Biographical

Portrait of Matt Barnes

Matt Barnes P  

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2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.3 4.33 1.42 0 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date6-17-1990
Height6' 4"
Weight205 lbs
Age24 years, 4 months, 4 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2014 BOS 24 5 0 9.0 0.0 9.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39 11 4 4 1 19 2 2 0 8 4.00 3.49 2.72 2.2 0.2
Career509.00.09.000000039114411922084.003.492.722.20.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 GRN A 5 5 26.7 1.43 170 .147 .248 .324 .358 .254 .240 99 13.1 1.3 13.1 1.3
2012 SLM A+ 20 20 93.0 4.14 110 .243 .263 .324 .402 .265 .312 96 14.2 1.4 14.2 1.4
2013 PME AA 24 24 108.0 3.51 121 .281 .253 .327 .390 .267 .356 101 27.4 2.9 27.4 2.9
2013 PAW AAA 1 1 5.3 2.03 154 .178 .282 .341 .401 .264 .273 97 1.9 0.2 1.9 0.2
2014 BOS MLB 5 0 9.0 2.72 136 .297 .255 .312 .394 .262 .357 103 2.2 0.2 2.2 0.2
2014 PAW AAA 23 22 127.7 4.45 100 .244 .269 .334 .405 .256 .294 95 9.7 1.0 9.7 1.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 SLM A+ 5 5 0 20 20 93.0 85 25 91 6 47% .312 8.2 2.4 0.6 8.8 1.18 3.58 14.2 1.4
2012 GRN A 2 0 0 5 5 26.7 12 4 42 0 60% .240 4.0 1.4 0.0 14.2 0.60 0.34 13.1 1.3
2013 PAW AAA 1 0 0 1 1 5.3 3 2 7 0 45% .273 5.1 3.4 0.0 11.8 0.94 0.00 1.9 0.2
2013 PME AA 5 10 0 24 24 108.0 112 46 135 11 46% .356 9.3 3.8 0.9 11.2 1.46 4.33 27.4 2.9
2014 PAW AAA 8 9 0 23 22 127.7 119 46 103 8 44% .294 8.4 3.2 0.6 7.3 1.29 3.95 9.7 1.0
2014 BOS MLB 0 0 0 5 0 9.0 11 2 8 1 34% .357 11.0 2.0 1.0 8.0 1.44 4.00 2.2 0.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 157 0.5159 0.5414 0.7765 0.6667 0.4079 0.8519 0.6452 0.2235
Career1570.51590.54140.77650.66670.40790.85190.64520.2235

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-01 2014-04-25 Minors 24 0 Right Shoulder Recovery From Previous Injury Inflammation - -
2014-03-03 2014-03-31 Camp 28 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 dRelativity Baseball1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Boston 9/8/14.
  • Drafted by Boston 2011 (1-19) (Connecticut). $1.5M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 7.8 6.7 0 25 25 118.9 97 39 118 11 .274 1.15 3.12 3.39 26.7 2.7
80o 7.1 6.8 0 24 24 111.5 98 40 111 11 .289 1.24 3.55 3.86 18.6 1.9
70o 6.5 6.8 0 23 23 106.3 99 40 106 11 .300 1.31 3.86 4.2 13.5 1.4
60o 6.1 6.9 0 22 22 102.0 99 40 101 11 .310 1.36 4.13 4.49 9.5 1.0
50o 5.7 6.9 0 21 21 98.0 99 40 97 11 .318 1.42 4.39 4.77 6.1 0.6
40o 5.3 6.9 0 20 20 94.1 99 40 93 11 .327 1.48 4.65 5.06 2.8 0.3
30o 4.9 6.8 0 19 19 90.0 99 40 89 11 .337 1.55 4.94 5.37 -0.3 -0.0
20o 4.5 6.8 0 18 18 85.2 99 40 85 11 .348 1.62 5.28 5.74 -3.5 -0.4
10o 3.9 6.8 0 17 17 78.9 98 40 78 11 .363 1.74 5.77 6.27 -7.4 -0.8
Weighted Mean5.76.80212197.798409711.3161.414.354.736.50.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
25% 45% 9% 33% 58%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015258902929179170621942046.3141.303.844.178.63.19.81.01.9
2016268802727165154541751646.3111.263.653.978.43.09.60.92.2
2017277702424144137481511546.3131.293.774.108.63.09.50.91.7
2018287702323135135451441446.3241.333.984.339.03.09.60.91.3
2019296602121123117391301246.3151.273.663.988.62.99.50.91.7
2020306602121124118381311246.3131.253.603.918.52.89.50.91.8
2021316602121123118381281246.3141.263.663.988.62.89.30.91.7
2022325501818109106341111146.3161.293.764.098.82.89.20.91.3
202333550171710199311021046.3161.293.814.148.82.89.10.91.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
4.52.93.14.33.45.618.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 82)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 J.J. Hoover 2012 2.05
2 90 Scott Barnes 2012 4.26
3 88 Matt Maloney 2008 0.00 DNP
4 88 Christian Friedrich 2012 6.48
5 88 Simon Castro 2012 0.00 DNP
6 87 Ben Hornbeck 2012 0.00 DNP
7 87 Brad Peacock 2012 0.00 DNP
8 86 Wade LeBlanc 2009 3.69
9 85 Felix Doubront 2012 5.31
10 85 Christian Garcia 2010 0.00 DNP
11 85 Ariel Pena 2013 0.00 DNP
12 85 Drake Britton 2013 3.86
13 84 Aaron Crow 2011 3.05
