 2013 0.00 DNP
5 91 Juan Sosa 2011 0.00 DNP
6 91 Chris Shafer 2010 0.00 DNP
7 91 Emmanuel De Leon 2012 0.00 DNP
8 91 Jose Ortega 2010 0.00 DNP
9 91 Yeliar Castro 2009 0.00 DNP
10 91 Yeison Almeida 2011 0.00 DNP
11 91 Alexander Claudio 2013 0.00 DNP
12 91 Luis Rojas 2011 0.00 DNP
13 91 Omar Duran 2011 0.00 DNP
14 91 Marcus Jensen 2013 0.00 DNP
15 91 Trevor Rosenthal 2011 0.00 DNP
16 91 Luis Santos 2012 0.00 DNP
17 90 Adrian Rosario 2011 0.00 DNP
18 90 Ryan Brasier 2009 0.00 DNP
19 90 Yimi Garcia 2012 0.00 DNP
20 90 Carlos Contreras 2012 0.00 DNP
21 90 Rolando Valdez 2007 0.00 DNP
22 90 Chris Lugo 2008 0.00 DNP
23 90 Brett Gerritse 2012 0.00 DNP
24 90 Leroy Hunt 2009 0.00 DNP
25 90 JR Morillo 2013 0.00 DNP
26 90 Richard Zumaya 2011 0.00 DNP
27 90 Nelson Gonzalez 2011 0.00 DNP
28 90 Bryan Shaw 2009 0.00 DNP
29 90 Arlett Mavare 2011 0.00 DNP
30 90 Luis Niebla 2012 0.00 DNP
31 90 Jose Casilla 2010 0.00 DNP
32 90 Danilo Alvarez 2011 0.00 DNP
33 90 Vianney Mayo 2011 0.00 DNP
34 89 Hansel Robles 2012 0.00 DNP
35 89 Devin Jones 2012 0.00 DNP
36 89 Daniel Reynolds 2012 0.00 DNP
37 89 Trevor Hurley 2009 0.00 DNP
38 89 Josue Montanez 2013 0.00 DNP
39 89 Hector Corpas 2011 0.00 DNP
40 89 Larry Suarez 2011 0.00 DNP
41 89 Justin Erasmus 2011 0.00 DNP
42 89 Hector Nelo 2008 0.00 DNP
43 89 Eury De La Rosa 2011 0.00 DNP
44 89 El'Hajj Muhammad 2013 0.00 DNP
45 89 Lester Oliveros 2009 0.00 DNP
46 89 Anatanaer Batista 2010 0.00 DNP
47 89 Nestor Molina 2010 0.00 DNP
48 89 Ebelin Lugo 2011 0.00 DNP
49 89 Jose Molina 2012 0.00 DNP
50 89 Luis Liria 2011 0.00 DNP
51 89 Rainy Lara 2012 0.00 DNP
52 89 Jordan Latham 2008 0.00 DNP
53 88 Jose Rosario 2012 0.00 DNP
54 88 Diogenes Rosario 2010 0.00 DNP
55 88 Marcos Perez 2011 0.00 DNP
56 88 T.J. Chism 2010 0.00 DNP
57 88 Jorge Rondon 2009 0.00 DNP
58 88 Charle Rosario 2010 0.00 DNP
59 88 David Cales 2009 0.00 DNP
60 88 Kelvin Pichardo 2007 0.00 DNP
61 88 Ryan Buchter 2008 0.00 DNP
62 88 Julio Surinach 2010 0.00 DNP
63 88 Wilson Matos 2009 0.00 DNP
64 88 Fabio Castillo 2010 0.00 DNP
65 88 Nathan Pettus 2010 0.00 DNP
66 88 C.J. Riefenhauser 2011 0.00 DNP
67 88 Beau Jones 2008 0.00 DNP
68 88 Nicholas Tyson 2009 0.00 DNP
69 87 Luis Chirinos 2011 0.00 DNP
70 87 Pat Urckfitz 2010 0.00 DNP
71 87 Wilfredo Ramirez 2009 0.00 DNP
72 87 Michael Mehlich 2009 0.00 DNP
73 87 Jhonathan Ramos 2011 0.00 DNP
74 87 John Holdzkom 2009 0.00 DNP
75 87 Jaye Chapman 2008 0.00 DNP
76 87 Yoon-Hee Nam 2009 0.00 DNP
77 87 Nelson Pereira 2010 0.00 DNP
78 87 Marcel Prado 2009 0.00 DNP
79 87 Danny Miranda 2012 0.00 DNP
80 87 Clevelan Santeliz 2008 0.00 DNP
81 87 Reid Kelly 2008 0.00 DNP
82 87 Johnathan Dutton 2009 0.00 DNP
83 87 Orlando Castro 2013 0.00 DNP
84 87 Daniel Turpen 2008 0.00 DNP
85 87 Anthony Bass 2009 0.00 DNP
86 87 Austin Reed 2013 0.00 DNP
87 87 Wilson Eusebio 2010 0.00 DNP
88 87 Anthony Ferrara 2011 0.00 DNP
89 87 Mariel Checo 2011 0.00 DNP
90 87 Luis Avilan 2011 0.00 DNP
91 87 Ramon Benjamin 2008 0.00 DNP
92 87 Shawn Sanford 2010 0.00 DNP
93 87 Braulio Ortiz 2013 0.00 DNP
94 87 Eric Jokisch 2011 0.00 DNP
95 87 Kevin Vance 2012 0.00 DNP
96 86 Drew Tyson 2011 0.00 DNP
97 86 Chris Scholl 2009 0.00 DNP
98 86 Jackson Quezada 2008 0.00 DNP
99 86 Wander Suero 2013 0.00 DNP
100 86 Nick McCully 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2012 The Padres signed lanky right-hander Michael Kelly out of a Florida high school in 2011 as compensation for losing free agent Jon Garland. Kelly throws hard but his secondary pitches are in development.

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