14 84 P.J. Walters 2009 10.69
15 84 Paul Kometani 2007 0.00 DNP
16 84 Edwar Cabrera 2012 14.29
17 84 John Ely 2010 5.67
18 84 Kelvin De La Cruz 2013 0.00 DNP
19 84 James Paxton 2013 1.88
20 84 Drew Granier 2013 0.00 DNP
21 84 Chris Withrow 2013 2.60
22 84 Tyler Thornburg 2013 2.29
23 83 Jose Ortegano 2012 0.00 DNP
24 83 Brad Mills 2009 14.09
25 83 Tyler Robertson 2012 5.40
26 83 Ryan Mullins 2008 0.00 DNP
27 82 Yoervis Medina 2013 3.04
28 82 Glen Perkins 2007 3.14
29 82 Aaron Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
30 82 Jason Windsor 2007 0.00 DNP
31 82 Bud Norris 2009 4.69
32 82 Micah Owings 2007 4.78
33 82 James Gillheeney 2012 0.00 DNP
34 82 Paolo Espino 2011 0.00 DNP
35 82 Jeff Locke 2012 5.50
36 82 Erik Goeddel 2013 0.00 DNP
37 82 Thomas Diamond 2007 0.00 DNP
38 82 Chris Dwyer 2012 0.00 DNP
39 82 Scott Diamond 2011 5.77
40 82 Josh Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
41 82 Bobby Parnell 2009 5.71
42 82 Philip Humber 2007 7.71
43 81 Michael Stutes 2011 3.63
44 81 Kyle Gibson 2012 0.00 DNP
45 81 Hector Noesi 2011 4.63
46 81 Brandon Workman 2013 4.97
47 81 Jake Arrieta 2010 5.11
48 81 Donnie Veal 2009 7.16
49 81 Bradley Holt 2011 0.00 DNP
50 81 Jhonny Nunez 2010 0.00 DNP
51 81 Jake Brigham 2012 0.00 DNP
52 81 Dellin Betances 2012 0.00 DNP
53 81 Brandon Erbe 2012 0.00 DNP
54 81 Alex Wilson 2011 0.00 DNP
55 81 Luke Hochevar 2008 5.86
56 81 Tim Crabbe 2012 0.00 DNP
57 81 James McDonald 2009 4.86
58 81 Alberto Cabrera 2013 4.50
59 81 Garrett Richards 2012 5.83
60 81 Maikel Cleto 2013 19.29
61 81 Antonio Bastardo 2010 4.34
62 81 Blake Wood 2010 5.26
63 81 Michael Megrew 2008 0.00 DNP
64 81 Kasey Kiker 2012 0.00 DNP
65 80 Erik Davis 2011 0.00 DNP
66 80 Bobby Bramhall 2010 0.00 DNP
67 80 Jose Cisnero 2013 4.74
68 80 James Simmons 2011 0.00 DNP
69 80 Josh Lindblom 2011 2.73
70 80 Casey Crosby 2013 0.00 DNP
71 80 Omar Poveda 2012 0.00 DNP
72 80 Mark Rogers 2010 1.80
73 80 Matt Loosen 2013 0.00 DNP
74 80 Andre Rienzo 2012 0.00 DNP
75 80 Scott Gorgen 2011 0.00 DNP
76 80 Tommy Milone 2011 3.81
77 80 Juan Nicasio 2011 4.40
78 80 Danny Duffy 2013 1.85
79 80 Mike Kickham 2013 10.80
80 80 Jake McGee 2011 4.50
81 80 Sam LeCure 2008 0.00 DNP
82 80 Eric Berger 2010 0.00 DNP
83 80 Carlos Carrasco 2011 4.91
84 80 Radhames Liz 2007 7.66
85 80 Rudy Owens 2012 0.00 DNP
86 79 Anthony Capra 2011 0.00 DNP
87 79 Jordan Zimmermann 2010 5.81
88 79 Lance Lynn 2011 3.12
89 79 Sean Murphy 2013 0.00 DNP
90 79 Steven Wright 2009 0.00 DNP
91 79 Ricky Romero 2009 4.45
92 79 Nick Tepesch 2013 5.03
93 79 J.A. Happ 2007 11.25
94 79 Nestor Molina 2013 0.00 DNP
95 79 Matt Packer 2012 0.00 DNP
96 79 Dylan Owen 2011 0.00 DNP
97 79 Joel Carreno 2011 1.15
98 79 Justin Marks 2012 0.00 DNP
99 79 Bryan Price 2011 0.00 DNP
100 79 A.J. Griffin 2012 3.17

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Boston hasnít produced a top starting pitcher since Clay Buchholz in 2007, so Barnes isnít just a sip of water in the desert, heís a mirage come to life. Bostonís first-round pick in 2011, Barnes has an easy delivery that pumps the ball in the mid-90s with excellent sink in the lower half of the zone. He keeps hitters off-balance with a good breaking ball and an average changeup, both with above-average potential. After five starts with just one run allowed in the Sally League, Boston moved him up to High-A, where he continued to pitch well. If he can improve his fastball command, donít be surprised to see Barnes reach the upper minors before the year is out.
2012 Unlike Anthony Ranaudo, who didn't get his first taste of professional action until the season after he was drafted, Boston's first pick in the 2011 draft already has some innings under his belt thanks to the Fall Instructional League. Barnes's fastball sits 93-95, and as of now it is his strongest offering, especially when used in the lower portions of the strike zone. He needs to work on his change, but his curveball is the real deal. He will get the chance to refine his mechanics, change-up, and overall approach in his first taste of full-season ball in 2012.

BP Articles

Matt Barnes is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 23Ben Carsley2014-09-11
The Lineup Card: Nine Comeback of the Year Candidates for 2015Baseball Prospectus2014-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, September 4thJeff Moore2014-09-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 20Jeff Moore2014-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 14Jeff Moore2014-08-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Post-Deadline Prospect ValueBen Carsley2014-08-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Post-Deadline Prospect ValueCraig Goldstein2014-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 22Jeff Moore2014-07-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 50 Dynasty League Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2014-07-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Progress Report: Prospect Edition, Part TwoBen Carsley2014-07-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Progress Report: Prospect Edition, Part TwoCraig Goldstein2014-07-09
The 2011 Redraft: Redoing a Deep First RoundBaseball Prospectus2014-07-02
Baseball ProGUESTus: Riding Top Prospects' Coattails in the MLB DraftKevin Whitaker2014-06-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 27Jeff Moore2014-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 22Jeff Moore2014-05-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneCraig Goldstein2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneBen Carsley2014-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 6Jeff Moore2014-05-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: AL East U25 ListsBen Carsley2014-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: AL East U25 ListsCraig Goldstein2014-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 1Jeff Moore2014-05-02
BP Top 101 Prospects: Opening Day AssignmentsRon Shah2014-04-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Prospect Proximity RankingsR.J. Anderson2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 8-10Bret Sayre2014-02-05
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-01-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedMauricio Rubio2014-01-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Boston Red Sox Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Boston Red SoxBen Carsley2014-01-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Fool's Gold: American League Starting PitchersBen Carsley2013-09-27
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: September 7, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 29Zach Mortimer2013-08-30
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, July 25Zach Mortimer2013-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of July 19-21Zach Mortimer2013-07-22
Fantasy Mailbag: Strategic ThinkingBP Fantasy Staff2013-06-28
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: The Mid-Season Top 50 ProspectsJason Parks2013-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 1-2Zach Mortimer2013-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessEyewitness Accounts: May 24, 2013BP Prospect Staff2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 19, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 10-12Zach Mortimer2013-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 1Zach Mortimer2013-05-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Seeing What You Want to SeeBret Sayre2013-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: April 22BP Prospect Staff2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 19-April 21Zach Mortimer2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 12-14Zach Mortimer2013-04-15
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part One: 1-50Josh Shepardson2013-03-07
Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part One: 1-50Bret Sayre2013-03-07
BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2013-02-26
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-25
The Lineup Card: 11 Potential TradesBaseball Prospectus2012-12-13
BP Unfiltered: Daily Draft Video: Weekend Flashback (Bradley vs Barnes)Nick J. Faleris2012-12-02
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Boston Red Sox Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2012-11-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Profile: Maikel FrancoHudson Belinsky2012-10-12
Monday Morning Ten Pack: Most Memorable Prospect DebutsJason Parks2012-09-10
Monday Morning Ten Pack: Most Memorable Prospect DebutsHudson Belinsky2012-09-10
Monday Morning Ten Pack: Most Memorable Prospect DebutsBradley Ankrom2012-09-10
Monday Morning Ten Pack: Most Memorable Prospect DebutsChris Mellen2012-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: The Midseason Top 50 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Back to The Futures Game, US TeamDoug Thorburn2012-07-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: 2013 Futures Game RostersKevin Goldstein2012-07-11
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 14Kevin Goldstein2012-06-15
Future Shock Blog: Slots Are Dead, Long Live The SlotsKevin Goldstein2012-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessOut of Left Field: Matt Barnes and Why We Never LearnMatthew Kory2012-06-11
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 17Kevin Goldstein2012-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Los Angeles Dodgers Jason Parks2012-05-17
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: Mixed ReviewsAdam Sobsey2012-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: Mixed ReviewsKevin Goldstein2012-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: Mixed ReviewsBradley Ankrom2012-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten PackKevin Goldstein2012-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: Not Always the Cruelest MonthKevin Goldstein2012-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 24Kevin Goldstein2012-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of August 18Kevin Goldstein2012-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: 2011 Draft ClassKevin Goldstein2012-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten PackKevin Goldstein2012-04-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Boston Red SoxJason Parks2012-02-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Boston Red Sox Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-02-14


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-15 19:30:00 (link to chat)Is Matt Barnes still a viable starter in the majors, or is he destined to be a AAAA/reliever?
(Colin from CT)
His last 10-or-so starts in Triple-A were really damn good, even though the first half of his season was uninspiring. I'd give him another year in the rotation and see if he can start finishing his CB more. If not, he has upside as an eighth inning guy. (Ben Carsley)
2014-06-05 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for rocking the marathon chat today, Nick! Any thoughts on what's going on with Matt Barnes? Doesn't seem like the curveball is making steps and the knack for getting hit hard seems to have followed him from AA to AAA this season. Is it time to downgrade his ceiling a notch or two? He's starting to look like a #3, at best.
(jmoultz from Chicago)
Barnes has always been a #3 guy for me, but I honestly can't say I've seen him or talked to any one about him recently given my recent focus on the draft. Hit up Chris Mellen on Twitter -- should have money thoughts for you (@ChrisMellen). (Draft Day Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Matt Barnes a starter for the Red Sox in 2015? He seems to be close, one pitch shy of making an impact.
(John from CT)
I do think he'll be in the rotation next season. I still believe in him as a starter, particularly if he's competing with Allen Webster and Anthony Ranaudo for a slot. In the end, he's probably a mid-rotation guy that still carries significant value. (Mark Anderson)
2014-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Matt, Fangraphs did an article of building the perfect pitcher yesterday. Which minor league pitcher(s) come closest to being "perfect" based on the criteria?
(baseballjunkie from waiting for spring training)
I didn't see the article, and I can't comment on every pitcher in the minors, but basically I'd nominate Matt Barnes. He's 6'4, 200+ pounds with clean arm action and strong mechanics and an excellent fastball. How'd I do? (Matthew Kory)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who has the best career of Matt Barnes, Allen Webster, and Henry Owens?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
I'm still a believer that Barnes will figure it out and settle into the middle of a big league rotation. Owens likely ends up in that same realm and I think they look like similar MLB contributors. Webster probably settles in behind the two in terms of career production; mostly because there's a decent chance he ends up in the bullpen. (Mark Anderson)
2013-09-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)What does Matt Barnes need to improve upon to demonstrate 2/3 rotation status potential.
(dawson950 from Cape Cod)
Like a lot of young pitchers, Barnes need to gain some consistency with his mechanics to allow him to locate his fastball and curveball better than he does right now. The changeup needs to take some steps forward as well and I think it can become an average pitch in time. He's not arriving as quickly as I think many Red Sox fans would like, particularly after a dominating 2012 season, but he's still going to be a very good Major League starter. (Mark Anderson)
2013-07-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Matt Barnes has pitched better as of late. Is he a future ace or #2 or #3?
(John from CT)
I don't much about him, but our prospect staff has him topping out as a 2. Which is a dang high ceiling. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Matt Barnes a potential #2?
(Kyle from Utah)
I can see the case for that, yes. (Jason Parks)
2013-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any prospects I should look out for this year in Portland?
(Morgan K. from Portland, ME)
I'll defer to the prospect team for deeper names, but Xander Bogaerts and Matt Barnes are in line to begin the year with the Sea Dogs, I believe. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-12-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)When people say Matt Barnes has the potential to be a number 2, what does that really mean? Who are some current major league pitchers that you consider to be number 2s?
(Tom from Mainer)
That you're looking at a pitcher that can be above-average to well above-average at the major league level. I always saw Jon Lester prior to his rough 2012 season as a number 2. Barnes may end up a notch below that, or a number 3, but he's got potential for some seasons on that level. (Chris Mellen)
2013-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is Matt Barnes ceiling? 1-2 Starter or more of a 3-4?
(Shawn from CT)
Split the difference -- #2 ceiling with a #3/#4 likely outcome? (Nick Faleris)
2012-10-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)With the possibility that Boston can coax Toronto to part with Farrell, is there any way that Boston can get him without parting with Matt Barnes, Xander Bogearts, Gavin Cecchini or Jackie Bradley Jr.?
(jlarsen from chicago)
Ben Cherington is a smart guy. I would be stunned if he parted with a top-five prospect type in order to acquire Farrellís services. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Professor. As a heavily invested red sox fan, my already strong interest in the farm system has grown as the parent club has faltered. Am I being overly negative to worry about Matt Barnes viability as more than a #4 major league starter? He dominated low A with a big fastball, but slowed at a more advanced level and it seems as though so much of his stock rests on the further development of secondaries that is far from guaranteed.
(John Wayne from Suburban Boston (by way of Canada))
I think a #4 starter would be a very acceptable outcome for Barnes, as it comes with great value to the team. A cost-controlled major league starter is a huge piece to have on a roster. I can' stress this enough. I know we all love stars, but they are rare creatures. Teams are built on cheap, controllable talent that can provide value at their position. Barnes has a higher ceiling than a #4 starter, but if that's the outcome, I'd smile and be satisfied at the future value he will provide. I know its not the answer most people want to read. I get it. But developing prospects into major leaguers is the goal. Developing stars is the dream. (Jason Parks)
2012-08-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Taijuan Walker made your top 10 prospects in the minors list a few weeks ago, as did Dylan Bundy and Gerrit Cole. Where do hurlers Jose Fernandez, Archie Bradley, and Matt Barnes factor in to your pitching prospect rankings?
(Francois from Toronto)
I would have Fernandez, Bradley, and Barnes in my top 25. Those are legit arms. I really, really like them. Barnes is the big sleeper there, He doesn't have the same extreme ceiling, but he can bring it and he's going to sneak up on people and develop into a quality major league starter. (Jason Parks)
2012-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)At what point, if any, do we believe Matt Barnes' ceiling has changed?
(Mike from MA)
I don't think it's changed, but what has changed dramatically is his chances of REACHING that ceiling. That's the variable that changes FAR more often than the ceiling itself. We also need to get away from ceiling talk. So few players hit their ceiling. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Matt Barnes has thrown 158 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2014, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (95mph), also mixing in a Curve (82mph) and Change (86mph).